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Bankfinancial Corp. (BFIN)
NASDAQ:BFIN
US Market

Bankfinancial (BFIN) AI Stock Analysis

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BFIN

Bankfinancial

(NASDAQ:BFIN)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(5.72% Upside)
Bankfinancial's overall score reflects a stable financial position with positive technical indicators. However, high valuation and legal challenges related to the merger weigh on the score. The company's ability to address operational inefficiencies and legal issues will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Merger Approval
The merger with First Financial Bancorp is expected to provide strategic benefits and enhance market position, supporting long-term growth.
Strong Equity Base
A strong equity base and low leverage provide financial stability and flexibility, supporting sustainable growth and resilience against market fluctuations.
Dividend Declaration
Consistent dividend payments indicate a commitment to returning value to shareholders and reflect confidence in the company's financial health.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability Margins
Decreasing profitability margins suggest operational inefficiencies, which may hinder long-term financial performance if not addressed.
Cash Flow Challenges
Weak cash flow generation limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, impacting financial flexibility.
Legal Challenges
Ongoing legal issues related to the merger could lead to financial and reputational risks, potentially affecting future strategic initiatives.

Bankfinancial (BFIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bankfinancial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBankfinancial (BFIN) is a financial services institution that provides a wide range of banking products and services, including personal and commercial banking, mortgage lending, wealth management, and investment advisory services. Catering to both individual and business clients, Bankfinancial is dedicated to delivering innovative financial solutions while maintaining a strong commitment to customer service and community engagement. The company operates primarily in the retail banking sector, with a focus on enhancing financial literacy and providing accessible banking options.
How the Company Makes MoneyBankfinancial generates revenue through several key streams: interest income from loans and mortgages, fees from account services and transactions, and earnings from investment management services. The majority of its revenue comes from the interest rate spread between the interest it earns on loans and the interest it pays on deposits. Additionally, Bankfinancial earns significant income from service fees related to account maintenance, ATM usage, and overdraft services. The company also benefits from partnerships with other financial institutions and technology firms, which enhance its service offerings and broaden its customer base, thereby contributing to its overall profitability.

Bankfinancial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 31, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in commercial finance and stable credit quality, but it was overshadowed by declines in loan originations, tight market spreads, and significant shareholder unrest about long-term performance and strategic direction. The management showed a focus on operational efficiency, but the challenges in the competitive market and shareholder concerns were prominent.
Q4-2023 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Commercial Finance Growth
The commercial finance segment showed promising growth with increased resource allocation and a focus on expanding the pipeline, particularly in the health care and lessor finance sectors.
Equipment Finance Repositioning
Successfully repositioned $200 million from Equipment Finance into higher-rate originations, with expectations of $130 million cash flows in 2024 leading to an increase in yields by 200 to 250 basis points.
Stable Credit Quality
Credit quality remained stable with non-performing assets improving, and further enhancement expected as specific equipment deals are resolved.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Control
Expenses projected between $41 million to $42.5 million, with efforts to optimize marketing expenses and manage inflationary pressures.
Negative Updates
Loan Originations and Interest Income Decline
A decline in loan originations and intra-period line activity led to a $200,000 decrease in interest income in Q4 2023.
Tight Spreads and Competitive Market
Facing tight spreads in high-quality investment-grade corporates and competitive pressures in the middle market and small-ticket spaces.
Shareholder Concerns and Strategic Direction
Shareholders expressed dissatisfaction with long-term stock performance and suggested exploring strategic alternatives such as selling the bank.
Uncertainty in Real Estate and Equipment Finance Sectors
Real estate originations declined due to high interest rates, and there are some uncertainties in equipment finance utilization and credit quality concerns in leasing portfolios.
Company Guidance
During the BankFinancial Corp. earnings call for the fourth quarter of 2023, CEO Morgan Gasior provided detailed guidance for the upcoming year. The company plans to focus on growing its commercial finance sector by reallocating resources, with a goal of tripling personnel compared to early 2023. Despite steady commercial finance balances, fourth-quarter draw activity was lower, impacting intra-quarter interest income. The bank anticipates a $130 million cash flow from the Equipment Finance portfolio in 2024, aiming to reposition these funds to enhance yields by 200-250 basis points. They have observed stabilization in deposits, targeting a loan-to-deposit ratio of 90% and projecting loan growth between 5% and 8%. For 2024, BankFinancial expects expenses to range between $41 million and $42.5 million, influenced by origination levels and marketing investments. The company is also focusing on maintaining net interest margin stability in the first half of the year, with potential expansion in the latter half as cash flows are reinvested.

Bankfinancial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bankfinancial demonstrates a stable financial position with low leverage and efficient cash management. However, the company faces challenges in revenue growth and operational efficiency, as indicated by declining revenue and negative EBITDA margins.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bankfinancial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate at -1.15%, suggesting challenges in revenue generation. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of approximately 66%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is modest at 6.05%, reflecting moderate profitability. The EBIT margin is relatively low at 7.27%, and the EBITDA margin is negative, highlighting potential operational inefficiencies or high non-cash expenses.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating low leverage and prudent financial management. The return on equity (ROE) is modest at 2.82%, suggesting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's low debt levels imply a strong equity position.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 46.93% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.56%, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 71.81%, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue72.71M74.38M71.17M61.27M52.26M58.24M
Gross Profit46.61M49.22M56.53M54.96M50.70M51.20M
EBITDA-8.25M5.18M14.29M15.10M11.83M14.55M
Net Income2.32M4.07M9.39M10.49M7.41M9.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.43B1.49B1.58B1.70B1.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments632.09M414.82M361.20M277.11M587.86M527.33M
Total Debt28.27M38.74M44.68M19.63M24.59M8.00M
Total Liabilities1.30B1.28B1.33B1.42B1.54B1.42B
Stockholders Equity157.35M156.38M155.38M151.67M157.47M172.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.68M5.47M7.35M7.35M5.43M11.51M
Operating Cash Flow3.44M7.56M9.22M9.29M7.77M13.52M
Investing Cash Flow-92.36M-46.14M197.92M-316.77M-101.13M199.07M
Financing Cash Flow33.39M-55.08M-95.43M-127.91M92.03M100.58M

Bankfinancial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.77
Price Trends
50DMA
11.70
Positive
100DMA
11.79
Positive
200DMA
11.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Positive
RSI
54.92
Neutral
STOCH
28.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.35, above the 50-day MA of 11.70, and above the 200-day MA of 11.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BFIN.

Bankfinancial Risk Analysis

Bankfinancial disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bankfinancial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bankfinancial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$159.58M19.335.05%0.97%-7.20%-29.17%
72
Outperform
$146.09M13.137.60%4.29%7.54%25.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$153.89M66.431.46%3.23%-2.62%-70.70%
58
Neutral
$142.48M172.290.86%7.74%-8.73%-95.86%
55
Neutral
$192.03M-0.62-35.87%-11.99%63.64%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFIN
Bankfinancial
12.35
0.26
2.15%
BCBP
BCB Bancorp
8.27
-2.56
-23.64%
PNBK
Patriot National Bancorp
1.67
-0.27
-13.92%
RMBI
Richmond Mutual Bancorporation
13.98
0.85
6.47%
FNWD
Finward Bancorp
36.88
8.53
30.09%
ECBK
ECB Bancorp, Inc.
17.25
2.35
15.77%

Bankfinancial Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
BankFinancial Shareholders Approve Merger with First Financial
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

At a special meeting of stockholders held on December 18, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation shareholders voted on key items related to the company’s planned merger with First Financial Bancorp. Approximately 74% of the company’s outstanding common shares were represented in person or by proxy. Stockholders overwhelmingly approved the merger agreement, including the merger of BankFinancial Corporation with and into First Financial Bancorp, with more than 9.1 million votes cast in favor and minimal opposition, signaling strong investor support for the transaction and its anticipated strategic benefits. In a separate advisory vote, a substantial majority of shareholders also approved the merger-related compensation that will or may be paid to the company’s named executive officers, indicating broad acceptance of the executive pay arrangements tied to the deal. Because there were already sufficient votes to approve the merger, a proposed contingency measure to adjourn the meeting to solicit additional proxies was not acted upon.

M&A TransactionsLegal Proceedings
BankFinancial Faces Lawsuits Over Merger Proxy Statements
Negative
Dec 5, 2025

On August 11, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation announced a merger agreement with First Financial Bancorp, where BankFinancial would merge into First Financial, with the latter continuing as the surviving entity. Following the merger announcement, BankFinancial faced lawsuits from purported stockholders alleging misleading proxy statements related to the merger. To address these claims and avoid litigation delays, BankFinancial made additional disclosures, although it denies any wrongdoing.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Bankfinancial Amends Executive Agreement Amid Merger Plans
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 7, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation and First Financial Bancorp. announced an amendment to the employment agreement with Gregg T. Adams, President of the Marketing & Sales Division, in connection with their merger agreement dated August 11, 2025. The amendment outlines severance payment conditions for Mr. Adams, contingent on his continued employment through September 30, 2026, with adjustments to avoid excess parachute payments under tax regulations.

Dividends
BankFinancial Declares Cash Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.10 per common share, payable on November 28, 2025, to stockholders of record on November 14, 2025. The Board will evaluate future dividends considering regulatory requirements and other factors, impacting the company’s financial strategies and stakeholder interests.

Financial Disclosures
BankFinancial Releases Q3 2025 Quarterly Report
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation released its Quarterly Report for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, along with a financial and statistical supplement covering the latest five quarters. The report highlights the company’s financial performance, including metrics such as return on assets and equity, net interest margin, and efficiency ratio. The data indicates a mixed performance with fluctuations in key financial indicators, reflecting the company’s ongoing adjustments in a dynamic market environment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025