Aura Minerals Inc. J (AUGO)
NASDAQ:AUGO
Top Page
Aura Minerals
(NASDAQ:AUGO)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(52.12% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/21/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: strong operating results and cash generation but net losses and higher leverage. Technicals are weak with price below key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings despite a positive dividend yield. The latest earnings call was constructive on growth and cash flow, but higher 2026 cost guidance and execution uncertainty cap the upside.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
The ability to generate cash from operations despite net losses indicates resilience in cash flow management, which is crucial for funding operations and strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash Flow
A significant decline in free cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities or reduce debt.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
The ability to generate cash from operations despite net losses indicates resilience in cash flow management, which is crucial for funding operations and strategic investments.
Read all positive factors
Aura Minerals (AUGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.85B
Dividend Yield2.81%
Average Volume (3M)N/A
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.63
Revenue Growth41.07%
EPS Growth18.89%
CountryUS
Employees1,337
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryGold
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.24
Shares Outstanding83,534,510
10 Day Avg. VolumeN/A
30 Day Avg. VolumeN/A
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.40
Price to Book (P/B)15.50
Price to Sales (P/S)4.47
P/FCF Ratio52.46
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.02
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.49
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit11.35
Enterprise Value/Ebitda36.90
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$91.33Price Target Upside127.76% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)11.44
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.77B
Aura Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. The company's producing assets include the San Andres gold mine in Honduras; the Ernesto/Pau-a-Piqu...
How the Company Makes Money
Aura Minerals primarily makes money by selling metals produced from its mining operations. Its core revenue stream is the sale of gold (commonly produced as doré bars that are sold to refiners or metal traders) and, where applicable, the sale of c...
Aura Minerals Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational and financial momentum (record quarterly and annual production, record adjusted EBITDA, robust cash generation, large reserve uplift at Borborema, successful MSG acquisition with immediate EBITDA contribution, improved market liquidity after NASDAQ listing, and continued dividends) while acknowledging near‑term costs and noncash accounting impacts (derivative losses), a turnaround year for MSG that raises consolidated AISC and sustaining CapEx, temporary operational setbacks (Borborema CIL issues) and guidance uncertainty due to multiple simultaneous projects and reserve cutoff adjustments. Overall the tone is upbeat regarding long‑term value creation and growth, with transparent communication about short‑term cost and execution items.Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Annual Production
Q4 production of 82,000 gold-equivalent ounces (up 11% vs Q3 2025 and up 23% vs Q4 2024); full-year production of 280,000 ounces (≈+9% at constant price).
Negative Updates
Net Loss Driven by Derivative Mark-to-Market
Reported net loss of $20 million in Q4 due primarily to noncash unrealized losses on gold derivatives of about $82 million (plus $22 million of realized derivative losses in the quarter). Adjusted net income excluding these items was $73 million for the quarter.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Quarterly and Annual Production
Q4 production of 82,000 gold-equivalent ounces (up 11% vs Q3 2025 and up 23% vs Q4 2024); full-year production of 280,000 ounces (≈+9% at constant price).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance for 2026 assumes full‑year contribution from Borborema and MSG and continued growth toward >600 kozpa: Borborema is guided to 65–77 koz, MSG to ~50–60 koz in a turnaround year (MSG bought for ~US$76M), and overall company AISC is expected to rise vs 2025 by roughly US$262–407 (2025 consolidated AISC finished ~US$1,368; Q4 AISC excluding MSG was US$1,363; Q4 cash cost/GOE ~US$1,070), with 70–80% of the AISC increase attributable to MSG (MSG AISC was >US$3,000 in 2025 but is targeted <US$2,000 in steady state). Sustaining CapEx is forecast to increase ~US$15–17M (≈70–75% due to MSG) while expansion CapEx funds include Almas plant expansion to 3 Mtpa (targeted by year‑end, potential to 4 Mtpa), Borborema filter upgrade and Era Dorada early works (full build ~US$380M if approved). Recent financial context: Q4 adjusted EBITDA US$208M (FY ~US$547M), recurring FCF ~US$94M in Q4 and >US$250M for FY, year‑end cash ~US$290M, net debt/EBITDA <0.3x; dividends remain generous (US$0.66/sh qtr; LTM yield ~6.2%), reserves/resource update and 20‑F/AIF due end‑March (Borborema road move released ~670 koz; Borborema reserves +82%).Aura Minerals Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
39
Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 921.73M | 594.16M | 416.89M | 392.70M | 424.01M |
| Gross Profit | 526.86M | 251.27M | 126.02M | 125.69M | 188.34M |
| EBITDA | 552.62M | 149.80M | 106.42M | 135.01M | 192.13M |
| Net Income | -79.34M | -30.27M | 31.88M | 66.50M | 43.50M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.61B | 1.08B | 923.82M | 727.31M | 592.48M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 286.06M | 270.19M | 237.29M | 127.90M | 161.49M |
| Total Debt | 411.17M | 385.35M | 289.38M | 180.08M | 100.97M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.34B | 857.31M | 609.02M | 417.18M | 320.20M |
| Stockholders Equity | 265.74M | 222.96M | 314.80M | 310.13M | 272.27M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 78.50M | 41.66M | 28.85M | -7.00M | 51.72M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 257.93M | 222.24M | 124.95M | 96.36M | 131.19M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -253.98M | -176.40M | -93.93M | -157.50M | -78.16M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 10.47M | 5.20M | 79.43M | 21.88M | -8.63M |
Aura Minerals Technical Analysis
Positive
40.10
Price Trends
72.34
Negative
57.78
Positive
43.40
Positive
Market Momentum
-1.81
Positive
47.29
Neutral
46.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AUGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.77, below the 50-day MA of 72.34, and below the 200-day MA of 43.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AUGO.
Aura Minerals Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $2.39B | 0.61 | 32.58% | 1.02% | 30.05% | 73.40% | |
69 Neutral | $430.10M | 9.25 | 22.79% | 2.06% | 38.04% | 424.35% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
54 Neutral | $432.78M | 34.93 | 24.50% | ― | 61.35% | 34.33% | |
49 Neutral | $5.85B | -51.90 | -36.57% | 2.81% | 41.07% | 18.89% | |
44 Neutral | $3.01B | -25.29 | -80.76% | ― | ― | 40.02% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
AUGO
Aura Minerals
70.07
51.60
279.33%
DRD
Drdgold
28.07
12.84
84.34%
CMCL
Caledonia Mining
22.27
10.16
83.85%
HYMC
Hycroft Mining Holding
33.05
29.81
920.06%
IDR
Idaho Strategic Resources
27.38
13.07
91.33%
DC
Dakota Gold Corp
4.56
1.91
72.08%
Aura Minerals Corporate Events
Aura Minerals Files March 2026 Form 6-K With New Corporate Presentation
Mar 10, 2026
Aura Minerals Inc., a diversified gold and copper producer listed on Nasdaq and Brazil’s B3, filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for March 2026. The filing, dated March 9, 2026 and signed by Chief Financial Offi...
Aura Minerals Wins S&P Credit Upgrade as Gold Prices and Output Climb
Mar 4, 2026
Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and base metals miner with operations in Honduras, Brazil and Mexico and additional projects across Latin America, pursues a 360° Mining strategy that seeks to balance growth, returns and social impact. The company&...
Aura Minerals Secures Road Relocation Deal, Boosting Borborema Gold Reserves by 82%
Feb 27, 2026
On February 26, 2026, Aura Minerals announced it had signed a cooperation agreement with Brazil’s DNIT to relocate a federal road that crosses its Borborema gold mine, removing a key physical constraint on pit expansion. The company also rel...
Aura Minerals Posts Record 2025 Results and Ramps Up Growth Following MSG Acquisition
Feb 27, 2026
On February 26, 2026, Aura reported record 2025 financial and operational results, driven by higher production, stronger metal prices and stable costs, with full-year adjusted EBITDA more than doubling to US$547 million and net revenue rising 55% ...
Aura Minerals Lifts Payout With US$0.66 Dividend After Record Q4 2025
Feb 27, 2026
On February 26, 2026, Aura Minerals Inc. announced that its board approved a dividend of US$0.66 per common share, totaling about US$55.1 million and exceeding the minimum set out in its dividend policy tied to adjusted EBITDA and capital expendit...
Aura Minerals Hits Record Q4 and 2025 Output, Meets Upper End of Guidance
Jan 12, 2026
On January 12, 2026, Aura Minerals reported preliminary fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 production results showing record output and delivery against its 2025 guidance. Q4 2025 production reached 82,067 gold equivalent ounces (GEO) at current pr...
Aura Minerals Secures Construction License and Starts Early Works at Era Dorada Project in Guatemala
Jan 6, 2026
On January 6, 2026, Aura Minerals announced it has secured the construction license and begun early works for its Era Dorada underground gold project in Jutiapa, southeast Guatemala, a year after acquiring project owner Bluestone Resources in Janu...
Aura Minerals Files S-K 1300 Feasibility Study for Era Dorada Gold Project
Jan 5, 2026
On January 5, 2026, Aura Minerals filed a Form 6-K in the United States disclosing a S-K 1300 Technical Report Summary and definitive feasibility study for its Era Dorada Gold Project in Jutiapa, Guatemala, with an effective and report date of Dec...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.