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Aguia Resources Limited (AU:AGR)
ASX:AGR

Aguia Resources Limited (AGR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AGR

Aguia Resources Limited

(Sydney:AGR)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.03
â–²(30.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/02/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses and significant cash burn outweigh the benefit of a relatively solid balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with price strength above key moving averages and a positive MACD, but overbought RSI/Stoch readings add pullback risk. Valuation remains constrained by unprofitability (negative P/E) and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet capital base
The company’s sizable equity (~A$41.2m) against modest debt (~A$5.7m, D/E ~0.14) provides a durable capital buffer. This reduces immediate refinancing pressure, supports continued exploration and project development spending, and lowers near-term dilution risk relative to peers.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Negative operating cash flow (~-A$2.0m) and a large free cash flow deficit (~-A$10.3m) show sustained cash burn. This increases reliance on external capital, raises dilution and refinancing risk, and can slow or conditionalize project advancement absent committed funding.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet capital base
The company’s sizable equity (~A$41.2m) against modest debt (~A$5.7m, D/E ~0.14) provides a durable capital buffer. This reduces immediate refinancing pressure, supports continued exploration and project development spending, and lowers near-term dilution risk relative to peers.
Read all positive factors

Aguia Resources Limited (AGR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Aguia Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Aguia Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource projects in Brazil. It primarily explores for phosphate and copper deposits. The company's principal projects include the TrĂªs Estradas Phosphate Project and th...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Aguia Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are development-stage and weak overall: revenue has rebounded (A$299k vs. zero previously), but losses remain sizable (net loss ~A$2.8m) with deeply negative margins, and cash flow is a major headwind (operating cash flow ~-A$2.0m; free cash flow ~-A$10.3m). The balance sheet is comparatively supportive with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.14) and meaningful equity (~A$41.2m), but ongoing losses and cash burn elevate funding and execution risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue508.77K299.23K0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit24.84K299.23K-9.00K-8.89K-8.31K-4.17K
EBITDA-2.98M-2.55M-5.79M-2.29M-2.00M-10.84M
Net Income-3.60M-2.76M-5.80M-2.24M-1.86M-10.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.93M48.11M37.28M34.33M32.38M30.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.87M579.41K1.01M437.81K3.73M4.30M
Total Debt7.59M5.73M190.00K0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities10.08M6.94M933.55K256.85K730.75K2.08M
Stockholders Equity45.84M41.17M36.35M34.08M31.65M28.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.59M-10.32M-2.65M-4.69M-3.57M-2.45M
Operating Cash Flow-2.28M-2.03M-2.06M-2.08M-1.34M-728.28K
Investing Cash Flow-5.73M-8.28M-499.32K-2.61M-2.23M-1.73M
Financing Cash Flow9.30M9.87M3.13M1.39M2.90M3.72M

Aguia Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Positive
100DMA
0.02
Positive
200DMA
0.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
59.51
Neutral
STOCH
60.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AGR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AGR.

Aguia Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
AU$48.07M-3.39-8.26%――78.30%
47
Neutral
AU$85.06M-11.27-9.03%―-85.84%73.66%
45
Neutral
AU$108.78M-21.61-10.82%――-166.67%
45
Neutral
AU$103.18M-12.92-67.75%――-414.88%
43
Neutral
AU$95.02M-8.97-9.28%――16.52%
42
Neutral
AU$37.75M-25.46-107.26%――63.36%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AGR
Aguia Resources Limited
0.02
-0.02
-42.86%
AU:NMT
Neometals Ltd
0.05
>-0.01
-9.26%
AU:DRE
Dreadnought Resources Limited
0.02
<0.01
72.73%
AU:E25
Element 25 Limited
0.32
0.11
52.38%
AU:HAS
Hastings Technology Metals Limited
0.47
0.20
72.86%
AU:VHM
VHM Limited
0.33
0.10
41.30%

Aguia Resources Limited Corporate Events

Aguia Issues Shares for Santa Barbara Gold Project Licence Acquisition
Apr 1, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has issued 12,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares to Malabar Gold Corp as consideration for acquiring the Northern Licence of the Santa Barbara Gold Project. The share issue forms part of the company&#8217;s strategy to cons...
Aguia Resources Seeks Quotation for 12 Million New Shares on ASX
Apr 1, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 12,000,000 new ordinary fully paid shares under code AGR, with an issue date of 1 April 2026. The new securities, issued as part of a previously announced transaction, will expand the...
Aguia calls April vote on debt-for-equity plan and capital management moves
Mar 20, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has called a general meeting of shareholders in Sydney on 21 April 2026 to vote on a suite of resolutions, largely aimed at ratifying prior security issues and refreshing its capacity to issue equity under ASX listing rules...
Aguia Resources Completes Exit from Atocha Silver Project with Final $1m Cash Proceeds
Mar 19, 2026
Aguia Resources has completed the sale of its non-core Atocha Silver Project in Colombia, receiving an initial C$1 million in February 2026 and a further $1 million this week for its retained 25% equity stake. The transaction fully divests Aguia f...
Aguia Resources Confirms Compliance as It Issues 69.5 Million New Shares
Mar 19, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has issued 69,545,455 fully paid ordinary shares in line with its Investment Agreement with Precious Metals Capital Group, LLC, originally announced in September 2025. The company has notified the market that these shares w...
Aguia Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 69.5 Million New Shares
Mar 19, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 69,545,455 new ordinary fully paid shares, with an issue date of March 19, 2026. The application, lodged as an Appendix 2A, brings these previously announced securities to market trad...
Aguia launches Pampafos fertiliser as Brazil seeks local phosphate supply
Mar 16, 2026
Aguia Resources has officially launched its Pampafos natural phosphate fertiliser at Expodireto Cotrijal 2026 in Brazil, highlighting the product&#8217;s position as a locally produced alternative for farmers in Rio Grande do Sul. The company says...
Aguia Resources Updates Leadership and Confirms Regulatory Standing
Mar 13, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has outlined its current corporate profile, confirming its ASX listing and ongoing adherence to Australian regulatory requirements via the ASX and ASIC. The company highlights its international footprint with offices in Aus...
Aguia Resources Nears Tres Estradas Start-Up After Securing Brazilian Mining Concessions
Mar 11, 2026
Aguia Resources has secured key mining concession rights from Brazil&#8217;s National Mining Agency for its Tres Estradas phosphate project in Lavras do Sul, paving the way for an operational license expected within four to six weeks. The mine sit...
Aguia Resources Issues 12.5 Million Shares Under Investment Agreement
Mar 4, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has issued 12.5 million fully paid ordinary shares under its Investment Agreement with Precious Metals Capital Group, LLC, originally announced in September 2025. The new shares were issued without a prospectus in reliance ...
Aguia Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 12.5 Million New Shares
Mar 4, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has lodged an application with the ASX for quotation of 12,500,000 ordinary fully paid shares under the code AGR, with an issue date of March 4, 2026. The new share quotation will expand the company&#8217;s listed securitie...
Aguia Resources Issues 245 Million New Shares Under Regulatory Exemption
Feb 11, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has issued 245 million fully paid ordinary shares on 11 February 2026, increasing its share capital base without providing a prospectus under the disclosure provisions of the Corporations Act. The company has confirmed to t...
Aguia Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 245 Million New Shares
Feb 10, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has applied to the Australian Securities Exchange for quotation of 245 million new ordinary fully paid shares under the ticker AGR. The shares, issued on 11 February 2026 following a previously flagged transaction, will sig...
Aguia Boosts Gold Recoveries and Plans High‑Grade Push at Santa Barbara
Feb 6, 2026
Aguia Resources has reported significantly improved gold recoveries at its Santa Barbara project in Colombia, lifting recoveries from about 70% in December to more than 85% in January and increasing gold production despite processing fewer tonnes ...
Aguia Resources Secures $5m to Fast-Track Colombian Gold and Brazilian Phosphate Projects
Feb 2, 2026
Aguia Resources has completed a $5 million share placement, issuing 250 million new shares at A$0.02 each following strong demand from institutional and sophisticated investors. The funds will be directed toward advancing exploration and developme...
Aguia Resources Bolsters Cash Position Through Equity and Debt Amid Ongoing Exploration Spend
Jan 30, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited, an ASX-listed mining exploration company, is primarily engaged in mineral exploration, evaluation and project development activities, supported by ongoing investment in property, plant and equipment. The company&#8217;s qu...
Aguia Resources Advances Brazilian Phosphate Start-Up and Lifts Gold Recoveries in Colombia
Jan 30, 2026
Aguia Resources has secured a R$6 million bank loan from Brazil&#8217;s Regional Development Bank of the Far South to refurbish its processing plant and advance the opening of the Tr&#234;s Estradas phosphate mine, where mine preparation is comple...
Aguia Resources Shares Halted Ahead of Capital Raising Announcement
Jan 30, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has requested and been granted a trading halt on its ordinary shares and listed options on the ASX to facilitate an orderly market ahead of a forthcoming capital raising announcement. The halt will remain in place until eit...
Aguia Resources Discloses Initial Shareholding of New Director Tim Hosking
Jan 12, 2026
Aguia Resources Ltd has notified the ASX of the initial interests of newly appointed director Tim Hosking, who joined the company&#8217;s board on 7 January 2026. According to the filing, Hosking holds 1,155,555 fully paid ordinary shares in Aguia...
Aguia Resources Issues 6.25 Million New Shares Under Investment Agreement
Jan 8, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has issued 6,250,000 fully paid ordinary shares under its Investment Agreement with Precious Metals Capital Group, LLC, first announced in September 2025, as part of its ongoing capital management activities. The company ha...
Aguia Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 6.25 Million New Shares
Jan 7, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has applied to the Australian Securities Exchange for quotation of 6,250,000 new ordinary fully paid shares, to be listed under its existing ticker AGR. The shares, issued on 7 January 2026 pursuant to a previously announce...
Aguia Resources Elevates CEO Tim Hosking to Managing Director as Key Projects Near Production
Jan 7, 2026
Aguia Resources has appointed CEO Tim Hosking to the board as Managing Director, while Warwick Grigor transitions from Executive Chair to Non-Executive Chairman, formalising a leadership structure aligned with the company&#8217;s current growth ph...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026