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Butterfly Network (BFLY)
NYSE:BFLY
US Market

Butterfly Network (BFLY) AI Stock Analysis

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BFLY

Butterfly Network

(NYSE:BFLY)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(9.59% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is held back mainly by persistent large losses and still-negative free cash flow despite meaningful improvements in cash burn and revenue growth. The earnings call was a notable positive, driven by record Q4 results, improved margins/cash flow, and strong FY2026 growth guidance, while technical signals are neutral and valuation remains challenged due to unprofitability; the warrant delisting is an additional (smaller) risk factor.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth and FY2026 guidance
Management's FY2026 revenue guidance (~+20–24%) builds on FY2025 growth, signaling durable top-line momentum from core POCUS volume and Embedded contributions. Sustained double-digit growth supports scaling operating leverage, broader market adoption, and a clearer path to higher recurring revenue over multiple years.
Software & services mix expansion
Rapid software/services growth to 43% of revenue increases recurring, higher-margin revenue and customer stickiness. A larger software mix reduces reliance on one-time device sales, improves lifetime value, and supports predictable cash generation and margin stability as the platform and Embedded partnerships scale.
Material cash balance and sharply lower cash burn
A sizable cash balance and much lower annual cash use provide multi-quarter runway to fund R&D, commercialization, and Embedded rollouts without immediate refinancing. Improved liquidity and low leverage give the company flexibility to invest in growth initiatives while absorbing execution timing variability.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitability
Despite revenue gains, very large net losses and a deeply negative margin profile mean the business is not yet self-funding. Continued negative earnings pressure equity, constrains free cash flow conversion, and raises the risk of future dilution or financing requirements if operating momentum stalls.
Embedded and home-care timing uncertainty
Significant upside is tied to Embedded commercialization and future chip sales, but much of the Midjourney contribution is pre-commercial with monetization expected in later years. Delays or slower ramp would postpone material revenue and margin benefits, extending the timeline to profitability.
Product-mix and international weakness
Sharp declines in legacy iQ+ sales and weak international results highlight product-transition and geographic execution risks. Adverse mix shifts can pressure near-term margins and unit economics, while slower global adoption limits TAM capture and the company's ability to realize scale benefits outside the U.S.

Butterfly Network (BFLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Butterfly Network Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionButterfly Network, Inc., a digital health company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes ultrasound imaging solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers Butterfly iQ, a handheld and single-probe whole body ultrasound system; Butterfly iQ+, a point-of-care ultrasound imaging device that connects with a smartphone, tablet, and hospital computer system; and Butterfly Blueprint, a system-wide ultrasound platform with Compass software that integrates into a healthcare system's clinical and administrative infrastructure. The company also provides Butterfly system, which includes probes, and related accessories and software subscriptions, to healthcare systems, physicians, and healthcare providers through a direct sales force, distributors, and eCommerce channel. In addition, it offers cloud-based software solutions to healthcare systems, teleguidance, in-app educational tutorials, and formal education programs through its Butterfly Academy software, as well as clinical support and services. Butterfly Network, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Guilford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyButterfly Network generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Butterfly iQ ultrasound devices and associated software subscriptions. The company operates on a direct sales model, targeting hospitals, clinics, and healthcare providers that require ultrasound imaging solutions. Additionally, Butterfly Network offers a subscription-based software service that provides users with access to advanced imaging features and cloud-based data storage, enhancing the functionality of their devices. Strategic partnerships with healthcare organizations and technology companies also contribute to revenue by expanding market reach and integrating their ultrasound solutions into existing healthcare systems.

Butterfly Network Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsButterfly Network's U.S. revenue shows a strong upward trend, bolstered by increased average selling prices and volume, aligning with the company's strategic focus on AI and new product launches. International revenue, while recovering from a dip, is gaining momentum, reflecting successful global expansion efforts. Despite macroeconomic challenges and delayed deals, the company remains optimistic about its growth trajectory, supported by innovative developments like the P5.1 chip and Compass AI. The recent earnings call underscores confidence in achieving high-end revenue guidance and future market expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Butterfly Network Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted a strong turnaround in Q4 and FY2025 with record quarterly revenue (+41% YoY), significant margin and cash-flow improvements, a transformative Embedded partnership (Midjourney), an expanding software mix (+76% YoY for software & services) and clear R&D progress (P5.1 in production, Apollo in development). Challenges remain including international softness, a steep decline in iQ+ sales, continued adjusted EBITDA losses (albeit improved), and timing uncertainty for Embedded commercialization and home-care revenue. Overall the positive operational and financial momentum, solid cash position, and strategic partnerships materially outweigh the near-term and execution risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Q4 2025 revenue of $31.5M, a 41% year-over-year increase and the highest quarterly revenue in company history.
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Total revenue for FY2025 of $97.6M, up 19% versus FY2024, driven by core POCUS volume increases and Butterfly Embedded contribution.
Strong U.S. Performance
U.S. revenue in Q4 of $26.8M, up 55% year-over-year, with U.S. unit sales up 44%.
Software & Services Momentum
Software and other services revenue in Q4 of $13.4M, up 76% year-over-year; software & services mix increased to 43% of revenue from 34% in Q4 2024.
Improved Gross Profit and Margin
Q4 gross profit of $21.2M, a 55% increase vs prior year; gross margin improved to 67% from 61%, helped by higher-margin Embedded revenue and lower software amortization.
Adjusted EBITDA and Cash Flow Improvement
Q4 adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $3.2M from $9.1M a year earlier (65% improvement). FY2025 adjusted EBITDA loss improved 32% to $26.5M from $38.9M. Company generated positive free cash flow of $6.3M in Q4.
Lower Cash Burn and Strong Balance Sheet
Cash and cash equivalents (including restricted cash) at year-end were $154.5M. Cash use in 2025 was $19.4M versus $45.9M in 2024, an improvement of $26.4M — the lowest annual cash use in company history.
Butterfly Embedded / Midjourney Deal
Signed a $74M Midjourney contract (announced Nov 2025) that contributed $6.8M of Q4 revenue; partnership provides upfront payments, annual license fees, milestone work and potential future chip sales and revenue share.
Enterprise Product & Pipeline Momentum
Compass AI launch in Q4 boosted the enterprise pipeline by more than 50%; company closed a second large system-wide enterprise deal in Q4 and reported record probe sales.
Regulatory & Security Milestones
Achieved GovRAMP and TXRAMP in the U.S.; FedRAMP anticipated soon. HeartFocus became the first FDA-cleared Butterfly Garden app in 2025; beam-steering API (enabling 3D imaging for partners) planned for H1 2026.
R&D and Chip Roadmap Progress
5th-generation P5.1 chip moved to production by year-end 2025; Apollo architecture under development aiming for ~20x current data rate and compute performance, enabling future capabilities and Embedded partnerships.
FY2026 Growth Guidance
Management guided FY2026 revenue of $117M–$121M (approximately +20%–24% YoY) and expected adjusted EBITDA loss of $21M–$25M, reflecting continued growth and investment in Embedded and core businesses.
Negative Updates
International Revenue Weakness
Total international revenue decreased 6% year-over-year to $4.7M in Q4 2025; product mix shifts contributed to weakness in international sales.
iQ+ Sales Decline
Sales of the iQ+ declined 79% year-over-year in Q4, while iQ3 sales rose 42% YoY — indicating product mix challenges and replacement by higher-end models.
Adjusted EBITDA Still Negative
Although improved, adjusted EBITDA remained a loss of $3.2M in Q4 and $26.5M for FY2025, indicating ongoing path-to-profitability work is required.
Timing and Commercialization Uncertainty for Embedded Revenue
Midjourney contributed pre-commercial revenue in 2025, but commercialization, chip sales, and revenue-share upside are expected in outer years of the 5-year plan — timing and magnitude remain uncertain.
Home Care Revenue Timing
Commercial agreement for home care expected in H1 2026 but revenue is expected to be nominal in 2026 with meaningful ramp likely in late 2026 into 2027, creating delayed near-term revenue impact.
Macroeconomic and Tariff Headwinds
Tariffs initiated in 2025 create modest downward pressure and unpredictability; prior government/FDA delays impacted purchasing cycles (though management reports these effects are abating).
Q1 Seasonality and Near-Term Expense Bump
Q1 is typically slower and management expects revenue of $24M–$28M with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $8M–$10M due to seasonal payroll tax/401(k) resets and sales meetings, indicating a short-term earnings headwind.
Company Guidance
The company guided Q1 2026 revenue of $24–$28 million (noting Q1 seasonality) and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $8–$10 million, and for full-year 2026 expects revenue of $117–$121 million (approximately 20%–24% growth vs. 2025 revenue of $97.6 million) with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $21–$25 million; guidance incorporates updated accounting and continued investment in Butterfly Embedded (including the $74 million Midjourney contract), planned R&D and embedded investments, and the modest impact of 2025 tariffs.

Butterfly Network Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing (FY2025 ~$97.6M, up ~19% YoY) and operating cash burn improved sharply (operating CF about -$12.7M in 2025 vs ~-$41.7M in 2024), supported by relatively low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.09). However, profitability remains the key weakness with very large losses (2025 net margin ~-79%) and sharply negative ROE (~-39%), keeping the business far from self-funding.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue has improved meaningfully over time (2025: ~$97.6M, up ~10% YoY; 2024 was essentially flat), but profitability remains a clear weak point. Gross margin stayed solid in 2024–2025 (~59.5% to ~46.9%), yet the company continues to post very large operating and net losses (2025 net margin ~-79%; 2024 ~-88%). Losses have narrowed versus the extreme 2022–2023 period, but the earnings profile is still far from break-even and margins remain highly negative.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage appears manageable with relatively low debt versus equity in recent years (debt-to-equity ~0.09 in 2025 and ~0.14 in 2024), providing financial flexibility compared with more highly levered peers. However, ongoing losses are pressuring shareholder returns (return on equity remains sharply negative, ~-39% in 2025), and equity has trended down from earlier years—highlighting the risk that continued losses could erode the capital base over time.
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
Cash burn remains a concern, but the trajectory has improved substantially: operating cash flow was about -$12.7M in 2025 versus roughly -$41.7M in 2024 and much larger outflows in 2022–2023. Free cash flow is still negative (about -$16.0M in 2025), and it worsened versus 2024 (FCF growth ~-41.7%), suggesting reinvestment and/or working-capital demands are still heavy. Overall, liquidity performance is improving, but the business is not yet self-funding.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue97.61M82.06M65.90M73.39M62.56M
Gross Profit45.73M48.83M16.86M39.46M17.05M
EBITDA-67.38M-60.92M-123.04M-162.74M-29.55M
Net Income-77.06M-72.49M-133.70M-168.72M-32.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets296.53M256.08M304.27M417.57M571.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments150.49M88.78M134.64M237.81M422.84M
Total Debt20.40M22.84M25.03M31.89M29.08M
Total Liabilities100.55M87.25M84.22M92.21M124.27M
Stockholders Equity195.98M168.83M220.05M325.36M447.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.05M-44.40M-104.60M-187.42M-197.06M
Operating Cash Flow-12.70M-41.71M-98.82M-169.12M-189.19M
Investing Cash Flow-3.35M-2.66M70.41M-93.78M-9.87M
Financing Cash Flow77.76M-1.50M228.00K2.88M565.69M

Butterfly Network Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.65
Price Trends
50DMA
3.83
Negative
100DMA
3.24
Positive
200DMA
2.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
50.59
Neutral
STOCH
46.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.40, below the 50-day MA of 3.83, and above the 200-day MA of 2.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BFLY.

Butterfly Network Risk Analysis

Butterfly Network disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Butterfly Network reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Butterfly Network Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$753.15M21.814.97%1.58%
55
Neutral
$450.47M-10.51-12.67%19.90%-57.90%
55
Neutral
$957.42M-12.19-42.25%16.04%28.91%
52
Neutral
$527.10M52.93-13.95%4.14%-45.29%
52
Neutral
$673.40M-15.00-30.83%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
43
Neutral
$89.78M-2.63-51.63%7.90%19.92%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFLY
Butterfly Network
3.65
0.80
28.07%
VREX
Varex Imaging
11.53
-1.28
-9.99%
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
18.05
-7.30
-28.80%
BVS
Bioventus
8.41
-0.79
-8.59%
TMCI
Treace Medical Concepts
1.43
-7.14
-83.31%
CBLL
Ceribell, Inc.
17.83
-4.86
-21.42%

Butterfly Network Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Butterfly Network warrants delisted while common stock remains
Negative
Jan 14, 2026

On January 13–14, 2026, Butterfly Network, Inc. disclosed that the New York Stock Exchange had determined to delist and immediately suspend trading of the company’s publicly traded warrants, ticker “BFLY WS,” citing abnormally low selling price levels under Section 802.01D of the NYSE Listed Company Manual. The warrants, originally issued in connection with Butterfly’s February 16, 2021 business combination with Longview Acquisition Corp., are exercisable for Class A common shares at $11.50 per share and are scheduled to expire on February 12, 2026; Butterfly emphasized that it does not believe the delisting reflects its operating performance and clarified that trading in its Class A common stock under the ticker “BFLY” on the NYSE will continue unaffected, limiting the impact primarily to holders of the warrants rather than common shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFLY) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Butterfly Network stock, see the BFLY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026