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BayFirst Financial Corp (BAFN)
NASDAQ:BAFN
US Market

BayFirst Financial Corp (BAFN) AI Stock Analysis

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BayFirst Financial Corp

(NASDAQ:BAFN)

63Neutral
BayFirst Financial Corp's overall score reflects strong financial performance, especially in revenue growth and profitability. However, challenges such as cash flow volatility, rising liabilities, and recent net losses weigh on the score. The stock appears undervalued with a low P/E ratio, offering potential value opportunities. Technical indicators present short-term challenges but suggest long-term support. Corporate initiatives indicate a strategic focus on growth and value enhancement, supporting a cautiously optimistic outlook.

BayFirst Financial Corp (BAFN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

BayFirst Financial Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBayFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for First Home Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services for businesses and individuals. The company offers checking and savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. It also provides home loans, including residential mortgages, home equity loans, and home equity lines of credit; and business lending services comprising minority lending programs, PPP loan forgiveness services, SBA loans, and commercial lending services. In addition, the company offers treasury management, merchant, online, and investment services; and credit cards. As of January 26, 2022, it operated seven full-service office locations in St. Petersburg, Seminole, Pinellas Park, Clearwater, Sarasota, Tampa, and Belleair Bluffs, Florida; and 23 mortgage loan production offices. The company was formerly known as First Home Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to BayFirst Financial Corp. in May 2021. BayFirst Financial Corp. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyBayFirst Financial Corp makes money through interest income from its loan portfolio, which includes commercial and residential mortgages, as well as various consumer loans. Additionally, the company generates revenue from fees associated with its banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and other service charges. BayFirst Financial Corp may also engage in investment activities, earning from securities and other financial instruments. Key factors contributing to its earnings include effective management of interest rate spreads, maintaining a diverse loan portfolio, and strategic partnerships with other financial institutions to enhance service offerings.

BayFirst Financial Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BayFirst Financial Corp has demonstrated strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins, supported by a solid equity base. However, the volatility in cash flows and rising liabilities require attention to ensure long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
BayFirst Financial Corp has shown consistent revenue growth from $57.8M in 2022 to $83.8M in 2024, indicating strong top-line growth. The gross profit margin remained high at nearly 100% due to the nature of the banking industry, where the revenue equals gross profit. Net profit margin improved significantly from 9.9% in 2023 to 15% in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT margin also increased, indicating better operational efficiency. However, the absence of EBITDA data limits the analysis.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet displays a strong equity position, with stockholders' equity growing from $91.8M in 2022 to $110.9M in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly, highlighting reduced leverage and a more stable financial structure. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting good asset financing through equity. However, the increase in total liabilities over the years may pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals fluctuations, with a notable decrease in operating cash flow in 2024 compared to previous years. Free cash flow was strong in 2023 but dropped to zero in 2024, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not available for 2024, which limits the assessment of cash flow adequacy relative to net earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
83.77M75.74M57.84M149.64M123.82M
Gross Profit
83.77M75.74M57.84M149.64M123.82M
EBIT
28.55M19.50M4.81M32.48M15.78M
EBITDA
12.67M0.0012.01M0.0026.13M
Net Income Common Stockholders
12.60M5.70M5.48M24.62M12.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
77.79M58.38M113.28M143.00M57.76M
Total Assets
1.29B1.12B938.89M917.10M1.54B
Total Debt
7.89M20.96M37.37M14.03M13.63M
Net Debt
-69.90M-42.07M-33.55M-98.08M-44.13M
Total Liabilities
1.18B1.02B847.01M820.80M1.47B
Stockholders Equity
110.92M100.71M91.88M96.29M71.07M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
0.00447.21M432.19M87.92M-110.85M
Operating Cash Flow
0.00454.80M440.25M101.21M-107.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-515.93M-641.28M-510.61M601.86M-933.38M
Financing Cash Flow
144.80M178.82M26.67M-648.73M985.98M

BayFirst Financial Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.64
Price Trends
50DMA
17.04
Negative
100DMA
15.57
Negative
200DMA
14.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Negative
RSI
42.79
Neutral
STOCH
64.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAFN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.08, below the 50-day MA of 17.04, and above the 200-day MA of 14.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BAFN.

BayFirst Financial Corp Risk Analysis

BayFirst Financial Corp disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BayFirst Financial Corp reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BayFirst Financial Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$60.47M7.2410.87%2.18%8.22%112.31%
63
Neutral
$12.32B9.527.89%79.24%12.74%-4.55%
60
Neutral
$53.04M-0.06%14.80%-113.18%
56
Neutral
$60.01M150.920.67%20.43%-92.31%
51
Neutral
$53.41M10.38-4.43%5.09%-4.93%-138.56%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAFN
BayFirst Financial Corp
14.64
2.16
17.31%
BYFC
Broadway Financial
6.58
1.44
28.02%
SSBI
Summit State Bank
8.00
-1.61
-16.75%
FSEA
First Seacoast Bancorp
11.16
2.56
29.77%
CFSB
CFSB Bancorp, Inc
8.10
1.20
17.39%
NSTS
NSTS Bancorp, Inc.
11.66
2.15
22.61%

BayFirst Financial Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Apr 24, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.63% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in net income, deposits, and assets, along with recognition as a top-performing bank. However, there were notable challenges, including a decrease in loan originations, a drop in net interest margin due to a onetime event, and an increase in nonperforming assets. While the bank showed resilience and proactive management in the face of recent natural disasters, these challenges suggest a need for continued strategic focus.
Highlights
Net Income Growth
Net income increased to $1.1 million in Q3 2024, a 31% increase over Q2 2024's $900,000, driven by higher net interest income and increased revenue from servicing income and gains on sales.
Deposit and Asset Growth
Deposit balances grew by 13% year-to-date, with total deposits at $1.1 billion. Total assets increased by $27 million or 2% in the quarter, reaching $1.25 billion, and by $111 million or 10% year-over-year.
Recognition and Achievements
BayFirst was ranked the top bank in Florida by Forbes Magazine for 2024, and finished as the #5 SBA lender by units in the U.S., with 3,187 loans approved totaling $508 million.
Loan Origination and Sales
The company originated $166.7 million of loans and sold $84 million of government-guaranteed loan balances in Q3 2024.
Lowlights
Decrease in Government-Guaranteed Loan Originations
Originations of government-guaranteed loans were $94.4 million in Q3 2024, a decrease from $98.7 million in the previous quarter and a 39% decrease from the $155.9 million in Q3 2023.
Net Interest Margin Decrease
Net interest margin decreased by 9 basis points from the second quarter, primarily due to a onetime recognition of unamortized premium on a purchased USDA loan.
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets to total assets increased to 1.38% as of September 30, 2024, up from 1.28% as of June 30, 2024, and 0.88% as of September 30, 2023.
Company Guidance
During the BayFirst Financial Corp's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics reflecting its financial performance and strategic initiatives. BayFirst reported a net income of $1.1 million, marking a 31% increase from the previous quarter's $900,000. The bank's deposit balances grew by 13% year-to-date, reaching $1.11 billion, with 78% of these deposits being insured as of September 30, 2024. Loans held for investment increased by $34 million or 3% during the quarter, totaling $1.04 billion. The company's government-guaranteed loan origination platform produced $94.4 million in new loans, slightly down from $98.7 million in Q2 2024. Additionally, BayFirst ranked as the #5 lender by units in the U.S. for the SBA fiscal year, approving 3,187 loans worth $508 million. The tangible book value per share increased to $20.86, while noninterest income rose by $570,000 from the previous quarter due to higher gains on sales of government-guaranteed loans. The bank's provision for credit losses was $3.1 million, reflecting a slight improvement from the previous quarter's $3.3 million.

BayFirst Financial Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BayFirst Financial Reports Q1 2025 Net Loss
Negative
Apr 24, 2025

BayFirst Financial Corp. reported a net loss of $0.3 million for the first quarter of 2025, a significant decline from the previous quarter’s net income of $9.8 million. The company faced challenges due to deteriorating economic conditions, inflationary pressures, and high interest rates, impacting its loan portfolio and resulting in elevated net charge-offs and provision expenses. Despite these challenges, BayFirst saw strong loan growth in its community bank segment and continued to focus on expanding its low-cost deposit accounts to support its loan portfolios. The company remains committed to returning to profitability and enhancing shareholder value by maintaining robust loan oversight and exploring strategies to de-risk its balance sheet.

Spark’s Take on BAFN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BAFN is a Neutral.

BayFirst Financial Corp has a strong financial foundation with significant revenue growth and profitability improvements. Its low P/E ratio and competitive dividend yield enhance its attractiveness as a value investment. However, attention is needed on cash flow management and liabilities. Technical indicators suggest mixed momentum, presenting challenges in the short term but support in the long term. Recent corporate initiatives provide a positive outlook, reinforcing the company’s growth strategy and shareholder value focus.

To see Spark’s full report on BAFN stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
BayFirst Financial Corp to Announce Q1 2025 Results
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

BayFirst Financial Corp. announced plans to release its first quarter 2025 financial results on April 24, 2025, with a subsequent conference call scheduled for April 25, 2025, to discuss the results. The announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BayFirst Financial Corp Reports Q4 2024 Results
Positive
Feb 4, 2025

On January 31, 2025, BayFirst Financial Corp reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, highlighting a net income of $9.8 million. The company saw improvements in its net interest margin and completed a sale-leaseback transaction to enhance capital positions for future growth. Despite challenges from autumn hurricanes, BayFirst made strategic adjustments, such as suspending fair value measurements on government guaranteed loans, to align with industry standards and enhance consistency in financial reporting. The company also saw growth in deposits and loans, and emphasized its focus on becoming the premier community bank in Tampa Bay by hiring new teams and expanding its business banking and healthcare platforms.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BayFirst Financial Reports Strong Q4 and New Initiatives
Positive
Jan 30, 2025

BayFirst Financial Corp. reported a significant increase in net income for the fourth quarter of 2024, driven by an expansion in net interest margin, improved operating efficiencies, and a notable gain from a sale-leaseback transaction of branch properties. The company also announced a quarterly cash dividend and a stock repurchase program, emphasizing its commitment to shareholder value and confidence in future growth. With a focus on reducing noninterest expenses and leveraging technology investments, BayFirst aims to further enhance its operational efficiency and cost management.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.