Bankfinancial Corp. (BFIN)
NASDAQ:BFIN
US Market
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Bankfinancial (BFIN) AI Stock Analysis

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BFIN

Bankfinancial

(NASDAQ:BFIN)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(9.55% Upside)
Bankfinancial's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its stable financial position and efficient cash management, despite challenges in revenue growth and operational efficiency. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, which weighs down the overall score.

Bankfinancial (BFIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bankfinancial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBankfinancial (BFIN) is a financial institution that provides a wide range of banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutions. Operating primarily in the retail banking and commercial banking sectors, Bankfinancial offers products such as savings and checking accounts, personal and business loans, mortgages, and investment services. The company is committed to delivering personalized financial solutions while maintaining a strong focus on customer service and community engagement.
How the Company Makes MoneyBankfinancial generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income on loans and mortgages, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The bank charges interest on various types of loans, including personal loans, business loans, and home mortgages, which are typically higher than the interest paid on customer deposits. Additionally, Bankfinancial earns fees from services such as account maintenance, ATM usage, and transaction fees, which contribute to its non-interest income. The bank may also engage in investment banking activities and wealth management services, providing advisory services and earning commissions on investment products. Strategic partnerships with fintech companies and other financial service providers may enhance its product offerings and attract new customers, further boosting its revenue. Overall, Bankfinancial's diverse revenue model is supported by its broad range of financial products and services tailored to meet the needs of its customers.

Bankfinancial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 31, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in commercial finance and stable credit quality, but it was overshadowed by declines in loan originations, tight market spreads, and significant shareholder unrest about long-term performance and strategic direction. The management showed a focus on operational efficiency, but the challenges in the competitive market and shareholder concerns were prominent.
Q4-2023 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Commercial Finance Growth
The commercial finance segment showed promising growth with increased resource allocation and a focus on expanding the pipeline, particularly in the health care and lessor finance sectors.
Equipment Finance Repositioning
Successfully repositioned $200 million from Equipment Finance into higher-rate originations, with expectations of $130 million cash flows in 2024 leading to an increase in yields by 200 to 250 basis points.
Stable Credit Quality
Credit quality remained stable with non-performing assets improving, and further enhancement expected as specific equipment deals are resolved.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Control
Expenses projected between $41 million to $42.5 million, with efforts to optimize marketing expenses and manage inflationary pressures.
Negative Updates
Loan Originations and Interest Income Decline
A decline in loan originations and intra-period line activity led to a $200,000 decrease in interest income in Q4 2023.
Tight Spreads and Competitive Market
Facing tight spreads in high-quality investment-grade corporates and competitive pressures in the middle market and small-ticket spaces.
Shareholder Concerns and Strategic Direction
Shareholders expressed dissatisfaction with long-term stock performance and suggested exploring strategic alternatives such as selling the bank.
Uncertainty in Real Estate and Equipment Finance Sectors
Real estate originations declined due to high interest rates, and there are some uncertainties in equipment finance utilization and credit quality concerns in leasing portfolios.
Company Guidance
During the BankFinancial Corp. earnings call for the fourth quarter of 2023, CEO Morgan Gasior provided detailed guidance for the upcoming year. The company plans to focus on growing its commercial finance sector by reallocating resources, with a goal of tripling personnel compared to early 2023. Despite steady commercial finance balances, fourth-quarter draw activity was lower, impacting intra-quarter interest income. The bank anticipates a $130 million cash flow from the Equipment Finance portfolio in 2024, aiming to reposition these funds to enhance yields by 200-250 basis points. They have observed stabilization in deposits, targeting a loan-to-deposit ratio of 90% and projecting loan growth between 5% and 8%. For 2024, BankFinancial expects expenses to range between $41 million and $42.5 million, influenced by origination levels and marketing investments. The company is also focusing on maintaining net interest margin stability in the first half of the year, with potential expansion in the latter half as cash flows are reinvested.

Bankfinancial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bankfinancial demonstrates a stable financial position with low leverage and efficient cash management. However, the company faces challenges in revenue growth and operational efficiency, as indicated by declining revenue and negative EBITDA margins.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bankfinancial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate at -1.15%, suggesting challenges in revenue generation. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of approximately 66%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is modest at 6.05%, reflecting moderate profitability. The EBIT margin is relatively low at 7.27%, and the EBITDA margin is negative, highlighting potential operational inefficiencies or high non-cash expenses.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating low leverage and prudent financial management. The return on equity (ROE) is modest at 2.82%, suggesting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's low debt levels imply a strong equity position.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 46.93% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.56%, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 71.81%, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue70.98M74.38M71.17M61.27M52.26M58.24M
Gross Profit32.98M49.22M56.53M54.96M50.70M51.20M
EBITDA-3.94M5.18M14.29M15.10M11.83M14.55M
Net Income2.32M4.07M9.39M10.49M7.41M9.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.43B1.49B1.58B1.70B1.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.29M414.82M361.20M277.11M587.86M527.33M
Total Debt28.27M38.74M44.68M19.63M24.59M8.00M
Total Liabilities1.30B1.28B1.33B1.42B1.54B1.42B
Stockholders Equity157.35M156.38M155.38M151.67M157.47M172.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.68M5.47M7.35M7.35M5.43M11.51M
Operating Cash Flow3.44M7.56M9.22M9.29M7.77M13.52M
Investing Cash Flow-92.36M-46.14M197.92M-316.77M-101.13M199.07M
Financing Cash Flow33.39M-55.08M-95.43M-127.91M92.03M100.58M

Bankfinancial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.41
Price Trends
50DMA
11.87
Negative
100DMA
11.71
Negative
200DMA
11.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
47.64
Neutral
STOCH
80.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFIN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.33, below the 50-day MA of 11.87, and below the 200-day MA of 11.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BFIN.

Bankfinancial Risk Analysis

Bankfinancial disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bankfinancial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bankfinancial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
68
Neutral
$137.42M12.357.60%4.35%7.54%25.25%
62
Neutral
$144.36M17.535.05%1.39%-7.07%-29.17%
58
Neutral
$138.81M59.921.46%3.62%-2.62%-70.70%
55
Neutral
$137.99M-0.13-82.98%-11.96%-500.26%
54
Neutral
$133.17M161.040.86%8.22%-8.73%-95.86%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFIN
Bankfinancial
11.41
-0.64
-5.31%
BCBP
BCB Bancorp
7.79
-4.53
-36.77%
PNBK
Patriot National Bancorp
1.08
-0.76
-41.30%
RMBI
Richmond Mutual Bancorporation
13.57
0.76
5.93%
FNWD
Finward Bancorp
34.62
3.82
12.40%
ECBK
ECB Bancorp, Inc.
17.43
2.47
16.51%

Bankfinancial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
BankFinancial Enters Merger Agreement with First Financial
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On August 11, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation and First Financial Bancorp. entered into a Merger Agreement. As part of this agreement, BankFinancial amended the employment contracts of its executives, F. Morgan Gasior and Paul A. Cloutier. The amendments specify severance payments for both executives under certain conditions, with Gasior’s employment being terminated upon the merger’s completion, while Cloutier will receive his severance after September 30, 2026, provided he remains employed until then. Additionally, the severance payments will be adjusted to comply with tax regulations, and new non-competition restrictions have been introduced.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFIN) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bankfinancial stock, see the BFIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
BankFinancial Announces Merger with First Financial
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation and First Financial Bancorp announced a merger agreement where BankFinancial will merge into First Financial, with the latter continuing as the surviving corporation. This strategic acquisition aims to expand First Financial’s presence in the Chicago market, adding 18 retail locations and enhancing its commercial banking capabilities. The transaction, valued at approximately $142 million, is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending customary approvals and conditions. The merger is anticipated to be accretive to First Financial’s earnings per share and will integrate BankFinancial’s consumer, trust/wealth management, and selected commercial credit lines into First Financial’s business lines.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BankFinancial Releases Q2 2025 Financial Report
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation filed its Quarterly Report for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025, highlighting financial performance over the past five quarters. The report indicates a challenging period with fluctuations in key financial ratios such as return on assets and equity, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to navigate market conditions and maintain stability. The release of these financial results provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s current financial health and strategic positioning within the industry.

Dividends
BankFinancial Declares Cash Dividend for August 2025
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, BankFinancial Corporation’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.10 per common share, payable on August 29, 2025, to stockholders of record on August 15, 2025. The announcement indicates that future dividends will be evaluated based on regulatory requirements and other factors, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFIN) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bankfinancial stock, see the BFIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025