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Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA (CH:CFR)
:CFR

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA (CFR) AI Stock Analysis

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Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA

(CFR)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic growth within its Jewellery Maisons segment. However, the company's high valuation, negative market momentum, and challenges in key regions like Asia Pacific contribute to a cautious outlook. The overall score reflects a balance between robust financial health and strategic positioning against current market and valuation challenges.
Positive Factors
Brand Strength
CFR remains a top luxury pick given brand strength at Van Cleef & Cartier, innovation momentum, and potential upside if Specialist Watchmakers returns to growth.
Earnings Growth
The company is expected to achieve 18% EPS growth next year, with potential margin drivers including acquisitions and leverage on fixed costs.
Store Expansion
Key catalysts include the watches business improving in the medium-term, as well as continued expansion of stores in new markets in the U.S., such as Texas and Illinois.
Negative Factors
Foreign Exchange Impact
Adverse foreign exchange changes have led to a reduction in EBIT forecasts for Richemont by 14% for FY26-27.
Rising Gold Prices
Rising gold prices present a significant margin headwind for Richemont, especially impacting Cartier due to its exposure to gold products.
Supply Constraints
Supply constraints still exist within the Van Cleef banner, with shortages in the Alhambra collection.

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA (CFR) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompagnie Financière Richemont SA engages in the luxury goods business in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and the Americas. The company operates through Jewellery Maisons, Specialist Watchmakers, and Online Distributors segments. It designs, manufactures, and distributes jewelry products; and precision timepieces, watches, and writing instruments, as well as clothing, and leather goods and accessories. The company offers its products under the Cartier, Van Cleef & Arpels, Buccellati, A. Lange & Söhne, Baume & Mercier, IWC Schaffhausen, Jaeger LeCoultre, Panerai, Piaget, Roger Dubuis, Vacheron Constantin, Watchfinder & Co., YOOX, NET-A-PORTER, MR PORTER, The Outnet, Alaïa, Chloé, Montblanc, Peter Millar, Purdey, Serapian, TIMEVALLEE, dunhill, Delvaux, and AZ Factory brands through own boutiques and online stores. Compagnie Financière Richemont SA was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyRichemont makes money primarily through the sale of luxury goods, including jewelry, watches, and accessories. The company's revenue model is centered on its portfolio of iconic brands that command premium pricing due to their strong brand equity and reputation for excellence. Key revenue streams include direct sales through brand-operated boutiques, e-commerce platforms, and a network of authorized retailers. Richemont also benefits from its strategic focus on digital transformation and innovation, enhancing its online presence to capture a broader audience. Additionally, the company engages in selective partnerships and collaborations to expand its market reach and enhance brand visibility. Factors such as global economic conditions, consumer confidence, and trends in luxury spending significantly impact Richemont's earnings.

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 16, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.16%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Richemont demonstrated resilience with record sales and strong cash position, supported by strategic investments and successful leadership transitions. However, challenges in the Specialist Watchmakers segment and Asia Pacific, along with external headwinds, tempered the overall performance.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales and Growth in Jewellery Maisons
Richemont achieved record sales of €21.4 billion, marking an all-time high for the group with a 4% increase at actual and constant exchange rates. The Jewellery Maisons, including Buccellati, Cartier, Van Cleef & Arpels, and Vhernier, saw an 8% sales increase, with all regions growing double digits except for Asia Pacific.
Strategic Investments
Richemont made significant investments to support long-term growth, including €500 million in CapEx for the distribution network and €400 million for manufacturing capacity. Additionally, €200 million was spent on acquiring prime location real estate in London.
Strong Cash Position
The company maintained a robust net cash position of €8.3 billion, reflecting a strong financial base for future investments or strategic initiatives.
Performance in Americas and Japan
Sales in the Americas increased by 15%, and Japan saw a 30% growth, indicating strong performances in these key regions.
Successful Leadership Transitions
Richemont successfully renewed its executive leadership and governance, ensuring stability and continuity in its strategic direction.
Negative Updates
Decline in Specialist Watchmakers
Sales for Specialist Watchmakers fell by 13% due to weak demand in Asia Pacific, particularly in China, Hong Kong, and Macau. This resulted in a significant decline in operating margin for the segment.
Challenges in Asia Pacific
Sales in Asia Pacific were 13% lower, with a 23% decline in China, Hong Kong, and Macau combined, impacting the overall regional performance.
Impact of External Headwinds
Operating profit declined by 7%, impacted by external factors such as higher raw material costs, particularly gold, and unfavorable foreign exchange movements.
Buybacks and Inventory Challenges
Targeted buybacks in Mainland China for Specialist Watchmakers impacted gross margin, reflecting ongoing inventory rebalancing challenges.
Company Guidance
In Richemont's 2025 fiscal year results call, the company reported record sales of €21.4 billion, marking a 4% increase at both actual and constant exchange rates. Operating profit was reported at €4.5 billion, a 7% decrease from the previous year, attributed primarily to external challenges like increased raw material costs and unfavorable foreign exchange movements. The company maintained a robust net cash position of €8.3 billion. Sales in the Jewellery Maisons segment grew by high single digits, driven by double-digit growth in the second half, while the Specialist Watchmakers segment saw declines due to soft demand in China. Regional sales showed double-digit growth in most areas except Asia Pacific. Richemont continued to invest in its distribution network and manufacturing capacity, with capital expenditures reaching approximately €500 million. The board proposed a dividend increase of 9% to CHF 1 per A share.

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
20.62B19.95B16.75B13.14B14.24B
Gross Profit
14.04B13.72B11.18B7.86B8.61B
EBIT
4.79B5.09B3.78B1.49B1.56B
EBITDA
6.53B5.73B4.49B2.17B2.27B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.36B3.92B2.07B1.30B933.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
19.49B18.34B16.51B13.43B8.82B
Total Assets
42.68B40.89B39.99B35.36B30.46B
Total Debt
16.36B15.71B15.05B13.59B9.77B
Net Debt
5.66B4.78B5.17B5.72B5.31B
Total Liabilities
22.05B21.87B20.12B17.48B13.20B
Stockholders Equity
20.52B18.96B19.81B17.77B17.14B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.67B3.63B3.88B2.83B1.80B
Operating Cash Flow
4.70B4.49B4.64B3.22B2.37B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.56B-2.07B-2.28B-2.19B-826.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.82B-2.32B-1.77B906.00M-1.92B

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price151.55
Price Trends
50DMA
149.36
Positive
100DMA
160.53
Negative
200DMA
144.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Positive
RSI
45.74
Neutral
STOCH
18.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:CFR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 151.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 156.71, above the 50-day MA of 149.36, and above the 200-day MA of 144.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CH:CFR.

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
CHF7.21B7.55
3.19%-14.62%-77.71%
CHCFR
65
Neutral
CHF88.71B33.95
1.81%-2.34%-51.68%
62
Neutral
$6.88B11.322.90%3.87%2.70%-24.57%
$8.77B39.911.57%3.05%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:CFR
Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA
151.55
6.46
4.45%
CH:UHRN
The Swatch Group AG
28.20
-7.52
-21.05%
SWGAF
The Swatch Group
169.22
-25.44
-13.07%

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA Corporate Events

Mytheresa Completes Acquisition of YOOX NET-A-PORTER from Richemont
Apr 24, 2025

Mytheresa has completed its acquisition of YOOX NET-A-PORTER (YNAP) from Richemont, marking a significant milestone in its expansion within the digital luxury sector. The acquisition will see Mytheresa, now renamed LuxExperience B.V., consolidate YNAP under its umbrella, enhancing its position in the market. The integration aims to strengthen Mytheresa’s retail brands and improve operational efficiency through shared infrastructure. Richemont received a 33% stake in Mytheresa as part of the deal, reflecting a strategic partnership. This move is expected to create value for stakeholders and position Mytheresa as a resilient global player in digital luxury.

Mytheresa to Acquire YOOX NET-A-PORTER, Forming LuxExperience B.V.
Apr 11, 2025

Mytheresa, a prominent player in the digital luxury retail sector, has received final regulatory approval to acquire YOOX NET-A-PORTER (YNAP) from Richemont. This acquisition aims to create a leading global multi-brand digital luxury group under the new entity LuxExperience B.V. The transaction is expected to close on April 23, 2025, and will see Mytheresa issuing new shares to Richemont, making it a significant shareholder. The merger is anticipated to generate substantial synergies and enhance the value proposition for luxury customers, brand partners, and shareholders. However, the integration process is expected to initially dilute Mytheresa’s EBITDA margin, with a restructuring plan in place to return YNAP to profitability within 24 to 36 months.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.