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WEB Travel Group (AU:WEB)
ASX:WEB

WEB Travel Group (WEB) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:WEB

WEB Travel Group

(Sydney:WEB)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
AU$3.50
▲(8.36% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is held back primarily by very weak technicals (clear downtrend with bearish momentum) and an extremely elevated P/E valuation. Financial performance is comparatively stronger due to profitability recovery, improved margins, and positive free cash flow, which partially offsets the market/valuation risks.
Positive Factors
Profitability recovery & improved margins
A return to profitability with notably improved net margins signals stronger unit economics in WEB's distribution model. Sustained margin expansion increases free cash flow potential, funds reinvestment in technology and supplier relationships, and reduces dependence on external financing over the medium term.
Positive free cash flow
Consistent positive free cash flow provides durable internal funding for working capital, platform upgrades, and strategic initiatives. It lowers refinancing risk, supports operational resilience through travel cycles, and enables the company to prioritize profitable distribution channels without immediate capital raises.
Improving balance sheet leverage
A stronger equity base and falling debt-to-equity enhance financial flexibility and reduce interest burden. This improves the firm's ability to withstand demand shocks, pursue selective M&A or technology investments, and maintain supplier and buyer confidence—supporting long-term distribution partnerships.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline & volatility
Negative year-on-year revenue growth and noted revenue volatility weaken the core scale economics of a distribution business. Persistent top-line fluctuation constrains margin leverage, complicates long-term contract terms with hotels and OTAs, and makes organic growth planning and investment pacing harder.
Earnings volatility / EPS collapse
A near-total collapse in reported EPS indicates earnings are highly variable or influenced by one-offs. This undermines confidence in the durability of profits and may limit the company's ability to commit to multi-year investments, retain talent through incentives, or absorb another adverse travel cycle without capital actions.
Cyclicality and market sensitivity
High beta and reliance on accommodation bookings make revenues and cash flow sensitive to macroeconomic and travel demand swings. Even with improved margins and FCF, structural cyclicality risks recurring downturns that compress take-rates, worsen booking volumes, and pressure contractual terms with suppliers and intermediaries.

WEB Travel Group (WEB) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

WEB Travel Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWebjet Limited provides online travel booking services in Australia, New Zealand, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Business to Consumer Travel and Business to Business Travel segments. The company enables its customers to compare, combine, and book domestic and international travel flight deals, hotel accommodation packages, travel insurances, rental cars, and motorhomes. Its brands include Webjet, GoSee, Trip Ninja, Rezchain, Roomdex, LockTrip.com, JacTravel, Sunhotels, Lots of Hotels, Totalstay, Destinations of the World, FIT Ruums, and Umrah Holidays International. The company serves retail and corporate travel agents, online travel agencies, wholesalers, and tour operators. Webjet Limited was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyWEB generates revenue primarily through transaction fees on bookings made through its platform, including flights, hotels, and vacation packages. The company earns commissions from travel service providers for each booking completed via its site, creating a significant revenue stream. Additionally, WEB may offer premium services or subscription models for users seeking exclusive deals or enhanced travel features, contributing further to its earnings. Partnerships with airlines, hotels, and local tourism boards also play a crucial role in driving revenue, as these collaborations can lead to special offers and promotions that attract more customers to the platform.

WEB Travel Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (profit recovery and improved margins) and positive free cash flow support a solid score, but revenue volatility and lower operating cash flow versus last year temper overall financial quality. Balance sheet metrics show improving leverage, though the slightly lower equity ratio warrants monitoring.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company shows strong recovery in revenue with a significant improvement in net income from losses in prior years to a solid profit in the latest period. The net profit margin improved notably, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the decline in revenue from the previous year suggests volatility, which is common in the travel industry.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet highlights a strong equity position with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio, showing improved financial stability. While total debt has remained relatively stable, the increase in stockholders' equity suggests effective management of resources. However, the equity ratio has declined slightly, indicating a need to monitor asset management closely.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Positive free cash flow growth demonstrates effective cash management. Although operating cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, the company maintains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio, signaling efficient operations. However, fluctuations in cash flow from financing activities present potential risks.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue362.60M328.40M320.00M364.30M138.00M51.33M
Gross Profit190.40M328.40M126.10M104.30M-36.40M-100.53M
EBITDA124.60M76.40M162.50M110.10M-41.90M-80.13M
Net Income-190.10M201.50M72.70M14.50M-85.00M-208.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.70B1.53B1.80B1.59B1.42B1.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments481.10M401.70M673.40M513.90M433.70M261.00M
Total Debt250.60M246.50M239.50M240.40M316.00M263.50M
Total Liabilities1.10B950.00M859.50M754.00M673.00M572.90M
Stockholders Equity603.30M575.10M940.80M834.20M746.00M607.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow112.20M34.10M142.40M12.70M21.90M-46.50M
Operating Cash Flow113.10M77.80M183.80M14.50M43.30M-32.10M
Investing Cash Flow-32.55M-62.70M-76.80M-34.00M-48.40M-14.40M
Financing Cash Flow-227.55M-295.00M1.80M-83.50M153.90M101.90M

WEB Travel Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.23
Price Trends
50DMA
4.41
Negative
100DMA
4.35
Negative
200DMA
4.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Positive
RSI
31.31
Neutral
STOCH
24.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:WEB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.82, below the 50-day MA of 4.41, and below the 200-day MA of 4.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:WEB.

WEB Travel Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
AU$2.35B36.551.37%-4.98%-42.11%
66
Neutral
AU$294.62M10.179.92%7.57%-14.10%-5.99%
62
Neutral
AU$2.81B27.688.85%2.63%2.70%-22.30%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$1.07B4,037.500.12%-8.73%-99.88%
47
Neutral
AU$828.65M-32.24-39.97%17.65%3.70%
42
Neutral
AU$8.69M-0.96-55.08%65.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:WEB
WEB Travel Group
3.23
-1.66
-33.95%
AU:CTD
Corporate Travel Management Limited
16.07
-0.58
-3.48%
AU:FLT
Flight Centre Travel Group Limited
13.28
-2.15
-13.95%
AU:HLO
Helloworld Travel Ltd
1.80
0.27
17.42%
AU:JAY
Jayride Group Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:SDR
SiteMinder Limited
2.94
-2.68
-47.69%

WEB Travel Group Corporate Events

Macquarie Group Exits Substantial Holding in Web Travel Group
Feb 11, 2026

Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have notified Web Travel Group that they have ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company as of 6 February 2026. The change in Macquarie’s relevant interest and association status, formally lodged under Australia’s Corporations Act, signals a reduction of institutional ownership that may alter Web Travel Group’s share register dynamics and potentially affect market perceptions of its institutional backing.

The notice, signed by Macquarie’s assistant company secretary, confirms that various Macquarie Group entities have changed or ended their association in relation to Web Travel Group’s voting securities. While the filing does not detail the commercial rationale, the exit of a major financial institution from a substantial holding can influence liquidity, future governance alignments, and the balance of influence between institutional and other investors in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Hold with a A$4.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

Web Travel Group Schedules Investor Briefing on Audit Notice and Trading Update
Feb 8, 2026

Web Travel Group has scheduled an investor and analyst conference call to discuss an audit notice recently advised to the ASX and to provide an update on current trading conditions. The briefing will be delivered via webcast and conference call, with pre-registration encouraged, and is accompanied by a presentation intended to give additional background and facilitate Q&A with stakeholders.

The company is emphasizing accessibility for participants by offering both streaming and dial-in options, allowing investors who wish to pose questions to join by phone during the Q&A segment. This structured communication effort signals management’s intention to address market concerns around the audit notice and maintain active dialogue with investors regarding operational and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

Web Travel Group Says No Undisclosed Information Behind Share Price Moves
Feb 6, 2026

Web Travel Group has responded to an ASX price query, stating it is not aware of any undisclosed information that could explain recent volatility in its share price and confirming that its earnings for the year ending 31 March 2026 are not expected to differ materially from existing market expectations or guidance. The company maintains that its recent announcement about a Spanish tax audit is not market sensitive under ASX rules, characterising the disclosure as a proactive response to overseas media coverage rather than a reaction to investor concerns, and has affirmed its ongoing compliance with ASX continuous disclosure obligations and that its responses were duly authorised.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$6.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

Web Travel Group Faces Spanish Tax Audit of Local Subsidiary
Feb 5, 2026

Web Travel Group Limited has disclosed that the Special Delegation of the Balearic Islands of the Spanish Tax Agency has initiated an audit of its Spanish subsidiary, covering direct taxes from April 2021 to March 2024 and indirect taxes from January 2022 to December 2025. The company stated it is cooperating with the authorities and committed to meeting its continuous disclosure obligations, indicating that further updates will be provided as necessary, which may have implications for its tax position in Spain and will be closely watched by investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$6.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

WEB Travel Group Issues 111,500 New Ordinary Shares on Option Conversion
Jan 2, 2026

WEB Travel Group Limited has notified the ASX of the issue of 111,500 new ordinary fully paid shares, following the exercise or conversion of previously unquoted options or convertible securities. The new shares, issued on 31 December 2025, modestly increase the company’s share capital and reflect the utilisation of existing equity-linked incentives, which may slightly dilute existing shareholders while signalling underlying confidence from holders of those securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

WEB Travel Group Announces Director’s Share Acquisition
Dec 16, 2025

WEB Travel Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Rachel Wiseman acquiring 5,165 fully paid ordinary shares through an on-market trade, increasing her indirect holdings to 16,565 shares. This change reflects ongoing adjustments in the company’s leadership investments, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions and the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

WEB Travel Group Director Increases Shareholding
Dec 3, 2025

WEB Travel Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Denise McComish acquiring an additional 15,000 fully paid ordinary shares through an on-market trade, increasing her total holdings to 45,000 shares. This change reflects an investment of $68,400 and indicates a potential increase in confidence in the company’s future prospects by its leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

WEB Travel Group’s Director Maintains Share Exposure Through Strategic Transactions
Dec 3, 2025

WEB Travel Group Limited announced a change in the interest of its Managing Director, John Guscic, as reflected in the Appendix 3Y notice. Mr. Guscic has purchased OTC capped call options referencing 2,710,758 shares and repaid funding arrangements by selling an equivalent number of shares. These transactions have maintained his economic exposure to the same number of shares, indicating a stable position in the company. This move suggests a strategic financial management approach by the director, potentially impacting investor perceptions and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

WEB Travel Group Announces Director’s Share Acquisition
Nov 27, 2025

WEB Travel Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Melanie Wilson acquiring 25,000 fully paid ordinary shares through an on-market trade valued at $117,098.65. This acquisition reflects a strategic move in the company’s governance, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

Web Travel Group CFO Resigns Amid Strategic Shift
Nov 24, 2025

Web Travel Group Limited announced the resignation of its Chief Financial Officer, Tony Ristevski, effective at the end of May 2026. Ristevski, who played a crucial role in integrating key acquisitions and navigating the company through the pandemic, will remain during his notice period to ensure a smooth transition. The company will begin the search for a new CFO and provide updates in due course. His departure is partly due to the company’s shift towards a northern hemisphere focus, which has increased the time demands of managing from Melbourne.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$5.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

WEB Travel Group Announces 1H26 Results and Future Outlook
Nov 24, 2025

WEB Travel Group has announced its 1H26 results, highlighting significant developments and financial performance for the first half of the fiscal year 2026. The briefing provides insights into the company’s operational strategies and future outlook, indicating a focus on enhancing its market position and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$5.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

WEB Travel Group Achieves Record Financial Results in 1H26
Nov 24, 2025

WEB Travel Group Limited reported record financial results for the first half of 2026, with Total Transaction Value (TTV) reaching $3.2 billion, a 22% increase from the previous year. The company’s WebBeds business saw an 18% rise in bookings, with significant growth in the Americas, leading to a 21% increase in EBITDA. The company has strengthened its capital position with $481 million in cash and $699 million in available liquidity. The results reflect the company’s strategic initiatives to optimize TTV margins and expand its global reach, positioning it for continued growth and relevance in the travel industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$5.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

Web Travel Group Reports Revenue Growth Amid Profit Decline
Nov 24, 2025

Web Travel Group Limited reported a 20% increase in total revenue to $204.6 million for the half-year ending September 30, 2025, despite a significant 88% decline in net profit attributable to members, which fell to $26.9 million. The decrease in profit is attributed to a 28% drop in profit from continuing operations and a complete loss from discontinued operations. The company did not declare any dividends for the period, and its net tangible asset backing per ordinary share remains negative, reflecting ongoing financial challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WEB) stock is a Buy with a A$5.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEB Travel Group stock, see the AU:WEB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026