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Civista Bancshares Inc (CIVB)
NASDAQ:CIVB

Civista Bancshares (CIVB) AI Stock Analysis

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CIVB

Civista Bancshares

(NASDAQ:CIVB)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(8.55% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality—good revenue/earnings trends and improved leverage, but notably weaker and more volatile operating cash flow. Attractive valuation (low P/E and ~3% yield) and a positive earnings-call outlook for loan growth, NIM, and funding mix support the score, while bearish near-term technical momentum holds it back.
Positive Factors
Stronger capital & lower leverage
Civista materially reduced leverage and grew equity, raising tier 1 and tangible common equity ratios. This stronger capital base lowers solvency risk, increases capacity for organic/inorganic loan growth and buybacks, and provides durable flexibility to absorb credit stress or fund strategic investments.
NIM expansion and improved funding
NIM widened as funding costs fell faster than earning asset yields. Combined with a decline in cost of deposits and reduced brokered funding, this shift to lower-cost core deposits supports sustainable net interest income and earnings resilience across a range of rate scenarios.
Acquisition adds low-cost deposits and loans
The Farmers acquisition materially increased low-cost core deposits and loan balances, bolstering funding mix and lending capacity. Structural deposit gains reduce reliance on brokered funding and provide a durable source of low-cost liquidity to support mid-term loan growth and margin stability.
Negative Factors
Weak, volatile operating cash flow
Operating cash conversion has weakened and become volatile, with free cash flow down ~65% year-over-year. Persistent low cash quality limits internal funding for growth, raises sensitivity of dividends/repurchases to earnings, and increases reliance on external funding or capital actions.
Declining, lumpy noninterest income (leasing)
Lease-related noninterest income has declined and is described as unpredictable. Reduced fee diversification increases earnings dependence on net interest income and makes profitability more cyclical, limiting stable cash flow and reducing resilience during NII pressure or loan losses.
Asset-quality sensitivity and concentrated NPL move
A modest uptick in NPLs driven by a single participation highlights concentration and idiosyncratic credit risk. Even with stable ACL coverage, localized credit deterioration can force higher provisions, compress returns on equity and constrain capital returns during periods of stress.

Civista Bancshares (CIVB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Civista Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCivista Bancshares, Inc. operates as the financial holding company for Civista Bank that provides community banking services. It collects a range of customer deposits; and offers commercial and agriculture, commercial and residential real estate, farm real estate, real estate construction, consumer, and other loans, as well as letters of credit. The company also purchases securities; and provides trust and third-party insurance services. It operates approximately 42 locations in Northern, Central, Southwestern, and Northwestern Ohio, as well as Southeastern Indiana and Northern Kentucky. The company was formerly known as First Citizens Banc Corp and changed its name to Civista Bancshares, Inc. in May 2015. Civista Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Sandusky, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyCivista Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from various fees and service charges. The company earns interest income by lending money to customers in the form of personal loans, mortgages, and business loans, with the interest on these loans representing a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, Civista Bank collects fees for account maintenance, transaction services, and financial advisory services, contributing to its non-interest income. Partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers enhance its product offerings and customer reach, further supporting its revenue generation. Overall, the combination of interest income from lending activities and non-interest income from service fees forms the backbone of Civista Bancshares' financial performance.

Civista Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights strong core operating performance: significant year-over-year earnings and EPS growth, NIM expansion, meaningful organic loan growth, strengthened capital ratios, improved efficiency, and strategic progress on acquisition, digital and leasing initiatives. Key negatives are largely one-time or transitional: acquisition-related nonrecurring charges, a year-long decline in lease-related noninterest income, a modest uptick in nonperforming/past-due loans driven by an isolated participation, and near-term elevated expenses for integration and investments. Overall, the positives — recurring revenue and margin expansion, deposit funding improvements, capital accretion, and expense discipline — substantially outweigh the transitory lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year and Quarterly Earnings Growth
Reported full-year 2025 net income of $46.2 million ($2.64 per diluted share) versus $31.7 million ($2.01) in 2024 — a 46% increase year-over-year; Q4 net income of $12.3 million ($0.61 per diluted share), a $2.4 million or 24% increase versus Q4 2024.
Net Interest Income and Margin Expansion
Net interest income for Q4 was $36.5 million, up $1.9 million (5.5%) versus the linked quarter and up $5.1 million (6%) versus prior-year Q4. Net interest margin expanded 11 basis points to 3.69% due to funding cost declines outpacing earning asset yield declines.
Acquisition Adds Low-Cost Funding and Loans
Closed acquisition of Farmers Savings Bank, adding $106 million in loans and $236.1 million in low-cost deposits; management expects minimal additional transaction expenses going forward and a system conversion planned for early February.
Organic Loan Growth and Strong Pipeline
Excluding acquired loans, organic net loan growth in Q4 of $68.7 million, an annualized 8.7% rate. Management anticipates mid-single-digit organic loan growth for 2026 supported by a strong pipeline and $162 million of undrawn construction lines at year-end.
Improved Deposit Mix and Lower Funding Costs
Nonbroker (core) deposits grew organically by nearly $30 million during the quarter (excluding Farmers), brokered funding reduced for fourth consecutive quarter, and overall cost of funding declined 19 basis points to 2.08%; cost of deposits fell 4 basis points to 1.59%.
Capital and Balance Sheet Strength
Tier 1 leverage ratio at 11.32%, tangible common equity rose from 6.43% a year ago to 9.54% at 12/31/2025 (also up from 9.21% at 9/30/25), and CRE-to-risk-based-capital ratio reduced from 366% to 275% over the year — providing capacity for organic and inorganic growth.
Expense Discipline and Efficiency Improvement
After adjusting for nonrecurring items, noninterest expense for the quarter was $27.6 million and year-to-date noninterest expense decreased $2.4 million (2.1%) versus prior year driven by a $3.1 million decline in compensation and $1.4 million decline in equipment expense. Efficiency ratio improved to 57.7% (from 61.4% linked quarter and 68.3% prior-year Q4).
Progress on Strategic Initiatives
Rolled out a new digital deposit account opening platform (expanded in Q4 to checking and money market), launched deposit product redesign, migrated to a new leasing system, and completed a successful capital offering — all cited as drivers of improved earnings and franchise value.
Improved Securities Mark-to-Market
Securities portfolio had $45 million of unrealized losses at 12/31/2025, a decline of $6 million from the linked quarter and $17 million from 12/31/2024, indicating improving mark-to-market positions.
Negative Updates
Acquisition-Related Nonrecurring Charges
Nonrecurring expenses related to the Farmers Savings Bank acquisition negatively impacted Q4 net income by $3.4 million pretax ($2.9 million after-tax), reducing EPS by approximately $0.14; additional modest integration costs expected in Q1.
Year-Over-Year Decline in Noninterest Income (Lease-Related)
Full-year noninterest income decreased $3.8 million (10%) versus 2024, primarily due to lower lease revenue and residual income and a $1 million nonrecurring adjustment tied to the leasing system conversion; leasing revenue described as less predictable and lumpy.
Increase in Nonperforming and Past-Due Loans (Spot Issue)
Nonperforming loans increased $8.5 million to $31.3 million; past-due loans rose $7 million during the quarter. Total nonperforming loans to total loans were 0.95% (up slightly QoQ but down from 1.06% a year ago).
Provision and Allowance Sensitivities
Quarterly provision was $585,000; allowance for credit losses to total loans remained stable at 1.28% but management will monitor asset quality given recent uptick in problem credits and the single $8M participation that caused much of the NPL movement.
Near-Term Expense Pressure from Integration and Investments
First-quarter run-rate expected to be elevated (~$29.0–$29.5 million) due to Farmers core costs and conversion timing; second-quarter savings may be offset by annual merit increases and continued investments in technology and personnel.
Early-Stage Digital Deposit Channel and Uncertain Upside
Digital deposit platform is in infancy — initial traction (e.g., 28 online checking accounts in one month) promising but balances and yield profile small/uncertain; management cannot yet quantify significant incremental loan funding from digital channel.
Securities Unrealized Losses Remain Present
Although improved, the securities portfolio still carried $45 million of unrealized losses at year-end, which represents a potential mark risk if interest rates change.
Company Guidance
Management guided to mid‑single‑digit organic loan growth in 2026 (leveraging Farmers’ excess deposits and a $162M undrawn construction pipeline), modest NIM expansion from the current 3.69% (about +2–3 bps in Q1 and another +3–4 bps thereafter under their assumed Fed cuts in June and Q4; a flat rate path would leave margins a bit higher), and a Q1 expense run‑rate roughly $29–29.5M (with merit increases in Q2 and ongoing technology/personnel investments); they expect to keep loan‑to‑deposit between 90–95%, continue reducing brokered funding (organic non‑broker deposits rose ~$30M in Q4 while brokered deposits fell nearly $30M), maintain strong capital (tier 1 leverage 11.32%, tangible common equity 9.54%) while retaining a $13.5M repurchase authorization/10b5 plan and a $0.18 quarterly dividend (annualized yield ~3.2%, payout ~30%), and plan around funding metrics of cost of funds 2.08% and cost of deposits 1.59%; other metrics informing guidance include securities of $685M (15.8% of assets), NPLs 0.95%, ACL/loans 1.28%, ACL/NPLs 135%, and an expected effective tax rate in the mid‑to‑high teens (~16.5–16.9%).

Civista Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (revenue growth and 2025 earnings rebound) and a healthier balance sheet (lower leverage, higher equity) are offset by weak/volatile cash generation, with 2025 operating cash flow and free cash flow down sharply versus prior years and lower cash-quality signals.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue has expanded meaningfully over the period (2020: $126.2M to 2025: $255.0M), with a notable step-up in 2022–2023 and continued growth in 2025. Profitability is solid in 2025 with an ~18% net margin, and earnings recovered strongly from 2024 (net income $31.7M to $46.2M). The main weakness is margin compression versus prior peaks (net margin ~30% in 2021 and ~26% in 2022), indicating reduced profitability per dollar of revenue compared with earlier years.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Leverage has improved materially: debt-to-equity declined from elevated levels in 2022–2023 (~1.9x–1.2x) to ~0.52x in 2025, while equity increased to $543.5M (from $388.5M in 2024). Returns on equity are steady but not exceptional (mid-to-high single digits in 2024–2025, ~8%–9%), down from stronger levels in 2022–2023 (~11%–12%). Overall, the balance sheet trend is positive on risk reduction, but profitability on capital has softened.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation has become more volatile and weakened in the latest year: operating cash flow fell to $18.0M in 2025 from $48.2M in 2024 and $62.7M in 2023, driving a sharp decline in free cash flow (2025 down ~65% year over year). While 2025 free cash flow roughly matches net income in the dataset, the consistently low conversion of earnings into operating cash flow (per the provided coverage ratios) points to weaker cash quality and higher variability versus reported profits.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue254.95M241.90M217.48M152.98M134.19M
Gross Profit169.17M146.55M155.80M135.28M123.73M
EBITDA55.23M47.60M62.95M52.79M51.25M
Net Income46.21M31.68M42.96M39.43M40.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.34B4.10B3.86B3.64B3.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments761.92M329.94M679.90M660.24M815.06M
Total Debt284.18M450.88M454.19M643.35M204.23M
Total Liabilities3.79B3.71B3.49B3.30B2.66B
Stockholders Equity543.47M388.50M372.00M334.83M355.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.14M44.06M59.27M18.68M38.83M
Operating Cash Flow18.02M48.25M62.70M25.18M40.76M
Investing Cash Flow-66.76M-258.80M-311.78M-410.36M-130.50M
Financing Cash Flow63.65M213.30M266.13M164.30M216.93M

Civista Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.11
Price Trends
50DMA
23.26
Negative
100DMA
22.82
Negative
200DMA
21.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Positive
RSI
37.51
Neutral
STOCH
28.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIVB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.02, below the 50-day MA of 23.26, and above the 200-day MA of 21.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CIVB.

Civista Bancshares Risk Analysis

Civista Bancshares disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Civista Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Civista Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$377.31M9.1915.00%1.63%13.16%37.40%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$389.08M9.4110.03%1.41%9.76%4.43%
64
Neutral
$458.46M8.429.73%2.96%3.49%33.86%
64
Neutral
$434.63M8.4011.07%3.03%-0.65%14.14%
63
Neutral
$388.49M9.532.24%3.76%23.93%
49
Neutral
$362.62M26.693.15%-15.07%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIVB
Civista Bancshares
22.11
3.19
16.85%
BMRC
Bank Of Marin Bancorp
24.09
2.91
13.72%
GCBC
Greene County Bancorp
22.16
0.03
0.15%
BSRR
Sierra Bancorp
32.96
5.37
19.47%
FRBA
First Bank
15.48
1.15
8.01%
BRBS
Blue Ridge Bankshares
3.97
0.83
26.43%

Civista Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Civista Bancshares Announces CEO Retirement and Succession Plan
Neutral
Mar 2, 2026

Civista Bancshares announced on March 2, 2026, that longtime President and CEO Dennis Shaffer will retire effective August 28, 2026, after more than 40 years in banking, while remaining as chairman of the board and a director to support the transition. Current Civista Bank president Charles “Chuck” Parcher will become president and CEO of both Civista Bancshares and Civista Bank, a move the board framed as the culmination of a multiyear succession plan designed to preserve the company’s independence, strategic continuity and focus on disciplined growth and community banking across its Midwestern footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIVB) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Civista Bancshares stock, see the CIVB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Civista Bancshares Elevates Veronica Doucette to Officer Role
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Civista Bancshares, Inc. announced that Veronica Doucette, currently Senior Vice President and Human Resources Officer at Civista Bank, has been appointed an officer of the holding company, reflecting the board’s confidence in her leadership and strategic HR expertise. The move underscores Civista’s emphasis on strengthening leadership and aligning its operating subsidiaries, as Doucette’s long tenure since 2008 in advancing human resources practices, talent strategy and organizational development is expected to further support the company’s culture, employee initiatives and overall governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIVB) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Civista Bancshares stock, see the CIVB Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Civista Bancshares Sets 2026 Annual Shareholder Meeting Date
Neutral
Feb 17, 2026

Civista Bancshares, Inc. has set May 19, 2026 as the date for its 2026 annual meeting of shareholders, with March 24, 2026 as the record date for voting eligibility. The board moved the meeting from its typical third Tuesday in April schedule, citing the need for more time to use notice-and-access procedures for proxy materials and to accommodate a venue change.

Because the May 19, 2026 meeting date falls more than 30 days after the April 15, 2025 annual meeting, the company has reset deadlines for shareholder proposals and director nominations. Shareholder proposals for inclusion in proxy materials are due by March 2, 2026, other proposals must be submitted between February 18 and March 20, 2026, and director nominations must arrive between March 30 and May 5, 2026, clarifying the timetable for investors seeking to influence governance or board composition.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIVB) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Civista Bancshares stock, see the CIVB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Civista Bancshares Boosts Quarterly Dividend, Signals Confidence
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Civista Bancshares, Inc. announced that its board approved a quarterly common dividend of $0.18 per share, a one-cent, or 5.9%, increase from the prior quarter, to be paid on February 24, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 10, 2026. The higher dividend amounts to an estimated $3.7 million payout and, based on Civista’s December 31, 2025 closing share price of $22.22, equates to an annualized yield of 3.24%, underscoring the regional lender’s ongoing capital return to shareholders and signaling confidence in its financial position within the community banking sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIVB) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Civista Bancshares stock, see the CIVB Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Civista Bancshares Schedules Fourth-Quarter 2025 Earnings Release
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Civista Bancshares, Inc. announced that it will release its fourth-quarter 2025 financial results before the market opens on January 29, 2026. The company will also host a conference call and webcast that same day at 1:00 p.m. Eastern Time to discuss the results, with a live stream and subsequent archive available on its website, underscoring its efforts to maintain transparency with analysts and investors regarding its financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIVB) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Civista Bancshares stock, see the CIVB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026