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Connect Biopharma Holdings (CNTB)
NASDAQ:CNTB
US Market

Connect Biopharma Holdings (CNTB) AI Stock Analysis

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CNTB

Connect Biopharma Holdings

(NASDAQ:CNTB)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(7.30% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by continued cash burn and lack of profitability despite improving revenue and narrower losses, partially offset by a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are constructive with the stock trading above major moving averages and positive momentum indicators, while valuation support is limited due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / very low debt
Extremely low debt and positive equity materially reduce refinancing and solvency risk for a clinical-stage biotech. This conservative capital structure provides durable optionality to fund R&D, support partnerships, and bridge clinical milestones without immediate refinancing pressure.
Marked 2024 revenue inflection
A ~795% jump to ~$26M in 2024 represents a durable commercial or partnering inflection from prior minimal revenues. A larger revenue base supports scaling, reduces sole reliance on financing, and signals progressing monetization that can underpin reinvestment in development over the medium term.
Strategic transition to U.S.-based management and development
Shifting management and development focus to the U.S. and Europe is a structural change that improves access to regulators, investors, trial sites, and commercial partners. Over time this should strengthen strategic partnerships, capital access, and regulatory alignment for global development.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash generation
Operating cash outflows and negative free cash flow in 2024 show meaningful ongoing cash burn. Even with improvement versus prior year, continued negative cash generation forces reliance on external funding, raising execution risk and potential dilution if clinical timelines extend or costs rise.
Ongoing unprofitability and negative margins
A sizable net loss and deeply negative operating margins indicate the cost base still exceeds revenues. Without sustained margin improvement, the company cannot self-fund growth, limiting long-term sustainability and increasing dependence on capital markets for continued development.
Historical equity volatility and funding dependence
Past episodes of negative and volatile equity show recurring dependence on external capital cycles. Even with current positive equity, the company remains vulnerable to funding disruptions; future capital raises could dilute stakeholders and constrain strategic flexibility if cash burn persists.

Connect Biopharma Holdings (CNTB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Connect Biopharma Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConnect Biopharma Holdings Limited, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of immune modulators for the treatment of serious autoimmune diseases and inflammation. The company's lead product candidate is CBP-201, an anti-interleukin-4 receptor alpha antibody, which is in Phase IIb clinical trial for the treatment of inflammatory allergic diseases, such as atopic dermatitis, asthma, and chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps. Its products also comprise CBP-307, a small molecule modulator of sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor 1, a regulator of T cell mobilization out of lymph nodes into the periphery that is in Phase II for the treatment of autoimmune-related inflammation diseases; CBP-174, a small molecule histamine receptor 3 antagonist for oral administration, which is in a preclinical stage to treat chronic itch associated with skin inflammation; and CBP-233, a preclinical stage humanized antibody against interleukin-33, a cytokine involved in T helper 2 inflammation. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Taicang, China.
How the Company Makes MoneyConnect Biopharma Holdings makes money through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drugs targeted at T cell-driven inflammatory diseases. The company's revenue model primarily involves out-licensing its drug candidates to larger pharmaceutical companies, which may provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales. Additionally, Connect Biopharma may engage in strategic collaborations with other biopharmaceutical companies to co-develop and co-market its products, thereby sharing the risks and rewards of drug development. However, as a clinical-stage company, significant revenue generation depends on successfully navigating the regulatory approval process and bringing its therapies to market.

Connect Biopharma Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2024 revenue inflection (~+795% to ~$26M) and a much smaller net loss vs. 2023, but profitability remains weak and the company is still meaningfully cash-flow negative (operating cash flow ~-$23.6M; FCF ~-$24.4M). Balance sheet strength (very low debt and positive equity) helps offset, but cash burn remains the primary risk.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Revenue inflected meaningfully in 2024 (up ~795% to ~$26.0M after minimal revenue in prior years), showing improving commercialization/partnering traction. However, profitability remains weak: 2024 net loss was ~$15.6M with deeply negative operating margins, indicating the cost base still outweighs current revenue. The bright spot is a much smaller loss versus 2023 (net loss improved from ~$59.5M), but the business is still not near sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively levered with very low debt (2024 total debt ~$0.18M) and a minimal debt-to-equity ratio, which reduces refinancing and solvency risk. Stockholders’ equity is positive in 2024 (~$92.2M), providing a cushion to fund operations. The key weakness is ongoing losses translating into negative return on equity in 2024, and equity has been volatile historically (including negative equity in some earlier years), which underscores dependence on continued funding discipline.
Cash Flow
29
Negative
Cash generation remains the primary pressure point: 2024 operating cash flow was negative (~-$23.6M) and free cash flow was also negative (~-$24.4M), implying continued cash burn to support R&D and operations. Cash burn improved materially versus 2023 (operating cash outflow reduced from ~-$47.9M), but free cash flow still declined modestly year over year. Free cash flow was roughly in line with the net loss, suggesting losses are largely cash-based rather than accounting-driven.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.96M26.03M0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit1.78M26.03M-988.00K-1.03M0.000.00
EBITDA-36.12M-21.79M-58.37M-117.03M-201.72M-112.25M
Net Income-36.12M-15.63M-59.50M-116.42M-205.21M-120.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets82.72M101.28M125.89M177.01M291.39M166.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments71.77M93.71M118.65M164.65M268.02M156.74M
Total Debt870.00K178.00K465.00K437.88K124.52K139.86K
Total Liabilities11.38M9.12M24.85M16.81M18.82M323.20M
Stockholders Equity71.34M92.17M101.04M-463.76M272.57M-157.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-28.78M-24.36M-48.22M-103.55M-93.03M-27.95M
Operating Cash Flow-28.17M-23.61M-47.93M-99.27M-85.57M-25.61M
Investing Cash Flow-10.59M-3.45M75.16M-83.44M-5.34M449.15K
Financing Cash Flow433.42K227.00K-246.00K-91.28K206.66M140.74M

Connect Biopharma Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.33
Price Trends
50DMA
2.49
Negative
100DMA
2.12
Positive
200DMA
1.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
46.50
Neutral
STOCH
34.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNTB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.39, below the 50-day MA of 2.49, and above the 200-day MA of 1.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CNTB.

Connect Biopharma Holdings Risk Analysis

Connect Biopharma Holdings disclosed 121 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Connect Biopharma Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Connect Biopharma Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$130.26M-8.13
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$777.93K-0.07178.82%-4121.10%
47
Neutral
$6.85M-0.09-203.36%90.53%
45
Neutral
$2.52M-0.01-118.88%96.26%
40
Underperform
$14.04M-0.15-356.99%54.62%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNTB
Connect Biopharma Holdings
2.30
1.25
119.05%
SCNI
Scinai Immunotherapeutics
0.85
-3.08
-78.39%
GTBP
GT Biopharma
0.50
-1.69
-77.35%
REVB
Revelation Biosciences
1.47
-49.77
-97.13%
DRMA
Dermata Therapeutics
1.77
-10.43
-85.49%
CERO
CERo Therapeutics Holdings
0.04
-40.76
-99.90%

Connect Biopharma Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Connect Biopharma announces board resignation amid U.S. transition
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Connect Biopharma Holdings announced that Kan Chen, Ph.D., a partner at Qiming Venture Partners, resigned from its board of directors and from the nominating and corporate governance committee, effective immediately. The company said Chen’s departure was not due to any disagreement over operations, policies or practices, and noted that he viewed the timing as appropriate following the company’s successful strategic transition to a U.S.-based management team and drug development activities primarily in the U.S. and Europe, which he believes has positioned the company for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNTB) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Connect Biopharma Holdings stock, see the CNTB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025