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TPG Telecom Limited (AU:TPG)
ASX:TPG

TPG Telecom Limited (TPG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TPG

TPG Telecom Limited

(Sydney:TPG)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$4.50
▲(5.39% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/01/26
The score is driven primarily by strong and improving cash generation, partially offset by weaker income-statement quality (flat-to-down revenue and volatile profitability) and rising leverage. Technicals are mildly supportive with price above key moving averages and neutral momentum. Valuation is the main headwind due to the high P/E, despite the very high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent and rising operating and free cash flow provide durable internal funding for network maintenance, selective capex and shareholder returns. Strong cash conversion cushions earnings volatility and supports strategic flexibility over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue declining
Sustained revenue declines and negative growth pressure operating leverage and make it harder to expand margins. Without a clear revenue turnaround, the company may struggle to fund growth investment and improve returns, leaving results vulnerable to competition.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent and rising operating and free cash flow provide durable internal funding for network maintenance, selective capex and shareholder returns. Strong cash conversion cushions earnings volatility and supports strategic flexibility over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

TPG Telecom Limited (TPG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

TPG Telecom Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TPG Telecom Limited provides telecommunications to consumers, business, enterprise, government and wholesale customers services. The company owns and operates fixed and mobile network infrastructure, including fixed voice and data network with app...
How the Company Makes Money
TPG primarily makes money by charging recurring service fees for telecommunications connectivity. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Consumer fixed services: monthly charges for residential broadband internet (e.g., NBN and other fixed acc...

TPG Telecom Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is a key strength with operating cash flow improving to ~$2.09B and free cash flow up sharply to ~$1.50B in 2025. The balance sheet is serviceable but leverage is trending higher (debt-to-equity ~0.78 in 2025) and returns on equity are low (~1.5%). The main drag is the income statement: revenue has been flat-to-down and profitability has been volatile, including a loss in 2024 and only modest profitability in 2025.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.04B5.52B5.53B5.42B5.29B
Gross Profit799.00M3.20B764.00M676.00M636.00M
EBITDA1.65B1.34B1.54B2.14B1.73B
Net Income129.00M-107.00M49.00M513.00M110.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.23B19.09B19.67B20.33B20.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.00M42.00M116.00M114.00M202.00M
Total Debt6.77B6.30B6.31B5.66B5.71B
Total Liabilities6.56B7.92B8.05B8.43B8.41B
Stockholders Equity8.67B11.17B11.62B11.90B11.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.50B1.14B660.00M79.00M532.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.09B1.93B1.52B1.07B1.47B
Investing Cash Flow3.78B-1.16B-1.15B-97.00M-920.00M
Financing Cash Flow-5.84B-838.00M-370.00M-1.06B-467.00M

TPG Telecom Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.27
Price Trends
50DMA
3.94
Positive
100DMA
3.84
Positive
200DMA
3.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
71.95
Negative
STOCH
95.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TPG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.06, above the 50-day MA of 3.94, and above the 200-day MA of 3.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.95 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:TPG.

TPG Telecom Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
AU$61.02B12.3016.66%3.91%0.86%34.23%
64
Neutral
AU$1.66B64.943.49%31.16%
62
Neutral
AU$1.70B26.245.01%1.75%0.42%
61
Neutral
AU$3.27B98.961.98%34.09%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
AU$8.40B54.881.31%47.35%-5.04%-349.38%
54
Neutral
AU$1.46B72.384.61%1.27%18.74%14.89%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TPG
TPG Telecom Limited
4.27
0.92
27.39%
AU:TLS
Telstra Corporation Limited
5.41
1.16
27.35%
AU:SLC
Superloop Ltd.
3.26
0.98
42.98%
AU:MAQ
Macquarie Telecom Group Limited
66.96
8.69
14.91%
AU:TUA
Tuas Ltd.
5.96
0.66
12.45%
AU:ABB
Aussie Broadband Ltd.
5.08
1.24
32.19%

TPG Telecom Limited Corporate Events

Soul Patts exits TPG Telecom substantial holding with $245m share sale
Apr 9, 2026
Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited and related entities have ceased to be substantial shareholders in TPG Telecom after selling 61,525,000 ordinary shares. The block sale, worth approximately $244.9 million, removes Soul Patts and as...
TPG Telecom CEO Boosts Shareholding via Incentive Plan Vesting
Apr 1, 2026
TPG Telecom Limited has disclosed changes in the equity holdings of its director, Iñaki Berroeta, following the vesting and conversion of various incentive awards. Berroeta received 1,293,385 fully paid ordinary shares at no cash consideratio...
TPG Telecom Issues 4.45 Million New Shares From Conversion of Unquoted Securities
Apr 1, 2026
TPG Telecom Limited has notified the market of the issue of 4,453,231 new ordinary fully paid shares following the conversion or exercise of previously unquoted options or other convertible securities. The new shares, issued on 31 March 2026, mode...
TPG Telecom Sets Date and Hybrid Format for 2026 AGM
Apr 1, 2026
TPG Telecom has released the notice of meeting and proxy materials for its 2026 Annual General Meeting, which will be held on 8 May 2026 in Sydney. The company will host the AGM in person at the Amora Hotel Jamison and simultaneously webcast the e...
TPG Telecom Director Robert Millner to Retire After May AGM
Apr 1, 2026
TPG Telecom has announced that non-executive director Robert Millner will retire from its board immediately following the company’s annual general meeting on 8 May 2026, choosing not to seek re-election after five and a half years of service...
TPG Telecom Files 2025 Corporate Governance Statement with ASX
Feb 26, 2026
TPG Telecom has released its Corporate Governance Statement and Appendix 4G for the full year ended 31 December 2025, providing the market with an overview of its governance practices and compliance with ASX corporate governance recommendations. T...
TPG Telecom Publishes Full-Year 2025 Financial Results
Feb 26, 2026
TPG Telecom has released an investor presentation detailing its financial results for the full year ended 31 December 2025. The company lodged the materials with the ASX, signaling the formal disclosure of its 2025 performance to investors and the...
TPG Telecom Declares A$0.09 Half‑Year Dividend for 2025 Period
Feb 26, 2026
TPG Telecom Limited has declared a fully paid ordinary share distribution of A$0.09 per share for the six‑month period ended 31 December 2025. The distribution will trade ex‑dividend on 5 March 2026, with a record date of 6 March 2026 ...
TPG Telecom Releases Full-Year 2025 Results and Annual Report
Feb 26, 2026
TPG Telecom Limited has released its financial results for the full year ended 31 December 2025, along with its 2025 Annual Report, providing investors and the market with updated performance disclosures. The company has lodged the statutory Appen...
TPG Telecom sets date for FY2025 results webcast
Feb 9, 2026
TPG Telecom will release its full-year 2025 financial results for the period ended 31 December 2025 on Friday, 27 February 2026, and senior management will host a webcast presentation with a follow-up QA session at 10:30 a.m. Sydney time that day....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026