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Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY)
:CPCAY

Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY) AI Stock Analysis

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Cathay Pacific Airways

(OTC:CPCAY)

74Outperform
Cathay Pacific Airways shows strong financial recovery and attractive valuation metrics. While the technical analysis indicates stability, the moderate leverage and declining free cash flow growth require attention. The absence of recent earnings call and corporate events information focuses the evaluation on existing financial and market data.

Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Cathay Pacific Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCathay Pacific Airways, headquartered in Hong Kong, is a leading international airline operating scheduled passenger and cargo services to numerous destinations worldwide. The company is a member of the oneworld global airline alliance, which enhances its global network reach. Cathay Pacific is renowned for its high-quality in-flight service and premium travel experiences, offering a range of classes including First, Business, Premium Economy, and Economy. It also operates a cargo division, Cathay Pacific Cargo, which provides air freight services across a wide range of industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyCathay Pacific Airways generates revenue primarily through passenger ticket sales, which account for the lion's share of its income. The airline offers various classes of service, allowing it to cater to different market segments, from luxury travelers to budget-conscious passengers. Additional revenue is derived from ancillary services such as extra baggage fees, seat selection, and in-flight sales. Cathay Pacific also makes money from its cargo operations, transporting goods globally for businesses and individuals. Partnerships, such as its membership in the oneworld alliance, expand its network and offer code-sharing opportunities, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company is also involved in joint ventures and partnerships with other airlines to optimize route efficiency and capacity utilization, contributing to its overall earnings.

Cathay Pacific Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cathay Pacific Airways exhibits a strong financial recovery with significant revenue and profitability improvements. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flow management is strong. However, there is room for enhancing shareholder value, as reflected in the moderate ROE.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cathay Pacific Airways has shown a significant recovery in revenue and profitability. The revenue growth rate was robust at 85.1% from 2022 to 2023, indicating strong operational recovery. Gross profit margin improved to 21.9% in 2023, and the net profit margin turned positive at 10.4%, reflecting improved cost management and operational efficiency. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins also saw substantial improvements, showing enhanced operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 34.5%, showing a balanced capital structure. However, the return on equity is relatively moderate at 16.3%, suggesting room for improvement in shareholder returns despite recent profitability gains.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
Cathay Pacific Airways has demonstrated strong cash flow management. The free cash flow growth of 39% from 2022 to 2023 underlines effective capital expenditure control and improved operational cash flows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.70, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio at 2.00 further supports robust cash profitability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
100.50B94.48B51.04B45.59B46.93B106.97B
Gross Profit
25.15B20.70B8.06B3.17B-8.57B9.10B
EBIT
11.99B15.13B-2.97B-2.36B-12.77B5.31B
EBITDA
21.73B27.14B9.10B6.38B-5.20B19.64B
Net Income Common Stockholders
9.13B9.79B-6.55B-5.53B-21.65B1.69B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
15.31B15.53B18.28B19.28B19.34B14.86B
Total Assets
190.29B174.12B180.91B196.63B204.57B214.52B
Total Debt
73.90B68.29B77.11B89.85B93.13B97.26B
Net Debt
66.22B60.40B109.05B81.28B86.96B88.38B
Total Liabilities
126.36B114.08B117.03B124.38B131.31B151.74B
Stockholders Equity
63.94B60.03B63.88B72.24B73.26B62.77B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
10.29B19.61B14.11B6.56B-19.71B3.17B
Operating Cash Flow
18.01B26.41B17.84B8.84B-14.29B15.34B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.45B-2.67B-2.76B493.00M-11.76B-11.60B
Financing Cash Flow
-16.42B-23.18B-16.24B-6.93B23.31B-2.47B

Cathay Pacific Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.02
Price Trends
50DMA
6.36
Negative
100DMA
6.10
Negative
200DMA
5.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
34.68
Neutral
STOCH
-0.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPCAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.44, below the 50-day MA of 6.36, and above the 200-day MA of 5.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -0.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPCAY.

Cathay Pacific Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LTLTM
77
Outperform
$9.13B8.92166.51%0.92%10.24%68.75%
74
Outperform
$7.76B6.2917.64%6.26%10.83%6.34%
UAUAL
72
Outperform
$18.88B6.1228.63%6.23%20.08%
DADAL
70
Outperform
$24.06B6.9826.19%1.48%6.19%-25.26%
69
Neutral
$21.00B12.2221.21%2.09%5.39%-15.92%
62
Neutral
$559.21M4.4441.49%-3.62%1459.83%
62
Neutral
$7.25B12.393.08%3.39%3.63%-14.32%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPCAY
Cathay Pacific Airways
6.02
1.08
21.86%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
37.25
-9.26
-19.91%
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings
40.10
-18.15
-31.16%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
57.67
14.36
33.16%
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV
4.86
-2.94
-37.69%
LTM
LATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR
28.89
3.64
14.42%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.