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Bankfinancial Corp. (BFIN)
NASDAQ:BFIN
US Market
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Bankfinancial (BFIN) AI Stock Analysis

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BFIN

Bankfinancial

(NASDAQ:BFIN)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▼(-8.94% Downside)
Bankfinancial's overall score is primarily impacted by its stable financial structure but is weighed down by declining profitability margins and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, though the dividend yield offers some appeal.
Positive Factors
Stable Financial Position
Bankfinancial's low leverage indicates prudent financial management, providing a buffer against economic downturns and allowing for strategic investments.
Efficient Cash Management
Strong free cash flow growth enhances Bankfinancial's ability to reinvest in the business, pay dividends, or reduce debt, supporting long-term financial health.
Gross Profit Margin
A stable gross profit margin suggests effective cost controls, allowing Bankfinancial to maintain profitability even when revenue growth is challenged.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth could limit Bankfinancial's ability to expand and invest in new opportunities, impacting long-term competitiveness.
Negative EBITDA Margin
A negative EBITDA margin indicates operational challenges, which may hinder profitability and require strategic adjustments to improve efficiency.
Low Return on Equity
Low ROE may indicate that Bankfinancial is not effectively using shareholder funds to generate profits, potentially impacting investor confidence and future capital raising.

Bankfinancial (BFIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bankfinancial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBankFinancial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for BankFinancial, National Association that provides various commercial, family, and personal banking products and services. The company accepts various deposit products, including savings, NOW, checking, money market, IRA, and other retirement accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. Its loan products include multi-family and nonresidential real estate, construction and land, and commercial loans and leases; one-to-four family residential mortgage loans, including home equity loans and lines of credit; and consumer loans. The company also provides cash management, funds transfer, bill payment, other online and mobile banking transactions, automated teller machines, safe deposit boxes, trust, wealth management, and general insurance agency services. In addition, it offers financial planning services; and sells property and casualty, and other insurance products on an agency basis. The company operates 19 full-service banking offices located in Cook, DuPage, Lake, and Will Counties, Illinois. BankFinancial Corporation was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Burr Ridge, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyBankfinancial generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income on loans and mortgages, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The bank charges interest on various types of loans, including personal loans, business loans, and home mortgages, which are typically higher than the interest paid on customer deposits. Additionally, Bankfinancial earns fees from services such as account maintenance, ATM usage, and transaction fees, which contribute to its non-interest income. The bank may also engage in investment banking activities and wealth management services, providing advisory services and earning commissions on investment products. Strategic partnerships with fintech companies and other financial service providers may enhance its product offerings and attract new customers, further boosting its revenue. Overall, Bankfinancial's diverse revenue model is supported by its broad range of financial products and services tailored to meet the needs of its customers.

Bankfinancial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 31, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in commercial finance and stable credit quality, but it was overshadowed by declines in loan originations, tight market spreads, and significant shareholder unrest about long-term performance and strategic direction. The management showed a focus on operational efficiency, but the challenges in the competitive market and shareholder concerns were prominent.
Q4-2023 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Commercial Finance Growth
The commercial finance segment showed promising growth with increased resource allocation and a focus on expanding the pipeline, particularly in the health care and lessor finance sectors.
Equipment Finance Repositioning
Successfully repositioned $200 million from Equipment Finance into higher-rate originations, with expectations of $130 million cash flows in 2024 leading to an increase in yields by 200 to 250 basis points.
Stable Credit Quality
Credit quality remained stable with non-performing assets improving, and further enhancement expected as specific equipment deals are resolved.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Control
Expenses projected between $41 million to $42.5 million, with efforts to optimize marketing expenses and manage inflationary pressures.
Negative Updates
Loan Originations and Interest Income Decline
A decline in loan originations and intra-period line activity led to a $200,000 decrease in interest income in Q4 2023.
Tight Spreads and Competitive Market
Facing tight spreads in high-quality investment-grade corporates and competitive pressures in the middle market and small-ticket spaces.
Shareholder Concerns and Strategic Direction
Shareholders expressed dissatisfaction with long-term stock performance and suggested exploring strategic alternatives such as selling the bank.
Uncertainty in Real Estate and Equipment Finance Sectors
Real estate originations declined due to high interest rates, and there are some uncertainties in equipment finance utilization and credit quality concerns in leasing portfolios.
Company Guidance
During the BankFinancial Corp. earnings call for the fourth quarter of 2023, CEO Morgan Gasior provided detailed guidance for the upcoming year. The company plans to focus on growing its commercial finance sector by reallocating resources, with a goal of tripling personnel compared to early 2023. Despite steady commercial finance balances, fourth-quarter draw activity was lower, impacting intra-quarter interest income. The bank anticipates a $130 million cash flow from the Equipment Finance portfolio in 2024, aiming to reposition these funds to enhance yields by 200-250 basis points. They have observed stabilization in deposits, targeting a loan-to-deposit ratio of 90% and projecting loan growth between 5% and 8%. For 2024, BankFinancial expects expenses to range between $41 million and $42.5 million, influenced by origination levels and marketing investments. The company is also focusing on maintaining net interest margin stability in the first half of the year, with potential expansion in the latter half as cash flows are reinvested.

Bankfinancial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bankfinancial demonstrates a stable financial position with low leverage and efficient cash management. However, the company faces challenges in revenue growth and operational efficiency, as indicated by declining revenue and negative EBITDA margins.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bankfinancial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate at -1.15%, suggesting challenges in revenue generation. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of approximately 66%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is modest at 6.05%, reflecting moderate profitability. The EBIT margin is relatively low at 7.27%, and the EBITDA margin is negative, highlighting potential operational inefficiencies or high non-cash expenses.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating low leverage and prudent financial management. The return on equity (ROE) is modest at 2.82%, suggesting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's low debt levels imply a strong equity position.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 46.93% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.56%, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 71.81%, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue72.71M74.38M71.17M61.27M52.26M58.24M
Gross Profit46.61M49.22M56.53M54.96M50.70M51.20M
EBITDA-8.25M5.18M14.29M15.10M11.83M14.55M
Net Income2.32M4.07M9.39M10.49M7.41M9.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.43B1.49B1.58B1.70B1.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments632.09M414.82M361.20M277.11M587.86M527.33M
Total Debt28.27M38.74M44.68M19.63M24.59M8.00M
Total Liabilities1.30B1.28B1.33B1.42B1.54B1.42B
Stockholders Equity157.35M156.38M155.38M151.67M157.47M172.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.68M5.47M7.35M7.35M5.43M11.51M
Operating Cash Flow3.44M7.56M9.22M9.29M7.77M13.52M
Investing Cash Flow-92.36M-46.14M197.92M-316.77M-101.13M199.07M
Financing Cash Flow33.39M-55.08M-95.43M-127.91M92.03M100.58M

Bankfinancial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.08
Price Trends
50DMA
11.55
Positive
100DMA
11.62
Positive
200DMA
11.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
65.90
Neutral
STOCH
92.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.44, above the 50-day MA of 11.55, and above the 200-day MA of 11.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BFIN.

Bankfinancial Risk Analysis

Bankfinancial disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bankfinancial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bankfinancial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$164.64M19.955.05%1.20%-7.20%-29.17%
68
Neutral
$141.81M12.757.60%4.24%7.54%25.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
55
Neutral
$137.99M-0.13-35.87%-11.99%63.64%
54
Neutral
$138.81M59.921.46%3.38%-2.62%-70.70%
54
Neutral
$138.00M166.880.86%7.94%-8.73%-95.86%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFIN
Bankfinancial
12.08
-1.15
-8.69%
BCBP
BCB Bancorp
8.25
-4.01
-32.71%
PNBK
Patriot National Bancorp
1.34
-0.86
-39.09%
RMBI
Richmond Mutual Bancorporation
14.16
-0.08
-0.56%
FNWD
Finward Bancorp
39.93
9.29
30.32%
ECBK
ECB Bancorp, Inc.
16.88
1.51
9.82%

Bankfinancial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Bankfinancial Amends Executive Agreement Amid Merger Plans
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 7, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation and First Financial Bancorp. announced an amendment to the employment agreement with Gregg T. Adams, President of the Marketing & Sales Division, in connection with their merger agreement dated August 11, 2025. The amendment outlines severance payment conditions for Mr. Adams, contingent on his continued employment through September 30, 2026, with adjustments to avoid excess parachute payments under tax regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFIN) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bankfinancial stock, see the BFIN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
BankFinancial Declares Cash Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.10 per common share, payable on November 28, 2025, to stockholders of record on November 14, 2025. The Board will evaluate future dividends considering regulatory requirements and other factors, impacting the company’s financial strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFIN) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bankfinancial stock, see the BFIN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
BankFinancial Releases Q3 2025 Quarterly Report
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation released its Quarterly Report for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, along with a financial and statistical supplement covering the latest five quarters. The report highlights the company’s financial performance, including metrics such as return on assets and equity, net interest margin, and efficiency ratio. The data indicates a mixed performance with fluctuations in key financial indicators, reflecting the company’s ongoing adjustments in a dynamic market environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFIN) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bankfinancial stock, see the BFIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025