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Caleres Inc (CAL)
NYSE:CAL

Caleres (CAL) AI Stock Analysis

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CA

Caleres

(NYSE:CAL)

67Neutral
Caleres' overall stock score of 67 reflects a combination of solid valuation and financial stability with notable challenges in technical performance and market demand. The company's strategic acquisitions and initiatives provide positive long-term prospects, but current sales and cash flow concerns, along with a bearish technical outlook, weigh on the score. Investors should closely monitor recovery in revenue and cash flow to assess future performance improvements.

Caleres (CAL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Caleres Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCaleres, Inc. engages in the retail and wholesale of footwear in the United States, Canada, China, and Guam. It operates through Famous Footwear and Brand Portfolio segments. The company offers licensed, branded, and private-label athletic, casual, and dress footwear products to women, men, and children. Its retail shoe stores provide brand name athletic, casual, and dress shoes, including Nike, Skechers, adidas, Vans, Converse, Crocs, Puma, Birkenstock, New Balance, Asics, New Balance, Under Armour, Bearpaw, Timberland, Sperry, and Dr. Martens, as well as company-owned and licensed brands, such as Dr. Scholl's Shoes, Blowfish Malibu, LifeStride, Naturalizer, Zodiac, Circus by Sam Edelman, Franco Sarto, and Ryka. The company also operates naturalizer.com, naturalizer.ca, vionicshoes.com, samedelman.com, allenedmonds.com, drschollsshoes.com, lifestride.com, francosarto.com, ryka.com, bzees.com, and zodiacshoes.com, as well as Vince.com, blowfishshoes.com, and veronicabeard.com websites. In addition, it designs, sources, manufactures, and markets footwear to retail stores, such as national chains, online retailers, department stores, mass merchandisers, independent retailers, and catalogs. Further, the company wholesales men's apparel, leather goods, and accessories under the Allen Edmonds brand; footwear for women under LifeStride brand; Italian footwear Franco Sarto brand; athletic footwear for women under the Rykä brand; women's shoe collection under the Vince brand; and women's footwear under the Bzees brand; other footwear under Zodiac brand; and women's footwear collection under Veronica Beard brand, as well as Via Spiga brand. It operates approximately 980 retail stores. The company was formerly known as Brown Shoe Company, Inc. Caleres, Inc. was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyCaleres primarily generates revenue through the sale of footwear across its retail and wholesale operations. In the retail segment, the company earns money from its brick-and-mortar stores, notably under the Famous Footwear brand, and through its online sales channels, which cater directly to consumers. Additionally, Caleres' wholesale business involves distributing its branded footwear to department stores, specialty retailers, and other third-party sellers. This multifaceted approach allows Caleres to capture a broad market share and leverage brand recognition across different consumer demographics. Partnerships with influential retailers and investments in digital platforms further bolster its revenue streams by expanding market reach and enhancing customer engagement.

Caleres Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Caleres demonstrates stable profitability and efficient equity use, but faces challenges with revenue growth and cash flow generation. The balanced leverage provides some financial stability, while operational margins remain healthy. Future focus should be on reversing the revenue and cash flow declines to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The gross profit margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is 44.89% and the net profit margin is 5.64%, indicating a solid profitability level. The revenue growth rate from the previous year to TTM is -1.30%, which shows a slight decline. However, the EBIT margin is 6.31% and the EBITDA margin is 7.86%, supporting healthy operational performance despite revenue contraction.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio for TTM is 0.85, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 26.22%, indicating efficient use of equity. The equity ratio is 30.59%, pointing to a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in equity levels.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate from the previous year to TTM is -56.00%, indicating a decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.76, showing reasonable cash conversion, while the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.42, indicating some challenges in translating earnings into free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.78B2.82B2.97B2.78B2.12B2.92B
Gross Profit
1.25B1.26B1.28B1.23B787.05M1.18B
EBIT
175.29M201.31M214.33M205.81M-102.44M60.94M
EBITDA
218.63M253.94M276.31M257.08M-432.19M171.88M
Net Income Common Stockholders
156.92M163.87M181.74M137.02M-438.99M62.82M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
30.20M21.36M33.70M30.11M88.30M45.22M
Total Assets
1.84B1.80B1.84B1.84B1.87B2.43B
Total Debt
532.93M747.86M887.63M871.40M1.12B1.23B
Net Debt
502.73M726.50M853.92M841.29M1.03B1.19B
Total Liabilities
1.20B1.24B1.41B1.52B1.66B1.78B
Stockholders Equity
634.05M560.63M420.68M318.57M200.25M645.95M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
66.26M150.53M61.84M144.30M104.29M120.63M
Operating Cash Flow
118.82M200.15M125.88M168.44M126.35M170.79M
Investing Cash Flow
-52.57M-49.62M-64.04M-24.14M-22.06M-49.52M
Financing Cash Flow
-66.73M-162.99M-58.15M-202.38M-61.31M-106.33M

Caleres Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.28
Price Trends
50DMA
17.54
Negative
100DMA
22.45
Negative
200DMA
28.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
53.50
Neutral
STOCH
78.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.41, below the 50-day MA of 17.54, and below the 200-day MA of 28.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CAL.

Caleres Risk Analysis

Caleres disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Caleres reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Caleres Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.31B7.0557.76%3.53%24.55%
76
Outperform
$18.66B19.9639.80%19.40%32.70%
SKSKX
73
Outperform
$8.57B13.8115.42%12.11%19.16%
CACAL
67
Neutral
$554.88M5.3517.83%1.59%-1.28%2.83%
NKNKE
63
Neutral
$98.42B22.4231.93%2.24%-7.16%-12.12%
59
Neutral
$12.76B11.271.14%3.69%1.25%-20.97%
FLFL
55
Neutral
$1.52B130.540.62%-2.20%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAL
Caleres
17.28
-21.81
-55.79%
CROX
Crocs
112.59
-27.46
-19.61%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
122.97
-33.27
-21.29%
FL
Foot Locker
15.68
-11.19
-41.64%
NKE
Nike
66.54
-24.34
-26.78%
SKX
Skechers USA
57.35
-2.66
-4.43%

Caleres Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.43% | Next Earnings Date: May 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook for Caleres, Inc. The company highlighted strong performance from its Lead Brands, recognition for excellence, and strategic supply chain shifts. However, these were offset by sales declines, challenges in Famous Footwear, and gross margin pressure influenced by tariffs. The overall sentiment reflects a balanced view with both positive achievements and significant challenges.
Highlights
Recognition for Excellence
Caleres was honored with the Nordstrom Vendor Partner and Excellence Award for Footwear in 2024, highlighting the strength of its brands and team.
Lead Brands Performance
Lead Brands, including Sam Edelman, Allen Edmonds, Naturalizer, and Vionic, outperformed, representing over 50% of the segment's sales and profit.
Strategic Supply Chain Shift
By mid-2025, Caleres expects about 75% of its direct product sourcing to be outside of China, ahead of previous goals.
Full-Year Adjusted Earnings Per Share
Caleres delivered full-year adjusted earnings per share of $3.30, at the high end of its most recent guidance.
Vionic's Strong Performance
Vionic delivered a strong quarter with sales driven by hybrid and casual sports styles, and expanded its product innovation with new sneaker launches.
Lowlights
Sales Decline
Fourth quarter sales were down approximately 4% compared to the previous year, with Brand Portfolio sales declining 7.2%.
Challenges in Famous Footwear
Famous Footwear's comp-store sales were down 2.9%, with brick-and-mortar sales down 4.1%.
Gross Margin Pressure
Fourth quarter consolidated gross margin decreased by 80 basis points to last year, impacted by higher discounts and markdown allowances.
Disappointing Year Relative to Expectations
2024 was overall disappointing relative to initial expectations, with meaningful progress needed in strategic priorities.
Impact of Tariffs
Caleres anticipates gross margin pressure due to tariffs, with a 30-40 basis point impact expected on Brand Portfolio.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, Caleres, Inc. reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.33, and for the full year, adjusted earnings per share was $3.30, both at the high end of their guidance. Sales in the fourth quarter decreased by approximately 4% year-over-year, excluding the impact of the 53rd week. The Brand Portfolio segment saw a 7.2% decline in sales, or 5% excluding the 53rd week. Famous Footwear's comparable store sales fell by 2.9%, with a 4.1% decline in brick-and-mortar sales and a 3.1% increase in web sales. For fiscal year 2025, Caleres anticipates consolidated sales to be between a 1% decrease and a 1% increase, with Famous Footwear sales expected to decrease in the low-single digits and Brand Portfolio sales to grow by 1% to 2%. The operating margin for 2025 is projected to be between 5.1% and 5.6%, with earnings per diluted share ranging from $2.80 to $3.20. The company plans to invest $50 million to $55 million in capital expenditures, and it anticipates about 75% of its direct product sourcing to shift outside of China by the end of the second quarter in 2025.

Caleres Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Caleres Acquires Stuart Weitzman for $105 Million
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

On February 16, 2025, Caleres, Inc. entered into a Sale and Purchase Agreement with Tapestry, Inc. to acquire the Stuart Weitzman business for $105 million. The acquisition, announced on February 19, 2025, aims to strengthen Caleres’ position in the women’s fashion footwear market, particularly in the contemporary segment. The deal includes customary representations, warranties, and covenants, with Caleres planning to fund the acquisition through its revolving credit agreement. The transaction is expected to close in the summer of 2025, and it will advance Caleres’ strategic goal of growing its Brand Portfolio segment with more global reach, enhancing its revenue and operating profit.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Caleres Revises 2024 Financial Outlook Amid Challenges
Negative
Jan 13, 2025

Caleres has revised its financial outlook for 2024, anticipating a decrease in consolidated net sales by 3.0% to 3.5% and adjusted earnings per share in the range of $3.20 to $3.30. The update is due to a slowdown in sales trends during the holiday season and weather-related closures affecting Famous Footwear. Despite these challenges, Caleres is committed to its strategic plan for 2025, aiming to drive long-term value for shareholders and return to growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.