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CalciMedica (CALC)
NASDAQ:CALC
US Market

CalciMedica (CALC) AI Stock Analysis

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CALC

CalciMedica

(NASDAQ:CALC)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.79
▼(-4.46% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/14/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financials (no revenue, continued losses, substantial cash burn, and negative equity) and bearish technical trend signals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation offers limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend, and corporate events add risk given the halted Phase 2 trial despite a modest runway extension.
Positive Factors
Targeted CRAC-channel platform
CalciMedica’s focused scientific platform targeting calcineurin/CRAC signaling provides a clear, durable R&D strategy. A platform approach can yield multiple indications from shared biology, concentrating expertise and enabling reuse of preclinical/clinical learnings to improve future program success odds.
Low financial leverage (no debt)
The absence of debt reduces fixed obligations and interest burden, preserving operational flexibility during a development-stage horizon. This structural low-leverage profile lowers near-term default risk and gives management more optionality in financing or restructuring R&D plans as programs evolve.
Extended cash runway into Q4 2026
Extending runway through Q4 2026 via expense reductions is a meaningful structural relief: it provides management time to analyze clinical data, redesign trials, or pursue partnerships without immediate financing pressure. That added runway materially reduces the risk of imminent insolvency.
Negative Factors
Sustained cash burn and operating losses
Persistent ~-$21M annual operating cash burn is a structural drain on resources for a pre-revenue biotech. Continued negative free cash flow forces repeated capital raises or asset sales, diluting shareholders and constraining the company’s ability to progress multiple programs without external funding.
Deteriorated balance sheet / negative equity
A shift to negative shareholders’ equity weakens balance sheet resilience and can hamper financing terms. Structural equity erosion increases counterparty and investor concern, making future capital raises more dilutive or expensive and limiting strategic flexibility during extended development cycles.
Material clinical setback: Phase 2 halted for safety review
Halting a Phase 2 trial on safety grounds is a durable negative for a clinical-stage company: it raises questions about the program’s viability, can necessitate new trials or redesigns, lengthens timelines, increases costs, and may reduce partner appetite for the asset or platform.

CalciMedica (CALC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CalciMedica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalciMedica, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing therapies for life-threatening inflammatory diseases with unmet needs. Its proprietary technology targets the inhibition of calcium release-activated (CRAC) channels designs to modulate the immune response and protect against tissue cell injury in life-threatening inflammatory diseases. Its lead product candidate is Auxora, a proprietary intravenous-formulated CRAC channel inhibitor for the treatment of acute pancreatitis, asparaginase-associated acute pancreatitis, and acute kidney injury. The company is based in La Jolla, California.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

CalciMedica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Development-stage profile with $0 revenue, recurring losses, and sizable ongoing cash burn (~-$21M operating cash flow in 2024–2025). The absence of debt is a positive, but negative equity in 2025 and a wider 2025 net loss versus 2024 increase reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company remains pre-revenue (revenue is $0 across all provided annual periods), with persistent operating losses. Losses improved meaningfully in 2024 versus 2023, but widened again in 2025 (net loss of ~$29.6M vs ~$13.7M in 2024), indicating uneven cost control and limited near-term earnings visibility.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage appears low with total debt at $0 in 2024–2025, reducing financial risk. However, equity deteriorated sharply and turned negative in 2025 (stockholders’ deficit of ~$6.6M), which weakens balance sheet resilience and can increase future funding dependence; total assets also declined from 2024 to 2025.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash burn is substantial and steady, with operating cash flow around -$21M in both 2024 and 2025 and free cash flow also near -$21M. Free cash flow worsened in 2025 versus 2024, suggesting the runway may be tightening absent new capital, even though cash burn is broadly aligned with reported losses.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-46.00K0.000.000.00-519.00K
EBITDA-23.12M-24.15M-38.02M-7.64M-35.30M
Net Income-29.56M-13.70M-34.36M-7.82M-35.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.59M19.79M12.19M3.35M69.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.02M18.67M11.24M1.33M63.67M
Total Debt9.70M0.000.005.36M0.00
Total Liabilities20.23M5.38M4.03M12.58M4.07M
Stockholders Equity-6.64M14.41M8.16M-9.23M65.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.21M-21.15M-25.81M-11.76M-31.99M
Operating Cash Flow-21.18M-21.15M-25.73M-11.76M-31.50M
Investing Cash Flow9.55M-4.42M8.88M-4.00K10.75M
Financing Cash Flow15.21M27.97M20.90M8.48M695.00K

CalciMedica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.83
Price Trends
50DMA
2.34
Negative
100DMA
3.21
Negative
200DMA
2.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Negative
RSI
41.96
Neutral
STOCH
87.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CALC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.63, below the 50-day MA of 2.34, and below the 200-day MA of 2.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CALC.

CalciMedica Risk Analysis

CalciMedica disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CalciMedica reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CalciMedica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$26.95M-2.82-125.98%1.18%
48
Neutral
$23.89M-0.53-143.59%-53.18%
48
Neutral
$25.80M-0.51-197.68%78.60%
47
Neutral
$34.62M-1.31-208.95%29.95%
41
Neutral
$14.12M-2,298.43-526.36%-2.46%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CALC
CalciMedica
0.90
-1.15
-56.29%
PDSB
PDS Biotechnology
0.63
-0.71
-52.84%
SKYE
Skye Bioscience
0.72
-1.82
-71.74%
LTRN
Lantern Pharma
2.41
-1.52
-38.68%
SNTI
Senti Biosciences
0.98
-2.88
-74.59%

CalciMedica Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CalciMedica Ends KOURAGE Trial, Extends Cash Runway
Negative
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, CalciMedica announced it had discontinued its Phase 2 KOURAGE clinical trial, acting on a recommendation from the study’s Independent Data Monitoring Committee, marking a setback in the advancement of that particular drug candidate. As a result of terminating the trial and the associated reduction in planned operating expenses, the company updated its financial outlook, now expecting its existing cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments to fund its operating plan into the fourth quarter of 2026, extending its projected cash runway compared with prior guidance for the second half of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (CALC) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CalciMedica stock, see the CALC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CalciMedica Halts Phase 2 KOURAGE Trial After Safety Review
Negative
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, CalciMedica announced it had discontinued its Phase 2 KOURAGE clinical trial of Auxora in patients with Stage 2 or 3 acute kidney injury with associated acute hypoxemic respiratory failure, following a recommendation from the trial’s Independent Data Monitoring Committee after an interim review raised a safety concern related to study design and patient enrollment criteria. While no deaths were deemed related to Auxora or placebo and no serious adverse events required expedited reporting to the FDA, the company has halted the study, will conduct a comprehensive analysis of the unblinded data to understand the role of baseline characteristics and disease factors in patient outcomes, and has notified regulators while ensuring enrolled patients complete 90-day follow-up, even as it continues to position Auxora and its broader CRAC inhibitor portfolio for potential future trials and indications in high-need inflammatory conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CALC) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CalciMedica stock, see the CALC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026