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Copt Defense Properties (CDP)
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COPT Defense Properties (CDP) AI Stock Analysis

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CDP

COPT Defense Properties

(NYSE:CDP)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(12.01% Upside)
COPT Defense Properties demonstrates strong financial performance and positive future prospects, driven by increased defense spending and robust operational metrics. While technical indicators are neutral, the company's valuation and earnings call results support a favorable outlook. Challenges in specific areas, such as cash rent spreads and property vacancies, are noted but do not significantly detract from the overall positive assessment.
Positive Factors
Defense Spending
Higher defense spending allocations directly align with missions at CDP's core clusters.
Leasing Performance
Management continues to under-promise and over-deliver, boosting FY vacancy leasing by 12.5% to 450k SF.
Negative Factors
Cash Rent Spreads
Cash rent spreads declined to -0.9% vs. -0.2% in Q4.
Construction Costs
Tariffs and supply chain issues could affect construction costs, posing a challenge for CDP's development projects.

COPT Defense Properties (CDP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

COPT Defense Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCOPT Defense Properties (CDP) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focusing on the acquisition, development, and management of office and specialized properties that primarily serve the defense and intelligence sectors of the U.S. government. With a portfolio that includes properties located in key defense markets, CDP aims to provide mission-critical facilities that support national security objectives, leveraging its expertise in real estate to meet the unique needs of government tenants.
How the Company Makes MoneyCOPT Defense Properties generates revenue primarily through long-term leases with government agencies and defense contractors, ensuring stable cash flow. The company's revenue model is largely based on rental income from its diversified portfolio of properties, which includes office buildings, specialized facilities, and data centers tailored for defense-related operations. Key revenue streams include lease payments, tenant reimbursements for operating expenses, and potential income from property sales or development projects. Additionally, CDP benefits from strategic partnerships with government entities and contractors that enhance its leasing opportunities and provide insights into sector-specific demands, further solidifying its earnings base.

COPT Defense Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong operational performance and positive future prospects due to increased defense spending, with significant leasing achievements and improved guidance metrics. However, challenges in cash rent spreads and specific property vacancies remain areas of concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record FFO Per Share Growth
FFO per share as adjusted for comparability was $0.68, which was $0.02 above the midpoint of guidance and represents a year-over-year increase of 6.3%.
Strong Leasing Performance
The company signed 353,000 square feet of vacancy leasing during the first half of the year, achieving 88% of the initial full year target and a tenant retention rate of 90% during the quarter.
Defense Budget Impact
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act appropriates an additional $150 billion to Defense spending over 4 years, with $113 billion allocated to 2026, enhancing future business strength.
High Portfolio Occupancy
The total portfolio is 95.6% leased, the highest level in nearly 20 years.
Increase in Guidance Metrics
Increased the midpoint of FFO per share by $0.01, same-property cash NOI growth by 50 basis points, and full year target for vacancy leasing by 50,000 square feet.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Cash Rent Spreads
Cash rent spreads on renewal leasing were down 3.1% during the quarter, influenced by significant roll-downs in two major leases.
Potential Delays in Development
The commencement of one preleased data center shell was delayed from Q3 to Q4 due to permit issues.
High Vacancy at Specific Properties
100 Light Street in Baltimore has nearly 170,000 square feet of vacancy, accounting for 15% of the unleased space in the entire 24 million square foot portfolio.
Company Guidance
During the COPT Defense Properties Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported strong financial and operational performance metrics. The Funds from Operations (FFO) per share was $0.68, surpassing the midpoint of guidance by $0.02 and marking a 6.3% year-over-year increase. The same-property cash Net Operating Income (NOI) increased by 2.2% for the quarter and 4.6% in the first half of the year. COPT achieved a leasing milestone by signing 353,000 square feet of vacancy leasing in the first half, which is 88% of their annual target, with a tenant retention rate of 90% for the quarter and 82% year-to-date. The total portfolio achieved a 95.6% leasing rate, the highest in nearly 20 years. In response to these strong results, the company raised its guidance, including a $0.01 increase in the midpoint of FFO per share, a 50 basis point rise in same-property cash NOI growth, and an increased full-year target for vacancy leasing by 50,000 square feet. The recent defense budget appropriation, which includes a record increase in defense spending, provides a favorable outlook for future business strength, particularly in the areas of intelligence, cybersecurity, and missile defense, which are expected to drive significant opportunities for COPT.

COPT Defense Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
COPT Defense Properties exhibits strong operational margins and cash flow efficiency, with robust Gross Profit and steady profitability metrics. The negative revenue growth and moderate leverage are offset by solid cash flow and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
78
Positive
COPT Defense Properties shows a solid revenue base with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) Gross Profit Margin of approximately 50.8% and a Net Profit Margin of 18.9%. However, the Revenue Growth Rate is negative at -0.7% in the latest period, indicating a slight decline. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 29.1% and 50.9% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.65, which implies moderate leverage typical for the REIT industry. The Return on Equity (ROE) is healthy at 9.5%, reflecting reasonable profitability. The Equity Ratio stands at 35.1%, indicating a balanced approach between debt and equity financing, although slightly lower than ideal for risk mitigation.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free Cash Flow remains robust with a TTM Free Cash Flow of $286.98M, though it has seen a slight decline from the previous year's $299.61M, resulting in a -4.2% growth rate. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong at 2.35, indicating efficient cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also solid at 2.04, suggesting good cash flow generation relative to profits.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue753.27M684.98M739.03M664.45M609.37M
Gross Profit260.36M231.23M220.41M209.47M199.72M
EBITDA367.04M337.49M354.46M320.44M303.48M
Net Income138.93M-73.47M173.03M76.54M97.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.25B4.25B4.26B4.26B4.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.28M167.82M12.34M13.26M18.37M
Total Debt2.44B2.45B2.26B2.30B2.12B
Total Liabilities2.69B2.70B2.51B2.58B2.36B
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.48B1.68B1.62B1.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow299.61M255.77M229.45M219.12M205.67M
Operating Cash Flow330.95M276.27M265.82M249.15M238.42M
Investing Cash Flow-291.01M-169.62M-83.46M-202.97M-325.79M
Financing Cash Flow-169.67M46.26M-183.18M-50.90M91.27M

COPT Defense Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.57
Price Trends
50DMA
28.01
Positive
100DMA
27.26
Positive
200DMA
28.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
60.28
Neutral
STOCH
81.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.91, above the 50-day MA of 28.01, and above the 200-day MA of 28.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDP.

COPT Defense Properties Risk Analysis

COPT Defense Properties disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. COPT Defense Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

COPT Defense Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.45B22.629.67%4.20%2.95%
74
Outperform
$4.84B21.804.06%5.33%2.26%10.15%
69
Neutral
$4.76B77.141.30%4.53%13.07%-4.94%
68
Neutral
$3.24B25.685.39%6.68%-2.16%-16.41%
63
Neutral
$3.15B71.771.74%4.91%-0.57%
63
Neutral
$7.00B13.54-0.52%7.07%3.61%-22.78%
58
Neutral
$4.22B663.10-0.37%5.50%15.25%79.18%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDP
COPT Defense Properties
28.57
0.29
1.03%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
28.24
1.30
4.83%
DEI
Douglas Emmett
15.48
0.32
2.11%
HIW
Highwoods Properties
29.96
0.10
0.33%
KRC
Kilroy Realty
40.51
6.49
19.08%
SLG
SL Green Realty
55.63
-7.75
-12.23%

COPT Defense Properties Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
COPT Defense Properties Holds Successful Shareholder Meeting
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 20, 2025, COPT Defense Properties held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where key proposals were voted on, including the election of eight trustees, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm. The results showed strong support for all proposals, indicating shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025