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Barnes & Noble Education (BNED)
NYSE:BNED

Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) AI Stock Analysis

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Barnes & Noble Education

(NYSE:BNED)

50Neutral
Barnes & Noble Education has significant financial challenges, with ongoing losses and high leverage being key concerns. While there are modest signs of improvement in revenue and equity, profitability and cash flow issues remain critical. Technical analysis indicates some market momentum, but valuation metrics highlight fundamental weaknesses. Strategic improvements are essential to enhance the company's financial health and stock performance.

Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Barnes & Noble Education Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarnes & Noble Education, Inc. operates bookstores for college and university campuses, and K-12 institutions in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Digital Student Solutions. The company sells and rents new and used print textbooks, digital textbooks, and publisher hosted digital courseware through physical and virtual bookstores, as well as directly to students through Textbooks.com. It also offers First Day and First Day Complete access programs; BNC OER+, a turnkey solution for colleges and universities, that offers digital content, such as videos, activities, and auto-graded practice assessments; and general merchandise, including collegiate and athletic apparel, school spirit products, lifestyle products, technology products, supplies, graduation products, and convenience items. In addition, the company sources, sells, and distributes new and used textbooks; and sells hardware and a software suite of applications that provides inventory management and point-of-sale solutions to approximately 350 college bookstores. Further, it offers direct-to-student subscription-based writing services; and bartleby, a direct-to-student subscription-based offering that includes textbook solutions, expert questions and answers, and writing and tutoring services. The company operates 805 physical college and university bookstores; 622 virtual bookstores; 8 True Spirit e-commerce websites; pop-up retail locations; 73 customized cafés and 11 stand-alone convenience stores; and a media channel for brands targeting the college demographic. Barnes & Noble Education, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Basking Ridge, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarnes & Noble Education generates revenue through multiple streams. Its Retail segment primarily earns income from the sale of textbooks, both new and used, as well as digital course materials, school supplies, and merchandise through campus bookstores and e-commerce platforms. The Wholesale segment contributes by distributing books and course materials to various channels, including retail bookstores and online platforms. Additionally, the Digital Student Solutions segment focuses on revenue from digital platforms that offer educational services such as online tutoring and test preparation. Partnerships with educational institutions and publishers, as well as its extensive network of college bookstores, play a significant role in BNED's revenue generation.

Barnes & Noble Education Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barnes & Noble Education faces significant financial headwinds, with persistent losses and high leverage. While there are signs of slight improvements in some metrics, such as revenue growth and equity improvements, profitability and cash flow remain major areas of concern. The company's financial stability is under pressure, demanding strategic actions to enhance operational efficiency and financial structure.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals substantial challenges with profitability, indicated by negative EBIT and net income over recent periods. Despite slight revenue growth in some periods, the company has struggled to achieve positive profit margins. The TTM data shows a slight improvement in EBIT margin, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high level of debt relative to equity, resulting in a concerning debt-to-equity ratio. Although stockholders' equity has improved in the latest TTM, it still poses financial stability risks. The equity ratio indicates a moderate level of equity financing, but leverage remains a critical issue.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights negative operating and free cash flow, indicating liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is weak, and the company has not consistently generated positive free cash flow, which is crucial for sustaining operations without external financing.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.57B1.57B1.54B1.53B1.43B1.85B
Gross Profit
341.11M316.22M349.44M372.76M252.66M442.55M
EBIT
-21.04M-21.93M-66.45M-60.06M-138.59M-23.78M
EBITDA
9.88M18.63M-24.26M-18.11M-118.17M23.16M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-70.00M-63.21M-101.86M-68.86M-131.79M-38.25M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
252.92M10.46M14.22M10.39M8.02M8.24M
Total Assets
1.40B905.08M980.78M1.07B1.04B1.16B
Total Debt
0.00440.74M466.88M542.44M454.89M453.41M
Net Debt
-252.92M430.28M452.67M532.05M446.87M445.17M
Total Liabilities
631.62M834.50M850.03M843.18M737.38M738.68M
Stockholders Equity
773.16M70.58M130.75M228.37M301.03M417.75M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-68.69M-19.19M66.58M-41.47M-4.34M-52.30M
Operating Cash Flow
-56.78M-5.12M91.67M2.06M32.88M-16.10M
Investing Cash Flow
-11.12M7.40M-31.04M-42.66M-36.88M-29.59M
Financing Cash Flow
69.60M-5.70M-49.67M45.72M11.80M39.94M

Barnes & Noble Education Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.50
Price Trends
50DMA
9.71
Positive
100DMA
10.33
Positive
200DMA
10.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
60.22
Neutral
STOCH
94.82
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BNED, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.51, above the 50-day MA of 9.71, and above the 200-day MA of 10.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.82 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BNED.

Barnes & Noble Education Risk Analysis

Barnes & Noble Education disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Barnes & Noble Education reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Barnes & Noble Education Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HZHZO
66
Neutral
$442.57M8.115.91%-0.24%-10.33%
65
Neutral
$455.77M-79.06%-6.95%-0.73%
60
Neutral
$6.55B11.403.24%4.25%2.38%-21.28%
50
Neutral
$357.57M-36.88%1.38%63.65%
46
Neutral
$109.71M
-8.04%-791.84%
41
Neutral
$109.71M
-8.04%-791.84%
40
Underperform
$71.96M-45.59%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education
10.50
10.29
4900.00%
NEGG
Newegg Commerce
3.91
-11.81
-75.13%
QVCGA
QVC Group
0.15
-0.83
-84.69%
HZO
Marinemax
22.67
-2.93
-11.45%
QVCGB
QVC Group
5.41
1.41
35.25%
TDUP
thredUP
4.12
2.50
154.32%

Barnes & Noble Education Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 10, 2025 | % Change Since: 21.81% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a period of solid growth and strategic progress for BNED, particularly in its First Day Complete and subscription-like revenue models, which have led to significant EBITDA growth and operational efficiencies. Despite some challenges in general merchandise sales and retail gross margin, the overall sentiment of the call is positive due to the successful implementation of cost-saving measures and the strategic transition to more predictable revenue streams.
Highlights
Strong Growth in First Day Complete Revenue
First Day Complete revenue increased 52% year-over-year to $136 million. Combined First Day programs revenue reached $199 million, marking a 39% growth.
Significant Increase in Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA increased by 28% to $50.3 million, driven by a $13 million decrease in S&A expenses.
Cost Savings Achieved
Achieved planned $30 million to $35 million of annualized cost savings, contributing to improved profitability.
Positive Transition to Subscription Model
First Day and First Day Complete revenues are approaching 50% of course material revenue, offsetting declines in the à la carte model by $30 million on a year-to-date basis.
Retail Segment Performance
Retail adjusted EBITDA increased by 23% with course material comparable store sales growth of 5.8%.
Lowlights
Decline in General Merchandise Sales
Comparable store sales for general merchandise declined by 1.7%, primarily due to declines in trade books and cafe and convenience items.
Retail Gross Margin Decline
Retail gross margin decreased by 70 basis points to 20.9%, due to higher markdowns and a higher percentage of lower-margin digital course material sales.
Company Guidance
During the Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) Fiscal 2024 2nd Quarter Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and insights into its performance and future guidance. The highlight of the quarter was the significant growth in the First Day Complete (FDC) program, which saw a 52% year-over-year revenue increase to $136 million, contributing to a total First Day programs revenue of $199 million. This growth helped offset declines in traditional à la carte courseware sales, with the First Day Complete and First Day revenues approaching 50% of the total course material revenue. This strategic shift has led to improved revenue visibility and operational efficiency, despite the company operating 128 fewer stores. The quarter's total revenue reached $610.4 million, marking a slight increase of 0.3% from the previous year, while consolidated adjusted EBITDA rose by 28.3% to $50.3 million, driven by a $13 million reduction in selling and administrative expenses. Looking ahead, BNED maintains its fiscal 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance of approximately $40 million, expecting continued growth from its retail segment and ongoing cost reduction initiatives.

Barnes & Noble Education Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barnes & Noble Education Raises $40M to Enhance Flexibility
Positive
Jan 10, 2025

Barnes & Noble Education has successfully raised $40 million through an equity offering, aiming to reduce interest expenses, attract new customers, and improve strategic options. Additionally, they filed a $100 million mixed-use shelf offering to enhance financial flexibility and optimize capital structure.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.