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Armlogi Holding Corp (BTOC)
NASDAQ:BTOC
US Market

Armlogi Holding Corp (BTOC) AI Stock Analysis

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BTOC

Armlogi Holding Corp

(NASDAQ:BTOC)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.33
▼(-42.81% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
The score is primarily weighed down by deteriorating profitability and sharply higher leverage with shrinking equity, which elevates financial risk despite revenue growth. Technicals reinforce the weakness as the stock remains in a pronounced downtrend with bearish momentum. Valuation provides limited support because the company is unprofitable (negative P/E) and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Consistent mid-teens to high-teens top-line growth demonstrates sustained demand and market traction in the freight & logistics business. Over a 2–6 month horizon this growth supports scale benefits, customer retention, and provides runway for margin recovery if cost discipline or pricing improvements are implemented.
Positive Operating & Free Cash Flow (TTM)
TTM positive operating and free cash flow indicate the company can generate cash from core operations, providing a durable source to fund working capital, service obligations, and selective reinvestment. Sustained cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and aids near-term liquidity management.
Board Continuity and Auditor Ratification
Re-election of directors and auditor ratification signal governance continuity and strengthened oversight. Reliable board composition and an independent auditor support consistent financial controls, strategic execution, and investor transparency—structural positives for medium-term operational and reporting stability.
Negative Factors
Severe Margin Deterioration
A move from positive to negative gross profit and deeply negative operating/net margins indicates the core cost structure fails to scale with revenue. Persistently weak margins erode operating leverage, reduce reinvestment capacity, and make recovery difficult without structural changes to pricing, routing, or cost base.
Very High Leverage and Equity Erosion
Rapidly rising debt-to-equity and shrinking equity materially weaken the balance sheet, increasing refinancing, covenant and solvency risk. High leverage limits strategic flexibility, elevates interest burden, and magnifies adverse shocks, posing a structural impediment to sustainable recovery absent deleveraging.
Fragile, Inconsistent Cash Generation
Although TTM cash flow is positive, historical negative free cash flow and weak coverage of debt demonstrate volatility in cash conversion. This inconsistency undermines confidence in the company’s ability to service debt and fund growth reliably over the medium term without stable, repeatable cash flow performance.

Armlogi Holding Corp (BTOC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Armlogi Holding Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArmlogi Holding Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a third-party logistics company in the United States. It provides multi-model transportation and logistics services. It primarily offers transportation services, including arranging shipments, which include small parcels, as well as trucking, truck dispatching, and leasing services. The company also provides other value-added logistics services, such as warehousing, materials management and distribution, and customs house brokerage services. Armlogi Holding Corp. was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Walnut, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyArmlogi Holding Corp generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its logistics services, which include freight transportation, warehousing, and inventory management solutions. The company charges fees for its services based on volume and distance for transportation, while warehousing revenue is derived from storage fees and value-added services. Additionally, Armlogi engages in strategic partnerships with e-commerce platforms and retailers, providing tailored logistics solutions that allow for shared profits from increased operational efficiency. The company also capitalizes on technology integration, offering advanced tracking and management systems that provide added value to clients, thereby justifying premium pricing for its offerings.

Armlogi Holding Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balance of positive strategic growth and expansion, especially in revenue and customer base. However, these are offset by significant cost increases and resulting financial losses, indicating challenges in achieving profitability.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue reached $190.4 million, an increase of 14% compared to the $167 million in fiscal year 2024, driven by demand for transportation and warehousing services and a more than fourfold increase in active customer base to 505.
Expansion and Strategic Investment
Expanded warehousing footprint with 10 warehouses across the U.S. totaling approximately 3,905,020 square feet, equipped with advanced systems for handling bulky items and maintaining high standards including ISO 9001 compliance and an average inventory accuracy of 99.64%.
Customer Diversification
Diversified customer base from 105 to 505 active customers over the year, including a mix of PRC-based and U.S.-based clients, reducing reliance on largest customers.
Negative Updates
Increased Costs and Financial Loss
Cost of sales increased by 29.9% to $193.4 million, primarily due to increased freight costs and higher rental, labor, and warehouse expenses, resulting in a gross profit loss of $3 million and a net loss of $15.3 million for the fiscal year.
Increased General and Administrative Expenses
General and administrative expenses totaled $14.7 million, a 47.2% increase from the previous year, due to investments in support of growing operations.
Profitability Challenges
Despite strategic growth, the company faces challenges in achieving consistent profitability and positive free cash flow in the near term, with a focus on operational optimization and cost management.
Company Guidance
During the Armlogi Holding Corp.'s Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company reported a significant 14% increase in total revenue, reaching $190.4 million, driven by robust demand for its logistics and warehousing services. Despite this growth, the company faced a net loss of $15.3 million, or $0.37 per share, largely due to a 29.9% rise in the cost of sales and a 47.2% increase in general and admin expenses, attributed to higher freight, rental, and labor costs. The company expanded its customer base from 105 to 505 active customers, with a notable focus on diversifying beyond its predominant PRC-based clientele. Armlogi's strategic investments in technology and infrastructure, including 10 U.S.-based warehouses totaling 3.9 million square feet, are aimed at enhancing efficiency and positioning the company for future opportunities in the cross-border e-commerce market. Despite current challenges, management is optimistic about achieving consistent profitability and positive cash flow in the coming fiscal years.

Armlogi Holding Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite solid revenue growth, profitability has deteriorated sharply into negative gross profit and deeply negative operating/net margins, while leverage has surged and equity has shrunk. Positive TTM operating and free cash flow is a partial offset, but it appears fragile relative to losses and the heavy debt load.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Revenue growth remains solid (about 14% in FY2025 and 20% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), but profitability has deteriorated sharply. The business swung from positive gross profit and strong margins in FY2023–FY2024 to negative gross profit and deeply negative operating and net margins in FY2025 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Net losses widened from FY2025 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating the current cost structure is not scaling with revenue.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Leverage has increased materially: debt-to-equity rose from ~3.0x (FY2024) to ~5.4x (FY2025) and ~11.5x in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Equity has fallen while debt increased, pressuring financial flexibility and raising refinancing risk. Returns on equity also turned sharply negative in FY2025 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), consistent with the earnings downturn.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (about $7.7M and $6.2M, respectively) and improved versus FY2025, with free cash flow growth showing a large rebound. However, cash flow still looks fragile versus the loss profile and leverage—operating cash flow covers only a modest portion of debt in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and cash flow has been inconsistent historically (including negative free cash flow in FY2024 and FY2025).
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue197.80M190.41M166.98M135.04M56.03M9.02M
Gross Profit-3.13M-3.00M18.08M25.53M6.21M1.63M
EBITDA-16.08M-13.23M12.57M20.66M3.69M762.90K
Net Income-19.41M-15.35M7.44M13.92M1.98M403.25K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets153.06M170.21M167.03M88.55M61.05M8.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.04M9.19M7.89M6.56M2.25M2.03M
Total Debt212.79M134.30M117.67M50.34M50.57M252.03K
Total Liabilities134.54M145.12M127.80M63.24M50.48M1.44M
Stockholders Equity18.52M25.09M39.24M25.31M10.57M7.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.24M-1.43M-2.17M9.99M-3.42M-4.51M
Operating Cash Flow7.70M1.46M3.04M11.80M542.86K-1.46M
Investing Cash Flow360.28K-1.81M-7.44M-4.32M-3.96M-3.06M
Financing Cash Flow-6.00M3.97M7.79M-3.18M3.64M6.25M

Armlogi Holding Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.57
Price Trends
50DMA
0.50
Negative
100DMA
0.57
Negative
200DMA
1.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
31.25
Neutral
STOCH
31.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTOC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.41, above the 50-day MA of 0.50, and below the 200-day MA of 1.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BTOC.

Armlogi Holding Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
$48.03M
47
Neutral
$6.89M
41
Neutral
$15.18M-0.75-60.41%17.35%-40970.00%
41
Neutral
$19.93M-1.54-99.65%8.55%
40
Underperform
$7.22M-1.24-106.83%-3.79%89.74%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BTOC
Armlogi Holding Corp
0.34
-1.99
-85.36%
PSIG
PS International Group
5.79
1.87
47.70%
JYD
Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A
2.76
-178.74
-98.48%
LSH
Lakeside Holding Limited
0.66
-1.17
-63.93%
NCEW
New Century Logistics (BVI) Ltd.
7.60
-0.88
-10.38%
CJMB
Callan JMB, Inc.
1.57
-2.98
-65.49%

Armlogi Holding Corp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Armlogi Holding Corp Elects Directors, Ratifies Auditor
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

At the annual meeting of Armlogi Holding Corp. on December 4, 2025, stockholders elected five directors to serve until the 2026 annual meeting. Additionally, the stockholders ratified the appointment of ZH CPA, LLC as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending June 30, 2026. The election and appointment decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and financial oversight strategies, with no broker non-votes affecting the ratification of the accounting firm.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTOC) stock is a Hold with a $0.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Armlogi Holding Corp stock, see the BTOC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026