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Capgemini (CGEMY)
OTHER OTC:CGEMY

Capgemini (CGEMY) AI Stock Analysis

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CGEMY

Capgemini

(OTC:CGEMY)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▼(-28.89% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by steady profitability and strong cash generation, reinforced by constructive 2026 guidance and strong bookings. These positives are tempered by clear technical weakness (downtrend signals), along with recent growth softness and increased leverage/restructuring execution risk.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow conversion
Consistent, high FCF conversion (~0.88–0.90x of net income) and positive operating cash flow every year provide durable funding for debt service, buybacks, dividends and restructuring spend. This steady cash generation supports financial flexibility and long-term strategic execution even through cyclical dips.
Negative Factors
Re-leveraging and higher net debt
A meaningful jump in net debt and leverage after M&A reduces financial headroom and increases interest and refinancing sensitivity. If revenue or margin momentum weakens, higher leverage could constrain capital allocation, force slower buybacks/dividends, or require faster deleveraging that limits strategic optionality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow conversion
Consistent, high FCF conversion (~0.88–0.90x of net income) and positive operating cash flow every year provide durable funding for debt service, buybacks, dividends and restructuring spend. This steady cash generation supports financial flexibility and long-term strategic execution even through cyclical dips.
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Capgemini (CGEMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Capgemini Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Capgemini SE provides consulting, digital transformation, technology, and engineering services primarily in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company offers strategy and transformation services, including str...
How the Company Makes Money
Capgemini primarily makes money by delivering IT and business services to enterprise and public-sector clients under contracts that are typically structured as (a) time-and-materials or fixed-price project work and (b) recurring managed services. ...

Capgemini Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced strong strategic and operational positives—above-guidance revenue growth, robust bookings and book-to-bill, stable operating margin, solid free cash flow, normalized EPS growth, material AI/Intelligent Operations traction (including a >EUR 600m mega deal), and progress on ESG—against notable near-term headwinds: regional softness in Continental Europe (notably France), a 30 bps gross margin decline, higher non-operational one-offs and restructuring costs, and increased net debt/leverage following M&A. Management provided clear 2026 targets and concrete synergy and restructuring plans, while emphasizing execution on AI, Intelligent Operations and Sovereignty. On balance the highlights outweigh the lowlights as the company shows momentum recovery, disciplined financial targets and strategic positioning for AI-led growth.
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Revenues of EUR 22.46 billion (EUR 22,465 million) for FY25, up +3.4% at constant currency and +1.7% on a reported basis, finishing above upgraded guidance.
Negative Updates
Regional Weakness in Continental Europe and France
France revenues declined -4.1% for FY25 and remains challenging; Rest of Europe revenues down -0.7% at constant currency; prolonged softness in Continental Europe weighed on gross margin.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Revenues of EUR 22.46 billion (EUR 22,465 million) for FY25, up +3.4% at constant currency and +1.7% on a reported basis, finishing above upgraded guidance.
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Company Guidance
Capgemini guided Q1 2026 constant‑currency growth of 8.5–9.5% (with ~6.5 points from M&A) and full‑year 2026 constant‑currency revenue growth of around 6.5–8.5% (inorganic contribution ~4.5–5.0 points), targeting an operating margin of 13.6–13.8% and organic free cash flow of about EUR 1.8–1.9bn (including an estimated ~EUR 200m year‑on‑year increase in restructuring cash out); management also announced an estimated EUR 700m of restructuring over the next two years, limited M&A, accelerated share buybacks (following the EUR 2bn program) and confirmed WNS/Cloud4C run‑rate synergies of EUR 100–140m revenue and EUR 50–70m cost by end‑2027. For context, FY25 baselines cited on the call include revenues of EUR 22.465bn (+3.4% cc), bookings EUR 24.36bn (book‑to‑bill 1.08 for the year, 1.21 in Q4), Q4 cc growth 10.6% (scope impact ~6.5 pts, organic ~4%), operating margin 13.3%, normalized EPS EUR 12.95 (+5.8%), organic FCF EUR 1.949bn, net profit EUR 1,601m, basic EPS EUR 9.46, headcount 423,400, net debt EUR 5.3bn (net debt/EBITDA 1.66) and gross margin 27.1% (down 30bps).

Capgemini Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid and fairly consistent profitability with strong free cash flow generation and good earnings quality, but recent revenue softness and a 2025 re-leveraging increase financial risk. The unusually weaker 2025 gross margin profile also reduces confidence in near-term trajectory.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
61
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.58B22.10B22.52B22.00B18.16B
Gross Profit2.87B6.05B6.05B5.83B4.79B
EBITDA2.87B3.23B3.19B3.14B2.53B
Net Income1.54B1.67B1.66B1.55B1.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.05B25.66B24.70B25.48B24.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.03B3.06B3.70B4.19B3.51B
Total Debt10.31B6.08B6.59B7.55B7.64B
Total Liabilities17.38B13.86B14.23B15.74B15.55B
Stockholders Equity11.64B11.78B10.45B9.73B8.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.09B2.21B2.27B2.23B2.31B
Operating Cash Flow2.37B2.53B2.52B2.52B2.58B
Investing Cash Flow-3.86B-1.34B-383.00M-659.00M-678.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.75B-2.02B-2.31B-1.12B-1.75B

Capgemini Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price33.75
Price Trends
50DMA
25.54
Negative
100DMA
29.13
Negative
200DMA
29.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.67
Negative
RSI
46.75
Neutral
STOCH
99.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CGEMY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 33.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.55, above the 50-day MA of 25.54, and above the 200-day MA of 29.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CGEMY.

Capgemini Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$122.14B17.3124.82%2.25%6.58%1.19%
73
Outperform
$56.99B24.5529.68%2.58%4.62%1.06%
68
Neutral
$29.82B17.9014.84%1.46%7.44%-4.57%
68
Neutral
$7.42B30.3210.27%14.26%-15.49%
67
Neutral
$22.23B21.2515.49%2.78%-1.97%48.61%
65
Neutral
$20.10B15.6110.95%2.33%-0.20%-6.50%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CGEMY
Capgemini
23.74
-3.47
-12.74%
ACN
Accenture
198.95
-76.25
-27.71%
CTSH
Cognizant
62.35
-2.95
-4.52%
EPAM
Epam Systems
137.02
-6.31
-4.40%
INFY
Infosys
13.70
-2.32
-14.47%
WIT
Wipro
2.19
-0.48
-17.95%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026