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Barco NV (BCNAY)
OTHER OTC:BCNAY

Barco (BCNAY) AI Stock Analysis

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BCNAY

Barco

(OTC:BCNAY)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▼(-13.79% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven mainly by solid financial quality (good margins and low leverage) and supportive valuation (moderate P/E and strong dividend yield). Offsetting these are weak technicals (downtrend and negative momentum) and execution risks highlighted on the call—especially Healthcare profitability pressure and limited order visibility—despite management’s positive FY2026 growth outlook.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Very low debt-to-equity (~0.10) implies strong financial flexibility through cycles. This balance-sheet conservatism supports continued capital returns, targeted CapEx and strategic investments, and reduces refinancing risk, enabling multi-quarter execution of transformation to software and recurring revenue.
Negative Factors
Healthcare profitability weakness
A 22% drop in Healthcare EBITDA and a ~10% margin signals structural pressure from slower U.S. orders, tariff and FX impacts, and weaker surgical renewals. Given long design-in cycles and public spending sensitivity, Healthcare may remain a recurring drag on group margins and recovery timing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Very low debt-to-equity (~0.10) implies strong financial flexibility through cycles. This balance-sheet conservatism supports continued capital returns, targeted CapEx and strategic investments, and reduces refinancing risk, enabling multi-quarter execution of transformation to software and recurring revenue.
Read all positive factors

Barco (BCNAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Barco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Barco NV, together with its subsidiaries, develops visualization solutions for the entertainment, enterprise, and healthcare markets worldwide. The company operates through three divisions: Entertainment, Enterprise, and Healthcare. It offers cine...
How the Company Makes Money
Barco makes money primarily by selling professional hardware systems and related software and services across its three segments. (1) Product sales: A major share of revenue comes from the sale of equipment such as digital cinema projectors and ci...

Barco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balances clear commercial and operational progress (group revenue growth at constant currency, EUR 125m EBITDA, 20% EPS growth, strong Entertainment momentum, progress on sustainability targets and recurring-revenue initiatives such as HDR/Cinema-as-a-Service) against persistent headwinds (Healthcare EBITDA decline, U.S. tariffs and FX pressure, shorter order cycles reducing visibility, and competitive pressure in modality). Management emphasizes disciplined cost control, structural initiatives to restore Healthcare performance, and cautious but positive guidance skewed to H2. Overall, the company reported measurable improvements and strategic shifts that outweigh near-term challenges, but some recovery (notably in U.S. Healthcare and visibility) is timing-dependent.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Full-year sales of EUR 964 million, up 2% year-over-year reported and up 4% at constant currency.
Negative Updates
Healthcare Performance Weakness
Healthcare EBITDA declined to EUR 26.5 million, down 22% year-over-year, representing a 10.1% margin. Underperformance driven by slower U.S. orders (delayed government spending), tariffs and FX impacts, and weaker surgical renewals in H2.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Full-year sales of EUR 964 million, up 2% year-over-year reported and up 4% at constant currency.
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Company Guidance
Barco guided that, assuming no major macro deterioration, it expects both revenue and EBITDA to grow in FY2026 at constant currency, with growth skewed to the second half and some currency headwinds in H1; this follows FY2025 results of EUR 964m sales (+2% reported / +4% at constant currency), EBITDA of EUR 125m (13% margin), EPS EUR 0.85 (+20%), an order book of EUR 493m and free cash flow of EUR 57m (6% of sales). Management reconfirmed its Capital Markets Day targets for 2028 of EUR 1.1bn revenue, 15% EBITDA margin and 15% recurring revenue, proposed a dividend of EUR 0.55/share and cancellation of ~5.575m shares (~6% outstanding), noted it returned ~EUR 120m to shareholders in FY25 (EUR 44m dividend + buybacks of EUR 60m and EUR 30m), and reported year-end net cash of EUR 186m while emphasising a strategic shift from CapEx to OpEx and continued focus on software/recurring revenue to drive future margins.

Barco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Healthy underlying profitability and balance-sheet resilience (solid ~40% gross margin, improved net margin, and low leverage), but offset by the stated sharp 2025 revenue decline and a meaningful drop in free cash flow, raising questions about near-term earnings/cash durability.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue963.84M946.59M1.05B1.06B804.29M
Gross Profit386.05M385.43M438.52M412.75M287.49M
EBITDA130.16M118.36M135.45M126.75M52.80M
Net Income68.73M62.96M80.17M75.22M8.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.10B1.23B1.16B1.15B1.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments259.78M362.96M290.75M307.57M354.33M
Total Debt73.56M103.91M49.60M43.55M44.58M
Total Liabilities385.63M433.71M348.12M368.42M369.44M
Stockholders Equity714.84M795.15M795.33M759.19M693.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow60.86M100.58M39.97M6.58M80.87M
Operating Cash Flow99.31M143.14M94.38M27.80M99.65M
Investing Cash Flow-34.84M-28.73M-51.38M-57.47M37.64M
Financing Cash Flow-148.31M-46.34M-53.45M-24.73M-35.50M

Barco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.96
Price Trends
50DMA
6.16
Negative
100DMA
6.59
Negative
200DMA
7.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
44.34
Neutral
STOCH
33.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCNAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.61, above the 50-day MA of 6.16, and below the 200-day MA of 7.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BCNAY.

Barco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.86B5.8315.06%0.16%23.70%14.78%
68
Neutral
$1.47B19.3711.94%0.36%3.70%1.68%
68
Neutral
$980.45M93.639.64%-6.13%-76.92%
64
Neutral
$1.01B7.8710.14%4.08%0.82%42.23%
62
Neutral
$2.16B63.852.25%1.44%-2.93%-40.33%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$1.12B7.259.21%10.76%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCNAY
Barco
5.64
-0.51
-8.26%
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc
228.29
156.94
219.96%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
60.51
24.67
68.86%
CTS
CTS
51.15
12.90
33.73%
DAKT
Daktronics
20.30
7.81
62.53%
PENG
Penguin Solutions
22.12
4.94
28.75%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026