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Blackboxstocks Inc. (BLBX)
NASDAQ:BLBX
US Market

Blackboxstocks (BLBX) AI Stock Analysis

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BLBX

Blackboxstocks

(NASDAQ:BLBX)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(25.24% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak fundamentals (large losses and negative cash flow), partially offset by strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation is constrained by negative earnings, while the recent governance-related corporate event is a modest positive.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription revenue model
A subscription-based model creates predictable, recurring revenue and drives customer retention and lifetime value. For a fintech SaaS product this supports steady cash flows as base grows, enables efficient unit economics and scalable margin expansion if churn is controlled.
Very strong TTM revenue growth
A 210% TTM revenue surge signals meaningful demand and product-market fit gains. Sustained top-line expansion gives management options to invest in product, scale distribution, and pursue margin improvements; long-term value depends on converting growth into stable operating leverage.
Moderate leverage and positive equity
Moderate debt and positive equity provide financial flexibility to fund operations, complete strategic transactions, or withstand near-term losses. This capital cushion reduces immediate refinancing risk versus highly leveraged peers and supports execution while profitability is pursued.
Negative Factors
Negative operating cash flow and cash burn
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow means the business consumes cash to run and cannot self-fund growth. Over the medium term this requires external financing or equity issuance, increasing dilution risk and limiting the firm's ability to invest in margins or strategic initiatives.
Deeply negative operating and net margins
Extremely negative margins reflect that current revenues are insufficient to cover fixed and variable costs. Without durable margin recovery, profitability is distant; this constrains reinvestment, weakens returns on capital, and raises the probability of continued value erosion for shareholders.
Authorized share increase and approved stock issuance (dilution risk)
Approval to issue new shares and expand authorized stock tied to a merger is a structural capital action that creates potential dilution. If cash flows remain negative, reliance on equity for financing or merger consideration can dilute existing holders and alter long-term per-share economics.

Blackboxstocks (BLBX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackboxstocks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackboxstocks Inc. develops and markets financial technology and social media hybrid platform. It offers Blackbox System, a subscription-based software as a service that provides real-time proprietary analytics and news for stock and options traders. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackboxstocks generates revenue through a subscription-based model, where users pay a recurring fee to access its trading platform and analytics tools. The company also earns income from data analytics services and potentially through partnerships with brokerage firms or financial institutions that may integrate Blackboxstocks' technology into their own offerings. Additionally, the platform may generate revenue from advertisements or affiliate marketing agreements with related financial services.

Blackboxstocks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite very strong TTM revenue growth (+210%), profitability and cash generation are very weak: gross margin has compressed, operating and net margins are deeply negative, and both operating cash flow and free cash flow remain negative. The balance sheet is comparatively better with moderate leverage and positive equity, but ongoing losses and cash burn are the primary financial risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
BLBX is showing top-line momentum in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth (+210%), but profitability remains very weak. Gross margin has compressed versus prior years (TTM ~39% vs. ~43% in 2024 and ~58–70% in 2021–2022), and operating results are deeply negative (TTM operating and net margins roughly -130% and -158%). Net losses persist across the full history provided, indicating the business has not yet demonstrated a sustainable path to profitability despite the recent revenue rebound.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
The balance sheet is a relative bright spot: leverage is moderate in TTM with debt-to-equity around 0.39 and positive equity (~$4.8M), which provides some financial flexibility. That said, equity has declined from 2023–2024 levels and returns on equity remain sharply negative in TTM (about -82%), reflecting continued losses and erosion of shareholder value. Overall leverage is not excessive, but ongoing losses raise the risk of further balance sheet weakening.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is a key concern. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in both TTM (about -$2.7M) and 2024 (about -$0.7M), indicating the business is still consuming cash to operate. While free cash flow improved versus the prior year (TTM growth is positive), the company has not established consistent cash self-funding, and cash burn expanded materially from 2024 to TTM.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.39M2.57M3.11M4.96M6.11M3.37M
Gross Profit933.66K1.11M1.40M2.86M4.24M2.15M
EBITDA-3.10M-3.32M-4.62M-4.85M-2.21M731.15K
Net Income-3.77M-3.47M-4.66M-5.02M-2.62M-354.91K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.82M9.89M9.83M4.34M11.15M1.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments93.19K17.04K475.65K3.64M10.44M972.83K
Total Debt1.86M304.77K391.85K403.99K1.44M1.36M
Total Liabilities4.03M4.50M2.53M2.16M3.33M2.92M
Stockholders Equity4.78M5.39M7.30M2.18M7.82M-1.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.67M-705.73K-3.17M-4.35M-736.40K142.28K
Operating Cash Flow-2.67M-705.73K-3.17M-4.29M-672.49K143.58K
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.10M3.27M4.40M-8.07M8.52K
Financing Cash Flow2.71M1.35M-56.38K-2.12M10.19M799.55K

Blackboxstocks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.38
Price Trends
50DMA
10.34
Positive
100DMA
9.22
Positive
200DMA
7.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
60.16
Neutral
STOCH
82.20
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLBX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.80, above the 50-day MA of 10.34, and above the 200-day MA of 7.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.20 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BLBX.

Blackboxstocks Risk Analysis

Blackboxstocks disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackboxstocks reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackboxstocks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$51.19M-11.84-68.14%-13.58%-7.29%
54
Neutral
$33.45M-3.70-36.46%-18.37%-1304.71%
47
Neutral
$26.85M-5.84-22.65%5.96%-156.04%
44
Neutral
$18.25M-0.53-301.51%-72.01%12.96%
43
Neutral
$11.64M>-0.01-166.00%347.74%84.88%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLBX
Blackboxstocks
13.10
9.82
299.39%
FTFT
Future FinTech Group
1.63
-7.77
-82.65%
CREX
Creative Realities
3.50
1.08
44.63%
VBIX
ViewBix
1.69
-3.51
-67.50%
CYN
Cyngn
1.43
-5.33
-78.85%
BMR
Beamr Imaging Ltd.
1.69
-1.11
-39.64%

Blackboxstocks Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Blackboxstocks Shareholders Approve Merger Proposals, Reject Reverse Split
Neutral
Feb 3, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Blackboxstocks Inc. held a special meeting of stockholders to vote on a series of proposals tied to its planned merger with REalloys Inc. under an Agreement and Plan of Merger originally signed on March 10, 2025 and subsequently amended several times in 2025. Shareholders approved the issuance of new common stock associated with the merger and the resulting change of control under Nasdaq rules, a new 2025 long-term incentive plan, an increase in authorized common shares from 100 million to 350 million, and the potential adjournment of the meeting if additional proxies were needed. However, a proposed reverse stock split of the company’s common shares, at a ratio between 1-for-2 and 1-for-5, failed to obtain the required separate majority approval of the outstanding common stockholders, even though it received sufficient overall voting stock support. The mixed outcome allows Blackboxstocks to proceed with key elements of the REalloys merger and capital expansion, while leaving its share count and trading dynamics unchanged in the absence of an approved reverse split, highlighting differing preferences between common and preferred shareholders over capital structure adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLBX) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackboxstocks stock, see the BLBX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Blackboxstocks Shareholders Approve Directors and Auditor Slate
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Blackboxstocks Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, at which shareholders elected five directors—Gust Kepler, Robert Winspear, Keller Reid, Grant Evans and Dalya Sulaiman—to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting or until their successors are duly chosen and qualified. Shareholders also ratified the appointment of Victor Mokuolu CPA PLLC as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with all proposals receiving the requisite level of support, signaling solid governance continuity and investor backing for the company’s board and audit oversight arrangements.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLBX) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackboxstocks stock, see the BLBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Blackboxstocks Announces Third Amendment to Merger Agreement
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Blackboxstocks Inc., a Nevada corporation, announced a Third Amendment to its Merger Agreement with REalloys Inc. This amendment involves revising the definition of ‘Shares’ and clarifying the Option Rights and Option Consideration, as well as adding a restrictive covenant regarding the transfer of shares. This development is part of a series of amendments aimed at refining the merger terms and ensuring clarity in the agreement, which could impact the company’s operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLBX) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackboxstocks stock, see the BLBX Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Blackboxstocks Sets Record Date for Annual Meeting
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Blackboxstocks Inc. has announced that the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders will be held on February 2, 2026, with December 10, 2025, set as the record date for determining stockholders entitled to vote. The company has outlined deadlines for nominations and shareholder proposals, emphasizing compliance with SEC rules and regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLBX) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackboxstocks stock, see the BLBX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026