tiprankstipranks
UBS Group AG (CH:UBSG)
:UBSG
Want to see CH:UBSG full AI Analyst Report?

UBS Group AG (UBSG) AI Stock Analysis

48 Followers

Top Page

CH:UBSG

UBS Group AG

(UBSG)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
CHF34.00
▼(-1.31% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/31/26
The score is held back primarily by financial quality concerns (notably 2025 negative operating/free cash flow, earnings volatility, and high leverage). Technical indicators also point to a bearish trend (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation is neutral-to-slightly supportive due to a moderate P/E and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
UBS’s multi-division model spreads revenue across wealth, asset management, investment banking and Swiss retail/corporate banking. That structural diversification reduces reliance on any single market cycle, supports cross‑sell of products, and stabilizes earnings over a multi‑month horizon.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 4x signals elevated leverage for a diversified bank, increasing sensitivity to funding stress and market dislocations. High leverage constrains strategic flexibility, raises regulatory scrutiny and funding costs, and magnifies downside in adverse economic scenarios over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
UBS’s multi-division model spreads revenue across wealth, asset management, investment banking and Swiss retail/corporate banking. That structural diversification reduces reliance on any single market cycle, supports cross‑sell of products, and stabilizes earnings over a multi‑month horizon.
Read all positive factors

UBS Group AG (UBSG) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

UBS Group AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
UBS Group AG provides financial advice and solutions to private, institutional, and corporate clients worldwide. It operates through four divisions: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, and Investment Bank. The...
How the Company Makes Money
UBS primarily makes money by earning fees and net interest income across its banking and investment businesses. 1) Wealth Management: A major source of earnings comes from recurring fees on client assets, including advisory and discretionary port...

UBS Group AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Neutral: The call transcript excerpt only contains the opening operator remarks and no substantive financial or operational information. There are minor positives in that the call occurred and proper publication instructions were given, but the absence of any disclosed metrics or management commentary prevents any assessment of performance or outlook.
Positive Updates
Earnings Call Held as Scheduled
UBS held its Fourth Quarter 2025 results presentation (transcript dated 2026-02-04). The provided transcript confirms the call commenced and the operator opened the session.
Negative Updates
No Financial or Operational Metrics Disclosed
The provided transcript excerpt contains only the opening operator remarks and does not include any revenue, net income, EPS, guidance, segment results, or percentage changes. As a result, no key metrics or notable achievements can be extracted from this text.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Earnings Call Held as Scheduled
UBS held its Fourth Quarter 2025 results presentation (transcript dated 2026-02-04). The provided transcript confirms the call commenced and the operator opened the session.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The excerpt you provided contains only the operator’s opening line and does not include any forward-looking guidance or quantifiable metrics, so I can’t extract actual guidance figures (no revenue, adjusted EPS, net income, operating expenses, cost/income ratio, ROTE, CET1 ratio, NII/NIM, loan or deposit growth, provisions, client asset flows, dividend/buyback plans, tax rate or FY25/26 outlook are present). If you share the full call transcript or the guidance section, I can pull and summarize every metric and range cited; if helpful, common guidance items to look for include revenue, adjusted EPS, operating income, operating expenses, cost/income, return on tangible equity, CET1 ratio, net interest income and margin, loan/deposit growth, credit provisions, and capital return plans.

UBS Group AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Profitability is positive with improved net margin in 2025, but results have been volatile across years. Leverage is high (debt-to-equity ~3.8–4.7x) and 2025 operating/free cash flow turned meaningfully negative, which is a key near-term risk.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.05B74.22B57.38B36.82B35.03B
Gross Profit37.59B41.09B32.36B30.73B32.18B
EBITDA9.55B9.64B27.38B10.78B10.61B
Net Income6.16B4.62B23.41B7.05B6.82B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.62T1.57T1.72T1.10T1.12T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments223.73B227.90B319.36B175.06B203.64B
Total Debt344.73B353.05B399.50B212.81B230.65B
Total Liabilities1.53T1.48T1.63T1.05T1.06T
Stockholders Equity90.21B85.08B85.62B56.88B60.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.46B1.27B84.38B13.00B29.58B
Operating Cash Flow17.33B3.28B86.07B14.65B31.43B
Investing Cash Flow-18.09B709.00M103.23B-12.45B-2.12B
Financing Cash Flow-24.48B-84.17B-58.26B-9.09B10.35B

UBS Group AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.45
Price Trends
50DMA
31.50
Positive
100DMA
33.28
Positive
200DMA
32.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.78
Negative
RSI
71.80
Negative
STOCH
94.23
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:UBSG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.33, above the 50-day MA of 31.50, and above the 200-day MA of 32.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.80 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.23 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:UBSG.

UBS Group AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
CHF23.70B9.324.30%18.00%12.05%
74
Outperform
CHF81.83B15.2023.97%4.66%-3.71%10.90%
71
Outperform
CHF34.88B10.0814.51%4.49%-10.43%35.93%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
CHF5.04B17.979.10%3.15%-4.30%2.52%
60
Neutral
CHF12.68B16.794.14%-3.23%-25.30%
50
Neutral
CHF100.60B29.957.04%1.99%-14.23%46.10%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:UBSG
UBS Group AG
32.54
8.20
33.68%
CH:PGHN
Partners Group Holding AG
915.00
-135.93
-12.93%
CH:BAER
Julius Baer Group Ltd
61.88
11.71
23.33%
CH:EFGN
EFG International AG
16.70
4.95
42.08%
CH:ZURN
Zurich Insurance Group
547.80
8.93
1.66%
CH:SREN
Swiss Re AG
128.40
-9.66
-7.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 31, 2026