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COPT Defense Properties (CDP)
NYSE:CDP
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COPT Defense Properties (CDP) AI Stock Analysis

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CDP

COPT Defense Properties

(NYSE:CDP)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(9.66% Upside)
COPT Defense Properties demonstrates strong financial performance and positive future prospects, driven by increased defense spending and leasing achievements. However, high leverage and technical indicators suggest caution. The valuation is reasonable, but not particularly attractive, limiting upside potential.
Positive Factors
Strong Leasing Performance
Achieving 88% of the annual leasing target with a high tenant retention rate indicates robust demand and effective property management, ensuring stable future revenue streams.
Defense Budget Impact
Increased defense spending provides a favorable outlook for COPT, enhancing opportunities in intelligence and cybersecurity sectors, which are core to their business model.
High Portfolio Occupancy
High occupancy rates reflect strong demand for COPT's properties, ensuring consistent rental income and reducing the risk of revenue volatility.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage could pose risks, especially if interest rates rise, potentially straining financial flexibility and increasing financial risk.
Challenges with Cash Rent Spreads
Declining cash rent spreads on renewals could impact profitability, indicating potential challenges in maintaining rental income growth.
High Vacancy at Specific Properties
High vacancy in key properties could lead to revenue loss and increased costs, affecting overall portfolio performance and cash flow.

COPT Defense Properties (CDP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

COPT Defense Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCOPT Defense Properties (CDP) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focusing on the acquisition, development, and management of office and specialized properties that primarily serve the defense and intelligence sectors of the U.S. government. With a portfolio that includes properties located in key defense markets, CDP aims to provide mission-critical facilities that support national security objectives, leveraging its expertise in real estate to meet the unique needs of government tenants.
How the Company Makes MoneyCOPT Defense Properties generates revenue primarily through long-term leases with government agencies and defense contractors, ensuring stable cash flow. The company's revenue model is largely based on rental income from its diversified portfolio of properties, which includes office buildings, specialized facilities, and data centers tailored for defense-related operations. Key revenue streams include lease payments, tenant reimbursements for operating expenses, and potential income from property sales or development projects. Additionally, CDP benefits from strategic partnerships with government entities and contractors that enhance its leasing opportunities and provide insights into sector-specific demands, further solidifying its earnings base.

COPT Defense Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong operational performance and positive future prospects due to increased defense spending, with significant leasing achievements and improved guidance metrics. However, challenges in cash rent spreads and specific property vacancies remain areas of concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record FFO Per Share Growth
FFO per share as adjusted for comparability was $0.68, which was $0.02 above the midpoint of guidance and represents a year-over-year increase of 6.3%.
Strong Leasing Performance
The company signed 353,000 square feet of vacancy leasing during the first half of the year, achieving 88% of the initial full year target and a tenant retention rate of 90% during the quarter.
Defense Budget Impact
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act appropriates an additional $150 billion to Defense spending over 4 years, with $113 billion allocated to 2026, enhancing future business strength.
High Portfolio Occupancy
The total portfolio is 95.6% leased, the highest level in nearly 20 years.
Increase in Guidance Metrics
Increased the midpoint of FFO per share by $0.01, same-property cash NOI growth by 50 basis points, and full year target for vacancy leasing by 50,000 square feet.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Cash Rent Spreads
Cash rent spreads on renewal leasing were down 3.1% during the quarter, influenced by significant roll-downs in two major leases.
Potential Delays in Development
The commencement of one preleased data center shell was delayed from Q3 to Q4 due to permit issues.
High Vacancy at Specific Properties
100 Light Street in Baltimore has nearly 170,000 square feet of vacancy, accounting for 15% of the unleased space in the entire 24 million square foot portfolio.
Company Guidance
During the COPT Defense Properties Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported strong financial and operational performance metrics. The Funds from Operations (FFO) per share was $0.68, surpassing the midpoint of guidance by $0.02 and marking a 6.3% year-over-year increase. The same-property cash Net Operating Income (NOI) increased by 2.2% for the quarter and 4.6% in the first half of the year. COPT achieved a leasing milestone by signing 353,000 square feet of vacancy leasing in the first half, which is 88% of their annual target, with a tenant retention rate of 90% for the quarter and 82% year-to-date. The total portfolio achieved a 95.6% leasing rate, the highest in nearly 20 years. In response to these strong results, the company raised its guidance, including a $0.01 increase in the midpoint of FFO per share, a 50 basis point rise in same-property cash NOI growth, and an increased full-year target for vacancy leasing by 50,000 square feet. The recent defense budget appropriation, which includes a record increase in defense spending, provides a favorable outlook for future business strength, particularly in the areas of intelligence, cybersecurity, and missile defense, which are expected to drive significant opportunities for COPT.

COPT Defense Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
COPT Defense Properties exhibits strong operational margins and cash flow efficiency, with a robust Gross Profit and steady profitability metrics. Despite a small decline in revenue growth and moderate leverage, the company maintains healthy financial standings, suitable for its industry. The balance between debt and equity remains a key area to watch for future stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
COPT Defense Properties shows a solid revenue base with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) Gross Profit Margin of approximately 50.8% and a Net Profit Margin of 18.9%. However, the Revenue Growth Rate is negative at -0.7% in the latest period, indicating a slight decline. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 29.1% and 50.9% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.65, which implies moderate leverage typical for the REIT industry. The Return on Equity (ROE) is healthy at 9.5%, reflecting reasonable profitability. The Equity Ratio stands at 35.1%, indicating a balanced approach between debt and equity financing, although slightly lower than ideal for risk mitigation.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free Cash Flow remains robust with a TTM Free Cash Flow of $286.98M, though it has seen a slight decline from the previous year's $299.61M, resulting in a -4.2% growth rate. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong at 2.35, indicating efficient cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also solid at 2.04, suggesting good cash flow generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue750.43M753.27M684.98M739.03M664.45M609.37M
Gross Profit504.20M260.36M231.23M220.41M209.47M199.72M
EBITDA383.84M369.74M337.49M354.46M320.44M303.48M
Net Income144.29M138.93M-73.47M173.03M76.54M97.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.29B4.25B4.25B4.26B4.26B4.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.29M38.28M167.82M12.34M13.26M18.37M
Total Debt2.49B2.44B2.45B2.26B2.30B2.12B
Total Liabilities2.72B2.69B2.70B2.51B2.58B2.36B
Stockholders Equity1.55B1.49B1.48B1.68B1.62B1.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow303.01M299.61M255.77M229.45M219.12M205.67M
Operating Cash Flow326.10M330.95M276.27M265.82M249.15M238.42M
Investing Cash Flow-307.34M-291.01M-169.62M-83.46M-202.97M-325.79M
Financing Cash Flow-97.98M-169.67M46.26M-183.18M-50.90M91.27M

COPT Defense Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.27
Price Trends
50DMA
28.91
Negative
100DMA
28.29
Negative
200DMA
27.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
44.95
Neutral
STOCH
73.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.35, below the 50-day MA of 28.91, and above the 200-day MA of 27.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CDP.

COPT Defense Properties Risk Analysis

COPT Defense Properties disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. COPT Defense Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

COPT Defense Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$6.40B22.349.67%4.28%2.95%
$4.88B22.194.06%5.24%2.26%10.15%
$4.47B72.071.30%4.79%13.07%-4.94%
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
$3.21B25.395.39%6.75%-2.16%-16.41%
$2.71B61.691.74%5.71%-0.57%
$3.93B-8,503.230.63%5.83%7.66%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDP
COPT Defense Properties
28.27
-2.88
-9.25%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
26.72
-2.78
-9.42%
DEI
Douglas Emmett
13.32
-4.06
-23.36%
HIW
Highwoods Properties
29.57
-2.60
-8.08%
KRC
Kilroy Realty
41.25
2.31
5.93%
SLG
SL Green Realty
52.72
-21.01
-28.50%

COPT Defense Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
COPT Defense Properties Expands Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

On October 6, 2025, COPT Defense Properties entered into a second amendment to its credit agreement with several lenders, increasing the revolving credit facility from $600 million to $800 million and extending the maturity date to October 5, 2029. The amendment also allows for future increases in the aggregate commitment and introduces changes to interest terms based on credit ratings, impacting the company’s financial flexibility and potentially enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDP) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COPT Defense Properties stock, see the CDP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
COPT Defense Properties Completes $400M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, COPT Defense Properties‘ operating partnership, CDPLP, completed a $400 million offering of 4.500% Senior Notes due in 2030, which are fully guaranteed by CDP. This financial move, registered under the Securities Act of 1933, is expected to strengthen the company’s financial position and enhance its ability to serve its niche market of defense and government tenants.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDP) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COPT Defense Properties stock, see the CDP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
COPT Defense Properties Announces $400M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

On September 23, 2025, COPT Defense Properties announced that its operating partnership, COPT Defense Properties, L.P., entered into an underwriting agreement for the issuance and sale of $400 million in 4.500% Senior Notes due 2030. The offering is expected to close on October 2, 2025, and the proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including repaying existing debt. This strategic financial move is anticipated to strengthen the company’s financial position and support its ongoing operations, potentially enhancing its market presence in the defense property sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDP) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COPT Defense Properties stock, see the CDP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
COPT Defense Properties Sees Strong Q2 2025 Growth
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

COPT Defense Properties has reported strong financial and operational performance, with a 94% occupancy rate across its portfolio as of June 30, 2025. The company benefits from increased Department of Defense spending, driven by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which has led to a 13% increase in the FY 2026 budget over the previous year. This growth is supported by consistent internal and external development investments, resulting in a stable tenant base with significant government and Fortune 100 company leases. The company’s strategic positioning in defense and IT sectors ensures continued demand and low-risk occupancy, contributing to a 6.6% increase in net operating income in the second quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDP) stock is a Hold with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COPT Defense Properties stock, see the CDP Stock Forecast page.

COPT Defense Properties’ Optimistic Earnings Call Highlights
Jul 31, 2025

COPT Defense Properties recently held its earnings call, revealing a positive sentiment throughout the discussion. The company showcased strong leasing performance, increased defense spending, and improved financial metrics. While challenges such as declining cash rent spreads and project delays were acknowledged, the overall outlook remains optimistic with promising opportunities in defense-related projects.

COPT Defense Properties Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 30, 2025

COPT Defense Properties is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in owning, operating, and developing properties near key U.S. Government defense installations, focusing on high-security and mission-critical enhancements for defense and IT tenants.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025