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Dominion Energy Inc (D)
:D

Dominion Energy (D) AI Stock Analysis

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D

Dominion Energy

(NYSE:D)

69Neutral
Dominion Energy's overall score reflects stable revenue and cash flows with risks from high leverage and profitability challenges. Positive earnings guidance and strategic investments bolster the outlook, but increased costs and interest rate pressures remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment
Dominion Energy raised its five-year capital plan by $7 billion, indicating a significant investment in growth.
Data Center Development
Dominion Energy provided a positive update on data center development in its service territory that is not included in current guidance.
Financial Performance
Year over year earnings improved at all three operating businesses.
Negative Factors
Earnings Expectations
The expected earnings per share for Dominion Energy are modestly below the consensus expectations.
Market Performance
Shares of D now trade at ~5% discount on the 2027 EPS, indicating that investors might require additional execution on key projects before substantive multiple expansion can occur.
Valuation Concerns
Valuation is a concern following the company's outperformance compared to the coverage average by 9%.

Dominion Energy (D) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Dominion Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDominion Energy, Inc. produces and distributes energy in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Dominion Energy Virginia, Gas Distribution, Dominion Energy South Carolina, and Contracted Assets. The Dominion Energy Virginia segment generates, transmits, and distributes regulated electricity to approximately 2.7 million residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental customers in Virginia and North Carolina. The Gas Distribution segment is involved in the regulated natural gas sales, transportation, gathering, storage, and distribution operations in Ohio, West Virginia, North Carolina, Utah, southwestern Wyoming, and southeastern Idaho that serve approximately 3.1 million residential, commercial and industrial customers. It also has nonregulated renewable natural gas facilities in operation. The Dominion Energy South Carolina segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 772,000 customers in the central, southern, and southwestern portions of South Carolina; and distributes natural gas to approximately 419,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in South Carolina. The Contracted Assets segment is involved in the nonregulated long-term contracted renewable electric generation and solar generation facility development operations; and gas transportation, LNG import, and storage operations, as well as in the liquefaction facility. As of December 31, 2021, the company's portfolio of assets included approximately 30.2 gigawatt of electric generating capacity; 10,700 miles of electric transmission lines; 78,000 miles of electric distribution lines; and 95,700 miles of gas distribution mains and related service facilities. The company was formerly known as Dominion Resources, Inc. Dominion Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyDominion Energy makes money through several key revenue streams. The primary source of income is the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company generates electricity from a mix of sources, including nuclear, natural gas, coal, solar, and wind, which it then distributes to its customer base. Additionally, Dominion Energy earns revenue from the transmission and distribution of natural gas through its extensive pipeline network. The company engages in regulated utility operations, which provide stable income through regulated rates approved by state and federal agencies. Dominion Energy also invests in renewable energy projects, which contribute to its earnings and support its sustainability initiatives. Significant partnerships with state governments, regulatory bodies, and other energy companies play a crucial role in facilitating its operations and expansion efforts.

Dominion Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dominion Energy exhibits stable revenue and operational cash flows typical of regulated utilities. However, profitability challenges and high leverage pose risks. Improvement in net income consistency and debt management is needed.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Dominion Energy has shown a consistent revenue base typical for regulated utilities, with stable gross profit margins. However, the net profit margin has significantly decreased in the recent year due to a drop in net income, indicating potential cost pressures or one-off events affecting profitability. Revenue growth has been flat, reflecting the mature nature of the industry.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderately high debt-to-equity ratio, which is common in capital-intensive industries like utilities but still presents financial risk. The equity ratio indicates that a significant portion of assets is financed by debt, and return on equity has been volatile, impacted by fluctuating net income levels.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Dominion Energy's cash flow statements reveal a strong operating cash flow, but free cash flow has been negative in some years due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, demonstrating good cash generation relative to reported earnings, yet the free cash flow to net income ratio has been under pressure.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.46B14.39B13.94B11.42B14.17B
Gross Profit
14.46B6.96B6.38B5.41B7.30B
EBIT
3.25B3.41B1.43B2.00B2.06B
EBITDA
6.71B6.82B6.37B5.39B6.93B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.44M1.99B1.32B3.40B-401.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
310.00M184.00M153.00M283.00M172.00M
Total Assets
102.42B109.03B104.24B99.59B95.91B
Total Debt
19.82B44.24B45.68B40.58B37.01B
Net Debt
19.82B44.06B45.52B40.30B36.84B
Total Liabilities
72.22B81.50B76.36B72.28B69.44B
Stockholders Equity
25.15B27.53B27.88B27.31B26.12B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.59B-3.66B-3.89B-1.92B-793.00M
Operating Cash Flow
4.59B6.57B3.70B4.04B5.23B
Investing Cash Flow
-10.05B-7.21B-6.75B-6.25B-2.92B
Financing Cash Flow
5.58B595.00M2.98B2.37B-2.33B

Dominion Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price52.25
Price Trends
50DMA
54.76
Negative
100DMA
54.62
Negative
200DMA
54.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
58.13
Neutral
STOCH
92.32
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For D, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 52.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.17, below the 50-day MA of 54.76, and below the 200-day MA of 54.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.32 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for D.

Dominion Energy Risk Analysis

Dominion Energy disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dominion Energy reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dominion Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DUDUK
77
Outperform
$90.80B20.569.10%3.59%4.46%54.09%
SOSO
77
Outperform
$95.66B21.8413.61%3.31%5.83%10.23%
AEAEP
73
Outperform
$56.96B18.3311.37%3.57%2.76%31.53%
EXEXC
72
Outperform
$44.72B18.069.34%3.46%5.98%4.99%
NENEE
72
Outperform
$139.12B20.0314.24%3.29%26.91%-6.43%
DD
69
Neutral
$43.32B20.857.91%5.38%-10.79%18.04%
65
Neutral
$11.76B15.576.23%4.62%5.52%-8.96%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
D
Dominion Energy
52.25
5.51
11.79%
AEP
American Electric Power
102.35
22.51
28.19%
DUK
Duke Energy
116.31
24.57
26.78%
EXC
Exelon
44.30
8.92
25.21%
NEE
NextEra Energy
67.58
5.39
8.67%
SO
Southern Co
87.80
20.55
30.56%

Dominion Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: -5.09% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Dominion Energy's earnings call reflected a positive start to their strategic plan with strong financial performance and increased capital investments, alongside significant progress in data center expansion and the CVOW project. However, challenges such as increased project costs and regulatory lag in South Carolina were noted.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
Operating earnings per share for 2024 were $2.77, in the top half of the guidance range, despite $0.03 impact from adverse weather. GAAP earnings for the full year were $2.44 per share.
Increased Capital Investment
Dominion Energy updated its 5-year capital forecast to $50 billion, a 16% increase from prior guidance, to meet growing demand and ensure reliability.
Data Center Expansion
Data center sales now represent 26% of total sales for Dominion Energy Virginia, with contracted capacity increasing by 88% since July 2024.
Safety and Regulatory Achievements
Achieved near-record employee safety performance and favorable regulatory outcomes in South Carolina and North Carolina, as well as Virginia.
Progress on Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project (CVOW)
Project is 50% complete, on schedule for completion in 2026, and has bipartisan support and significant economic impact.
Lowlights
Increased Project Costs
The cost of the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project increased from $9.8 billion to $10.7 billion, primarily due to higher network upgrade costs.
Interest Rate Headwinds
Higher interest rates are a headwind affecting Dominion Energy's financial outlook and planning.
Regulatory Lag in South Carolina
The regulatory framework in South Carolina creates lag that affects the ability to earn the allowed return, leading to potential under-earning by 100 to 200 basis points.
Company Guidance
During the Dominion Energy Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported operating earnings per share of $2.77 for the full year, with fourth quarter earnings at $0.58 per share, despite adverse weather impacts. They narrowed their 2025 operating earnings guidance to a range of $3.28 to $3.52 per share, maintaining the midpoint at $3.40, and reaffirmed a long-term annual operating earnings growth rate of 5% to 7% through 2029. Dominion Energy also plans a 16% increase in their five-year capital investment forecast from 2025 to 2029, totaling $50 billion, predominantly focused on Dominion Energy Virginia. The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project remains on schedule for 2026 with updated costs of $10.7 billion, while the company has secured a 50% noncontrolling equity financing to mitigate project risk. Additionally, Dominion Energy highlighted significant data center demand growth, with approximately 40 gigawatts in various contracting stages, and reaffirmed their commitment to maintaining a dividend of $2.67 per share until reaching an industry-aligned payout ratio.

Dominion Energy Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dominion Energy Updates CVOW Project and Secures Funding
Neutral
Feb 3, 2025

On February 3, 2025, Dominion Energy announced updates to its Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project, including a cost increase from $9.8 billion to $10.7 billion due to revised network upgrade costs by PJM. Despite the increase, the project remains on schedule for completion by the end of 2026, with significant construction milestones achieved and robust cost-sharing mechanisms in place to mitigate customer impact. The updated project cost is expected to slightly impact residential customer bills by 43 cents per month. Dominion Energy completed a non-controlling equity financing with Stonepeak Partners, which will fund 50% of project costs up to $11.3 billion, reducing financial risk for shareholders.

Executive/Board Changes
Dominion Energy Approves 2025 Incentive Plan and Executive Packages
Neutral
Jan 27, 2025

On January 23, 2025, Dominion Energy’s Compensation and Talent Development Committee approved the 2025 Annual Incentive Plan, which allows officers to receive performance-based cash awards. The plan ties payouts to performance goals, with potential funding ranging from 0% to 200% of target funding. Additionally, the committee approved new compensation packages for key executives, including Edward H. Baine, Carlos M. Brown, and Steven D. Ridge, reflecting their important roles in the company. These packages include cash and restricted stock awards, subject to clawback provisions and vesting conditions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.