Bitcoin Group SE (ADE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €154.50M
• Dividend Yield: 0.31%
• Average Volume (3M): 19.64K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.45
• Revenue Growth: 47.05%
• EPS Growth: -166.42%
• Country: DE
• Employees: 32
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Asset Management - Cryptocurrency
• EPS (TTM): -0.33
• Shares Outstanding: 5,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 23,768
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 19,642
• PEG Ratio: -18.23
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.90
• Price to Sales (P/S): 26.83
• P/FCF Ratio: 140.66
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: €29.00 ▼(-14.71% Downside)

The score is primarily supported by improving operating performance and a very strong, low-leverage balance sheet, but is pulled down by weak cash flow trends and clearly bearish technical signals (below major moving averages with negative MACD and weak RSI). Valuation is mixed due to a negative P/E and only a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Very low leverage / strong balance sheet

Extremely low debt provides durable financial resilience against crypto market volatility, enabling the firm to fund infrastructure, absorb asset write‑downs, and pursue strategic opportunities without stressing liquidity. This enhances long-term operational continuity.

Revenue rebound with high gross margins

Sustained double‑digit revenue recovery and a ~67% gross margin point to a scalable, fee‑based trading model that can convert growth into durable operating leverage. High gross margins support reinvestment in product and compliance over multiple quarters.

Regulated crypto-market infrastructure

Operating regulated market infrastructure and a platform subsidiary (Bitcoin.de) creates structural competitive advantages: regulatory compliance, trusted custody/settlement capabilities, and easier bank partnerships, which support stable fee income over time.

Negative Factors

Weak free cash flow trends

A large drop in free cash flow growth undermines the company’s ability to self‑fund technology, compliance upgrades, or cushion downturns. Persistently weak FCF pressures discretionary investment, dividend capacity, and increases reliance on external financing when needed.

Declining net margin

A notable drop in net margin signals rising operating expenses or margin pressure that can persist if pricing power is limited. Lower net profitability reduces retained earnings available for growth and weakens the conversion of revenue gains into shareholder returns.

Low return on equity

ROE near zero indicates the company generates minimal profit from shareholder capital, implying inefficient capital deployment. Over time, persistently low ROE can hinder investor confidence and constrain the company’s ability to attract funding for strategic expansion.

Bitcoin Group SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bitcoin Group SE, a private equity and consulting company, engages in the cryptocurrency and blockchain businesses worldwide. The company operates a trading platform for the digital currency bitcoin under the Bitcoin.de. It also provides financial services. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Herford, Germany. Bitcoin Group SE is a subsidiary of Priority AG.

How the Company Makes Money

Bitcoin Group SE generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its Bitcoin mining operations, where it earns income by mining Bitcoin and subsequently selling it on the open market. Additionally, the company profits from trading activities involving cryptocurrencies, leveraging market fluctuations to realize gains. Another significant revenue source is the management fees associated with its investment funds that are focused on digital assets. The company also explores partnerships within the blockchain ecosystem, which can enhance its operational efficiencies and broaden its market reach, contributing to overall earnings.

Bitcoin Group SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Bitcoin Group SE shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement reflects strong revenue growth and improved operational efficiency, but declining net profit margins. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, indicating financial stability. However, cash flow challenges persist, with significant declines in free cash flow growth, which could impact future liquidity. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but needs to address cash flow issues to sustain growth.

Income Statement

The company shows a strong recovery in revenue with a 48.12% growth rate in the latest year, indicating a positive trajectory after previous declines. Gross profit margin is robust at 66.66%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, net profit margin has decreased to 19.13% from 24.98% the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or lower pricing power. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, indicating better operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is strong with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0016, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is modest at 0.64%, suggesting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a solid capital structure with equity financing being predominant.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -143.71%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, indicating that not all net income is being converted into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting that free cash flow is closely aligned with net income, which is a positive sign.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	9.36M	9.37M	7.75M	8.65M	25.39M	15.03M
Gross Profit	5.05M	6.25M	7.23M	1.37M	24.92M	14.43M
EBITDA	1.27M	2.92M	1.99M	1.46M	19.86M	10.55M
Net Income	-398.34K	1.79M	1.94M	-2.41M	13.37M	9.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	372.24M	384.88M	184.57M	94.97M	207.79M	108.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	9.66M	12.58M	11.09M	15.20M	20.29M	12.28M
Total Debt	393.72K	454.60K	401.35K	429.78K	506.05K	901.45K
Total Liabilities	102.52M	106.68M	46.65M	21.62M	56.14M	28.68M
Stockholders Equity	269.72M	278.20M	137.91M	73.35M	151.65M	80.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-97.02K	1.79M	-3.24M	-4.83M	8.72M	7.37M
Operating Cash Flow	-78.59K	1.80M	-3.20M	-4.81M	8.77M	7.41M
Investing Cash Flow	100.09K	-47.23K	-42.84K	-3.80K	-425.29K	-42.28K
Financing Cash Flow	-634.43K	-622.55K	-581.64K	-576.27K	-80.47K	-72.48K

Bitcoin Group SE Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 34.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:ADE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.57, above the 50-day MA of 32.63, and below the 200-day MA of 38.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:ADE.

Bitcoin Group SE Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BWB	77 Outperform	€332.36M	6.94	24.12%	1.91%	15.69%	268.17%
LUS1	71 Outperform	€234.06M	7.95	39.83%	8.03%	36.62%	23.21%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
XTP	56 Neutral	€228.61M	―	―	―	―	―
ADE	55 Neutral	€154.50M	-359.85	-0.17%	0.31%	47.05%	-166.42%
SB1	53 Neutral	€229.06M	-48.92	-10.06%	―	21.89%	29.26%