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Banco De Chile (BCH)
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Banco De Chile (BCH) Risk Factors

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Banco De Chile disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco De Chile reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q4, 2022

Risk Distribution
31Risks
48% Finance & Corporate
23% Macro & Political
16% Legal & Regulatory
6% Production
3% Tech & Innovation
3% Ability to Sell
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

2020
Q4
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Banco De Chile Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q4, 2022

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 15 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 15 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
31
+4
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
31
+4
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
4Risks added
0Risks removed
3Risks changed
Since Dec 2022
4Risks added
0Risks removed
3Risks changed
Since Dec 2022
Number of Risk Changed
3
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
3
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Banco De Chile in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 31

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 15/31 (48%)Below Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights4 | 12.9%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
ADS holders may be unable to exercise voting rights at shareholders' meetings and preemptive rights.
ADS holders may exercise voting rights associated with common stock only in accordance with the deposit agreement governing our ADSs. Accordingly, ADS holders will face practical limitations when exercising their voting rights because ADS holders must first receive a notice of a shareholders' meeting from the Depositary and may then exercise their voting rights by instructing the Depositary, on a timely basis, on how they wish to vote. This voting process necessarily will take longer for ADS holders than for direct common stockholders, who are able to exercise their vote by attending our shareholders' meetings. Therefore, if the Depositary fails to receive timely voting instructions from some or all ADS holders, the Depositary will assume that ADS holders agree to give a discretionary proxy to a person designated by us to vote their ADSs on their behalf. Furthermore, ADS holders may not receive voting materials in time to instruct the Depositary to vote. Accordingly, ADS holders may not be able to properly exercise their voting rights. Furthermore, the Ley Sobre Sociedades Anónimas No. 18,046 (the "Chilean Corporations Law") and the Reglamento de Sociedades Anónimas (the "Chilean Corporations Regulation") require that whenever we issue new common stock for cash, we grant preemptive rights to all of our shareholders (including holders of ADSs) to purchase a sufficient number of shares to maintain their existing ownership percentage. Such an offering would not be possible unless a registration statement under the Securities Act were effective with respect to such rights and common stock, or an exemption from the registration requirements thereunder were available. We may elect not to make a registration statement available with respect to the preemptive rights and the common stock, in which case you may be unable to exercise your preemptive rights. If a registration statement is not filed, the depositary will sell such holders' preemptive rights and distribute the proceeds thereof if a premium can be recognized over the cost of any such sale.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Our principal shareholders may have interests that differ from those of our other shareholders and their significant share ownership may have an adverse effect on the future market price of our ADSs and shares.
As of April 19, 2023, LQ Inversiones Financieras S.A. ("LQIF"), a holding company beneficially owned by Quiñenco S.A. and Citigroup Chile S.A., holds directly and indirectly approximately 51.15% of the voting rights of our shares. Subject to our bylaws and applicable law, these principal shareholders are in a position to elect a majority of the members of our board of directors and control all matters decided by a shareholder vote, including the approval of fundamental corporate transactions. Actions taken by our principal shareholders with respect to the disposition of the shares or ADSs they beneficially own, or the perception that such actions may occur, may adversely affect the trading price of our shares on the various stock exchanges on which they are listed and, consequently, the market price of the ADSs.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Chilean law may provide shareholders with fewer and less well-defined rights.
Our corporate affairs are governed by our estatutos (bylaws) and the laws of Chile. Under such laws, our shareholders may have fewer or less well-defined rights than they might have as shareholders of a corporation incorporated in a U.S. jurisdiction. For example, our shareholders would not be entitled to appraisal rights in the event of a merger or other business combination undertaken by us.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
Chile has corporate disclosure standards different from those you may be familiar with in the United States.
Chilean disclosure requirements for publicly listed companies differ from those in the United States in some significant respects. In addition, although Chilean law imposes restrictions on insider trading and price manipulation, the Chilean securities markets are not as highly regulated and closely supervised as the U.S. securities markets. Accordingly, the information available to you regarding our corporation will not be the same as the information available to shareholders of a U.S. company. For more information, see "Item 16G. Corporate Governance."
Accounting & Financial Operations2 | 6.5%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Part of the information included in our financial statements considers assumptions, estimates and modeling which, if inaccurate, could have a material impact on our results of operations and financial position.
The preparation of our financial statements requires management to make judgments and estimates that affect the amounts of assets, liabilities, income and expenses reported in our financial statements. Estimates and assumptions are based on historical experience, expert judgment and other factors, including expectations of future developments under certain alternative scenarios. Although assumptions and estimates are evaluated and revised on a continuous basis, we cannot rule out that projected scenarios could dramatically change in the short term, causing a severe impact on fundamentals and estimates. We are also subject to model risk since the valuation of financial instruments relies on models (such as cash flows valuation models for fixed-income securities, valuation models for derivatives including technical approximations, value adjustments models for derivatives, and IFRS 9 forward-looking provisioning models, among others) and inputs, which, in some cases, are not observable. Accordingly, computed values for securities and financial instruments may be inaccurate or subject to change, since the inputs used for specific models may be unavailable, particularly for illiquid assets or under scenarios of financial turmoil. In these cases, we will make assumptions and judgments in order to establish the fair value of certain instruments, which involves uncertainty and may translate into inaccurate estimates of actual results. For example, we assess the credit quality of our borrowers based on the information that is available in Chile regarding their indebtedness with the banking system as a whole. This includes information provided by the CMF, the local credit bureaus, databases we have created through the years and other public sources. However, as mentioned in this annual report, there are non-banking companies that are permitted to grant loans, particularly to individuals, in the form of credit card loans, leasing loans, factoring loans, and others. Information on the indebtedness of our customers and non-customers with these lenders is not publicly available or consolidated with borrowings from banks. As such, our assessment of customers for the scoring and provisioning processes may be based on partial, inaccurate or unreliable information on the borrowers' creditworthiness, which could lead us to increase our expected credit losses in the future once complete information is fully available through the consolidation of customers' indebtedness with all banking and non-banking lenders. In addition, the main accounting items subject to risk of incorrect valuation include impairment of loans to customers and advances to banks, valuation of fixed-income securities and financial derivatives held for trading, valuation and impairment of financial assets measured at fair value through other comprehensive income, and deferred tax assets and provisions for liabilities, among others. If our judgment, assumptions or models used in valuing these items are inaccurate, there could be a material effect on our results, funding requirements and capital ratios. Moreover, the cessation or replacement of certain rates, market indices or benchmarks extensively used by financial markets and practitioners for valuation purposes, such as interest rates or foreign exchange rates indices, could also impact the accuracy of the estimates we include in our financial statements. On July 27, 2017, the Chief Executive of the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), which regulates the entity that oversees the London interbank offered rate ("LIBOR"), announced that the FCA will no longer persuade or compel banks to submit rates for the calculation of the LIBOR benchmark after 2021. Moreover, on March 5, 2021 the FCA made an announcement confirming that 35 LIBOR settings will either cease to be provided by any administrator or no longer be representative immediately after December 31, 2021 for all GBP, EUR, CHF and JPY LIBOR settings, and the one-week and two-month USD LIBOR, and after June 30, 2023 for the Overnight and one-month, three-month, six-month and 12-month USD LIBOR. Later on the FCA required the benchmark administrator to publish six GBP and JPY LIBOR settings under a synthetic methodology based on risk free rates in order to avoid disruption to legacy contracts during 2022. On October 20, 2021, in the United States, the Federal Reserve Board, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency released a joint statement mentioning that: (i) after December 31, 2021, supervised companies should not increase exposures to LIBOR or extend the term of existing LIBOR contacts, (ii) starting January 1, 2022, a benchmark other than LIBOR should be used for the origination of new contracts and (iii) between December 31, 2021 and June 30, 2023, banking entities should amend formerly existing LIBOR contracts that do not clearly establish a fallback provision to replace LIBOR. Subsequently, on September 29, 2022 the FCA announced the decision to permanently cease the publication of synthetic LIBOR setting for one-month and six-month GBP LIBOR by the end of March 2023. Likewise, on November 23, 2022 the FCA published for comment a proposal to require the LIBOR administrator to publish one-month, three-month and six-month USD LIBOR settings under synthetic methodology until September 2024, which were formerly deemed to cease on June 30, 2023. Similarly, the LIBOR administrator was required to publish three-month GBP LIBOR setting under synthetic methodology until March 2024. On April 03, 2023 the FCA decided to require LIBOR's administrator to continue the publication of one-month, three-month and six-month US dollar LIBOR settings until September 30, 2024, using a "synthetic" methodology while maintaining March 31, 2024 as the deadline for the publication of three-month GBP LIBOR setting under synthetic methodology. The LIBOR reform and other similar changes may result in various risks for the financial and banking business, including but not limited to: (i) risk management, financial and accounting risks arising from market risk models and from valuation, hedging, discontinuation and recognition of financial instruments linked to benchmark rates; (ii) pricing risks arising from how changes to benchmark indices could impact pricing mechanisms on some instruments; (iii) communication risks arising from misunderstandings with customers or counterparties; (iv) the possibility that a limited number of transactions do not contemplate a LIBOR fallback provision; and (v) the necessity of adapting current IT systems, trading platforms, financial reporting infrastructure and clearing processes, among others. The implementation of alternative benchmark rates for USD, GBP, EUR, CHF and JPY LIBOR is still in progress. However, starting January 1, 2022 we (and most of banks) have moved from LIBOR to the Secured Overnight Funding Rate (or "SOFR") for newly originated transactions, which is the secured overnight financing rate published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on its website and is deemed to be an appropriate replacement for LIBOR. However, the LIBOR transition could have an adverse effect on our business, results of operations or financial condition if we are unable to agree on an alternative benchmark, like SOFR, with customers and financial counterparties holding contracts formerly based on LIBOR, since the publication of SOFR began on April 3, 2018 and therefore has a limited history. In addition, the future performance of SOFR cannot be predicted based on the limited historical performance. Prior observed patterns, if any, in the behavior of market variables and their relation to SOFR, such as correlations, may also change in the future. While some pre-publication historical data have been released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, such analysis inherently involves assumptions, estimates and approximations. The future performance of SOFR and other alternative benchmarks, is currently impossible to predict and therefore no future performance of alternatives benchmarks may be inferred from historical simulations or historical performance. Furthermore, we may face a risk of litigation, disputes or other actions from clients, counterparties, customers, investors or others regarding the interpretation or enforcement of related provisions or if we fail to appropriately communicate the effect that the transition to alternative benchmark rates will have on existing and future products. Although we are in process of adapting our valuation processes, IT infrastructure and pricing systems as new information arises, we can neither assure you nor calculate the impact this could have on our business and results of operations, if any. Moreover, the transition presents challenges related to contractual mechanisms of existing contracts that reference USD LIBOR and are governed by non-U.S. law or reference the USD LIBOR Ice Swap Rate. Certain of these legacy instruments and contracts are not covered by any legislative solution and do not provide for fallbacks to alternative reference rates, which makes it unclear what the applicable future replacement benchmark rates and associated payments might be after the current benchmark's cessation. We may be unable to amend certain instruments and contracts due to an inability to obtain sufficient levels of consent from counterparties or security holders. Although this will depend on the precise contractual terms of the instrument, such consent requirements are often conditions of securities, such as floating rate notes. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), a U.K. regulator, has proposed that one-, three- and six-month USD LIBOR be published on a synthetic basis, which would only be available through September 2024. As of December 31, 2022, we had on-balance and off-balance contracts that used LIBOR as a benchmark. Most of them have interests paid in LIBOR or are valued by using LIBOR as the prevailing discount rate, including derivatives, loans and master agreements, such as ISDA contracts. As of December 31, 2022, our on-balance assets based on LIBOR amounted to approximately U.S.$615 million and our liabilities based on LIBOR amounted to approximately U.S.$423 million. In the case of assets, as of December 31, 2022, approximately 1.0% was due to expire before June 30, 2023, while the remaining 99.0% was due to expire after June 30, 2023. As of the same date, in terms of liabilities, 24.4% is expiring before June 30, 2023 and 75.6% after that date. Most of the assets are associated with commercial credits and trade finance loans linked to LIBOR granted to local customers. In terms of liabilities, most of them relate to financing for trade finance loans and, to a lesser extent, financial obligations. As of December 31, 2022, off-balance sheet arrangements based on LIBOR represented a net liability exposure of approximately U.S.$422 million, of which approximately a net asset exposure of approximately U.S.$97 million is due to expire before June 30, 2023 and a net liability exposure of approximately U.S.$519 million after that date. During 2022 most of our foreign counterparties and us moved from LIBOR to SOFR, particularly for derivative contracts set under ISDA agreements since they consider fallback clauses that allow rate switching. We continue to deploy an action plan that includes: (i)the identification of our main exposures and risks related to the LIBOR transition, which we completed in 2022,(ii)the development of new products linked to the new reference rate,(iii)the revision of current contracts and renegotiation with some of our customers,(iv)the construction of new yield curves based on SOFR in order to address and value new derivative transactions,(v)the enhancement of our front and back office platforms to successfully address the full implementation of the new reference rate to migrate all former operations based on LIBOR, and (vi)the closing of newly originated on-balance and off-balance operations by using SOFR or comparable benchmarks in case of local counterparties or using local rates as part of the transaction. As of the date of this annual report, according to our estimates, fully switching from LIBOR to SOFR (or other alternative benchmarks) is not expected to have a material impact on our results of operations. However, we cannot assure you that any other reforms and changes, any establishment of alternative reference rates or any other reforms to these reference rates that may be enacted will not have a material impact on our results of operations in the future.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
Changes in accounting standards could impact our results.
The IASB, or other regulatory bodies, periodically introduce modifications to financial accounting and reporting standards under which we prepare our consolidated financial statements. These changes can materially impact the means by which we report financial information, affecting our results of operations. Also, we could be required to apply new or revised standards retroactively. Currently, we cannot assure you that future changes in financial accounting and reporting standards will not substantially affect our results of operations or performance indicators, as we do not know the extent of future standards.
Debt & Financing8 | 25.8%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Any downgrade in Chile's or our credit rating could increase our cost of funding, affecting our interest margins, results of operations and profitability.
Our current credit ratings determine the cost and the terms upon which we are able to obtain funding in the ordinary course of business. Rating agencies regularly evaluate us by considering diverse factors, including our financial strength, the business environment and the economic backdrop in which we operate. Thus, methodologies used by rating agencies evaluate Chile's sovereign debt ratings when determining our ratings. In addition, from time to time, rating agencies review and revise their methodologies, which in some cases could result in adjustments to Chile's sovereign debt prevailing credit ratings or those of our debt. On March 24, 2021, Standard & Poor's Ratings Service ("S&P") downgraded Chile's sovereign credit rating from A+ to A while modifying the credit outlook from negative to stable. The credit action taken by S&P was founded in the expected negative effects due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the effects of increasing social pressures that may lead the prevailing government to incur further social expenses and increase Chile's current fiscal deficit in the long-run. Given the credit action taken by S&P on Chile's sovereign credit rating, S&P also downgraded four local banks (excluding us) by one notch, while maintaining the negative outlook for the whole banking industry (including us), with the exception of Banco Estado (a state-owned bank) that received a stable outlook. In June 2021, S&P improved the outlook for two banks from negative to stable, excluding us. Moreover, on September 15, 2022 Moody's downgraded Chile's sovereign credit rating from A1 to A2. As a consequence, on September 20, 2022, Moody's downgraded the credit rating of three local banks (including us) by one notch from A1 to A2, though improving our intrinsic (BCA) rating from baa1to a3. While Chile's current long-term debt credit ratings remain investment grade, these credit ratings may deteriorate further and adversely affect our credit rating. Any downgrade in our debt credit ratings could result in higher borrowing costs for us, while requiring us to post additional collateral or take other actions under some of our derivative and other contracts, and could limit our access to debt and capital markets. All of these factors could adversely impact our commercial business by affecting our ability to: (i) sell or market our products, (ii) obtain long-term debt in Chile or abroad, (iii) retain customers who need minimum ratings thresholds to operate with us, (iv) maintain derivative contracts that require us to have a minimum credit rating and (v) enter into new derivative contracts, which could impact our market risk profile, among other effects. Any of these factors could have an adverse effect on our liquidity, results of operations and financial condition. Due to: (i) the volatility in the financial markets and concerns about the soundness of developed and emerging economies, (ii) the still unpredictable impacts or lagging effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global and the local economies, (iii) potential changes to be introduced in the fiscal policy or long-term government spending by the current or future government administrations in Chile, (iv) further social demands leading to increasing fiscal spending, (v) deterioration in Chile's terms of trade following the evolution of energy and commodity prices, (vi) reforms to be proposed or introduced by the current administration to modify the characteristics of the current economic and financial system, and (vii) the effects that current or potential geopolitical conflicts may have on the local economy, we cannot assure you that rating agencies will maintain our and Chile's sovereign debt current ratings and outlooks.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
Our loan portfolio may not continue to grow at the same or similar rates as it has in the past.
Our results of operations depend on our ability to grow our loan portfolio in a credit-sustainable way. During the decade ending in 2013, the loan portfolio of the Chilean banking industry recorded double-digit growth, fostered by increased banking penetration of: (i) lower and middle income segments and (ii) small and medium-sized companies, which resulted in a marked expansion in consumer, mortgage and commercial loans. Since that time, loan growth has been more volatile reflecting increased volatility in the Chilean economy and diverse reforms on general matters, including both banking and non-banking rules. In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a GDP contraction of 6.1% for the Chilean economy and a surge in unemployment rate from 7.3% in December 2019 to 10.3% in December 2020, fostered by long-lasting lockdowns and other measures taken by the government to reduce mobility and social interaction across the country, which reduced or halted operations in many economic sectors for months. In this environment, the loan portfolio of the local banking industry grew only 2.4% in nominal terms (excluding operations of subsidiaries abroad), prompted by both residential mortgage loans, which continued to be decoupled from economic dynamics due to unprecedented low interest rates, and the government support program of guaranteed loans for SMEs and middle market companies, which increased loans balances. Consumer loans, on the other hand, were substantially affected by the deteriorated macroeconomic scenario through lower disposable income and the deteriorated payment capacity of borrowers. In 2021, the local economy displayed a significant rebound, as reflected by GDP growth of 11.7%. This was principally prompted by a sharp increase of 20.8% in household consumption (supported by financial aid measures targeting people) and an expansion of 15.7% in private investment given the reactivation of projects postponed by the pandemic. In this context, the industry's loan portfolio grew 10.1% in nominal terms, primarily driven by: (i) the real estate market continuing to be decoupled from economic fundamentals, (ii) the surge of loan balances indexed to UF as a result of higher inflation, and (iii) the effect of the government support program for SMEs launched in February 2021. All three of these factors positively impacted both residential mortgage loans and commercial loans, which increased 13.5% and 9.0% in nominal terms, respectively. To a lesser degree, higher than normal levels of household spending had a slight second-round effect on consumer loans, which increased 6.7%, mainly as a result of inflation. In 2022 the Chilean economy displayed a sharp slowdown by recording a GDP growth of 2.4%, primarily as a consequence of the expected adjustment after a period of economic expansion prompted by non-recurrent factors seen in 2021, as mentioned above. This performance was caused by a significant deceleration of private consumption that grew only 2.9% on an annual basis, while private investment experienced a real annual increase of 2.8%. The local economic deceleration was also in part explained by the aggressive monetary policy tightening of the Chilean Central Bank, which raised the monetary policy interest rate from 4.00% in December 2021 to 11.25% in December 2022 in an attempt to control the highest inflation rate seen in almost three decades as reflected by a CPI variation of 12.8% as of December 31, 2022. In light of this economic environment, the industry's loan portfolio grew 10.0% in nominal terms, which represents an annual contraction of 2.8% in real terms. The main underlying factors driving this trend were: (i) a real contraction of 5.7% in commercial loans, which is in line with the decrease evidenced by private investment, (ii) a steady deceleration of residential mortgage loans that grew by only 0.9% in real terms during 2022, primarily as a consequence of the prevailing scenario of higher long-term interest rates and inflation expectations that remained above the Central Bank's target range for most of the year, coupled with stricter credit requirements set by most of the banks, including stricter loan–to–value ratios, higher monthly income, shorter financing terms and lower financial burden thresholds, and (iii) consumer loans that appeared to reactivate during the first half of 2022 but ended the year with a real expansion of only 0.4%, principally due to lower demand for loans from individuals as a result of declining consumer confidence in the face of a lackluster economic outlook, in conjunction with more prudent policies undertaken by many banking players. Going forward, many factors could adversely affect the growth rate of the industry and, therefore, the expansion of our loan portfolio. This includes, but is not limited to: (i) a slowdown or negative GDP growth in the Chilean economy, (ii) deceleration or contraction in household consumption or private investment spending, (iii) changes in banking customers' payment behavior, (iv) changes in banking regulation, (v) deterioration of consumer confidence and business sentiment as a consequence of increased uncertainty regarding the economic activity or political environment, (vi) reforms to be introduced by the current administration in many fields of the economic system, including the pension, tax and health systems, among others, (vii) the new constitutional process, which, following the rejection of the first constitution draft in the referendum held on September 4, 2022, will be led by a convention comprised of citizens and experts chosen by the Congress, and which may negatively impact the economic and business environment, and (viii) any effect related to social trends, social unrest, pandemics or any event affecting the growth potential of the Chilean economy. Similarly, this could affect our credit quality indicators causing us to establish higher allowances for loan losses. For more information, see "Item 4. Information on the Company-Regulation and Supervision" and "Item 4. Information on the Company-Selected Statistical Information."
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
The growth of our loan portfolio in riskier segments may expose us to increased loan losses.
During the last five years, our total loan portfolio has grown at a compounded average growth rate ("CAGR") of 7.6% per year. This expansion has been primarily fostered by growth in both residential mortgage (8.8% per year on average) and commercial loans (7.8% per year on average) and, to a lesser extent, by a moderate growth in consumer loans (4.5% per year on average). Nominal average growth in residential mortgage loans has been a result of both the significant demand for housing in years preceding the pandemic, which receded significantly in the two most recent years due to the sharp increase in long-term interest rates and soaring inflation. Likewise, nominal average expansion in commercial loans has steadily decelerated over the last five years, particularly in the wholesale banking segment, firstly, due to the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic and, additionally, due to the political and economic uncertainty that has reduced demand for commercial loans. Commercial loans granted to SMEs experienced an upward trend until 2019 as well as a reactivation in 2021, as a result of special government-guaranteed programs, to deal with the effects of the pandemic. However, given the prevailing economic outlook, loans to SMEs slowed down significantly in 2022, remaining almost flat. In the case of consumer loans, this lending business was significantly impacted by the effects of the pandemic, given several factors but particularly due to the liquidity surplus generated by financial support deployed by the Chilean government and congress. Accordingly, consumer loans contracted 12.9% in 2020. Thereafter, when liquidity began to decrease, the demand for loans reactivated, which coupled with our efforts to improve value offerings, resulted in expansions of 7.6% in 2021 and 17.6% in 2022. For the year ended December 31, 2022, our loan portfolio was Ch$36,726,297 million, which represented a 7.2% annual increase as compared to the Ch$34,265,873 million we recorded as of December 31, 2021. Our allowances for loans losses increased 22.0% on an annual basis from Ch$673,496 million in 2021 to Ch$821,609 million in 2022. Throughout 2022 we witnessed a normalization in expected credit losses, particularly among individuals and SMEs and, to a lesser extent, in the wholesale banking segment, from below-trend levels seen in 2021 supported by an extraordinary positive payment behavior that was the consequence of: (i) direct money transfers made by the government to mitigate the economic effects of the pandemic on unemployment, measures that remained in 2021 in spite of the gradual lifting of mobility restrictions, (ii) the effect of three consecutive pension fund withdrawals and one withdrawal from life annuities (rentas vitalicias) as permitted by the Chilean congress at the end of 2020 and throughout 2021, which, in the aggregate, had injected approximately U.S.$52,643 million to the local economy as of March 31, 2023 according to the Chilean Superintendency of Pensions, and (iii) the improvement in unemployment figures as mobility restrictions began to be lifted. During 2022 the excess liquidity began to disappear, which coupled with the impact of both higher interest rates and, particularly, double-digit inflation that reached 12.8% (measured as CPI variation as reported by the National Institute of Statistics), reduced individuals' disposable income and therefore payment capacity. These trends translated into higher probabilities of default and an increase in credit risk allowances. As a result, our risk-index ratio (allowances for loan losses to total loans) increased from 1.97% in 2021 to 2.24% in 2022. Given these trends, we recognize that the expansion experienced by our retail banking segment over the last years may expose us to higher levels of charge-offs and may require us to establish higher levels of allowances for loan losses in the future. This is due to the fact that the average retail customer is riskier than large companies and corporations, since they are more exposed to the economic cycle than wholesale customers as evidenced during the downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. For example, individuals are impacted by economic factors such as unemployment and SMEs are impacted by economic conditions affecting domestic demand. For this reason, we are constantly striving to develop and utilize improved scoring and approval models, while strengthening our collection procedures in order to mitigate the risks associated with this business growth.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
Added
Our loan portfolio is subject to risk of prepayment, which could have an adverse effect on our results of operations.
Most of our loan portfolio is subject to risk of prepayment, which is associated with the borrowers' or issuers' ability to pay off an obligation prior to the maturity. Prepayment risk increases when interest rates decline, which could result in unexpected repricing of our assets that may have a material adverse effect on us if we are not able to reprice our liabilities. In the past, prepayment risk has had an adverse impact on credit card loans and residential mortgage loans by reducing the average life of these assets, which may result in mismatches with liabilities used to finance them that could be just partly offset by investment choices at lower interest rates or prepayment fees charged to borrowers. In this regard, the Chilean government is currently assessing limiting prepayment fees, which could have a negative effect on our results in an amount that we are not able to estimate yet. Accordingly, we cannot assure you that this initiative or any future changes related to prepayment fees or a decline in interest rates to the levels seen prior to 2019 will not have a material impact on our business.
Debt & Financing - Risk 5
Our results of operations are affected by interest rate volatility and inflation.
Our results of operations depend greatly on our net interest income, which represented 72.1% of our total operating revenues in 2022. Changes in nominal interest rates and inflation could affect the interest rates earned on our interest-earning assets differently from the interest rates paid on our interest-bearing liabilities, resulting in net income reduction. Inflation and interest rates are sensitive to several factors beyond our control, including the Central Bank's monetary policy, deregulation of the Chilean financial sector, local and international economic developments and political conditions, among other factors. In addition, changes in interest rates affect securities and other investments or assets that are recorded at fair value and are therefore exposed to potential negative fair value adjustments. Any volatility in interest rates could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. Also, real negative interest rates could negatively impact our ability to raise funding for our operations, particularly for short-term maturities, which could result in higher funding costs and lower net interest margin. The average annual short-term nominal interest rate in Chile for 90 to 360 day deposits received by Chilean financial institutions was 0.86% in 2020, 1.71% in 2021, and 9.25% in 2022 (11.12% in December 2022) following the trend seen in the monetary policy interest rate, given the attempts of the Chilean Central Bank to return inflation to the medium term target range of 2.0% to 4.0%, which resulted in a monetary policy rate increasing from 4.00% in December 2021 to 11.25% in December 2022. For the same reason, the average interest rate paid by Chilean financial institutions for 90 to 360 days Chilean peso denominated deposits was 10.98% as of the three-month period ended on March 31, 2023. The average long-term nominal interest rate based on the interest rate of the ten-year bonds traded in the secondary market, issued by both the Central Bank and the Chilean Government, was 2.80% in 2020, 4.36% in 2021, and 6.26% in 2022. In 2022, long-term nominal interest rates continued to steadily increase in Chile during the first three quarters, based on various factors, including: (i) expectations of higher inflation, (ii) the uncertainty associated with the outcome of the constitutional referendum held on September 4, 2022, and (iii) various attempts coming from the Congress to approve further pension funds withdrawals. However, during the fourth quarter of the year, with 12-month inflation rates beginning to ease and the result of the constitutional referendum, longer term interest rates declined significantly. Accordingly, the interest rate of ten-year Chilean peso denominated bonds, issued by both the Central Bank and the Chilean Government, slightly decreased from 5.69% in December 2021 to 5.34% in December 2022, reaching 5.52% in March 2023. In the three-month period ended on March 31, 2023, the interest rate for the same Central Bank and Chilean Government bonds averaged 5.52%. Prior to 2021, inflation in Chile had been moderate, especially in comparison with periods of high inflation experienced in the 1980s and 1990s. High levels of inflation in Chile could adversely affect the Chilean economy, consumer purchasing power, household consumption and investment in machinery and equipment and, therefore, the demand for financing and our business. The annual inflation rate (as measured by annual changes in the CPI and as reported by the Chilean National Institute of Statistics) during the last five years and the first three months of 2023 was: Year  Inflation (CPI Variation)  2018   2.6% 2019   3.0  2020   3.0  2021   7.2  2022   12.8  2023 (through March 31)   1.8% Source: Chilean National Institute of Statistics During 2022, the inflation rate, measured as CPI variation, was 12.8%. This annual increase was the consequence of many factors, although the sharp increase in household consumption in 2021 that began to decelerate during 2022, propelled by above average liquidity among individuals for the reasons mentioned earlier, was a primary cause behind higher-than-expected inflation as the local supply for products and services was not able to meet demand requirements in the short-term. This factor coupled with other inflationary pressures, such as: (i) the increase in energy prices worldwide, (ii) the constraints experienced in the global supply chain that translated into an overall increase in external prices, and (iii) the depreciation experienced by the Chilean peso against the U.S. dollar during most of 2022, particularly in months surrounding the constitutional referendum, when the U.S. dollar reached a highest all-time level of Ch$1.051 per U.S. dollar, which has a pass-through effect associated with the translation of imported tradable goods into Chilean pesos. Although we benefit from a higher-than-expected inflation rate in Chile in the short-term, due to the structure of our assets and liabilities (we have a significant net asset position indexed to the inflation rate associated with both an economic hedge of our equity and directional positions taken by our treasury), significant and persistent increases or decreases in inflation with respect to current levels or the target set by the Central Bank could adversely affect our net interest income, results of operations and, therefore, the value of our securities and medium-term profitability. Additionally, measures being taken by the Central Bank to control inflation are having the effect of slowing down the Chilean economy and additional measures may adversely affect the Chilean economy, the banking business and our results of operations and financial condition. In this regard, the measures adopted by the Central Bank in the past to control inflation have included the increase of the monetary policy interest rate, which has restricted the demand for loans while negatively affecting economic growth through constrained household spending and capital expenditures. In 2022, the Central Bank increased the monetary policy rate from 4.00% in December 2021 to 11.25% in December 2022. In the last meeting held in December 2022, the Central Bank pointed out that based on recent data, inflation is expected to decrease throughout 2023, which leaves room to reduce the monetary policy interest rate as long as the decreasing trend in inflation becomes steady. Nevertheless, as of the date of this annual report, the monetary policy interest rate remains at 11.25%. Since our liabilities generally re-price faster than our assets, sudden and sequential increases in short-term rates could affect our net interest margin. For more information, see "Item 3. Key Information-Risk Factors-Risks Relating to our ADSs-Developments in international financial markets may adversely affect the market price of the ADSs and shares," "Item 3. Key Information-Risk Factors-Risks Relating to our ADSs-COVID-19 or any other pandemic disease and health events will affect both the global and the Chilean economy, our business or results of operations and could affect our financial condition," "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-Operating Results-Overview-Inflation" and "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-Operating Results-Overview-Interest Rates."
Debt & Financing - Risk 6
Our exposure to certain segments of the retail market could lead to higher levels of total past-due loans and subsequent charge-offs.
Although we have historically been focused on wholesale banking, over the last years we have continued to reorient our commercial strategy to increase penetration of the retail banking segment. In fact, according to our management information systems, the share of the retail banking segment in our total loan book has increased from 61.5% in 2017 to 62.6% in 2022. Although this trend has been associated with an expansion in middle and higher income personal banking, our retail banking segment is also composed of small and medium-sized companies (approximately 13.6% of our total loan book as of December 31, 2022, which consists of companies with annual sales of up to ~UF 70,000 million (~Ch$2,460 million) and, to a much lesser extent, of lower-income individuals (approximately 1.9% of our total loan book as of December 31, 2022, which consists of individuals with monthly incomes of up to Ch$500,000. Since these customers are likely to be more severely affected by adverse developments in the Chilean economy than large corporations and higher-income individuals, we may be exposed to higher levels of past-due loans and subsequent charge-offs in the future, which could result in materially higher allowances for loan losses that could adversely affect our results of operations. As of December 31, 2022, our past-due loans (loans 90-days or more past due) amounted to Ch$432,697 million, which represented a 40.6% annual increase when compared to the Ch$307,696 million recorded in 2021. These figures translated into past-due ratios (loans 90-days or more past due over total loans) of 0.90% in 2021 and 1.18% in 2022. According to our management information systems, as of December 31, 2022 our past-due loans (loans 90-days or more past due) were composed of 88.4% retail banking 90-days or more past-due loans (consumer and residential mortgage loans to individuals, as well as commercial loans to small and medium sized companies) and 11.6% wholesale banking 90 days or more past-due loans (commercial loans to large companies and corporations). During the prior fiscal year, our past-due loans (90 days or more) portfolio was composed of 82.7% retail banking past-due loans (90 days or more) and 17.3% wholesale banking past-due loans (90 days or more). Diverse economic and business dynamics contributed to the increase in both the amount of past-due loans and our past-due loans ratio in 2022 when compared to 2021. In the case of past-due loans (loans 90 days or more past due), we experienced an annual increase of approximately Ch$125,001 million in the retail banking segment that was partly offset by a decrease of Ch$4,372 million in the wholesale banking segment, in each case, as compared to 2021. The increase in the retail banking segment was primarily supported by the normalization of customers' payment behavior after a period of non-recurrent factors particularly associated with the excess of liquidity seen in the economy during 2021 associated with pension fund withdrawals and government aid packages to support individuals, which increased disposable income throughout 2021. During that period, these factors temporarily benefited the payment behavior in both consumer and mortgage loans. During 2022, however, as the liquidity surplus began to decrease, consumer and residential mortgages past-due loans (loans 90 days or more past due) increased Ch$49,998 million and Ch$23,258 million on an annual basis, respectively. Likewise, SMEs past-due loans (loans 90 days or more past due) also increased Ch$51,745 million in 2022 when compared to 2021. This was primarily due to the low comparison base created in large part by the government-guaranteed loan program (Fogape–Reactiva), which was released in 2021 to support SME in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Instead, the wholesale banking segment recorded a decrease of Ch$4,372 million in commercial past-due loans (loans 90 days or more past due), a consequence of improved business conditions for companies, as mobility and commercial activity has returned to normal levels, benefiting companies' results and credit behavior. As a result, past-due ratios (90 days or more past-due loans over total loans) increased from 1.00% in 2021 to 1.37% in 2022 in the retail banking segment while decreasing from 0.48% in 2021 to 0.41% in 2022 in the wholesale banking segment. Since the unpredictability of certain social developments, the effects of political and social events in Chile affecting consumer confidence and business sentiment, international events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, market fluctuations, changes to macroeconomic indicators, effects of global armed conflicts on the worldwide and the local economy and delayed effects of these developments, may affect our diverse customer segments, we cannot assure you that we will be able to maintain a balanced risk-return equation if some or all these developments materialize in the future. In this regard, economic recessions, social turmoil or market volatility could adversely affect the financial condition of our borrowers, which could translate into an increase in our non-performing loans, impair our loan portfolio and result in lower demand for our loans. Any of these trends could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. For more information on past-due loans, see "Item 3. Key Information-Risk Factors-Risks Relating to our ADSs- Developments in international financial markets may adversely affect the market price of the ADSs and shares," "Item 3. Key Information-Risk Factors-Risks Relating to our ADSs-COVID-19 or any other pandemic disease and health events will affect both the global and the Chilean economy, our business or results of operations and could affect our financial condition" and "Item 4. Information on the Company-Selected Statistical Information-Analysis of Substandard and Past-due loans."
Debt & Financing - Risk 7
As a financial institution, we are subject to reputational risk that could materially affect our results of operations or financial condition.
Corporate reputation is a crucial competitive advantage for us, as it allows us to attract and retain customers, appeal to investors and avoid employee attrition. Also, reputation is a key element in banking since access to funding is driven by the confidence of depositors and the opinion of ratings agencies on the value of our franchise. Therefore, any disreputable event, including employee misconduct, legal proceedings, regulatory sanctions, failure to deliver minimum standards of service quality, failure to comply with regulatory requirements, unethical behavior by our staff or involvement in political issues or public scandals (or gossip related thereto), complaints filed by customers or non-customers and fake news or alleged issues about us or our operations in social media could damage our reputation and produce significant harm to our results of operations or financial condition. Furthermore, our reputation is highly aligned with the reputation of the banking industry in which we participate and, therefore, actions by other providers of financial services or the banking industry as a whole could also harm our own reputation. Similarly, the ability to manage potential conflicts of interest has become an increasingly important factor for our business given our widespread operations in many economic sectors with diverse third parties. Accordingly, the failure to address –or even the perceived failure to address– conflicts of interest could affect the willingness of customers and investors to work with us, or could lead to legal actions against us. In order to address and avoid these potential events, we are continuously improving our corporate governance standards by detecting potential failures and adopting world-class principles and procedures. Nevertheless, we cannot assure you that we will not face reputational events in the future that could harm our prospects or the value of our franchise. For more information on corporate governance, see "Item 6. Directors, Senior Management and Employees-Board Practices".
Debt & Financing - Risk 8
There may be a lack of liquidity and a limited market for our shares and ADSs.
While our ADSs have been listed on the New York Stock Exchange (the "NYSE") since the first quarter of 2002, there can be no assurance that an active trading market for our ADSs will be sustained. During 2022, a daily average volume of approximately 154,039 of our American Depositary Receipts ("ADRs") and a daily average turnover of approximately U.S.$3.0 million were traded on the NYSE, according to data provided by Bloomberg. Although our shares are traded on the Santiago Stock Exchange and the Chilean Electronic Stock Exchange, the Chilean market for our shares in Chile is small and somewhat illiquid. As of April 19, 2023, approximately 48.85% of our outstanding shares were held by shareholders other than our principal shareholders, LQIF. If an ADS holder withdraws the underlying shares from the ADR facility, the small size of the market, its limited liquidity, as well as our concentrated ownership, may impair the ability of the ADS holder to sell the shares in the Chilean market in the amount and at the price and time such holder desires, and could increase the volatility of the price of our ADSs.
Corporate Activity and Growth1 | 3.2%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Modifications to reserve requirements may affect our growth capacity and margins.
According to the Chilean banking regulation, demand deposits and time deposits are subject to reserve requirements of 9.0% and 3.6% (with terms of less than one year), respectively. However, the Central Bank is entitled to require banks to maintain reserves of up to 40.0% for demand deposits and up to 20.0% for time deposits, to the extent needed for monetary policy purposes. In addition, if the aggregate balance of demand deposits and other demand accounts (e.g., deposits in current accounts, other demand deposits or obligations payable on demand and incurred in the ordinary course of business, saving deposits that allow unconditional withdrawals that bear a stated maturity, and other deposits payable immediately unconditionally) held by a bank exceeds 2.5 times its Total Capital or Regulatory Capital (including CET1, additional Tier 1 capital and Tier 2 capital) the bank is required to set aside a technical reserve equivalent to the full amount of that excess. In addition, under Basel III, banks denominated as D-SIB could be subject to stricter technical reserve requirements by which the threshold of 2.5 times the Total Capital or Regulatory Capital could be reduced to 1.5 times. The ability to set this additional requirement is within the purview of the CMF, although the decision to impose such additional requirements must be agreed with the Central Bank. On March 31, 2021, the CMF announced that six local banks (including us) were designated as systemically important banks. On March 31, 2023 the CMF announced the systemic buffers that must be complied with by the systemically important banks, based on market data for the year ended December 31, 2022. In summary, the CMF reaffirmed the systemic buffer on us at the level of 1.25%, which is due to be completed on December 1, 2025. As of the date of this annual report, we have not, however, received notice of the other requirements such as stricter technical reserve thresholds, which may be imposed on us due to our classification as a D-SIB. We cannot assure you that we will not be subject to such requirement in the future, which in turn could impact our capacity to afford balance sheet growth or lead us to raise funding from alternative sources, which could have a material adverse effect on our net interest margin. For more information on the implementation of the systemic buffer, see "Item 3. Key Information-Risk Factors-Stricter banking regulations and changes in law may constrain our operations and thereby adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations".
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 7/31 (23%)Above Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment2 | 6.5%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Changed
Our business growth, asset quality and profitability may be affected by political, legal and economic uncertainty, as well as social developments in Chile.
Our operations are highly dependent on the Chilean political and social environment, as most of our customers and borrowers do business in Chile. Thus, our results of operations could be negatively impacted by unfavorable political and diplomatic developments, social instability or unrest, as well as dramatic changes in public policies, including expropriation, nationalization, international ownership legislation, interest rate caps and tax policy. In October 2019, a series of disruptive protests over a variety of social matters were initially sparked by the announcement of a subway fare increase in Santiago. Among these protests, some violent groups vandalized and looted public and private infrastructure in Santiago and other major cities. The protests and related violence have disrupted various economic activities throughout the country. In addition, many banks and other financial institutions experienced physical damages at their branches and ATMs. Although most of our damages were insured, 239 of the Bank's branches and approximately 170 of our ATMs suffered varying levels of damage during this period, with nine of our branches and 109 ATMs being severely damaged. The social unrest also led to increased volatility in the Chilean stock market, with a significant correction of stock prices and a sharp depreciation of the Chilean peso against the U.S. dollar, both of which were further affected by COVID-19 since 2020. Furthermore, share prices of local banks, including ours, suffered significant declines in the market, while bond spreads of local banks increased. In response to the social unrest, the Chilean Government announced a social agenda intended to increase basic pensions, expand social health coverage, and reduce and stabilize tariffs for some public services. To fund these initiatives, the Chilean Government and the opposition agreed on amendments to certain tax legislation that was passed by the Chilean Congress and enacted on January 29, 2020. See "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-Operating Results-Income Tax and Item 10. Additional Information-Taxation-Chilean Tax Considerations". The long-term effects of the social unrest are difficult to predict, but could include slower economic growth and higher unemployment rates, which could adversely affect our profitability and prospects. For example, an increase in the unemployment rate beyond what we predicted, or for a longer period than predicted, could diminish demand for loans and decrease our customers' payment capacity to repay loans, increasing expected credit losses. In addition, in recent years we have seen a surge in certain violent crimes and insecurity in Chile, some of them related to drug trafficking, which have raised concerns among the population and the Chilean Government. Accordingly, the Congress has approved new legal bodies and the current administration is deploying focused plans aimed at reinforcing public security. Although public disorder due to events occurred in October 2019 have consistently declined, we cannot assure you that the social unrest will not reappear in Chile or violent crimes and insecurity will not increase in the future and, therefore, we can offer no assurance that it will not have a negative impact on economic growth, the overall Chilean business environment and our results of operations and financial condition. Another measure agreed by the government and the Congress to tackle the political crisis initiated in 2019 was a process to draft a new constitution to replace the current one dating from 1980. The entity in charge of the drafting and proposal of the project of new constitution was composed by 155 members elected through national elections. The entire process lasted approximately two years and the project of new constitution drafted by this entity was ultimately rejected by a relevant majority of 61.86% of the Chilean voters in a national referendum held in September 4, 2022. Following this outcome, the Chilean congress agreed to start over a constitutional process by setting certain basic principles and standards that the new constitution must incorporate and defining a new constitutional process, which will be carried out through the interaction of two constitutional bodies: (i) a Commission of Experts composed of 24 members elected by the Congress and (ii) a Constitutional Council composed of 50 members to be appointed by national elections to be held in May 2023. Further, the process includes another body, the Admissibility Technical Committee composed of 14 expert lawyers appointed by the congress, whose sole purpose is to solve any dispute between the latter bodies, related to provisions that may contravene the basic principles and standards that the new constitution must include. The Commission of Experts was installed on March 6, 2023 and must prepare a preliminary draft of a new constitution that will be proposed to the Constitutional Council. The Commission of Experts will be entitled to participate in the Constitutional Council without voting rights. The Constitutional Council will be in charge of discussing and generating a final draft by approving each provision included in it and the draft as a whole by three fifths vote of its membership in five months after receiving the draft. A national referendum scheduled to be held in December, 2023 must ratify or reject the new constitutional draft. However, it is not known whether the new draft of a constitution, which is issued out of this process, will be approved, we cannot rule out that economic growth and investment in Chile, and consequently our results of operations or financial condition, may be adversely affected in the meantime due to the uncertainty. In the meantime, the current constitution will remain in effect. Further, there can be no assurance as to the policies and reforms that the current government and the Congress (both elected in December, 2021) may propose or take, while their impact on Chile's economic and fiscal situation, growth, stability, outlook are still uncertain. Likewise, it not yet possible to predict to the effects that any such policies or reforms may have on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 2
Our growth and profitability depend on the level of economic activity in Chile.
Our core business and transactions are with customers doing business in Chile. Accordingly, our ability to grow our business volumes and results of operations, as well as enhance our financial condition, in general, depends on the dynamics of the Chilean economy or the effects of economic developments in other countries affecting Chile, and specific macroeconomic variables such as inflation, unemployment, interest rates, consumption and private investment. In the past, global financial crises, such as the 2008 financial crisis, have dramatically affected economic growth in developed countries, as well as in Chile where a subsequent slowdown in the local banking industry was observed due to lower levels of consumption and deteriorated credit quality in loan portfolios prompted by unemployment and financial stress experienced by certain economic sectors. During 2020, the local economy was severely affected by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on overall activity, primarily as a result of the long-lasting lockdowns imposed by the Chilean Government in order to control the spread of the virus across the country, which translated into: (i) a spike in unemployment from 7.1% in December 2019 to a peak of 12.3% in the three-month period between August 2020 and October 2020, which decreased to 10.3% in December 2020, (ii) an 8.0% decline in private consumption, caused by the sharp decrease in disposable income and mobility restrictions and (iii) a contraction of 9.3% in capital expenditures (gross fixed capital formation), since many investment projects were postponed in light of both uncertainty on the economic outlook, social distancing measures and lockdowns that impacted diverse economic sectors. These local events, coupled with the initial effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on Chile's main trade partners' economies, particularly China, Europe and the United States, battered the dynamics of some of its key export products. However, in the fourth quarter of 2020, local economic activity began to recover as mobility restrictions were lifted and certain industries, like construction, restaurants and manufacturing, returned to more normal activity. Likewise, household spending was positively impacted by the fiscal aid package implemented by the government to support individuals and the initial effects of two pension fund withdrawals approved by the Chilean Congress. Accordingly, in the fourth quarter of 2020, GDP recovered to 2019 levels, by advancing 0.4%. However, annual GDP contracted 6.0% in 2020. In 2021, the Chilean economy showed a strong recovery, given both the low comparison base during same period in 2020, as well as a significant rebound in private consumption and, to a lesser extent, in private investment. According to figures reported by the Central Bank, GDP recorded an expansion of 11.7% in 2021 as compared to 2020, primarily driven by household spending, which increased 20.8% as a result of the extraordinary support measures for individuals that began in 2020, such as direct money transfers from the Chilean Government and an additional withdrawal from pension funds approved by the congress that positively impacted individuals' disposable income. Furthermore, most of the mobility restrictions present in 2020 were gradually lifted in 2021, as a significant part of the population became fully vaccinated and contagion rates decreased steadily, which supported the reactivation of diverse industries, particularly those associated with retail, mass consumption and services. In terms of private investment in infrastructure, machinery and equipment, overall capital expenditures grew 15.7% in 2021 as compared 2020, while government spending expanded 13.8% within the same period, fostered by increasing social demands from the Chilean population and efforts to deal with the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the dynamics that boosted household consumption and, to a lesser extent, investment, together with constrained inventories, led the Chilean balance of trade (defined as exports minus imports) to become negative in the year ended December 31, 2021, as reported by the Central Bank. In 2022 the Chilean economy followed similar trends when compared to the global economy, characterized by a moderation in GDP growth, higher inflation and fiscal and monetary policy adjustments. According to statistics published by the Central Bank, the Chilean economy grew 2.4% in 2022 as compared to the 11.7% recorded in 2021, as a result of a slowdown in all GDP items as reflected by an annual growth of 2.9% in private consumption due to a sharp decline in the liquidity surplus held bu individuals, an annual expansion of 2.8% in private investment fostered by the uncertainty surrounding the economic and political outlook and an increase of 4.1% in fiscal spending due to the end of expenses related to COVID-19. Despite the lower GDP growth, inflation rose significantly during 2022, as depicted by an annual increase of 12.8% in the CPI, which is the highest level in three decades while being significantly above the monetary policy target of 3.0% defined by the Central Bank. Soaring inflation was the consequence of many factors including increased prices of volatile components of the CPI basket, as well as the depreciation of the exchange rate during most of the year, which translated into a 15.9% annual increase in the tradable goods index and a 9.0% increase in the non-tradable goods index. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 8.6% in 2022. The inflation increase was crucial for the Central Bank to deploy an aggressive monetary policy adjustment by raising the reference interest rate from 4.00% in December 2021 to 11.25% in December 2022. Although the Chilean Central Bank has mentioned that inflation should begin to converge to levels of around 3.6% by December 2023, there are various external factors that could keep inflation above the Central Bank's target range, such as additional disruptions to the global supply chain due to the effects of geopolitical conflicts, increases in global energy prices and further depreciation of the Chilean peso, which should translate into higher prices for imported goods in Chile. Although the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the local economy and most relevant economies worldwide, such as China, the United States and main European countries, have mostly subsided or significantly improved and the worldwide vaccination process is in progress, it is not clear that new infection waves will not arise, given the appearance of continued or new virus mutations. As such, we cannot assure you that the dynamics displayed by the Chilean economy in 2022 will remain or that the economic growth of Chile's key international partners will improve or return to pre-COVID-19 levels. Likewise, social developments prompted by new variant strains of the COVID-19 pandemic, the economic downturn expected for 2023 or the new constitutional process in progress, could also lead the Chilean economy to severely decelerate, stagnate or even fall into recession, which could have a subsequent adverse effect on our business growth and the business growth of the Chilean banking industry in general. Additionally, social and political developments occurring in Chile could affect both consumer confidence and business sentiment, which may in turn result in lowered demand for loans and banking services. For example, the rejection of the constitution draft in September 2022 and uncertainty around the new process could exacerbate economic deterioration, which together with increasing interest rates, higher inflation and the current economic slowdown could affect our cost of funds, margins, results of operations, business volumes and financial condition. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the local economy will grow in the coming years, as it has in the past, or that developments affecting the Chilean economy and the local banking industry will not materially affect our business, financial condition or results of operations. For more information, see "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-Operating Results-Impact of COVID-19 in 2022," "Item 3. Key Information-Risk Factors-COVID-19 or any other pandemic disease and health events will affect both the global and the Chilean economy, our business or results of operations and could affect our financial condition" and "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-Trend Information-Impact of COVID-19 in 2022."
Natural and Human Disruptions2 | 6.5%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
Added
Climate change presents various financial and non-financial risks to us and our customers that are not directly observable and, therefore, are difficult to mitigate in advance.
Climate change presents various financial and non-financial risks to us, our customers and clients. It poses both immediate and long-term risks, which are expected to increase over time. Climate risks may be of two types: (i) physical risks (related to the direct physical effects of climate change), and (ii) transition risks (related to regulatory, market, technological, stakeholder and legal changes from a transition to a low-carbon economy). Physical risks from climate change include acute risks, such as more intense storms and floods, as well as consequences of chronic changes in climate, like rising sea levels, prolonged droughts and systemic changes to geographies and any other resulting in population migration. Such physical risks could have adverse financial, operational and other impacts on us, both directly on our business and operations, and indirectly as a result of impacts to our customers, suppliers and other counterparties. These impacts may include destruction, damage or impairment of properties, infrastructure and other assets, business continuity breaches, massive staff absence, disruptions to supply chains, reduced availability of goods or increase in the cost of insurance. Physical risks can also impact the credit risk of our loan or investment portfolio due to damage of customers' assets pledged as collateral to us or derive in increased liquidity risk if physical destruction produces liquidity shortage in capital markets due to disruptions in communication networks, among other sources of financial risks. Transition risks may arise from changes in regulations or market preferences toward low-carbon industries or sectors, which in turn could have negative impacts on asset valuation, our results of operations or our customers' reputation that may negatively affect their financial condition and payment capacity. Failure to adequately recognize transition risks in developing and executing our business strategy could lead to market share loss, decreased revenues and higher expected credit losses and increased cost of funds. Moreover, banking regulators and others are increasingly focusing on the issue of climate risk at financial institutions, both directly and in relation with their customers. Legislative and regulatory changes and uncertainties regarding climate-related risk management and disclosures are likely to result in higher regulatory, compliance, reputational and other risks and costs for us. Even as some regulators seek to require disclosure of climate-related information, our ability to comply with such requirements and conduct more robust climate-related risk analyses may be hampered by lack of information and reliable data. Data on climate-related risks is still limited in availability, often based on unverified figures or sources, collected and reported on a lag, and variable in quality. Likewise, since modeling capabilities to analyze climate-related risks and their impacts to financial institutions are in first stages of development, and to date those tools are still under continuing improvement and revision, the severity of the impacts of the climate change on banking business may not be predictable and, therefore, may challenge the effectiveness of our risk management strategies to mitigate our climate risk exposure. Thus, our failure to detect the aforementioned conditions or to identify other risks related to climate change, could materially affect our financial condition, business and results of operations.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 2
COVID-19 or any other pandemic disease and health events will affect both the global and the Chilean economy, our business or results of operations and could affect our financial condition.
Pandemic disease and health events, such as the outbreak of COVID-19, have the potential to negatively impact economic activities in many countries, including Chile, with subsequent adverse effects on our business growth, results of operations or financial condition. Since the worldwide outbreak of COVID-19 in early 2020, countries have responded by taking various measures which have the potential to negatively impact our business, results of operations and financial condition. In addition, concerns related to the evolution of the world economy due to COVID-19 lowered equity market valuations and decreased liquidity in fixed income markets, ultimately resulting in the fall of stock prices (including the price of our stock). Also, since new variant strains of COVID-19 appear from time to time, there continue to be concerns on the mid- and long-term effects they will have on international trade, travel, employee productivity, securities markets, and other economic activities that may continue to have a destabilizing effect on financial markets and economic activity. Although in most countries some of the restrictions listed above have been relaxed, others have had to re-introduce partial or full-scale lockdowns due to new infection waves. Accordingly, the adverse social and economic effects of the pandemic continue to be a threat for economic growth. In Chile, since the first cases of COVID-19 were detected in March 2020, the Chilean Government has taken diverse measures in order to control its spread. This included, among other measures partial or total lockdowns with varying levels of severity and length. In the fourth quarter of 2020, the process of vaccination helped to decrease contagion and to start lifting lockdowns, a process that continued in 2021. The rate of contagion has since fluctuated as a result of the appearance of new variants. During 2022, however, given the high rate of vaccination, health authorities have not raised new concerns regarding new contagion waves while withdrawing certain sanitary measures like the use of mask. According to the Chilean Ministry of Health, as of December 31, 2022, approximately 91.1%, 89.1%, 81.8% and 60.9% of the total population had received at least one dose, two doses and third and fourth booster doses of the vaccine, respectively. As vaccinations have appeared to be effective in slowing down the spread of COVID-19 and new variant strains, while preventing an increase in the death toll, the Chilean Government has continued to gradually modify the restriction program named "step-by-step", which has been in effect since March 2020. The new program includes five stages ranging from the restriction scenario (lockdown) to the opening scenario, depending on many factors, including the number of new cases per capita in a specific area, size of vulnerable population and access to health services. As of the date of this annual report, Chile is on an opening scenario in which the use of mask is only compulsory at health services, no mobility pass is required, there are no restrictions of maximum capacity neither in closed nor in opened locations, and massive events like sports, concerts or festivals are not restricted. From a macroeconomic point of view, these measures and the positive advance in the control of the pandemic contributed to the reactivation of some sectors of the Chilean economy in 2022, such as services. This factor helped to mitigate contractions in other economic sectors in 2022 in the context of the slowdown experienced by the Chilean economy after a period of significant growth in 2021, prompted by external and non-recurrent factors. All in all, during 2022 Chile's GDP increased 2.4%, as a consequence of an important slowdown in household consumption that managed to grow 2.9%, mainly due to reduced liquidity among individuals after a period of high spending motivated by direct money transfers (Emergency Income for the Family or Ingreso Familiar de Emergencia – "IFE") from the Chilean Government and pension fund withdrawals permitted by the Chilean Congress. Likewise, the fiscal spending that increased 4.1% only due to a decline in financial aid to individuals while private investment grew 2.8%. If the vaccination and spread trends do not continue or reverse, or if new variants appear to be resistant to the currently existing vaccines, the health authority could impose new restrictions, such as country-wide lockdowns, which could result in a shutdown involving the Bank, our subsidiaries and some or all of our customers operations, such that we would be unable to meet the needs of our customers for an unknown period of time, which could adversely affect our results of operations by reducing revenues, decreasing our collection capabilities. Furthermore, as the COVID-19 pandemic ushered in a historic economic downturn, financial institutions face increased credit risk, strategic risk, operational risk, and compliance risk. The spread of new variants of COVID-19 or the appearance of other kinds of diseases or viruses that threaten to become a pandemic continues to result, from time to time, in increased volatility in both the local and the international financial markets and economic indicators, such as exchange rates, interest rates, credit spreads and commodity prices. Any shocks or unexpected movements in these market factors could result in financial losses associated with our fixed-income trading portfolio, trading derivatives or financial assets measured at fair value through other comprehensive income, which could then cause deterioration of our financial condition or limitations to meet our liabilities. Furthermore, market fears could translate into liquidity constraints and reduced access to funding in both the local and the international markets, negatively affecting our net interest margin and net income. Adverse changes in the economy may also have a negative effect on the ability of our borrowers to make timely repayments of their loans, which could have an adverse impact on our earnings. In order to prepare for the impacts of this environment, the Chilean financial authorities made various decisions in order to ensure liquidity within the Chilean financial system. The Central Bank, for instance, carried out consecutive reductions to the monetary policy rate by lowering the reference rate to 0.5%, level at which it remained from April 2020 to July 2021, when the Central Bank began to withdraw the monetary stimulus in an attempt to control inflation. However, additional decisions made by the Central Bank based on the evolution of the pandemic may affect our results of operations in the future. Lastly, contingency plans in order to address the emergency, including remote working arrangements, implementation of alternative offsite locations and so on, could have a negative impact on us in terms of operating expenses and lowered net income. In 2022, our results of operations and financial condition reflected the dynamics of the local economy and the banking system after the worst of the pandemic appears to have been overcome and market factors appear to reflect the aftermaths of many aid measures taken by authorities during the pandemic. From the perspective of loan growth, in 2022 we recorded an annual expansion of 7.2%, driven by increases of 17.6% and 10.4% in consumer and residential mortgage loans that permitted to soften a slowdown in commercial loans that managed to grow 3.2%. Growth in residential mortgage and commercial loans was primarily prompted by inflation, since demand for loans declined and offer conditions tightened in the context of economic slowdown. Furthermore, in the case of commercial loans, the end of the Fogape-Reactiva program that was present in 2021 also contributed to the slowdown. Consumer loans, instead, displayed real positive growth (well above inflation) as a result of our efforts to reactivate the product and also due to the decrease observed in the level of liquidity among individuals. From the funding perspective, since short-term interest rates increased sharply in 2022 due to the measures adopted by the Central Bank to combat inflation generated –in part– by boosted consumption in 2021 prompted by aid measures to deal with the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, demand deposits balances recorded a significant decrease of 26.7% in year-end balances, given the higher opportunity cost for depositors of handling funds in non-interest bearing current account in a scenario of high interest rates and high inflation. As a result, financing needs were covered with time deposits that increased 57.1% in year-end balances. Likewise, by the end of the year we decided to raise long-term funding in the local market in anticipation of increased competition in the future when most of banks will need to raise funds in order to pay off the FCIC (Funding Conditional to the Increase in Loans) provided by the Central Bank in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, which amounted to Ch$4,348,400 million for us and is due to expire in March and July 2024. From the capital adequacy perspective, we continued to maintain a strong equity base in 2022, as reflected by a CET1 ratio that increased from 12.9% to 13.6% and a BIS ratio that increased from 17.2% to 17.9% between December 2021 and December 2022 amid the implementation of the Basel III guidelines in Chile that became effective for purposes of measuring capital and risk-weighted assets in December 2021. In terms of results, our net income was Ch$1,445,801 million in 2022 as compared to the Ch$1,056,317 million recorded in 2021. The main driver of this change was the significant increase in net interest income as a result of both the positive effect of double-digit inflation on the contribution of the UF net asset exposure we hold in our balance sheet and the positive impact of higher interest rate on the contribution of demand deposits to our funding cost. These effects were partly offset by an increase in expected credit losses due to normalized credit risk indicators that translated into higher probabilities of default and the increment in operating expenses, mainly associated with inflation-indexed costs. Although economic activity appears to be recovering, because there have been no comparable recent global pandemics that resulted in a similar global impact, we do not yet know the course and, as such, the full extent of the COVID-19 pandemic's long-term effects on our business, operations, or the global economy as a whole. Any future developments continue to be uncertain, including any further action taken by governmental authorities and other third parties in response to the pandemic. As the economic impact due to the COVID-19 pandemic continues we cannot provide any assurances as to how long it will be before the COVID-19 pandemic's impact is ultimately contained and economic activity recovers to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels.
Capital Markets3 | 9.7%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
Currency fluctuations could adversely affect our results of operations, the value of our ADSs and any distributions on the ADSs.
The Chilean Government's economic policies and any future changes in the value of the Chilean peso with respect to the U.S. dollar could affect the dollar value of our common stock and our ADSs. Given the floating exchange rate regime that exists in Chile, the Chilean peso has been subject to large fluctuations in the past and this trend could occur again in the future. According to information published by the Central Bank ("Dólar Observado", which differs from exchange rate of accounting representation or market exchange rate), between December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2022, the value of the U.S. dollar relative to the Chilean peso increased by approximately 1.1%, as compared to the increase of 19.5% recorded in the period from December 31, 2020 to December 31, 2021. Chilean trading in the shares underlying our ADSs is conducted in Chilean pesos. Cash dividends associated with our shares of common stock are received in Chilean pesos by the depositary, which then converts such amounts to U.S. dollars at the then-prevailing exchange rate for making payments in respect of our ADSs. If the value of the U.S. dollar increases relative to the Chilean peso, the dollar value of our ADSs, and any distributions to be received from the depositary, will decrease. In addition, the depositary will incur customary currency conversion costs (to be borne by the holders of our ADSs) in connection with the conversion and subsequent distribution of dividends or other payments. For more information, see "Item 10. Additional Information-Exchange Controls." Since we manage assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currency, our results of operations may be affected by fluctuations in the exchange rates between the Chilean peso and the U.S. dollar, or the Chilean peso in relation to other currencies, despite our policy and Chilean regulations related to the general avoidance of material exchange rate mismatches. In order to reduce the effect of exchange rate mismatches, we enter into foreign exchange derivative transactions, including both hedge accounting derivatives and trading derivatives not classified as hedge accounting, that hedge most of our exposure to foreign currency. As of December 31, 2022, our foreign currency-denominated liabilities and Chilean peso-denominated liabilities, which contain repayment terms linked to changes in foreign currency exchange rates, exceeded our foreign currency-denominated assets and Chilean peso denominated assets, which contain repayment terms linked to changes in foreign currency exchange rates, by an amount of Ch$5,861 million (amounting to approximately U.S.$6.9 million as of December 31, 2022), or 0.16% of our paid-in capital and reserves. We may decide to change our policy regarding exchange rate mismatches. Regulations that limit such mismatches may also be amended or eliminated by regulatory institutions. Higher exchange rate mismatches will increase our exposure to the depreciation of the Chilean peso, and any such depreciation may impair our capacity to service foreign-currency obligations and may, therefore, materially and adversely affect us, our financial condition and results of operations. Additionally, the economic policies of the Chilean Government and any future fluctuations of the Chilean peso, with respect to the U.S. dollar, could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.
Capital Markets - Risk 2
Developments in international financial markets may adversely affect the market price of the ADSs and shares.
The market price of our ADSs and shares may be adversely affected by volatility in international financial markets and unfavorable developments in global economic conditions. The market for Chilean securities and the Chilean economy as a whole are influenced by: (i) economic and market conditions in Chile's main commercial partners such as the United States, Europe and certain emerging economies, especially Asian countries, (ii) economic as well as political developments in Latin American countries, and (iii) armed conflicts in which some of the Chile's main trade partners participate or by which they could be affected. Although economic conditions are different in each country, investors' reactions to specific issues in one country may affect the financial markets in others, including Chile. After a long period of turbulence and volatility, which began in 2007 with the subprime mortgage crisis, when many U.S. banks and financial institutions disclosed significant write-downs related to their exposure to mortgage-backed securities and other similar financial instruments, the world's economy began to show a gradual recovery thanks to significant government intervention for important banks worldwide, in order to maintain investors' and customers' confidence and to prevent bank runs. These government actions became less frequent as the U.S. and the global economy started to show signs of recovery. Nevertheless, the fiscal condition of many European countries remained weak for a protracted period of time, which, from time to time, created doubts about the financial condition of certain European banks. At the same time, stricter capital requirements were established for banks around the world, namely the Basel III framework or more recently the Basel IV framework. During 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic was a principal source of instability for financial markets. Equity market valuations lowered significantly while liquidity in fixed income markets decreased dramatically, creating significant volatility and disruption in global financial markets, particularly in the early months of the pandemic, resulting in the fall of stock prices (including the price of our stock) and sudden increases in credit spreads. In the case of interest rates, monetary actions taken by many central banks around the world led short-term and long-term rates to historically low levels, in order to promote lending by banks and assure liquidity in the global financial system. These trends began to revert in 2021 as the pandemic seemed to be under control, massive lockdowns were gradually lifted, individuals and companies returned to normal activities and the vaccination process advanced around the globe. Many developed and developing economies recovered significantly from the contraction displayed in 2020, due to both a low comparison base and also due to the positive impact of aggressive monetary and fiscal packages. In 2022, instead, the global economy showed signs of deceleration after a period of significant growth due to external factors. Thus, according to the International Monetary Fund, global GDP is estimated to have expanded 3.4% in 2022, down from the 6.2% recorded in 2021, whereas GDP of developed economies is estimated to have increased 2.7%, down from 5.4% in 2021, mainly explained by the sharp slowdown displayed by the United States and the European Union. Economic growth in developing countries coupled to this trend by expanding 3.9% in 2022 in comparison with the 6.7% increase in 2021, largely pulled by the deceleration occurred in the Chinese economy. The global economy was marked by three major trends in 2022: (i) the rise in inflation to the highest levels in decades, (ii) the monetary tightening cycle undertaken by several central banks to cope with global rise in inflation, and (iii) geopolitical issues in Easter Europe. Global inflation reached 8.8% in 2022, well above the targets set by central banks, as a consequence of several factors including: (i) fiscal stimulus that translated into government spending implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic, (ii) an increase in liquidity generated by the measures implemented by the Central Banks (such as leading interest rates to lowest levels in decades) to counteract the effects of the pandemic, and (iii) the disruption in the supply chain by the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequently by geopolitical conflicts. In this context, inflation was above the monetary policy target levels of most of the Central Banks in 2022, rising 6.5% in the U.S. and 9.2% in the Eurozone. To face this challenge, several central banks deployed tightening policies. As an example, the US Federal Reserve performed an adjustment cycle in March 2022 by taking the Federal Funds Rate from 0.25% to 4.5% in December 2022. A similar trend took place in the Eurozone, where the monetary tightening process led to an interest rate increase from -0.5% in July 2022 to 2.0% in December 2022. In addition, the geopolitical conflict between Russia and Ukraine has generated a negative impact on global growth while increasing inflationary pressures, mainly via an increase in energy prices. There is consensus that the global economy will experience a below-trend level of growth in 2023 (2.9% according to the International Monetary Fund) while returning to potential growth in 2024. Likewise, the market expectations consider that both the lower economic dynamism and a normalized level of commodity prices (energy and food) could contribute to a reduced rate of inflation while allowing Central Banks to ease monetary policies. Nonetheless, depending on how long the global economy takes to return to average growth and also how persistent are the factors mentioned above, monetary easing policies could be delayed, which could be a source of instability worldwide that may result in lower GDP growth for developed and emerging economies. Furthermore, the impact on global macroeconomic performance may be adversely affected by current turmoil in global banking industry, after the collapse of two U.S. banks and the forced sale of Credit Suisse. Also, political and social instability in some Latin American countries like Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Argentina and even Chile produced migration issues in more stable countries within the region. Moreover, armed conflicts in the Middle East and Asia, the ongoing tensions between the U.S. and different countries including Iran, China and Russia, the global migration crisis and waves of populism looming in different countries, as well as terrorism, illustrate volatile social and political environments that could harm foreign trade and economic growth for both developed and developing countries. These changes may also generate significant volatility in international markets and commodity prices. More recently, the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine in eastern Europe, which continues to threaten to become global as other countries continue to provide assistance, is another source of instability that is affecting the global economic environment. As of December 31, 2022, and as of the date of this annual report, we do not have any exposure to customers or financial counterparties either in Ukraine or Russia. Moreover, the slowdown of the Chinese economy has led to increasing volatility in the financial markets in the past, affecting international commodity prices, including copper, which is Chile's main export. For example, during the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a slowdown in the Chinese economy due to the quarantine ordered by Chinese authorities in the most affected regions of the country. Due to the importance of copper exports and overall mining activity to Chilean economic growth, a prolonged slowdown in the Chinese economy, a Chinese-U.S. trade war or other developments may drive copper prices down and adversely affect the Chilean economy, and consequently negatively affect us. The effect of all these trends on market volatility and the economic outlook of developed countries, emerging economies and Chile's commercial partners could adversely impact the local economy, the local banking industry and, ultimately, our results of operations, financial condition and the price of our shares and ADS.
Capital Markets - Risk 3
Market turmoil could result in material negative adjustments to the fair value of our financial assets, which could translate into a material effect on our results or financial condition.
Over the last decade worldwide financial markets have been subject to stress coming from diverse fronts that has resulted in sharp temporary changes in interest rates and credit spreads, including those related to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and, more recently, to the impact of geopolitical issues arising in eastern Europe, all of which have also affected the Chilean financial market. We have material exposures to debt securities issued by the Chilean Government and the Chilean Central Bank and other fixed-income investments in securities issued by local and foreign issuers. Most of these are booked at fair value with direct impact on our income statement or through other comprehensive income, while a remaining minor portion is measured at amortized cost. Therefore, these positions expose us to potential negative fair value adjustments in the short or medium term and to impairments in the long term, due to dramatic and unexpected changes in short- or long-term local and foreign interest rates and credit spreads. Market turmoil generated by the recent bank failures in the United States, and the emergency sale of Credit Suisse, are two such examples of the exposure that we have to international financial events. Any of these factors could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. In 2022, the Chilean financial market was characterized by an inverted yield curve, whereby nominal shorter term interest rates rose above nominal longer term interest rates, which was the consequence of a number of factors including, but not limited to: (i) a tighter monetary policy deployed by the Central Bank in an effort to control inflation, evidenced by the increase of the monetary policy rate seven times between December 2021 and December 2022 from 4.00% to 11.25%, (ii) the gradual removal of temporary factors that boosted GDP growth, particularly private consumption, during 2021, (iii) the expectation that inflation would take longer than the time period suggested by the Central Bank's forecast to return to normalized levels, (iv) political uncertainty associated with both the constitutional referendum held on September 4, 2022 and the speed of implementation and depth of the reforms proposed by the administration that took office in March 2022 in many economic fields, and (v) initiatives that have arisen from time to time in Congress with the aim of approving new pension funds withdrawals. All of these factors resulted in significant increases for nominal and real interest rates, particularly for shorter terms. For instance, the average interest rates paid by Chilean banks on 90 to 360 day deposits increased from 5.06% in December 2021 to 11.12% in December 2022. Longer terms interest rates, instead, showed a mixed trend during the year by increasing steadily during the first three quarters while decreasing sharply in the fourth quarter after the constitutional referendum failed, and after inflation began to show moderate signs of easing, Thus, whereas average annual interest rates of the Central Bank's ten-year Chilean peso denominated bonds increased from 4.36% in 2021 to 6.26% in 2022, the rates paid by the same instrument decreased slightly from 5.69% in December 2021 to 5.34% in December 2022. Likewise, the path taken by the Chilean Central Bank, similarly to most central banks worldwide, was to begin by implementing tightening cycles in order to control inflation. As an example, the Federal Reserve of the United States increased the reference rate from 0.25% in December 2021 to 4.5% in December 2022, while the European Central Bank took the monetary policy interest rate from -0.5% in December 2021 to 2.0% in December 2022. Similarly, rates of U.S. ten-year bonds increased from 1.51% in December 2021 to 3.88% in December 2022. All of these factors negatively impacted the market value of financial assets for the entire industry and us, including both financial instruments measured at fair value with direct impact on the income statement and those measured at fair value through other comprehensive income. As of December 31, 2022, our fixed-income portfolio was composed of securities measured at fair value through profit and loss statement (including debt securities and other trading positions) amounting to Ch$3,691,070 million (approximately U.S.$ 4,341 million), financial instruments measured at fair value through other comprehensive income amounting to Ch$3,967,392 million (approximately U.S.$ 4,666 million), and financial instruments measured at amortized cost (so not affected by changes in market factors in terms of fair value adjustments) for an amount of Ch$902,355 million (approximately U.S.$1,061 million), which are mostly concentrated in bonds and notes issued by the Central Bank and the Chilean Government. Likewise, as of the same date we maintained asset and liability balances in trading and hedge accounting derivatives measured at fair value of Ch$2,987,783 million (approximately U.S.$3,514 million) and Ch$3,324,485 million (approximately U.S.$3,910 million), respectively. The approval of an additional pension fund withdrawal, increased uncertainty regarding economic and social reforms to be implemented by Chile's new administration, escalation or the persistence of armed conflicts in eastern Europe including the involvement of additional countries leading to a global conflict, market turmoil associated with the failure of two U.S. banks and the forced sale of Credit Suisse and internal or external forces sustaining persistent inflation, among other factors, could cause further increases in short- and long-term local interest rates, which could have additional impacts on the market value of our fixed-income portfolio measured at fair value. See also "Item 3. Key Information-Risk Factors-Risks Relating to our ADSs-Developments in international financial markets may adversely affect the market price of the ADSs and shares" and "Item 3. Key Information-Risk Factors-Risks Relating to our ADSs-COVID-19 or any other pandemic disease and health events will affect both the global and the Chilean economy, our business or results of operations and could affect our financial condition."
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 5/31 (16%)Below Sector Average
Regulation2 | 6.5%
Regulation - Risk 1
In the past, Chile has imposed controls on foreign investment and repatriation of investments that affected investments in, and earnings from, our ADSs.
Equity investments held in Chile by non-Chilean residents have historically been subject to various exchange control regulations that restrict the repatriation of investments and earnings from Chile. In April 2001, the Central Bank eliminated most of the regulations affecting foreign investors. However, foreign investors still have to provide the Central Bank with information related to equity investments and must conduct such operations within the Formal Exchange Market. Additional Chilean restrictions applicable to holders of our ADSs, the disposition of the shares underlying them, the repatriation of the proceeds from such disposition or the payment of dividends may be imposed in the future, and we can neither determine in advance nor advise you as to when or how those restrictions could impact you, if imposed. If for any reason, including changes in Chilean law, the depositary for our ADSs were unable to convert Chilean pesos to U.S. dollars, investors would receive dividends and other distributions, if any, in Chilean pesos.
Regulation - Risk 2
Changed
Stricter banking regulations and changes in law may constrain our operations and thereby adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.
The CMF is the entity that oversees and regulates the Chilean financial market, which is comprised of publicly traded companies, insurance companies, insurance brokers, mutual funds and investment funds as well as the Chilean banking industry as a whole and some non-bank lenders. In addition to being subject to regulation by the CMF, in certain matters, we are also subject to regulations issued by the Central Bank. See "Item 4. Information on the Company-Regulation and Supervision." Pursuant to the Ley General de Bancos (the "General Banking Act") all Chilean banks may, subject to the approval of the CMF, engage in certain non-banking businesses approved by the law. The CMF's approval will depend on the risk of the activity and the strength of the bank. Furthermore, the General Banking Act currently imposes on the Chilean banking system the Basel III capital adequacy guidelines issued by the Basel Committee on Banking Regulation and Supervisory Practices (the "Basel Committee") and limits the discretion of the CMF to deny new banking licenses. Impact of Basel III Implementation In 2018, the Chilean Congress passed modifications to the General Banking Act in various sections by means of Law No. 21,130 that was enacted on December 27, 2018 and subsequently published on January 12, 2019. This law addresses four main topics aimed at modernizing the Chilean banking framework by: (i) adopting the Basel III guidelines, considering a phased-in transition (the implementation date was postponed from December 2020 to December 2021 in light of the impact that the COVID-19 pandemic had on the economy), (ii) introducing changes to the local regulator's corporate governance by transferring powers formerly vested in the Superintendencia de Bancos e Instituciones Financieras de Chile (the "Superintendency of Banks and Financial Institutions" or "SBIF") (the former banking supervisor) to the CMF in June 2019, (iii) reforming the resolution regime for Chilean banks in the case of insolvency, and (iv) introducing changes in relation to confidential information of banks' customers, among others topics. For more information, see "Item 4. Information on the Company-Regulation and Supervision- Modifications to the General Banking Act." In regards to Basel III guidelines, in May 2019, the CMF began the publication for comment in respect of their rule-making on a diverse and wide array of topics associated with this framework. By December 2021, all the final rules related to Basel III had been issued by the CMF. However, the methodology to activate or deactivate the countercyclical buffer that should be defined by the Central Bank and monitored by the CMF, is still pending issuance. Regarding capital requirements, since December 1, 2021 new regulatory thresholds have been imposed on local banks, based on the specific regulations issued by the CMF, as follows: ØCET1 = 4.5% of risk-weighted assets (CET1 ratio); ØCET1 = 3.0% of total risk assets (Leverage ratio); ØTier 1 = CET1 + AT1 = 6.0% of risk-weighted assets (Tier 1 ratio); ØTier 1 + Tier 2 = 8.0% of risk-weighted assets (Total Capital ratio); ØConservation Buffer = 2.5% of risk-weighted assets; ØCountercyclical Buffer of up to 2.5% of risk-weighted assets, if any; ØSystemically-Important Banks ("D-SIB") Buffer ("systemic buffer") in the range of 1.0% to 3.5% of risk-weighted assets, if any; and ØPillar 2 Buffer of up to 4.0% of risk-weighted assets, if any. For more detailed information on each specific regulation currently in effect and capital thresholds, see "Item 4. Information on the Company-Regulation and Supervision-Modifications to the General Banking Act." As of December 31, 2022 we were in full compliance of capital adequacy requirements as set forth by the following actual capital adequacy ratios: Basel III Capital Ratio  Actual Ratio   Leverage Ratio   8.6% CET1 Ratio   13.6  Tier 1 Ratio   14.1  Total Capital Ratio   17.9% On March 31, 2021 the CMF announced that based on the information provided by local banks for the year ended December 31, 2020, there are six domestic systemically important banks, including us, which would be subject to systemic buffers, which would be determined by means of the methodology defined by the CMF. On March 30, 2022 the CMF announced the systemic buffers for the six previously-determined systemically important banks. Based on the methodology established by the CMF for this purpose, the Chilean regulator has imposed a systemic buffer equivalent to 1.25% of risk-weighted assets on us, which is being gradually introduced over a four-year period starting December 1, 2022, and continuing at an annual and cumulative rate of 25% every year, completing the 1.25% (if maintained unchanged) on December 1, 2025. Accordingly, by December 2022 we were subject to a phased-in systemic buffer of 0.3125%. In addition, on December 19, 2022 the CMF announced the removal of the former requirement associated with Article 35 bis of the General Banking Act that was expected gradually decrease at a 25% rate per year beginning on December 1, 2021 while coexisting with the systemic buffer set under Basel III until November 30, 2024. Furthermore, on March 31, 2023 the CMF announced the systemic buffers that the systemically important banks must comply with, based on market data for the year ended December 31, 2022. In this announcement, the CMF reaffirmed the systemic buffer on us at the level of 1.25%, which is due to be completed on December 1, 2025, as mentioned earlier. Likewise, on January 13, 2023 we received confirmation from CMF that based on the overhaul of our Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process for the year ended December 31, 2021, no further capital requirements associated with Pillar 2 have been set for us. Although based on these buffers we continue to be in full compliance with minimum requirements, we cannot be certain about any other potential capital buffers the regulator could impose to us and, therefore, we cannot assure you that our profitability will not be impacted by actions we may take in order to fulfill new regulatory thresholds. For more information, see "Item 4. Information on the Company-Regulation and Supervision-Modifications to the General Banking Act." Regarding banking resolution, on January 31, 2023 the CMF published a white paper "Guidelines for a new banking resolution framework and deposit insurance in Chile". Through this document the Chilean regulator addresses the recommendations that arose from the assessment of the local financial system carried out by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank during 2020 and 2021. In particular, the white paper describes the main legal and regulatory gaps of the current Chilean resolution regime when compared to international practices, while proposing the creation of a new agency, with financial and operating independence, in charge of both the administration and resolution of deposit insurance. In business-as-usual times, this entity should develop contingency and resolution plans for systemically-important banks. In times of crisis, this agency would be in charge of the resolution process. In addition, the paper proposes that systemically-important banks should comply with a loss absorption capital requirement of at least 1.0% of total assets in order to ensure an equity level that facilitates the stabilization scheme, including a bail-in mechanism. This capital requirement would be composed of hybrid instruments, such as perpetual bonds, similar to those computing as AT1 capital. This additional capital, however, would not be computed as part of the Total or Regulatory Capital for capital adequacy compliance, although if not fulfilled, restrictions to dividend distribution will apply for banks. Likewise, the paper discusses the key topics of an insurance deposit scheme, which should be funded by banks that apply for its use. Although the CMF has not proposed specific changes to the banking regulation in order to address these topics in the short-term, the paper was published for comment until July 31, 2023, since the local regulator expects this paper to be the basis for advancing in rule-making design that permits to ensure the continuity of critical financial services while enhancing the protection of depositors. Since the comment period is still open and no specific changes have been proposed yet we cannot assure you that the implementation of a new resolution framework will not have an impact on our profitability, since as a systemically-important bank we could be subject to further capital requirements if this or another framework is adopted by the Chilean regulator. Regulatory Liquidity Requirements Since 2016 banks have been required to report and monitor liquidity ratios, such as Liquidity Coverage Ratio ("LCR") and Net Stable Funding Ratio ("NSFR"), for information purposes only. Through amendments to Chapter III.B.2.1 of the Compendio de Normas Financieras (the Compendium of Financial Norms) on May 4, 2018 and March 8, 2022 the Central Bank set minimum requirements for both the LCR and the NSFR. Accordingly, the regulatory limit for LCR became 100% in June 2022 while the threshold for NSFR was also set at 100% although being phased-in over a four year period starting in June 2022 at 60% and increasing 10% on January 1 of each year until reaching 100% on January 1, 2026. Likewise, in the last amendment to the Chapter III.B.2.1 of the Compendio de Normas Financieras the Central Bank also: (i) removed the regulatory limit for 30-day and 90-day cash flows mismatches in local currency as measured by C46 index while maintaining the limit for 30-day cash flows mismatches in foreign currency as measured by the C46 index, and (ii) introduced specifications on the treatment of securities pledged as technical reserve (arising from demand deposits levels) in order to take them into account as high quality liquid assets. As part of the same amendment, the Central Bank established that banks are required to carry out an Internal Liquidity Adequacy Assessment Process ("ILAAP"). The final rules associated with ILAAP were published on January 16, 2023, based on which we have submitted our first ILAAP to the CMF in April 2023 as requested by the regulation. The possibility of imposing additional High Quality Liquid Assets ("HQLA") requirements based on the information disclosed in the ILAAP will be in effect as of April 2025. As of December 31, 2022 our LCR and NSFR were 338% and 133%, respectively and we were in full compliance with the prevailing regulatory requirements. Regardless of the current levels of our main liquidity ratios, we cannot assure you that we will remain in compliance with regulatory requirements if, based on the ILAAP results, the regulator requires us to maintain greater amounts of HQLA. This could also lead us to acquire lower-margin financial instruments, which could have an adverse effect on results of operations and profitability. Changes in Credit Risk Methodologies As for credit risk matters, on July 6, 2018 the former SBIF published the final amendments to the provisioning rules for commercial loans evaluated on a group basis, which established standardized models for leasing loans, student loans and other commercial loans (not included in the former categories). In addition, the new set of rules also addressed other topics related to loan provisioning. The new provisioning criteria went into effect in July 2019 and had no material impact on our results of operations under both Chilean GAAP and IFRS. On April 27, 2021, to further align Chapter B-1 of the Compendium of Accounting Standards for Banks to the Basel III framework, the CMF published for comment some modifications to the Chapter B-1, such as those associated with loan provisioning guidelines for a more precise treatment for certain sub-segments of the group-based evaluated portfolio. The final rules were published on August 19, 2021 with no major changes in relation to the formerly proposed modifications. These modifications did not have a material impact on our results of operations or financial condition either under Chilean GAAP or IFRS. More recently, on November 22, 2022 the CMF published for comment a standardized methodology to compute expected credit losses for consumer loans (including contingent loans) while allowing the use of guarantees in order to determine both the probability of default ("PD") and the loss given default ("LGD"). Under the new method, the PD will depend on: (i) the borrowers' indebtedness, (ii) the debtors' borrowing trend in consumer loans, and (iii) the debtors' overdue loans in both the bank and across the industry. In the case of the LGD, the value will depend on the level of renegotiated loans held by the debtor in the consumer loan portfolio. Before this change, expected credit losses for consumer loans (including contingent loans) were computed by using internal models developed by banks in order to estimate both the PD and the LGD for this loan portfolio. According to the CMF, the proposed method pursues to be prudential floor for internal models not approved by the CMF, although banks could use internal models as long as they comply with technical and theoretical requirements set by the CMF. Since final rules have not been released as of the date of this Annual Report, we cannot assure you that this change will not have a material impact on our results under Chilean GAAP, although it will not have any impact on our results of operations or financial condition under IFRS. Likewise, we cannot be certain that future changes in the provisioning rules for other types of loans or related definitions will not affect our results under IFRS or Chilean GAAP, as applicable. New Legislation, Other Bills and Regulatory Guidelines affecting the Banking Business Additionally, the Chilean Government has focused on matters related to consumer protection in recent years. During the last decade, several legal and administrative regulations have been enacted and amended to strengthen consumer protection and the relationship between financial institutions and their customers. In May 2020, the Chilean Congress passed a law that increases liabilities of payment service providers (such as banks) in cases of fraudulent transactions in credit and debit cards, and in electronic funds transfers. This legislation has resulted in an increase in our liabilities towards customers due to digital fraud during recent years. Although we have implemented an array of measures and campaigns with our customers and have been able to adequately mitigate the impact of this legislation, we cannot assure you that we will not continue to see an increase in our liabilities as a result of this legislation. For further information on the obligations and liabilities imposed by, and characteristics of, this legislation, see "Item 4. Information on the Company-Regulation and Supervision-Consumer-Oriented Regulation" and "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-Results of Operations for the Years Ended December 31, 2020, 2021 and 2022-Operating Expenses". Law No. 21,314, which passed in 2021, among other matters, sets new rules on the application of interests and fees in relation to certain loan products. Some of the modifications introduced by this law include: (i) it states that no interests may be charged on the portion of credits that is already paid; (ii) it forbids charging simultaneously and jointly default interests with other kinds of interest over the same amount; and (iii) it establishes that, during the 12 months following the publication of this law, the CMF must enact specific regulations addressing the extent to which fees or and/or commissions may be charged on credit transactions. These ancillary regulations were issued in August 2022 but will enter into force in August 2023. Generally, these new regulations limit our ability to charge and earn certain fees or commissions on certain credits and loan products. We are reviewing and assessing how these limitations should affect the current fees or commissions charged on certain products, and determining which fees and commissions should be revised, or, if needed, eliminated. Therefore, we cannot yet determine the extent of the negative effect it will have on our results of operations. In December 2021, Law No. 21,398 was enacted. Among other measures to enhance consumer protection, this law introduced rules such as: (i) requiring a competent court to construe certain provisions in favor of the consumer in court procedures, (ii) imposing new obligations applicable to financial service providers in connection with certain products, and (iii) introducing new minimum requirements for pre-payments in credit transactions, among other measures. These new measures may increase our due diligence, operating and legal costs, affect the growth of our customer base and increase the costs associated with the management of our consumer loan portfolio. However, given that this law includes further ancillary regulation that is still pending to be implemented and/or issued, as of the date of this annual report, we cannot yet ascertain its impact, if any, on our results of operations in the future. In addition, there are several bills introduced in recent years that are being discussed in the Chilean Congress that would modify matters related to loans and credit products, such as interest rate ceilings, prepayment fees and the possibility of capitalizing interests and include an array of amendments from different political constituencies. Some of them also aim to ease the financial burden of certain banking borrowers, such as SMEs and individuals. These bills introduced during recent years, if enacted, may increase the costs of our consumer loan and mortgage products by setting higher mandatory protections for customers. Another pending bill introduces additional requirements to judicially exercise rights attained to mortgage loan collaterals; while others may limit our capacity to gather detailed information throughout our risk evaluation process by, for instance, setting higher privacy standards. Yet another bill related to insolvency law, would limit a bank's ability to deny providing certain banking products to personal banking customers (individuals) on the grounds that they have been debtors in an insolvency procedure in the past. Further, a bill introduced at the end of 2022 proposes to eliminate information on debtors' behavior that occurred before the last five years, thereby limiting the available information to properly assess and evaluate the credit risks of a broad customer base. In addition, a bill presented in congress by a group of members of the parliament at the end of March 2023 precludes certain service providers from charging and indexing installments and bills to UF (inflation indexed), which in the case of banks would relate to mortgage loans granted to personal and SME banking customers. If enacted, such laws may limit the effectiveness of our credit evaluation process and the due diligence we perform over potential customers, may generate mismatches between assets and liabilities denominated in UF, as well as our asset quality, and require us to increase provisions for expected credit losses. Another bill that is currently being discussed in Congress proposes a new framework for data privacy protection, raising the standards and obligations of an array of service providers, such as banks, on that matter. This could require changes in our current procedures in order to duly comply with these standards of data privacy protection, which, in turn, may affect our results of operations if enacted. Some of these bills are currently in the early or middle stages in the Chilean Congress, and some of them have been under discussion for several years, and there is no certainty whether any or all of them will be further discussed or not, and as to when or how these bills could change the current regulatory framework if approved. Therefore, we cannot determine or assure you whether they will materially affect our business and, in turn, our financial condition and results of operations in the future. Law No. 21,389, which creates an alimony debtor registry, came into effect in November 2022. This law requires banks and other financial service providers to retain amounts of credits granted to debtors that are registered in such registry, for the purpose of paying overdue alimonies. It further imposes fines on banks and financial institutions that do not consult the registry and do not withhold the amount specified. These fines amount to twice the money the bank should have withheld. Since the adoption of this law is recent, we still cannot determine or assure you whether they will affect our business due to several operational capabilities that this legislation requires from us. Law No. 21,365 was enacted in 2021, regulating interchange fees in the payment cards market in Chile. An autonomous and technical committee was created to determine, on a periodic basis, the fees or rates to be charged by payment card issuers such as banks ("Interchange Rates") to the operating companies (acquirers). The technical committee is comprised of four members, each one appointed by each of the following institutions: The Central Bank; the CMF; the Office of National Economic Prosecution (Fiscalía Nacional Económica); and the Ministry of Finance. This committee had six months to announce the first transitory limits and, afterwards, Interchange Rates will be reset every three years. On February 5, 2022, the committee announced new preliminary limits for interchange fees with a maximum fee of 0.6% for debit cards, 1.48% for credit cards and 1.04% for prepaid cards. On February 22, 2023 the technical committee determined the definitive scheme that will be applicable in Chile by defining a maximum interchange fee of 0.35% for debit cards and 0.80% for credit and prepaid cards. These new limits are to be in force in six months after their publishing in the Official Gazette, however the imposition of these new limits are still pending as the publication of the committee's resolution was contested in court by other financial market players, and from that date current limits will converge to the new ones during a phase-in period that will take 18 months. Although we believe the transitory limits published in February 2023 will not have a material impact on our results of operations, given the uncertainty regarding the limits on interchange rates that could be determined by this technical committee in the future, we cannot yet assure you whether this new regulation will have a negative impact on the banking industry and on our results of operations in the long term or not. Changes in regulations may also cause us to face increased compliance costs and limitations on our ability to pursue certain business opportunities and provide certain products and services. As some banking laws and regulations have been recently adopted, the way they are applied to the operations of financial institutions is still evolving. We cannot generally assure that laws or regulations will be adopted, enforced or interpreted in a manner that will not have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations. Lastly, we cannot assure you that regulators will not impose more restrictive limitations in the future on the activities of banks, including us, than those that are currently in effect. Any such change in terms of capital adequacy, liquidity, credit risk provisioning, consumer protection, bankruptcy and taxation, among other matters, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition in a fashion that we cannot determine in advance. For more information, see "Item 4. Information on the Company-Regulation and Supervision."
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 3.2%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
Despite our policies and procedures to detect or prevent money laundering and other financial crime activities, we may not be able to fully detect them or on a timely basis.
We are subject to many anti-money laundering ("AML"), anti-terrorism, anti-bribery and corruption laws and regulations. Further, due to our relationship with Citigroup, we have implemented similar AML policies that such bank has implemented which, in cases, are stricter than those applicable to Chilean banks. We constantly update our policies and procedures for the purpose of timely detection and the prevention of the use of our banking network for money laundering and other criminal activities. Nevertheless, we are aware that new technologies, such as cryptocurrencies and innovative payment methods, could limit our ability to track the movement of funds. Many threats can never be fully eliminated, and there will be instances where we may be used by other parties to engage in money laundering and other illegal or improper activities. Moreover, we rely on our employees to assist us by spotting such activities and reporting them, and our employees have varying degrees of experience in recognizing criminal tactics and understanding the level of sophistication of criminal organizations. If we are unable to apply the necessary scrutiny and oversight, there remains a risk of regulatory breach. If we are unable to comply fully with applicable laws, regulations and expectations, our regulators and relevant law enforcement agencies have the ability and authority to impose significant sanctions, fines and harsh penalties on us. There are laws, regulations and policies that require us to, among other things, conduct full customer due diligence (including, but not limited to, sanctions and politically-exposed person screening), keep our customer, account and transaction information updated and, at the same time, implement and develop an array of policies and procedures to prevent the facilitation of financial crime. We conduct AML training programs for our employees on a regular basis to enable them to adequately detect and report suspicious transactions to our AML team, to allow for subsequent proper investigation from law enforcement agencies. We have policies and procedures to reasonably assure the compliance with legal requirements and policies; however, our ability to comply thereto depends on improving detection and reporting capabilities and reducing variation in control processes and oversight accountability. The latter requires us to implement and enhance our business with effective controls and monitoring. We are also aware that financial crime is permanently evolving and is subject to increasingly stringent regulatory oversight and focus. This requires proactive and adaptable responses from us so that we are able to deter threats and criminality effectively and in a timely fashion. The reputational damage to our business and brand could be severe if we were found to have breached AML, anti-bribery and corruption or sanctions requirements. Our reputation could also suffer if we are unable to protect our customers' bank products and services from being used by criminals for illegal or improper purposes. Any such risks could have a material adverse effect on our results of operation, financial condition and prospects.
Taxation & Government Incentives1 | 3.2%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
Added
Changes in tax law could adversely affect our net income and could also result in higher taxes on distributions to our foreign shareholders.
In recent years, there have been various changes in, and attempts to modify, the Chilean tax regime. At the end of 2021, the Government submitted two bills to the Congress. The first one established a minimum pension for lower income pensioners while the other one proposes to reduce or eliminate tax exemptions in order to finance the former. The latter bill, which was enacted in February 2022 as Law No. 21,420, reduces or eliminates several tax exemptions including the following measures: (i) the taxation of any type of service with VAT unless expressively exempted, starting on January 1, 2023, (ii) the establishment of the same treatment for financial and tax purposes for financial leasing agreements entered into on or after January 1, 2023, which was reversed in February 2023 under Law No. 21,540 (so in practice did not go into effect), (iii) a single tax of 10% on capital gains produced by the sale of actively traded stocks for sales performed on or after September 1, 2022, which will not apply to local or foreign institutional investors, including us, (iv) an inheritance tax on profits from life insurance contracts agreed on or after February 4, 2022, (v) an increase in the wealth tax on real estate from 0.275% to 0.425% starting January 1, 2023, (vi) the elimination of the special VAT credit for construction companies targeting middle income homes starting January 1, 2025, (vii) the establishment of a 2.0% annual tax on luxury goods such as airplanes, helicopters, yachts and luxury vehicles, (viii) the reduction of tax benefits on middle income housing, namely, DFL No. 2 of 1959, by limiting the benefit to individuals only and for a maximum of two homes, regardless of the purchase date, starting January 1, 2023, (ix) the elimination of the tax credit on the purchase of fixed assets for large companies and (x) the increase of mining patents' value. These changes could have a negative effect on the Bank as well as a negative effect on our clients and by extension on our business with those clients. The changes in the VAT applicable to services and the increase in the rate of wealth tax on real estate, may result in higher operating expenses for the Bank since VAT will be levied on services that were formerly exempt from that tax and we may not be able to totally offset the VAT credit generated with VAT applying to our services. Similarly, taxes on real estate could result in higher rental cost associated with our nationwide branch network and headquarters as lessors may increase costs. Likewise, changes in tax benefits associated with the real estate and construction industries have lead to deceleration in demand for loans from individuals and companies for such purposes. In regards to the 10% tax applied to capital gains produced by the sale of actively traded stocks, this could negatively impact us in the future by means of: (i) a decrease in fee income from stock trading carried out by our securities brokerage or mutual funds subsidiaries, (ii) lower traded volume of our shares in Chile, (iii) taxes to be paid on our income by sales of own equity portfolio managed by our securities brokerage subsidiary, which is deemed to be an institutional investor, and (iv) higher taxes to be paid by investors who hold shares issued by us, among other factors. Nonetheless, as of the date of this annual report and based on information currently available to us, we do not foresee a material impact on our results of operations resulting from these initiatives. The current administration announced several reforms to our tax regime, which resulted in the submission of a tax bill to the Congress in July 2022. This bill was intended to increase tax collection in order to finance various social initiatives including minimum guaranteed pensions, improve social programs benefiting lower income population, among other public policies. However, the bill was rejected by the Lower House on March 8, 2023 in the initial legislative procedure. As of the date of this Annual Report, the Ministry of Finance is negotiating a wide range tax agreement with diverse political forces in order to design a new tax reform to be presented to the Congress. Accordingly, we cannot rule out that a new tax reform may eventually be enacted, and as such,impact the Chilean economy and the business outlook, the banking business, our results of operations and the taxes paid by us or our local and foreign shareholders in the future.
Environmental / Social1 | 3.2%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
Added
Enhanced ESG and climate change disclosure may impose additional costs on our bank.
In recent years, various guidelines and regulations have been issued recommending or requiring companies to adopt policies and procedures with the purpose of enhancing the approach to environmental, governance and social (ESG) matters. On October 4, 2022 the CMF published guidelines for the implementation and supervision of sustainability standards by means of section 8.2 of Norma de Carácter General N°461, which is aimed at improving the quality of information released by Chilean companies on sustainability and corporate governance matters on their annual report, which are in accordance with the guidelines of the Sustainable Accounting Standards Board. These new rules will be mandatory for banks from 2025 (fiscal year 2024) onwards. However, in our last annual report delivered in February 2023, we voluntarily complied with most of the standards and regulations required under these new rules due to the strategies, policies and procedures that we have developed and implemented during recent years. However, we cannot rule out that the adoption of new guidelines and regulations on ESG matters could limit our lending business, restrict our ability to recruit new customers, increase compliance requirements or result in higher operating or funding costs, among other effects in the future that we cannot predict now, given the still-developing and evolving regulatory environment related to ESG matters.
Production
Total Risks: 2/31 (6%)Below Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 3.2%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
Operational problems, errors, criminal events or terrorism or other events relating to force majeure may have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
As all large financial institutions, we are exposed to many operational risks, including the risk of fraud by employees and outsiders, failure to obtain suitable internal authorizations, failure to properly document in-person and online transactions, equipment failures, mistakes made by employees and natural disasters, such as earthquakes, tsunamis, wildfires and floods. Chile is located in one of the most seismically active regions in the world–Nazca tectonic plate. Our results of operations can be materially affected by natural disasters, particularly in locations where a significant portion of our loan portfolio is composed of real estate loans. These force majeure events related to nature include, but are not limited to, earthquakes, tsunamis and floods and may cause thorough damage which could impair the asset quality of our loan portfolio and our collateral as well as a material adverse impact on the economy of the affected region and therefore on our bank. We could also be affected by operational disruptions associated with intentional or unintentional mass employee absence due to social unrest, demonstrations, street riots (such as the one witnessed since October 2019), transportation services interruptions, massive strikes or strikes at an industry level, massive epidemic or pandemic outbreaks, such as COVID-19, among others. In addition, given recent changes in the way we provide services to our customers, which have resulted in a wide array of digital solutions ranging from refurbished websites to improved mobile applications for smartphones and tables, we are increasingly dependent on the stability of on-site servers, remote servers or cloud servers in order to provide timely and high standard services. Disruptions or interruption in connectivity could lead to a deterioration in our service quality indicators and, more specifically, customers' complaints or legal actions. Although we strive to continually improve the stability our remote services, we cannot assure you that specific events that could affect our results of operations, financial conditions or the value of our shares and ADSs, will not take place in the future. Furthermore, we may be exposed to criminal events, terrorist attacks or rioting that could result in physical damage to our buildings (including our headquarters, offices, branches and automatic teller machines ("ATMs")) and/or injury to customers, employees and others. In addition, since activating certain aspects of our business continuity plan in response to the COVID-19 pandemic to allow many of our associates to work remotely, our associates' ability to relocate to a secondary location in the event of any operational disruptions may be limited due to the pandemic. Although we maintain a system of operational controls composed of both trained staff and world-class technological resources that have been enhanced over the last years, as well as comprehensive contingency plans and security procedures, there can be no assurances that operational problems, errors, criminal events or terrorist attacks will not occur and that their occurrence will not have a material adverse impact on our results of operations, financial condition and the value of our shares and ADSs.
Employment / Personnel1 | 3.2%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Changed
Reforms to labor laws, the pension system and the health system as well as labor strikes or slowdowns could adversely affect our results of operations.
We are a party to collective bargaining agreements with various labor unions to which most of our employees belong. Therefore, disputes regarding the terms of these agreements, or our potential inability to negotiate acceptable contracts with these unions, could result in strikes, work stoppages, or other slowdowns by the affected workers, among other things. If unionized workers were to engage in a strike, work stoppage, or other slowdown, or other employees were to become unionized, we could experience disruption of our operations or higher ongoing labor costs, either of which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations. See "Item 6. Directors, Senior Management and Employees-Employees." A bill has been under consideration in the Chilean Congress aimed at gradually reducing, over a five-year period, the maximum working hours applicable to employees from 45 to 40 hours per week. This bill has been approved by both the Lower Chamber and the Senate and will be enacted as law soon. Likewise, another bill still under discussion seeks to modify Chilean labor laws by increasing the participation of employees in companies' profits and the way that this participation is calculated. These laws could translate into higher ongoing labor costs, which could have an adverse effect on our results of operations and future financial condition. Current labor legislation defines a company's minimum services and emergency teams by the applicable labor regulator after negotiations between a company and each labor union prior to the commencement of a collective bargaining process. As such, minimum services refer to those functions of a company which must continue to be provided during a strike because they have been determined to be essential to protect assets and facilities, to prevent accidents, guarantee public utility services, meet the basic needs of the population and prevent environmental damage or harm to health. A company's emergency teams are made up of workers assigned by each union to fulfill such minimum services. Therefore, in the event of futures strikes, we could face operational disruptions due to an inadequate number of minimum services and an insufficient staff for the emergency teams. In recent years, the Chilean Government presented several bills with the purpose of improving the Chilean pension system. The Government presented a bill to reform the pension system in November, 2022. This bill has yet to be discussed in the Congress. Among other matters, this bill includes the following: (i) an increase of minimum monthly guaranteed pensions from Ch$194,000 (U.S.$228 as of December 31, 2022) to Ch$250,000 (U.S.$294 as of December 31, 2022); (ii) requires the employer to fund an additional 6% contribution to every employee for the purpose of creating a new social insurance plan; (iii) reforms the current private pension funds managers by creating a public entity in charge of managing the pensions that will compete with new private institutions in charge such management; (iii) establishes the exclusive right of the public entity to manage the additional 6% of new social insurance payment; (iv) modifies the system of fees that managers can charge; etc. Given the uncertainty regarding the approval by the Congress of these reforms presented by the Government, or any major changes that may change this bill during its discussion period (if discussed) in the Congress, we are unable to predict what, if any, reform will be enacted or the final content of such pension reform, including whether pension funds will continue to operate under the current regulatory scheme. The potential adverse effect of any such proposed reform on our financial condition and results of operations cannot yet be ascertained. Further, during the discussions between the Chilean Government and the Chilean Congress to reach an agreement on pension schemes, as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, three consecutive pension fund withdrawals amounting to approximately U.S.$52,643 million and one withdrawal from life annuities (rentas vitalicias) amounting to approximately U.S.$1,100 million have been permitted by the Chilean Congress as of March 31, 2023. In late 2021, a fourth extraordinary withdrawal from the pension funds was rejected by the Senate and in April 2022, two projects pursuing further withdrawals from the pension funds were also rejected by the Chilean Congress. Recently, in April 2023, new bills allowing pension funds withdrawals were introduced in the Chilean Congress and are currently under discussion. As such, we cannot rule out that these bills, or other withdrawals that may be proposed in the future, could be approved. Uncertainty on the future of the Chilean pension system remains, given that successive government administrations have not been able to reach an agreement with the Chilean Congress on the amount by which pensions to be received by Chilean pensioners are to be increased. We are unable to predict the final content of any pension reform and it is not clear whether pension funds will continue to operate under the current regulatory scheme. Such an occurrence may exacerbate political uncertainty and continued economic volatility. Therefore, we cannot assure you that our labor costs will not increase. Since the pension fund managers usually invest a portion of the funds they manage in certain debt instruments (for instance, bonds and time deposits), including those issued by Chilean banks, including us, if the amount of funds available in the pension fund system continues to decrease due to new withdrawals, the demand for both the long-term fixed-income securities we issue as debt to finance our operations and our shares of common stock will decrease, and we will not be able to raise funds from pension fund managers as in the past. As a result, there could be further restrictions to our access to long-term financing, compelling us to seek alternative funding sources in Chile and abroad, which may bear higher interest rates and include higher transactional costs, and, as a consequence, may have an adverse effect on our net interest margin, results of operations and financial condition in the long-term. In addition, the Government has announced its intention to introduce changes to the Chilean health system by enhancing the role of the public health providers while severely modifying the role of or potentially removing the private health institutions (also known as ISAPRES) from the Chilean health system. In addition, ISAPRES have experienced financial instability during recent years due to several decisions of the Chilean Supreme Court prohibiting them to raise or adjust prices of health plans offered to private health users. This may result in diverse impacts ranging from a decrease in the quality of services provided to private health users, financial distress of ISAPRES and deteriorated financial condition of private health providers that strongly relies on financing and services provided to ISAPRES' users. Although we do not have material exposure to the Chilean private health system, we cannot rule out that the credit quality of some of our debtors belonging to that sector, or debtors participating in other sectors, whose activity depends on business with the former, such as real estate, construction, general services, among others, could deteriorate in the future.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 1/31 (3%)Below Sector Average
Cyber Security1 | 3.2%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Cybersecurity events could negatively affect our reputation or results of operations and may result in litigation.
We have access to large amounts of confidential financial information and hold substantial financial assets belonging to our customers as well as to us. In addition, we provide our customers with continuous online access to their accounts. Customers have the ability to transfer substantial financial assets in Chile and abroad through electronic means, while purchasing goods or withdrawing funds with credit and debit cards issued by us. Among the most significant cyber-attack risks that we are constantly facing are internet fraud and loss of sensitive information, both from our customers and ourselves. In particular, loss from internet fraud occurs when cyber criminals extract funds directly from clients' or our accounts using fraudulent schemes that may include internet-based fund transfers. We are also exposed to cyber-attacks, hacking and other cybersecurity incidents in the normal course of business. Thus, as a financial institution, we are under a constant threat of suffering losses due to these reasons. In addition, our risk and exposure to these matters remains heightened because of the evolving nature and complexity of these threats from cybercriminals and hackers, our plans to continue to provide and enhance our internet banking and mobile banking channels, and our plans to develop additional remote connectivity solutions to serve our customers. Accordingly, cybersecurity is a material risk for us. There has recently been an increased level of attention focused on cyber-attacks against large corporations that include, but are not limited to, obtaining unauthorized access to digital systems for purposes of misappropriating cash, other assets or sensitive information, corrupting data or causing operational disruptions. Cybersecurity incidents, such as computer break-ins, phishing, identity theft and other disruptions, could negatively affect the security of information stored in and transmitted through our computer systems and network infrastructure. Subsequently, this may result in significant liability to us in excess of insurance coverage, which may carry low coverage limits, and may cause existing and potential customers to refrain from doing business with us. Additionally, cyber-attacks on our network or other systems could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations due to financial losses, losses of sensitive information, interruption or delays in our business and operations, regulatory fines, reimbursement or other compensation costs, compliance costs and reputational damage, among other things. In the aftermath of a cyber-attack we suffered in 2018, we have continued to take steps to enhance our data security and IT infrastructure and have consistently enhanced our cybersecurity protocols, infrastructure and access-control to our networks, while simultaneously improving our capabilities on detection and management of high-risk threats. As a result, we were able to timely detect and block phishing attempts targeting clients and non-clients. In 2020, most of our staff operated remotely, which accelerated our digital transformation and posed a great cybersecurity challenge for us. In response, we reinforced cybersecurity measures by implementing new protocols and tools. In 2021, our efforts were oriented to bolster the cybersecurity culture across the corporation by focusing on three main initiatives: (i) a corporate program to share the best practices to face cybersecurity threats, (ii) improved cybersecurity guidelines for selection of providers, and (iii) the enhancement of information channels by which cybersecurity threats are reported internally. During 2022, we made advances in cybersecurity standards for both our datacenters and the clouds used by the bank in order to secure the migration process of date to the could. Likewise, we implemented a new unit of Advanced Analytics & Data Science, which is in charge of keep the bank updated with the last information regarding cybersecurity intelligence. In addition, during 2022 we did not receive or identified any complaints in relation to customers' data leaks associated with cybersecurity events. Notwithstanding such efforts to address cybersecurity matters, although we have not experienced any material losses in this matter and are currently performing our best efforts to prevent them, we cannot assure you that we will not suffer additional losses in the future related to these kinds of events. The occurrence of any cyber-attack or information security breach could result in material adverse consequences to us, including damage to our reputation and the loss of customers. We could also face litigation or additional regulatory scrutiny. Litigation or regulatory actions in turn could lead to significant liability or other sanctions, including fines and penalties or reimbursement of customers adversely affected by this security breach. As mentioned above, successful attacks or systems failures at our bank or at other financial institutions could lead to a general loss of customer confidence in financial institutions, including us. In addition, we depend on a variety of internet-based data processing, communication, and information exchange platforms and networks. We cannot assure you that all of our systems are entirely free from vulnerability. Additionally, we enter into contracts with several third parties to provide our customers with data processing and communication services. Therefore, if information security is breached, or if one of our employees or external service providers' breaches compliance procedures, information could be lost or misappropriated, which may affect our results of operations, damage others or result in potential litigation. Further, in light of the high volume of transactions we process, the large number of our clients, partners and counterparties, the increasing sophistication of malicious actors, and our remote work environment in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, a cyber-attack could occur and persist for an extended period of time without detection. We expect that any investigation of a cyber-attack would take substantial amounts of time, and that there may be extensive delays before we obtain full and reliable information. Although we have substantially increased measures to address cybersecurity during the last years and, with the help of service providers, intend to continuously implement security technology devices and establish operational procedures to prevent such damage, we cannot assure you that these security measures will be successful.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 1/31 (3%)Below Sector Average
Competition1 | 3.2%
Competition - Risk 1
Increased competition and industry consolidation may adversely affect our operations.
The Chilean market for financial services is highly competitive. We compete with Chilean and foreign banks, with Banco del Estado de Chile, which is state-owned, and with other providers of financial services that are not part of the banking industry. In addition, the retail segment (which encompasses individuals and small and medium-sized companies) has become the target market of several banks, since banking penetration is still in progress in Chile, particularly in this segment. Accordingly, competition within this market is increasing as banks are continuously incorporating new and tailored products and services, while striving to improve service quality and to accelerate digital transformation. We also face increasingly significant competition from non-banking competitors in some of our credit products, especially credit cards and installment loans, including large department stores and private compensation funds, as well as saving and credit cooperatives. In addition, we face competition from other types of lenders, such as non-banking leasing, crowdfunding, factoring and automobile financing companies, especially in credit products, mutual funds, pension funds and insurance companies within the market for savings products and insurance companies in the market for mortgage loans. Likewise, other non-traditional providers of financial services have emerged over the last years, such as e-commerce, local and foreign fintech companies, Telecom companies, like internet and mobile phone providers, and more recently a number of alternative marketplaces that set and provide offerings, including temporary financing, directly to their customers or providers. These new ways of doing business are based on the disintermediation of traditional banking service providers. Accordingly, these providers represent a challenge for the traditional banking industry that may result in lowered margins in the future. Some of these companies may have more resources than us, including larger customer bases, stronger brand recognition and more effective marketing tools to approach banking current or potential customers. They may also adopt more aggressive pricing, while devoting significant resources to technology, infrastructure and marketing as it is part of their core business. On top of that, some of these non-banking competitors are not or not fully regulated by the CMF for purposes of banking supervision. Therefore, they are not subject to the same specific solvency or liquidity requirements imposed by the banking regulator, among other requisites, if any, as banks generally are. Therefore, these providers represent a challenge for the traditional banking industry that may result in lowered margins in the future. Notably, in order to address these kinds of businesses, Law No. 21,521 was enacted in January 2023 with the aim of establishing a general framework for financial services provided through technological means (including banks) in order to protect financial customers and data privacy while preserving financial stability and strengthening anti money-laundering. Nevertheless, banks continue to be the main suppliers of loans, leasing, factoring and mutual fund management, directly or indirectly through subsidiaries, while growing quickly in insurance brokerage services. However, we cannot assure you that this trend will continue in the future. Likewise, we are aware that new competitors may enter the market, or existing competitors may innovate their services and strategies to improve the quality of services rendered to their customers. If we fail to effectively anticipate or adapt to new trends in the financial services industry, including changes in the way of delivering financial products and services, introduction of emerging technologies, changes in customer behavior or adaption of the kinds of services offered to or needed by them, our business may be adversely affected. In addition, new technologies, including cryptocurrencies and digital payment or savings systems, may result in substantial expenditures to adapt and update our existing products and services as we continue to grow our internet and mobile banking capabilities. In this context, competitors could adapt faster than us to these new trends, which could lead to a temporary competitive disadvantage that could translate into lower revenues or a reduced ability to raise funding from retail depositors. Since we are aware of these new trends, we have devoted efforts to adapt our organization in pursuit of enhanced flexibility to face new challenges while looking for business and technological partnerships in order to take advantage of business opportunities arising in the market while keeping our value offerings adapted to new customers' needs. As such, we have continued to deploy our digital strategy to offer tailored services and products to customers from different income and age segments by leveraging our strategic capabilities, entering into alliances with other banking and non-banking providers, developing innovative digital solutions, and reinforcing benefits from using our payment and savings systems. We cannot assure you that other competitors will not copy the strategy we have followed in terms of launching new digital products or entering into digital alliances or that they will not develop better solutions by acquiring more modern technology or designing more innovative solutions. Also, in the past, increasing competition within the Chilean banking industry has been accompanied by a consolidation wave and the entry of international players into the system through multiple mergers and acquisitions. These trends have continued and resulted in the creation of larger and stronger banking conglomerates, offering a wide range of products and services and targeting most of the segments in the Chilean banking market. These dynamics may adversely impact our results of operations as they may translate into higher interest rates paid on deposits and lower interest rates earned on loans, resulting in decreased net interest margins. Further, following the new rules issued in recent years by the Chilean regulator, the processing and merchant acquiring services for payment cards (particularly related to new acquirers) may now be accomplished through a four-party mechanism, as done in some developed economies. This model facilitates the entry of new market players. As of the date of this Annual Report, a significant part of transaction processing services continued to be provided in Chile by Transbank S.A., a company owned by us and ten other banks (of which we held a 26.16% direct ownership as of December 31, 2022), whereas some competitors have already begun to implement the new four-party model for their own business. A technical committee is responsible for determining the maximum interchange fees that may be charged by credit card issuers (like banks, including us) to companies that provide merchant acquiring services. Since the beginning of its functioning the technical committee has reduced the maximum interchange fees twice, which results in lower fee income for banks. For more information see Item 3. Key Information–Risk Factors–Risks Relating to our Operations and the Chilean Banking Industry–Stricter banking regulations and changes in law may constrain our operations and thereby adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations–Other Bills and Regulatory Guidelines affecting the Banking Business. On January 23, 2023 the Chilean Association of Banks and Financial Institutions ("ABIF") announced the willingness of banks participating in the ownership of Transbank S.A. to relinquish part or total control of the company in order to promote the implementation of the four-party model across the financial system and also provided that three of the current owners (excluding us) have already developed their own acquiring companies. Based on these dynamics, net interest margins (once deducted provisions for loan losses) or fee-based income in these sub-segments could decline over time. For more information regarding past and recent changes in the Chilean banking industry see "Item 4. Information on the Company-Business Overview-Competition."
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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