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COPT Defense Properties (CDP)
NYSE:CDP
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COPT Defense Properties (CDP) AI Stock Analysis

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CDP

COPT Defense Properties

(NYSE:CDP)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
â–²(10.80% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid operating and cash-flow performance, reinforced by a positive earnings call with raised guidance and strong leasing/occupancy trends. The main constraint is elevated leverage and some earnings/cash-flow variability, while technicals are supportive and valuation is reasonable but not cheap given the P/E.
Positive Factors
Consistent FFO Growth
A 23‑quarter streak of YoY FFO growth signals durable cash generation from core leasing operations and contract structures. Sustained FFO growth underpins dividend coverage, supports reinvestment and reduces reliance on one‑off asset sales, strengthening long‑term earnings quality.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.86 indicates a relatively debt‑heavy capital structure for an office REIT, reducing margin for error if operating cash flow weakens. Elevated leverage constrains strategic flexibility, increases refinancing risk, and can magnify the impact of rising rates on distributable cash.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent FFO Growth
A 23‑quarter streak of YoY FFO growth signals durable cash generation from core leasing operations and contract structures. Sustained FFO growth underpins dividend coverage, supports reinvestment and reduces reliance on one‑off asset sales, strengthening long‑term earnings quality.
Read all positive factors

COPT Defense Properties (CDP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

COPT Defense Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
COPT is a REIT that owns, manages, leases, develops and selectively acquires office and data center properties. The majority of its portfolio is in locations that support the United States Government and its contractors, most of whom are engaged i...
How the Company Makes Money
CDP primarily makes money by leasing real estate and collecting contractual rent from tenants occupying its properties. Its core revenue stream is rental income generated under office lease agreements, which typically include base rent and may als...

COPT Defense Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 27, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed predominantly positive operational and financial momentum: strong FFO growth (6.2% YoY), rising NOI and occupancy, robust renewal and development activity, sizable capital commitments, a Moody's upgrade, and increased guidance and dividend. Notable headwinds include higher financing costs driving a near-term earnings drag (~$0.09 of additional interest), some one-time expense items, and timing uncertainty around defense budget appropriations. On balance the company demonstrated strength across leasing, development, balance sheet, and strategy execution, while acknowledging manageable near-term financial and timing challenges.
Positive Updates
FFO per Share Growth
Q1 FFO per share of $0.69, $0.01 above midpoint guidance, representing a 6.2% year-over-year increase and marking the 23rd consecutive quarter of YoY FFO growth.
Negative Updates
Higher Financing Costs
Prefunded $400M maturity by issuing $400M of five-year unsecured notes at 4.5%, replacing prior 2.25% bond; increased interest expense results in approximately $0.09 of higher financing costs in 2026.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
FFO per Share Growth
Q1 FFO per share of $0.69, $0.01 above midpoint guidance, representing a 6.2% year-over-year increase and marking the 23rd consecutive quarter of YoY FFO growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management elevated several pieces of forward guidance: the midpoint of full‑year FFO per share was raised $0.01 to $2.76 (Q1 FFO was $0.69, $0.01 above midpoint and +6.2% YoY), Q2 FFO per share is guided to $0.68–$0.70, same‑property cash NOI growth midpoint was increased 50 bps to 3% (Q1 same‑property cash NOI +5.4% YoY), tenant retention midpoint was raised 250 bps to 82.5%, and the midpoint for capital committed to new investments was increased $40 million to $290 million; management reiterated a conservative AFFO payout ratio below 65% and noted 2026 FFO growth is expected to be muted (~1.5%) due to a $0.09 annual financing cost headwind.

COPT Defense Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is solid with revenue growth and improved net margin (~20% in 2025) plus consistently positive operating and free cash flow. Offsetting that, results have shown earnings volatility (notably a 2023 net loss) and leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.86 in 2025), which raises balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue776.70M763.92M753.27M684.98M739.03M664.45M
Gross Profit247.84M117.85M260.36M231.23M220.41M209.47M
EBITDA412.83M408.97M369.74M150.31M354.46M294.41M
Net Income156.13M152.31M138.93M-73.47M173.03M76.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.46B4.70B4.25B4.25B4.26B4.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00274.99M38.28M167.82M12.34M13.26M
Total Debt0.002.81B2.44B2.45B2.26B2.30B
Total Liabilities2.87B3.11B2.69B2.70B2.51B2.58B
Stockholders Equity1.57B1.51B1.49B1.48B1.68B1.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow215.18M253.68M299.61M255.77M229.45M219.12M
Operating Cash Flow262.86M334.93M330.95M276.27M265.82M249.15M
Investing Cash Flow-245.20M-314.74M-291.01M-169.62M-83.46M-202.97M
Financing Cash Flow232.72M216.54M-169.67M46.26M-183.18M-50.90M

COPT Defense Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.49
Price Trends
50DMA
31.60
Positive
100DMA
30.35
Positive
200DMA
29.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
63.91
Neutral
STOCH
84.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.45, above the 50-day MA of 31.60, and above the 200-day MA of 29.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDP.

COPT Defense Properties Risk Analysis

COPT Defense Properties disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. COPT Defense Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

COPT Defense Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$6.99B22.3710.14%4.30%1.41%9.48%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$2.62B-693.746.69%7.83%-1.94%54.31%
62
Neutral
$3.86B-173.605.11%5.75%-1.42%8.79%
60
Neutral
$4.16B106.880.41%5.08%16.00%-19.39%
53
Neutral
$3.22B-8.32-3.89%6.95%7.51%-476.96%
45
Neutral
$1.80B-67.230.82%6.45%1.77%-33.56%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDP
COPT Defense Properties
30.94
5.85
23.31%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
25.06
-1.39
-5.25%
DEI
Douglas Emmett
10.76
-2.59
-19.39%
HIW
Highwoods Properties
23.73
-2.92
-10.95%
KRC
Kilroy Realty
32.90
2.86
9.52%
SLG
SL Green Realty
42.41
-8.51
-16.71%

COPT Defense Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
COPT Defense Updates Executive Severance and Change-in-Control Plan
Neutral
Feb 4, 2026
On January 30, 2026, COPT Defense Properties and its operating partnership entered into new letter agreements with President and CEO Stephen E. Budorick, EVP and COO Britt A. Snider, and EVP and CFO Anthony Mifsud that govern their participation i...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 28, 2026