The Swatch Group AG (UHRN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: CHF7.55B
• Dividend Yield: 3.06%
• Average Volume (3M): 47.92K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.92
• Revenue Growth: -13.19%
• EPS Growth: -88.43%
• Country: CH
• Employees: 32,477
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 83
• Industry: Luxury Goods
• EPS (TTM): 0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 116,919,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 47,661
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 47,919
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: CHF34.00
• Price Target Upside: 15.65% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: CHF34.00 ▲(15.65% Upside)

The overall stock score of 71 reflects a balanced view of The Swatch Group AG's strengths and challenges. The strong balance sheet and positive technical indicators are significant positives. However, concerns about declining revenue, profit margins, and cash flow generation weigh on the score. The valuation is slightly high, but the dividend yield offers some compensation.

The Swatch Group AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Swatch Group AG (UHRN) is a leading Swiss manufacturer of watches and clocks, known for its diverse portfolio of brands that includes Swatch, Omega, Longines, Tissot, and Breguet. The company operates in various sectors within the watchmaking industry, encompassing luxury, mid-range, and entry-level segments. Its core products range from high-end mechanical watches to fashion-oriented timepieces, as well as components such as movements and watch parts, making it a comprehensive player in the global horology market.

How the Company Makes Money

The Swatch Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its watches and related products, which are distributed through a global network of retail stores, authorized dealers, and online platforms. Key revenue streams include the sale of luxury and premium watches, mid-range timepieces, and entry-level models, with significant contributions from both its branded and unbranded segments. Additionally, the company earns income from the production and sale of watch movements and components to other brands. Partnerships with various retailers and e-commerce platforms enhance its market reach, while brand recognition and heritage play crucial roles in driving customer loyalty and sales.

The Swatch Group AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The Swatch Group AG shows a mixed financial profile. While the balance sheet is strong with low leverage, challenges are evident in the income statement and cash flow. Declining revenue and profit margins, along with weakened cash flow generation, are concerns. However, the strong equity position provides a buffer against financial instability.

Income Statement

The Swatch Group AG has seen fluctuating revenue over recent years, with a notable decline in 2024 compared to 2023. The gross profit margin remains robust, indicating effective cost management. However, net income has significantly decreased, impacting the net profit margin adversely. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also contracted, highlighting challenges in maintaining operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet is strong, characterized by a high equity ratio and low debt-to-equity ratio, which signifies low financial leverage and a solid capital structure. The return on equity has declined, reflecting lower profitability, but overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with significant stockholders' equity.

Cash Flow

The Swatch Group AG faces challenges in its cash flow, evidenced by a negative free cash flow in recent periods. Operating cash flow remains positive but has decreased, affecting the company's ability to generate cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates inefficiencies in cash generation relative to net income.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.74B	7.89B	7.50B	7.31B	5.59B
Gross Profit	5.60B	6.33B	3.10B	2.89B	1.62B
EBITDA	768.00M	1.55B	1.44B	1.43B	455.00M
Net Income	193.00M	869.00M	807.00M	765.00M	-51.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	13.99B	14.23B	13.89B	13.68B	12.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.40B	2.05B	2.55B	2.66B	1.79B
Total Debt	13.00M	75.00M	6.00M	99.00M	91.00M
Total Liabilities	1.77B	1.97B	1.84B	2.07B	1.93B
Stockholders Equity	12.11B	12.20B	11.98B	11.54B	10.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-216.00M	-170.00M	325.00M	995.00M	566.00M
Operating Cash Flow	333.00M	615.00M	724.00M	1.30B	819.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-470.00M	-768.00M	-114.00M	-727.00M	-126.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-410.00M	-327.00M	-300.00M	-234.00M	-251.00M

The Swatch Group AG Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 29.40
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:UHRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.94, above the 50-day MA of 28.79, and below the 200-day MA of 29.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:UHRN.

The Swatch Group AG Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CFR	77 Outperform	CHF82.80B	31.66		1.95%	2.80%	―
UHRN	71 Outperform	CHF7.55B	25.25		3.06%	-13.19%	-88.43%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$17.96B	13.14	-5.29%	3.00%	1.25%	-13.95%