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TPG Telecom Limited (AU:TPG)
OTHER OTC:TPG

TPG Telecom Limited (TPG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TPG

TPG Telecom Limited

(OTC:TPG)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
AU$6.00
▲(57.89% Upside)
TPG Telecom's overall score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and technical analysis. While the company maintains strong cash flow and operational efficiency, profitability issues and a negative P/E ratio weigh heavily on its valuation. The technical indicators show bullish momentum, but overbought conditions suggest caution. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.

TPG Telecom Limited (TPG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

TPG Telecom Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTPG Telecom Limited (TPG) is a leading telecommunications and internet service provider based in Australia. The company operates in the telecommunications sector, focusing on delivering high-speed broadband, mobile, and voice services to residential and business customers. TPG's core products include NBN (National Broadband Network) services, ADSL internet, mobile plans, and various bundled offerings that combine these services to meet the diverse needs of its customer base.
How the Company Makes MoneyTPG generates revenue primarily through its various telecommunications services, including fixed-line broadband and mobile subscriptions. The company's revenue model is driven by monthly subscription fees from customers using its internet and mobile services. Key revenue streams include retail broadband plans, mobile phone plans, and wholesale services provided to other telecommunications companies. TPG also benefits from significant partnerships, such as those with infrastructure providers that allow it to offer competitive pricing and enhanced services. Additionally, the company's recent merger with Vodafone Hutchison Australia has expanded its market presence and customer base, further contributing to its earnings.

TPG Telecom Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TPG Telecom maintains strong operational efficiency with consistent EBITDA margins and improved free cash flow. However, recent negative net income and absence of EBIT in 2024 are concerning for profitability. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but the diminishing equity ratio and operating cash flow issues need attention.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
TPG Telecom's revenue has seen minimal growth over the years, with a slight decline recently. The gross profit margin improved significantly from 2023 to 2024, but net income turned negative in the latest period, negatively impacting net profit margins. EBITDA margin remains strong, indicating operational efficiency. However, the absence of EBIT in 2024 is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a cautious approach towards leveraging. Although Stockholders' equity remains strong, indicating financial stability, the decrease in equity ratio over time poses a concern for asset utilization efficiency.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has shown a substantial increase, highlighting effective cash management and capital expenditure strategies. The absence of operating cash flow in 2024 raises questions, but the historical data demonstrates good free cash flow to net income conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.26B5.52B5.53B5.42B5.29B4.35B
Gross Profit1.60B3.20B764.00M676.00M636.00M580.00M
EBITDA1.49B1.34B1.54B2.14B1.73B1.39B
Net Income-75.00M-107.00M49.00M513.00M110.00M741.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.01B19.09B19.67B20.33B20.13B19.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.00M42.00M116.00M114.00M202.00M120.00M
Total Debt6.16B6.30B6.31B5.66B5.71B5.47B
Total Liabilities7.93B7.92B8.05B8.43B8.41B7.86B
Stockholders Equity11.08B11.17B11.62B11.90B11.72B11.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow986.00M1.14B660.00M79.00M532.00M265.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.73B1.93B1.52B1.07B1.47B949.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.02B-1.16B-1.15B-97.00M-920.00M-1.14B
Financing Cash Flow-540.00M-838.00M-370.00M-1.06B-467.00M-423.00M

TPG Telecom Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.80
Price Trends
50DMA
3.82
Negative
100DMA
3.73
Positive
200DMA
3.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
47.94
Neutral
STOCH
39.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TPG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.77, below the 50-day MA of 3.82, and above the 200-day MA of 3.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:TPG.

TPG Telecom Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
AU$54.15B25.5614.73%3.94%0.86%34.23%
62
Neutral
AU$1.70B50.287.40%1.75%0.42%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
55
Neutral
AU$1.30B1,422.220.21%31.16%
54
Neutral
AU$1.40B42.815.89%1.26%18.74%14.89%
54
Neutral
AU$7.40B-93.32-0.93%47.48%-5.04%-349.38%
53
Neutral
AU$3.94B404.601.57%34.09%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TPG
TPG Telecom Limited
3.77
0.74
24.42%
AU:TLS
Telstra Corporation Limited
4.84
0.99
25.62%
AU:SLC
Superloop Ltd.
2.52
0.42
20.00%
AU:MAQ
Macquarie Telecom Group Limited
68.00
-17.39
-20.37%
AU:TUA
Tuas Ltd.
7.04
0.94
15.41%
AU:ABB
Aussie Broadband Ltd.
5.07
1.60
46.11%

TPG Telecom Limited Corporate Events

TPG Telecom Clarifies Tax Implications of Capital Return and Special Dividend
Dec 3, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited announced that the Australian Taxation Office has issued a final Class Ruling regarding its recent capital return and special dividend. The ruling clarifies that the $1.52 per share capital return is not considered a dividend for tax purposes, while the $0.09 per share special dividend is classified as a dividend. This clarification provides shareholders with important tax information, potentially impacting their financial planning and investment decisions.

TPG Telecom Expands Share Base with New Institutional Investment
Nov 25, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has issued 83,102,493 new fully paid ordinary shares at a price of $3.61 per share to institutional investors as part of its Institutional Reinvestment Plan. This strategic move is expected to strengthen the company’s financial position and enhance its market presence, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder interests positively.

TPG Telecom Launches Retail Reinvestment Plan
Nov 19, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced the launch of its Retail Reinvestment Plan, as detailed in the prospectus lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange. This plan includes a series of key dates for capital return and the issuance of new shares, aimed at enhancing shareholder value and strengthening the company’s financial position.

TPG Telecom Updates Proposed Securities Issuance
Nov 18, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced an update to its previous proposal regarding the issuance of securities. The update includes a revised number of shares to be issued, which is part of a placement or other type of issue. This move is likely aimed at raising capital for the company, potentially impacting its market positioning and providing opportunities for stakeholders to invest in the company’s growth.

TPG Telecom Completes $300 Million Institutional Reinvestment Plan
Nov 18, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has successfully completed its Institutional Reinvestment Plan, raising $300 million through the issuance of approximately 83 million new shares at a price of $3.61 per share. This initiative is part of TPG’s broader Capital Management and Liquidity Plan, aimed at increasing minority ownership and enhancing the company’s ASX index weighting. The plan was adjusted from an initial target of $550 million due to unforeseen circumstances, including a tragic incident involving a Lebara customer and deteriorating global equity market conditions. The funds raised will be used to repay bank borrowings, contributing to a total repayment of approximately $2.7 billion since June 2025.

TPG Telecom Urges Device Updates After Emergency Call Incident
Nov 17, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has issued a reminder for customers to update older Samsung mobile devices to ensure access to emergency services, following a tragic incident where a customer could not reach Triple Zero due to outdated software. The company emphasizes the importance of software updates for emergency call compatibility and has communicated with affected customers to update their devices. TPG Telecom is currently engaged in the institutional component of its Reinvestment Plan, which has seen strong demand, and plans to complete the process soon.

TPG Telecom Announces Proposed Issue of Securities
Nov 17, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced a proposed non-pro rata issue of securities, planning to issue up to 38,227,146 ordinary fully paid shares. This move is part of a disclosure document or product disclosure statement, with the closing date for acceptances set for December 5, 2025, and the proposed issue date on December 10, 2025. This issuance could potentially impact TPG’s market position by raising capital for future investments or operational needs, thereby influencing stakeholder interests.

TPG Telecom Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Nov 16, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced a proposed issue of 152,354,571 ordinary fully paid securities, scheduled for issuance on November 25, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, which could potentially impact the company’s capital structure and market presence, offering opportunities for growth and investment.

TPG Telecom Unveils New Reinvestment Plan
Nov 16, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced the launch of a Reinvestment Plan, as detailed in an investor presentation released to the market. This initiative is expected to enhance the company’s financial strategies and potentially improve shareholder value, reflecting TPG Telecom’s commitment to growth and stability in the competitive telecommunications sector.

TPG Telecom Unveils Reinvestment Plan to Boost Liquidity and Ownership
Nov 16, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced the launch of its Reinvestment Plan, allowing eligible minority shareholders to reinvest their cash distribution into new shares. This initiative aims to increase minority ownership, improve trading liquidity, and maintain market capitalization. The plan includes both institutional and retail components, with the potential to raise approximately $688 million. The company has confirmed its FY25 EBITDA guidance and reduced capital expenditure guidance, indicating stable financial expectations.

TPG Telecom Initiates Trading Halt Ahead of Capital Raising Announcement
Nov 16, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities pending an announcement related to a proposed capital raising initiative. This move involves an offer of ordinary shares to institutional investors as part of a Reinvestment Plan aimed at minority shareholders, which could impact the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

TPG Telecom Announces $3 Billion Capital Return to Shareholders
Nov 12, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited announced shareholder approval for a significant capital return of approximately 3 billion dollars, distributed as a pro rata cash distribution of 1.61 dollars per share. This distribution includes a 1.52 dollar capital reduction and a 9 cents unfranked special dividend, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders following the Extraordinary General Meeting.

TPG Telecom Announces $3 Billion Capital Return to Shareholders
Nov 12, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced a pro rata cash distribution to shareholders, following approval at an Extraordinary General Meeting. This distribution, amounting to approximately $3 billion, includes a capital reduction and an unfranked special dividend, reflecting the company’s strategic financial management and commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

TPG Telecom’s Shareholders Approve Capital Return
Nov 11, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited announced the results of its Extraordinary General Meeting, where a resolution for the return of capital to ordinary shareholders was passed. The resolution saw overwhelming support, with 99.93% of votes in favor, indicating strong shareholder approval and potentially positive implications for shareholder value.

TPG Telecom Announces $3 Billion Capital Return and Reinvestment Plan
Nov 10, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited held an Extraordinary General Meeting to discuss a significant capital return of approximately $3 billion to shareholders, which includes a capital reduction and a special dividend. The company also introduced a Reinvestment Plan to allow minority shareholders to reinvest their returns into new shares, aiming to increase minority ownership and improve share trading liquidity. The Board supports these initiatives, reflecting confidence in the company’s strong financial position and strategic direction towards a mobile-led focus.

TPG Telecom Announces $3 Billion Capital Return to Shareholders
Nov 5, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced an update regarding its plan to return up to $3 billion to shareholders following the Vocus Group Limited transaction. The distribution will involve a capital reduction of $1.52 per share and an unfranked special dividend of 9 cents per share, subject to shareholder approval. This move is part of TPG’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and enhance shareholder value.

TPG Telecom Announces New Dividend Distribution
Nov 5, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced a new dividend distribution of AUD 0.09 per ordinary fully paid share. The ex-dividend date is set for November 14, 2025, with the record date on November 17, 2025, and payment scheduled for November 24, 2025. This announcement reflects TPG’s ongoing commitment to returning value to shareholders, potentially enhancing its attractiveness to investors.

TPG Telecom Announces $3 Billion Capital Return to Shareholders
Nov 5, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced a plan to return approximately $3 billion to its shareholders through a pro rata cash distribution, subject to shareholder approval. This distribution will consist of a $1.52 capital reduction and a 9 cents unfranked special dividend per share, utilizing proceeds from the Vocus Group Limited transaction. This move is part of TPG’s strategy to optimize capital allocation and deliver value to its shareholders.

TPG Telecom Announces $3 Billion Capital Return to Shareholders
Oct 31, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited announced a capital management plan to return approximately $3 billion to shareholders following the sale of its fibre network infrastructure assets and Enterprise, Government, and Wholesale fixed asset operations. This return will be executed through a pro rata capital reduction of $1.52 per share and an unfranked special dividend of $0.09 per share. The company is in ongoing discussions with the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) regarding the tax implications of this distribution, with a final Class Ruling expected after the completion of the capital return and dividend payment. The plan underscores TPG’s strategic focus on optimizing its asset portfolio and enhancing shareholder value.

TPG Telecom Announces AUD 3 Billion Capital Return to Shareholders
Oct 16, 2025

TPG Telecom Limited has announced a cash return of capital to its shareholders, amounting to AUD 1.61 per share, following the proceeds from the Vocus Group Limited transaction. This move, pending shareholder approval, is set to return up to 3 billion dollars and is scheduled for trading on an ‘ex return of capital’ basis from November 14, 2025, with the payment date set for November 24, 2025. The announcement signifies a strategic financial decision potentially enhancing shareholder value and reflecting the company’s robust financial position.

TPG Telecom Receives ‘BBB’ Rating from Fitch with Stable Outlook
Oct 8, 2025

Fitch Ratings has assigned TPG Telecom Limited a ‘BBB’ Long-Term Issuer Default Rating with a Stable Outlook, reflecting its competitive market position and solid financial standing. The rating considers TPG’s reduced leverage following the sale of its enterprise, government, and wholesale fixed business to Vocus Group Limited, with expectations of maintaining a strong financial position through reduced debt and improved cash flow, benefiting stakeholders and reinforcing its market presence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025