Sharply Weakened Free Cash FlowFCF collapsed ~70% to ~$108M, and FCF is only ~8.5% of net income, reducing financial flexibility. Lower free cash curbs faster debt paydown, limits discretionary shareholder returns, and constrains the ability to fund capex or absorb prolonged demand or cost shocks over the next several quarters.
High Exposure To Jet Fuel VolatilitySignificant sensitivity to jet fuel where Q2 fuel costs may surge ~80%–90% YoY and only half can be passed through short term. Persistent fuel volatility undermines margin visibility and can materially compress profitability if yields and hedges lag rising fuel, a structural risk for airlines.
Meaningful Absolute Debt In A Cyclical IndustryAlthough leverage metrics improved, absolute debt levels remain material for a cyclical, demand- and fuel-sensitive airline. In a downturn, fixed interest and aircraft-related obligations could strain cash flows and liquidity, amplifying downside over a multi-quarter stress period.