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The Swatch Group (CH:UHR)
:UHR
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The Swatch Group (UHR) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:UHR

The Swatch Group

(OTC:UHR)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
CHF162.00
▲(10.17% Upside)
The Swatch Group's strong financial stability is overshadowed by declining profitability and cash flow issues. Technical indicators show positive momentum, but the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation risks. Investors should be cautious of the financial challenges despite the positive technical trends.
Positive Factors
Margin Recovery
Swatch Group offers a potential margin recovery from a depressed level of 4.5% in 2024 to 10% by 2027.
Sales Growth
Sales momentum in the US improved significantly, with +29% growth post-election in December.
Negative Factors
Financial Stability
There is a significant cash outflow in 2024, impacting the financial stability of Swatch Group.
Sales Estimates
Sales estimates for Swatch Group have been reduced for FY25-26 due to a lower FY24 base.
Structural Challenges
The Swatch Group is facing numerous structural headwinds, including a shrinking market and market share losses.

The Swatch Group (UHR) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

The Swatch Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Swatch Group (UHR) is a leading Swiss manufacturer of watches and jewelry, comprising several well-known brands including Swatch, Omega, Longines, and Breguet. Founded in 1983, the company operates in the luxury and mid-range watch segments, offering a diverse range of products that cater to various customer preferences and price points. The Swatch Group also engages in the production of watch movements and components, making it a key player in the global watchmaking industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Swatch Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its watches and jewelry across its various brands. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes retail sales through its own boutiques, e-commerce platforms, and partnerships with authorized retailers. Key revenue streams come from the luxury segment, where high-end brands like Omega and Breguet command premium pricing, while mid-range brands like Swatch offer volume sales. Additionally, the company earns income from the manufacturing and supply of watch movements and components to other watch brands, contributing significantly to its overall earnings. Strategic partnerships and collaborations, such as limited edition releases and exclusive collections, also enhance brand visibility and drive sales, further bolstering the company's financial performance.

The Swatch Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Swatch Group shows strong equity and low leverage, indicating financial stability. However, declining revenue, profitability, and cash flow pose significant risks that need addressing.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The Swatch Group's income statement reflects a volatile revenue trend with recent declines. The gross profit margin remains strong, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margin has significantly dropped due to reduced net income, impacting overall profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, highlighting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet shows a robust equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting financial stability and low leverage risk. The return on equity has decreased, reflecting the drop in net income. The equity ratio remains high, indicating the company is primarily funded by equity, which is a strength.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement indicates decreasing operating cash flow and negative free cash flow, leading to concerns about liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests cash generation issues. The declining free cash flow growth rate poses a risk to future financial flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.74B7.89B7.50B7.31B5.59B
Gross Profit5.60B6.33B3.10B2.89B1.62B
EBITDA768.00M1.55B1.44B1.43B455.00M
Net Income193.00M869.00M807.00M765.00M-51.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.99B14.23B13.89B13.68B12.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.40B2.05B2.55B2.66B1.79B
Total Debt13.00M75.00M6.00M99.00M91.00M
Total Liabilities1.77B1.97B1.84B2.07B1.93B
Stockholders Equity12.11B12.20B11.98B11.54B10.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-216.00M-170.00M325.00M995.00M566.00M
Operating Cash Flow333.00M615.00M724.00M1.30B819.00M
Investing Cash Flow-470.00M-768.00M-114.00M-727.00M-126.00M
Financing Cash Flow-410.00M-327.00M-300.00M-234.00M-251.00M

The Swatch Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price147.05
Price Trends
50DMA
140.86
Positive
100DMA
138.98
Positive
200DMA
148.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.25
Negative
RSI
58.10
Neutral
STOCH
36.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:UHR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 147.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 142.45, above the 50-day MA of 140.86, and below the 200-day MA of 148.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:UHR.

The Swatch Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
CHF84.61B32.39
1.90%2.80%
65
Neutral
$7.71B127.800.49%3.04%-13.19%-88.43%
61
Neutral
$17.92B12.81-2.97%2.98%1.30%-14.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:UHR
The Swatch Group
147.05
-4.37
-2.89%
CH:CFR
Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA
143.95
27.82
23.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025