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Blackboxstocks Inc. (BLBX)
NASDAQ:BLBX
US Market

Blackboxstocks (BLBX) AI Stock Analysis

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BLBX

Blackboxstocks

(NASDAQ:BLBX)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(10.79% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by severe ongoing losses and negative/free cash flow despite strong revenue growth, with balance-sheet leverage currently manageable. Technicals are constructive (price above major moving averages, positive MACD) but appear overextended (high RSI/Stoch). Valuation remains constrained by a negative P/E and lack of dividend support.
Positive Factors
High revenue growth
TTM revenue growth of roughly +210% signals rapid user adoption and clear product-market fit for a subscription analytics platform. Durable top-line momentum provides runway to scale R&D, sales, and partnerships, enabling longer-term ARR expansion even before margins recover.
Subscription-based revenue model
A subscription model yields predictable recurring revenue and higher customer lifetime value, supporting retention and upsell strategies. For a fintech platform this fosters longer revenue visibility and makes multi-year investment in product and integrations more economically defensible.
Manageable leverage and positive equity
Moderate leverage and positive equity provide financial flexibility to fund growth or weather cycles without immediate recapitalization. This balance-sheet cushion supports strategic optionality (partnerships, M&A, R&D) over the coming months if cash burn is contained.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow (~-$2.7M TTM) forces dependence on external financing or equity dilution. Over a multi-month horizon this constrains product and go-to-market investment, increases financing risk, and limits the company's ability to self-fund a path to profitability.
Deeply negative margins
Compressed gross margin and very large negative operating/net margins indicate revenue is not converting to profit. Without structural improvements to pricing, cost structure, or customer mix, these margin deficits will keep cash burn elevated and undermine sustainable profitability.
Erosion of shareholder value
A sharply negative ROE (~-82%) and falling equity reflect ongoing net losses that erode shareholder capital. Over months this reduces strategic flexibility, raises insolvency risk if losses continue, and can pressure management toward dilutive financing or asset sales.

Blackboxstocks (BLBX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackboxstocks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackboxstocks Inc. develops and markets financial technology and social media hybrid platform. It offers Blackbox System, a subscription-based software as a service that provides real-time proprietary analytics and news for stock and options traders. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackboxstocks generates revenue through a subscription-based model, where users pay a recurring fee to access its trading platform and analytics tools. The company also earns income from data analytics services and potentially through partnerships with brokerage firms or financial institutions that may integrate Blackboxstocks' technology into their own offerings. Additionally, the platform may generate revenue from advertisements or affiliate marketing agreements with related financial services.

Blackboxstocks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite very strong TTM revenue growth (+210%), profitability and cash generation remain very weak: gross margin has compressed (TTM ~39%), operating/net margins are deeply negative (about -130%/-158%), and operating/free cash flow are negative with increased cash burn versus 2024. The balance sheet is comparatively better with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.39) and positive equity, but ongoing losses and negative ROE (~-82%) are a material risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
BLBX is showing top-line momentum in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth (+210%), but profitability remains very weak. Gross margin has compressed versus prior years (TTM ~39% vs. ~43% in 2024 and ~58–70% in 2021–2022), and operating results are deeply negative (TTM operating and net margins roughly -130% and -158%). Net losses persist across the full history provided, indicating the business has not yet demonstrated a sustainable path to profitability despite the recent revenue rebound.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
The balance sheet is a relative bright spot: leverage is moderate in TTM with debt-to-equity around 0.39 and positive equity (~$4.8M), which provides some financial flexibility. That said, equity has declined from 2023–2024 levels and returns on equity remain sharply negative in TTM (about -82%), reflecting continued losses and erosion of shareholder value. Overall leverage is not excessive, but ongoing losses raise the risk of further balance sheet weakening.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is a key concern. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in both TTM (about -$2.7M) and 2024 (about -$0.7M), indicating the business is still consuming cash to operate. While free cash flow improved versus the prior year (TTM growth is positive), the company has not established consistent cash self-funding, and cash burn expanded materially from 2024 to TTM.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.39M2.57M3.11M4.96M6.11M3.37M
Gross Profit933.66K1.11M1.40M2.86M4.24M2.15M
EBITDA-3.10M-3.32M-4.62M-4.85M-2.21M731.15K
Net Income-3.77M-3.47M-4.66M-5.02M-2.62M-354.91K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.82M9.89M9.83M4.34M11.15M1.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments93.19K17.04K475.65K3.64M10.44M972.83K
Total Debt1.86M304.77K391.85K403.99K1.44M1.36M
Total Liabilities4.03M4.50M2.53M2.16M3.33M2.92M
Stockholders Equity4.78M5.39M7.30M2.18M7.82M-1.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.67M-705.73K-3.17M-4.35M-736.40K142.28K
Operating Cash Flow-2.67M-705.73K-3.17M-4.29M-672.49K143.58K
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.10M3.27M4.40M-8.07M8.52K
Financing Cash Flow2.71M1.35M-56.38K-2.12M10.19M799.55K

Blackboxstocks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.38
Price Trends
50DMA
9.07
Positive
100DMA
8.46
Positive
200DMA
6.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.07
Negative
RSI
57.30
Neutral
STOCH
67.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLBX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.84, above the 50-day MA of 9.07, and above the 200-day MA of 6.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BLBX.

Blackboxstocks Risk Analysis

Blackboxstocks disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackboxstocks reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackboxstocks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$34.82M-3.83-36.46%-18.37%-1304.71%
50
Neutral
$55.71M-11.18-68.14%-13.58%-7.29%
47
Neutral
$30.73M-7.02-22.65%5.96%-156.04%
44
Neutral
$20.27M-0.59-301.51%-72.01%12.96%
41
Neutral
$15.63M>-0.01-166.00%347.74%84.88%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLBX
Blackboxstocks
11.64
8.25
243.36%
FTFT
Future FinTech Group
2.18
-8.34
-79.28%
CREX
Creative Realities
3.33
0.84
33.73%
VBIX
ViewBix
1.91
-2.25
-54.09%
CYN
Cyngn
1.73
-48.27
-96.54%
BMR
Beamr Imaging Ltd.
2.07
-1.52
-42.34%

Blackboxstocks Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Blackboxstocks Announces Third Amendment to Merger Agreement
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Blackboxstocks Inc., a Nevada corporation, announced a Third Amendment to its Merger Agreement with REalloys Inc. This amendment involves revising the definition of ‘Shares’ and clarifying the Option Rights and Option Consideration, as well as adding a restrictive covenant regarding the transfer of shares. This development is part of a series of amendments aimed at refining the merger terms and ensuring clarity in the agreement, which could impact the company’s operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLBX) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackboxstocks stock, see the BLBX Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Blackboxstocks Sets Record Date for Annual Meeting
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Blackboxstocks Inc. has announced that the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders will be held on February 2, 2026, with December 10, 2025, set as the record date for determining stockholders entitled to vote. The company has outlined deadlines for nominations and shareholder proposals, emphasizing compliance with SEC rules and regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLBX) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackboxstocks stock, see the BLBX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026