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Resolute Mining Limited (AU:RSG)
ASX:RSG

Resolute Mining (RSG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:RSG

Resolute Mining

(Sydney:RSG)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
AU$2.00
â–²(38.89% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/01/26
Score is driven mainly by the 2025 financial recovery (higher revenue, stronger profitability, improved balance-sheet leverage, and positive free cash flow) and supportive technical trend (price above major moving averages with positive momentum). Offsetting factors include historically volatile earnings/cash conversion, a mid-range valuation with no stated dividend yield, and operational/permitting risks discussed on the earnings call (Mali supply-chain issues, Doropo permitting timing, and VAT outflows).
Positive Factors
Revenue & Margin Recovery
A clear 2025 rebound in top line and materially higher margins indicates the business can generate stronger, more sustainable operating profits when conditions normalize. Higher gross and operating margins support durable cash flow capacity to fund sustaining capex and growth, improving resilience over the medium term.
Improved Balance Sheet & Low Leverage
Moderate leverage and a stronger equity base in 2025 provide financial flexibility to absorb commodity cycles and pursue development without immediate refinancing pressure. Lower debt-to-equity enhances capacity for capital allocation to projects and supports resilience through downside scenarios over the next several years.
Strategic Growth Pipeline & Project Delivery
Acquisitions and the Syama Sulphide Conversion Project expand ore sources and optionality, underpinning a multi-year production growth plan to >500k oz. Successful delivery of SSCP and integration of Doropo/ABC materially strengthen long-term production profile and unit-cost improvement potential.
Negative Factors
Volatile Earnings & Cash Conversion
Historical swings in earnings and free cash flow reflect sensitivity to gold price, working-capital movements and heavy sustaining/project spend. This uneven cash conversion complicates capital planning, increases refinancing/investment risk, and means profits may not reliably translate into distributable cash across cycles.
Security & Supply-Chain Risk at Syama (Mali)
Ongoing security and supply-chain disruptions at Syama increase operating costs and can intermittently curtail output. Such country-level operational risk is structural for assets in Mali, creating a persistent threat to sustained production, AISC stability, and project scheduling over multiple years.
Permitting Uncertainty for Doropo
Dependence on third-party/regulatory timelines for Doropo creates project timing risk; elections and permit delays can push out production contributions and raise holding costs. This regulatory uncertainty could postpone the planned production ramp and impede the company's multi-year growth trajectory.

Resolute Mining (RSG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Resolute Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionResolute Mining Limited engages in mining, exploration, development, operation, and production of gold properties in Africa, the United Kingdom, and Australia. The company's flagship project is the Syama Gold Mine located in Mali, West Africa. It also owns Mako Gold Mine in Senegal, West Africa. The company is also involved in the prospecting and exploration of minerals. Resolute Mining Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyResolute Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold produced at its mining operations. The revenue model is based on extracting gold from its mines, processing it, and selling the refined product in the global market. Key revenue streams include direct sales of gold to bullion dealers and gold traders, as well as potential revenues from hedging strategies and gold-related financial instruments. The company may also engage in partnerships and joint ventures that can enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, potentially increasing earnings. Additionally, Resolute's focus on cost-effective mining operations and optimizing production efficiency plays a crucial role in its profitability.

Resolute Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 21, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a robust financial and operational performance with strong production figures, strategic acquisitions, and promising project developments. However, challenges such as supply chain issues in Mali and permitting concerns in Côte d'Ivoire present notable risks. Despite these challenges, the overall performance and strategic direction are positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Production and Cash Flow
Resolute Mining reported a very healthy production of 75,962 ounces in Q2, similar to Q1, with a strong cash flow ending the quarter with a net cash position of just above $110 million.
Acquisition of Doropo & ABC Projects
Resolute Mining acquired the Doropo & ABC projects from AngloGold Ashanti, which is expected to transform Resolute into a premier mining business in Africa.
Mako Operation Performance
Mako operation in Senegal had a strong quarter with production of about 35,000 ounces at an AISC of $972, exceeding expectations.
Financial Performance
The company exceeded expectations with a quarterly operating cash flow of $85 million, driven by $263 million in revenue and supported by 80,000 ounces of gold sales at a high gold price of over $3,400 per ounce.
Syama Sulphide Conversion Project
The SSCP at Syama is well on track, with commissioning of key equipment planned for the second half of the year and next year, creating greater operational flexibility.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Mali
Syama operation in Mali faced challenges with explosive supply chain issues due to security challenges, impacting production volumes and increasing AISC.
Permitting Concerns
Permitting process for the Doropo project is a concern as it is outside the company's control, with delays expected due to upcoming elections in Côte d'Ivoire.
Working Capital and VAT Outflows
VAT outflows for the first half totaled $32 million across both Mali and Senegal, remaining a source of cash leakage despite positive discussions with local governments.
Company Guidance
During Resolute Mining's Q2 call, CEO Christopher Eger highlighted several key metrics and developments. The company reported a strong quarter with production of 75,962 ounces of gold at an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $1,668 per ounce, maintaining a net cash position of over $110 million. The company also acquired the Doropo & ABC projects, aiming to increase production to over 500,000 ounces by 2028. In Mali, the Syama mine produced 41,000 ounces at an AISC of $2,134, facing challenges due to explosive supply chain issues. Meanwhile, the Mako operation in Senegal performed strongly, producing approximately 35,000 ounces at an AISC of $972. The company also made progress on the Syama Sulphide Conversion Project, spending around $30 million this year. Financially, the group achieved $85 million in operating cash flow, driven by $263 million in revenue and sales of 80,000 ounces at an all-time high gold price of over $3,400 per ounce. Overall, Resolute Mining is on track to meet its full-year production and cost guidance, with continued strong cash flow and strategic growth initiatives in West Africa.

Resolute Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
2025 shows a clear recovery with revenue up ~15% to ~A$1.34B, materially stronger margins (gross ~34%, operating ~26%), and net margin back to ~13% after a 2024 loss. Leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.30) and free cash flow improved (~A$214M), but results and cash conversion have been volatile across multiple years, including loss/negative FCF periods.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue rebounded strongly in 2025 (up ~15% to ~A$1.34B) after a volatile 2021–2024 period, and profitability improved materially: 2025 gross margin (~34%) and operating margin (~26%) are well above prior years, with net profit margin back to a healthy ~13% versus a loss in 2024. The main weakness is earnings consistency—results swung from deep losses (notably 2021) to profits, including a setback in 2024—suggesting sensitivity to gold prices, costs, and/or one-offs.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Leverage looks manageable in 2025 with debt at ~A$312M and debt-to-equity around 0.30, a significant improvement from the higher leverage seen in 2020–2021. Equity has grown versus 2024, and 2025 return on equity (~16%) indicates improved profitability on the capital base. The key risk is balance-sheet volatility across the cycle (debt and returns moved sharply year-to-year), which can pressure resilience if profitability weakens again.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Cash generation strengthened in 2025 with operating cash flow of ~A$351M and free cash flow of ~A$214M, a major step-up from 2024. However, cash conversion is not perfect: free cash flow is about 61% of net income in 2025, and operating cash flow was below net income in several years, pointing to working-capital swings and/or meaningful sustaining investment needs. Free cash flow has also been uneven historically, including negative years (2020 and 2021).
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.34B800.97M631.07M651.13M549.24M
Gross Profit455.79M219.63M113.34M93.92M46.57M
EBITDA533.80M28.01M109.91M92.58M-190.20M
Net Income171.21M-28.30M65.58M-34.66M-319.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.72B819.56M853.08M868.79M984.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments246.08M69.27M59.77M80.87M88.44M
Total Debt311.76M43.79M84.29M141.03M327.78M
Total Liabilities746.49M336.34M310.90M397.30M558.64M
Stockholders Equity1.05B537.76M590.15M543.43M495.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow214.02M10.19M34.77M23.12M-11.11M
Operating Cash Flow351.42M115.01M106.45M90.91M45.11M
Investing Cash Flow-333.89M-70.39M-68.90M15.17M-25.07M
Financing Cash Flow-24.50M-36.52M-57.35M-97.84M-49.49M

Resolute Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.44
Price Trends
50DMA
1.37
Positive
100DMA
1.22
Positive
200DMA
0.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
50.27
Neutral
STOCH
42.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RSG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.47, above the 50-day MA of 1.37, and above the 200-day MA of 0.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:RSG.

Resolute Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
AU$6.42B4.4316.68%0.65%30.46%―
75
Outperform
AU$8.14B-160.0028.58%1.92%36.34%110.55%
73
Outperform
$3.60B7.0126.84%―23.87%92.57%
73
Outperform
AU$7.54B7.6921.17%1.32%23.35%15.96%
72
Outperform
AU$3.09B15.301.55%―42.75%-5.56%
69
Neutral
$4.13B14.2614.25%―17.59%0.98%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:RSG
Resolute Mining
1.45
1.04
252.44%
AU:PRU
Perseus Mining
5.58
2.57
85.57%
AU:WAF
West African Resources Ltd
3.15
0.91
40.62%
AU:EMR
Emerald Resources NL
6.25
2.23
55.47%
AU:RRL
Regis Resources Limited
8.48
5.21
159.57%
AU:RMS
Ramelius Resources Limited
4.23
1.52
55.92%

Resolute Mining Corporate Events

Resolute Mining Swings to Profit on Higher Gold Prices and Stronger Cash Flow
Feb 27, 2026

Resolute Mining posted a sharp turnaround for the year to 31 December 2025, lifting revenue 8% to $865.6 million and swinging from a $26.0 million loss to a $126.7 million net profit, as EBITDA rose to $391.6 million. The improvement was driven by higher realised gold prices of $3,338 per ounce, reduced operating costs at Syama and Mako, and significantly lower indirect tax expenses following one‑off Protocol settlement payments to Mali in 2024.

Operating cash flow nearly doubled to $226.6 million, underpinning a much stronger balance sheet with net cash increasing to $209.1 million despite total borrowings of $57.8 million from overdraft facilities. A $31.5 million fair value gain linked to the agreed sale of its Loncor Gold stake also supported earnings, although the company did not declare a final dividend, signalling a continued focus on reinvestment and financial resilience.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Resolute Mining Reaffirms 2026 Output Guidance and Cost Metrics
Feb 22, 2026

Resolute Mining used its materials for the 2026 BMO Global Metals, Mining & Critical Minerals Conference to reaffirm key operational metrics and reporting standards. The company highlighted that its mineral resource and ore reserve estimates remain unchanged from prior disclosures and continue to comply with JORC requirements, while production targets and assumptions disclosed in earlier reports are still valid.

Management reiterated that All-in Sustaining Cost and cash cost per ounce are non-IFRS measures provided to help investors assess performance. For 2026, Resolute is guiding gold production of 250,000 to 275,000 ounces at an AISC of $2,000 to $2,200 per ounce, underscoring the cost environment facing the business and providing investors with a benchmark for expected operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Resolute Secures Doropo Mining Permit to Drive West African Growth
Feb 4, 2026

Approval of the Doropo Gold Project mining permit in Côte d’Ivoire secures the last major governmental hurdle, granting a 14-year term over 400 km² and allowing Resolute to advance toward construction in H1 2026 and first gold in H1 2028, reinforcing plans to fund development from its balance sheet. Management highlighted strong DFS economics and sees Doropo as pivotal to expanding production, diversification, and value creation across the region, with the final investment decision expected soon and implications for shareholder value and regional growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Resolute Mining Confirms 2026 Gold Production and Cost Guidance
Jan 21, 2026

Resolute Mining has issued its Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 activities report, reaffirming previously disclosed Ore Reserve and Mineral Resource estimates and the underlying assumptions supporting them. The company also confirmed its 2026 production guidance at 250,000–275,000 ounces of gold at an all-in sustaining cost of $2,000–$2,200 per ounce, signalling a clear cost and output framework for investors while emphasising that performance data and pro-forma figures are illustrative and subject to operational and market risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Northern Trust Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Resolute Mining
Jan 20, 2026

The Northern Trust Company has filed a notice stating it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Resolute Mining Ltd as of 16 January 2026, following changes in its relevant interests in the company’s fully paid ordinary shares. The change reflects adjustments across several Northern Trust entities, including Northern Trust Investments, Inc., Northern Trust Global Investments Limited and Northern Trust Asset Management Australia Pty Ltd, resulting in a reduction of their collective voting power below the substantial holding threshold, which may modestly alter Resolute Mining’s institutional shareholding base but does not directly affect the company’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Resolute Mining Sets Webcast to Present Q4 2025 Results and 2026 Guidance
Jan 14, 2026

Resolute Mining Limited has scheduled a webcast and conference call for investors, analysts and media on 22 January 2026, where CEO Chris Eger will present and discuss the company’s Quarterly Activities Report for the period ended 31 December 2025 and provide guidance for 2026. Participants can access the event via an online webcast, which allows typed questions, or through a conference call facility for live Q&A, with supporting presentation materials to be made available on the company’s website, underscoring Resolute’s investor engagement and transparency around its operational performance and outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Resolute Mining Issues New Shares on Conversion of Performance Rights
Jan 8, 2026

Resolute Mining Limited has issued 7,721,600 fully paid ordinary shares following the conversion of performance rights, expanding its share capital without undertaking a separate disclosure to investors under the prospectus provisions of the Corporations Act. The company confirmed it remains in compliance with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations, and stated there is no excluded information relevant to the new securities, signalling that the issuance is a routine capital markets and remuneration-related event with no undisclosed material impact for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Resolute Mining Seeks ASX Quotation for 7.7 Million New Shares
Jan 8, 2026

Resolute Mining Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 7,721,600 additional ordinary fully paid shares, expanding its quoted securities on the market. The new shares, issued on 8 January 2026 following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities, modestly increase the company’s equity base and free float, with potential implications for shareholder dilution and daily trading liquidity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Resolute Mining Announces Expiry of 2.7 Million Performance Rights
Jan 8, 2026

Resolute Mining Limited has announced the cessation of 2,668,847 performance rights (ASX code RSGAU) following their expiry on 31 December 2025 without being exercised or converted. The lapse of these performance rights reduces the company’s pool of potential equity-linked securities, slightly simplifying its capital structure and potentially affecting the future dilution profile for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

UBS Group AG Ceases to Be Substantial Shareholder in Resolute Mining
Dec 29, 2025

UBS Group AG and its related bodies corporate have ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Resolute Mining Limited as of 23 December 2025, according to a substantial holder notice lodged with the company. The change in UBS’s relevant interest signals a reduction in institutional ownership, which may alter the company’s shareholder mix and could be of interest to investors monitoring movements among major holders in the gold mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

State Street Corporation Ceases Substantial Holding in Resolute Mining
Dec 18, 2025

Resolute Mining Limited announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders of voting securities in the company as of December 16, 2025. This change reflects updates in their relevant interests and associations and may have implications for the company’s shareholder structure, potentially indicating shifts in institutional investor sentiment or management strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Resolute Mining Unveils Enhanced Feasibility for Doropo Gold Project
Dec 14, 2025

Resolute Mining Limited has announced an updated Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) for its Doropo Gold Project in Côte d’Ivoire, highlighting a 55% increase in ore, extended mine life, and improved financial metrics. The project is expected to produce approximately 170,000 ounces of gold annually over 13 years, with significant financial returns and a competitive all-in sustaining cost. The updated DFS strengthens Resolute’s position as a diversified gold producer, with plans to increase annual production to over 500,000 ounces by 2028. The project is also anticipated to provide substantial benefits to local communities and the Ivorian government, including employment opportunities and financial contributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

S&P/ASX Indices Quarterly Rebalance: Key Changes Announced
Dec 5, 2025

S&P Dow Jones Indices has announced the quarterly rebalance of the S&P/ASX Indices, effective December 22, 2025. Notably, Resolute Mining Limited is among the companies added to the S&P/ASX 200 Index, which may enhance its visibility and attractiveness to investors. These changes reflect the dynamic nature of the market and could have significant implications for the companies involved, potentially affecting their market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Hold with a A$1.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

State Street Corporation Ceases Substantial Holding in Resolute Mining
Dec 5, 2025

Resolute Mining Limited has announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of December 3, 2025. This change in substantial holding could impact the company’s shareholder structure and influence in the market, potentially affecting its strategic decisions and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RSG) stock is a Hold with a A$1.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resolute Mining stock, see the AU:RSG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026