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VHM Limited (AU:VHM)
ASX:VHM
Australian Market

VHM Limited (VHM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:VHM

VHM Limited

(Sydney:VHM)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.53
▲(14.13% Upside)
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—ongoing losses and negative operating/free cash flows—despite a comparatively low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals provide meaningful support as the price is above key moving averages with positive MACD, but the negative P/E and lack of dividend data keep valuation from contributing positively.
Positive Factors
Essential B2B demand
VHM sells essential mineral inputs into construction, agriculture and manufacturing, which supports steady baseline demand and makes revenues less discretionary. Structural industrial consumption gives multi‑month visibility and underpins durable revenue opportunities despite cyclical swings.
Long-term supply contracts
Established long‑term contracts and reputation as a reliable supplier increase revenue visibility and stickiness, supporting recurring cash flows and enabling capacity planning. This reduces customer churn risk and helps amortize fixed costs over time, improving long‑run margins if scale persists.
Conservative leverage
A low debt profile gives VHM financial flexibility to sustain operations, invest in process improvements, or withstand commodity cycles without heavy interest burdens. That balance sheet conservatism supports longer runway to reach profitability or fund capex from internal or modest external sources.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flows
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow erode liquidity and require external financing or asset sales to fund operations. Over months this constrains investment, increases refinancing risk, and can force strategic compromises that impair long‑term competitiveness if not reversed.
Ongoing unprofitability
Deeply negative net margins indicate core operations do not cover costs and undermine shareholder returns. Sustained losses limit reinvestment, raise the likelihood of dilutive capital raises, and signal structural cost or pricing issues that must be addressed to achieve durable earnings power.
Revenue volatility and profit conversion
Sharp revenue swings without corresponding profit improvement point to exposure to volatile end markets or weak operational gearing. In the medium term this hampers forecasting and undermines the scalability of margins, making sustained recovery and planning more difficult.

VHM Limited (VHM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

VHM Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVHM Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company's flagship project is the Goschen rare earth mineral and mineral sands project covering 2,860 km2 located in Victoria, Australia. It also operates the Australian Rare Earth Mineral Refinery, which is involved in the downstream processing of mixed rare earth carbonate to produce minerals, such as neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, and terbium. The company was formerly known as VHM Exploration Limited and changed its name to VHM Limited in November 2018. VHM Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyVHM generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of processed mineral products to various industries. The company operates on a B2B model, supplying materials that are essential for production processes in construction and manufacturing. Key revenue streams include direct sales of minerals, long-term supply contracts with large industrial clients, and strategic partnerships with companies in related sectors. Additionally, VHM benefits from economies of scale due to its efficient production processes and has established itself as a reliable supplier, which contributes to customer retention and repeat business.

VHM Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are weak: the company remains unprofitable with deeply negative net margins and negative operating/free cash flows despite a sharp revenue increase. The balance sheet is comparatively stronger with low leverage, but negative ROE underscores that shareholders are not earning returns.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
VHM Limited has experienced significant revenue volatility, with a dramatic increase in revenue in the latest year, but this has not translated into profitability. The company consistently reports negative net income and margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin is positive, but the net profit margin is deeply negative, reflecting high costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, but the negative ROE highlights profitability issues.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining trend in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow, but overall cash flow health is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.00K5.00K23.00K110.00K0.000.00
Gross Profit-207.00K5.00K23.00K-169.00K-125.75K-153.59K
EBITDA-5.46M-5.46M-5.72M-13.18M-6.59M-5.17M
Net Income-6.43M-6.43M-7.15M-17.92M-9.15M-6.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.45M74.45M70.09M78.77M63.26M38.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.10M8.10M6.25M20.65M24.37M10.87M
Total Debt1.63M1.63M767.00K1.02M34.42M4.16M
Total Liabilities10.31M10.31M11.71M14.01M45.91M14.71M
Stockholders Equity64.14M64.14M58.38M64.76M17.34M24.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.37M-9.78M-14.62M-34.53M-16.53M-9.04M
Operating Cash Flow-5.19M-5.19M-5.65M-12.01M-3.99M-4.34M
Investing Cash Flow-4.59M-4.59M-7.74M-20.19M-10.40M-2.13M
Financing Cash Flow12.60M11.85M-1.01M26.96M27.88M17.02M

VHM Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.46
Price Trends
50DMA
0.41
Positive
100DMA
0.41
Positive
200DMA
0.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
50.08
Neutral
STOCH
13.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:VHM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.48, above the 50-day MA of 0.41, and above the 200-day MA of 0.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:VHM.

VHM Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
AU$135.96M-15.87-10.49%16.52%
50
Neutral
AU$400.05M-4.61-111.27%66.10%
50
Neutral
AU$141.06M-5.21-36.29%-166.67%
50
Neutral
AU$363.15M-34.95-27.95%-43.08%
46
Neutral
AU$29.95M-7.83-7.25%78.30%
40
Underperform
AU$12.96M-1.10-121.65%-100.21%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:VHM
VHM Limited
0.47
0.17
55.00%
AU:EUR
European Lithium
0.23
0.17
270.97%
AU:AGR
Aguia Resources Limited
0.02
-0.02
-48.57%
AU:DRE
Dreadnought Resources Limited
0.03
0.01
127.27%
AU:TGN
Tungsten Mining NL
0.33
0.21
182.61%
AU:MHK
Metal Hawk Ltd.
0.11
-0.22
-67.19%

VHM Limited Corporate Events

VHM Ends Shenghe Offtake Deal and Brings in Macquarie to Recast Goschen Sales Strategy
Jan 11, 2026

VHM Limited has terminated its previously announced offtake agreement with Shenghe Resources after unmet conditions precedent, freeing up 100% of rare earths concentrate from its Goschen project for new offtake arrangements. The company has appointed Macquarie Capital as financial advisor to lead discussions with potential offtake and funding partners as it targets first production of rare earths and mineral sands concentrates by the end of 2027, aiming to capitalise on strong global demand for critical minerals and enhance flexibility, margins, and long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.46 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Issues 500,000 Unquoted Performance Rights Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Jan 6, 2026

VHM Limited has issued 500,000 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with the securities not intended to be quoted on the ASX. The move indicates the company is continuing to use equity-based incentives to align staff and management interests with long-term performance, potentially diluting existing holders but aiming to support retention and motivation of key personnel.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Seeks ASX Quotation for 3.7 Million New Shares
Dec 18, 2025

VHM Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 3,675,386 new ordinary fully paid shares, expanding its listed securities on the Australian market. The issuance, formalised via an Appendix 2A filing dated 19 December 2025, indicates an increase in the company’s tradable equity base, which may enhance liquidity for existing shareholders and provide additional capital flexibility for future corporate or project activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Launches Share Purchase Plan to Fund Goschen Project
Nov 27, 2025

VHM Limited has announced a Share Purchase Plan (SPP) for eligible shareholders in Australia and New Zealand, aiming to raise approximately A$1.0 million. The SPP allows shareholders to purchase new shares at a discounted price of A$0.35 per share, matching the recent placement price. The funds from the SPP, along with A$10.3 million raised from a placement, will support the Goschen Project’s early engineering works, land acquisition, and operating costs. This initiative reflects VHM’s strategic efforts to advance its project development and strengthen its financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Issues 29.5 Million Shares to Institutional Investors
Nov 26, 2025

VHM Limited has announced the issuance of 29,534,321 fully paid ordinary shares at $0.35 each to institutional investors. This move, which was initially announced on November 21, 2025, aims to bolster the company’s capital base. The company has confirmed compliance with relevant provisions of the Corporations Act and stated there is no excluded information that needs to be disclosed, ensuring transparency and adherence to regulatory standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Nov 25, 2025

VHM Limited has announced the quotation of 29,534,321 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of a transaction previously announced and aligns with the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its market presence. The issuance of these securities is expected to impact the company’s operations by potentially increasing its capital base, thereby supporting its growth initiatives and strengthening its position within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Completes A$10.3 Million Institutional Placement
Nov 24, 2025

VHM Limited has successfully completed a fully-underwritten institutional placement, raising approximately A$10.3 million through the issuance of 29.5 million new shares at a price of A$0.35 per share. The proceeds will be used to support the Goschen Project’s early engineering works, land acquisition, and operating costs as the company moves towards a Final Investment Decision in the first half of 2026. Additionally, VHM is offering a Share Purchase Plan to eligible shareholders in Australia and New Zealand to raise up to A$1.0 million, allowing them to purchase new shares at the same placement price.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Launches Equity Raising Initiative
Nov 20, 2025

VHM Limited has announced an equity raising initiative involving an underwritten placement of new fully paid ordinary shares to institutional investors and a non-underwritten share purchase plan for eligible shareholders. This move aims to strengthen the company’s financial position and support its strategic objectives, potentially impacting its market standing and offering opportunities for stakeholders to participate in the company’s growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Announces Proposed Securities Issue to Raise Capital
Nov 20, 2025

VHM Limited has announced a proposed issue of securities, involving the issuance of 2,857,142 ordinary fully paid securities under a securities purchase plan, with the record date set for November 20, 2025, and the offer closing on December 12, 2025. Additionally, the company plans to issue 29,534,321 ordinary fully paid securities through a placement, with the proposed issue date being November 27, 2025. This move is likely aimed at raising capital to support the company’s operations or strategic initiatives, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Secures A$10.3 Million for Goschen Project Development
Nov 20, 2025

VHM Limited announced a fully-underwritten institutional placement to raise approximately A$10.3 million and an additional share purchase plan targeting up to A$1.0 million. The funds will support early engineering, procurement, and land acquisition for the Goschen Project, with a final investment decision expected in the first half of 2026. The project has received indicative long-term funding support from the Export-Import Bank of the United States and Export Finance Australia, highlighting its importance in global supply chains. This financial move positions VHM to advance the Goschen Project, aiming to deliver a Tier 1 rare earth and mineral sands project.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Initiates Trading Halt for Capital Raising Announcement
Nov 20, 2025

VHM Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities, pending an announcement related to a proposed equity capital raising. This halt will remain in place until either the announcement is made or normal trading resumes on November 25, 2025. The halt is intended to facilitate the capital raising process, which could have significant implications for the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Announces Results of 2025 AGM
Nov 18, 2025

VHM Limited held its 2025 Annual General Meeting where several resolutions were put to vote. Key resolutions included the adoption of the remuneration report, ratification of prior share issues to Bulk Commodity Holdings, adoption of an equity incentive plan, and the re-election of Ian Smith as a director. All resolutions were carried, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic decisions and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Secures Key Approvals and Advances Financing for Goschen Project
Nov 18, 2025

VHM Limited has achieved significant milestones for its Goschen Project, securing all primary project approvals, including environmental and cultural heritage endorsements, which de-risk the project as it moves towards construction. The company has also advanced its financing strategy with support from Export Finance Australia and the U.S. Export-Import Bank, reflecting strong governmental confidence. These developments align with global strategic interests in diversified rare earth supply, particularly amid geopolitical tensions affecting the sector. VHM’s strengthened executive team is poised to lead the company through the next phases of project funding and development, ensuring the project’s role in regional investment and employment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

VHM Limited Advances Goschen Project with Cultural Heritage Approval
Oct 30, 2025

VHM Limited has received approval for the Cultural Heritage Management Plan for its Goschen Project, marking a significant milestone in its development. This approval allows VHM to proceed with formalizing its Work Plan, advancing the project towards development while maintaining a commitment to cultural heritage protection and stakeholder collaboration. The approval aligns with regulatory and community expectations, supporting VHM’s strategic efforts to develop a globally significant rare earth and mineral sands project.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VHM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VHM Limited stock, see the AU:VHM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026