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CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc (COSO)
NYSE:COSO
US Market

CoastalSouth Bancshares (COSO) AI Stock Analysis

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COSO

CoastalSouth Bancshares

(NYSE:COSO)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(9.52% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: strong profitability and a much improved leverage profile are tempered by a sharp 2024 revenue decline and a swing to negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with an established uptrend and healthy momentum, while valuation appears reasonable at an ~11 P/E. A positive recent corporate update (record 2025 earnings and expansion plans) adds support, with a small offset from a noted uptick in nonperforming assets tied to one loan.
Positive Factors
Materially improved leverage
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio meaningfully reduces balance-sheet risk and regulatory capital strain. This stronger capital posture supports lending capacity, buffers credit losses, and provides strategic flexibility for growth or acquisitions over the medium term.
Sustained profitability and margin expansion
Record annual earnings combined with a wider net interest margin and higher pre-tax pre-provision revenue indicate durable earnings power. Strong core profitability supports reinvestment, dividend capacity, and resilience to cyclical pressure across the next several quarters.
Robust loan and deposit growth plus expansion
Double-digit loan growth and solid deposit inflows reflect healthy core franchise momentum. Geographic expansion and a new local commercial banking team diversify revenue sources, deepen customer relationships, and should sustain organic growth over a multi-quarter horizon.
Negative Factors
Sharp 2024 revenue decline
A severe one-year revenue drop signals volatile top-line performance and challenges in sustaining operating leverage. Persistent revenue weakness can compress margins, limit reinvestment capacity, and increase sensitivity to credit and funding shocks over the coming months.
Negative operating and free cash flow in 2024
A reversal to negative operating and free cash flow undermines internal funding for loan growth, capital returns, and reserve building. Continued cash conversion volatility raises reliance on deposits or funding markets and constrains strategic optionality in the medium term.
Increase in nonperforming assets from a construction loan
Credit concentration into a single senior housing construction loan highlights portfolio vulnerability to CRE and construction credit stress. If deterioration spreads or reserve adequacy proves insufficient, capital and earnings could be pressured, complicating growth plans and capital allocation.

CoastalSouth Bancshares (COSO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CoastalSouth Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company of CoastalStates Bank that provides various banking products and services to retail and commercial customers. The company accepts various deposits, such as checking, savings and money market, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts. Its loan products include residential mortgage, home equity loans, cash value line of credit, commercial and government guaranteed lending, and mortgage banker finance, as well as debit and credit cards. The company also offers customized and private banking, treasury management, and digital and telephone banking services. It operates retail banking branches in Hilton Head Island/Bluffton, South Carolina; Savannah, Georgia; and north metro Atlanta, Georgia. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina.
How the Company Makes Money

CoastalSouth Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and operating margins are solid and the balance sheet has strengthened materially with much lower leverage, supporting resilience. Offsetting this, 2024 revenue fell sharply and both operating cash flow and free cash flow turned negative, making near-term cash stability and top-line momentum the key risks.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability is solid for a regional bank, with net margins consistently strong (roughly mid-to-low 30% recently) and healthy operating profitability. However, revenue momentum is volatile: after multi-year growth through 2023, 2024 revenue fell sharply (-45.51% YoY), and margins also softened versus 2023—suggesting pressure on the top line and less favorable operating leverage.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage has improved materially, with debt-to-equity declining to a low level in 2024 (0.08) from elevated levels in prior years (above 1.0 in 2020–2022), indicating a stronger capital position and reduced balance-sheet risk. Returns on equity remain healthy overall (about 11% in 2024, mid-teens in 2022–2023), though slightly down from the prior-year peak, implying good but not accelerating shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash generation is the main weak spot: 2024 operating cash flow and free cash flow turned negative (both meaningfully below zero) after several years of strong positive cash flow, pointing to volatility in cash conversion. While 2022–2023 showed good alignment between cash flow and earnings, the 2024 reversal raises questions around sustainability and near-term cash dynamics.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue132.78M129.72M114.38M76.38M56.81M43.87M
Gross Profit74.56M70.84M71.97M61.68M50.73M34.87M
EBITDA29.06M29.36M33.55M25.46M16.95M9.35M
Net Income23.46M21.90M24.48M18.19M12.32M6.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.26B2.10B2.03B1.84B1.61B1.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.14M67.96M403.35M395.08M517.58M126.98M
Total Debt25.00M14.73M88.67M140.68M44.59M146.04M
Total Liabilities2.00B1.90B1.87B1.72B1.49B1.05B
Stockholders Equity250.44M195.23M156.04M118.80M124.93M101.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.24M-14.08M36.83M81.38M68.69M-23.21M
Operating Cash Flow-21.13M-12.67M37.14M83.54M70.88M-20.36M
Investing Cash Flow-99.00M-17.31M-176.35M-502.90M-226.30M-298.39M
Financing Cash Flow47.88M49.39M158.80M223.97M222.78M426.48M

CoastalSouth Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$314.59M9.199.38%3.57%10.93%42.68%
76
Outperform
$320.94M13.537.07%2.91%1.25%-0.07%
75
Outperform
$304.35M9.4410.77%3.17%4.43%-12.94%
74
Outperform
$385.59M12.389.42%5.43%5.76%21.85%
72
Outperform
$345.62M10.9412.34%2.63%11.98%-10.12%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$320.70M10.9212.63%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COSO
CoastalSouth Bancshares
23.62
1.65
7.51%
CZNC
Citizens & Northern
21.39
0.29
1.37%
PLBC
Plumas Bancorp
49.55
3.69
8.05%
FSBW
FS Bancorp
39.62
-0.58
-1.44%
BCML
BayCom
28.57
1.03
3.73%
PCB
PCB Bancorp
21.54
3.28
17.96%

CoastalSouth Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CoastalSouth Bancshares Reports Record 2025 Earnings, Expands Footprint
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, CoastalSouth Bancshares reported record full-year 2025 net income of $24.9 million, or $2.16 per diluted share, up from $21.9 million, or $2.09 per diluted share, in 2024, alongside fourth-quarter 2025 earnings of $7.1 million, or $0.58 per diluted share, marking sequential and year-on-year improvement. The bank posted solid profitability metrics, including a fourth-quarter return on average assets of 1.24% and an efficiency ratio of 55.34%, while net interest margin widened to 3.60% as funding costs fell and average earning assets expanded. Balance sheet growth was robust, with total assets rising 9.9% year-on-year to $2.31 billion, loans held for investment increasing 14.7% to $1.62 billion, and deposits climbing 8.3% to $1.99 billion by December 31, 2025, underpinned by strong loan production and core deposit growth. Credit quality remained generally sound, with net charge-offs at 0.00% for the quarter and an allowance for credit losses on loans of 1.16%, although nonperforming assets edged up to 0.79% of total assets largely due to a single senior housing construction loan moving to nonaccrual. Management highlighted a 23.6% year-on-year increase in pre-tax pre-provision net revenue and announced a strategic expansion into the Charleston, South Carolina market, assembling a local commercial banking team to drive further loan and deposit growth and deepen the bank’s positioning in the Lowcountry region.

The most recent analyst rating on (COSO) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CoastalSouth Bancshares stock, see the COSO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
CoastalSouth Bancshares Director Resigns Post-IPO
Neutral
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Mr. Boris Gutin announced his resignation from the Board of Directors of CoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc., effective November 19, 2025. His departure follows the company’s recent initial public offering and aligns with GCP Capital Partners’ practice of not having representatives on public company boards. Mr. Gutin expressed support for the company and its management, and his resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies.

The most recent analyst rating on (COSO) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CoastalSouth Bancshares stock, see the COSO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026