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The Swatch Group AG (CH:UHRN)
:UHRN
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The Swatch Group AG (UHRN) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:UHRN

The Swatch Group AG

(UHRN)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
CHF43.00
▲(9.19% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:02/03/26
The score is held back primarily by the sharp deterioration in profitability and uneven free-cash-flow generation, despite a very strong balance sheet. Technical indicators are modestly supportive, but a relatively high P/E with only moderate dividend yield keeps valuation from offsetting the weaker operating performance.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet with extremely low leverage
Extremely low leverage gives the company durable financial resilience in cyclical luxury markets. It can self-fund capex, weather demand slowdowns, support inventories and retail networks, and pursue opportunistic investments or buybacks without relying on external financing.
Negative Factors
Sharp deterioration in profitability and compressed margins
A collapse in operating and net margins signals structural pressure on profitability: weak operating leverage, higher costs or adverse mix. Persistently low margins reduce returns on equity and capital allocation flexibility, making it harder to fund growth or sustain shareholder returns long term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet with extremely low leverage
Extremely low leverage gives the company durable financial resilience in cyclical luxury markets. It can self-fund capex, weather demand slowdowns, support inventories and retail networks, and pursue opportunistic investments or buybacks without relying on external financing.
Read all positive factors

The Swatch Group AG (UHRN) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

The Swatch Group AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Swatch Group AG, established in 1983 and based in Biel/Bienne, Switzerland, operates globally as a prominent designer, manufacturer, and distributor of watches, jewelry, and related components and movements. The company's operations are divide...
How the Company Makes Money
The Swatch Group makes money primarily by selling watches and jewelry under its brand portfolio and by supplying watch-related components and systems. A major revenue stream comes from the design, manufacture, marketing, and sale of finished watch...

The Swatch Group AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are mixed: a very strong, low-leverage balance sheet (Score 88) is offset by sharply weaker profitability (Income Statement Score 42 with net margin falling to near breakeven and EBIT margin compressing) and inconsistent free cash flow (Cash Flow Score 46 with negative FCF in 2023–2024 and only modestly positive in 2025).
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.28B6.74B7.89B7.50B7.31B
Gross Profit5.16B5.60B6.71B6.19B5.81B
EBITDA585.00M676.00M1.54B1.53B1.42B
Net Income3.00M193.00M869.00M807.00M765.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.38B13.99B14.23B13.89B13.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.23B1.40B2.05B2.55B2.66B
Total Debt38.00M13.00M75.00M6.00M99.00M
Total Liabilities1.72B1.77B1.97B1.84B2.07B
Stockholders Equity11.56B12.11B12.20B11.98B11.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow98.00M-216.00M-170.00M325.00M995.00M
Operating Cash Flow507.00M333.00M615.00M724.00M1.30B
Investing Cash Flow-346.00M-470.00M-768.00M-114.00M-727.00M
Financing Cash Flow-205.00M-410.00M-327.00M-300.00M-234.00M

The Swatch Group AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.38
Price Trends
50DMA
38.45
Positive
100DMA
36.76
Positive
200DMA
34.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Positive
RSI
58.39
Neutral
STOCH
60.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:UHRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.97, above the 50-day MA of 38.45, and above the 200-day MA of 34.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:UHRN.

The Swatch Group AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
CHF106.06B33.461.76%2.39%24.64%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
CHF10.94B3,640.522.61%-6.76%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:UHRN
The Swatch Group AG
41.55
14.32
52.60%
CH:CFR
Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA
182.75
34.89
23.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026