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Regis Resources Limited (AU:RRL)
ASX:RRL

Regis Resources Limited (RRL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Regis Resources Limited

(Sydney:RRL)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
AU$5.00
▲(13.90%Upside)
Regis Resources scores moderately due to strong cash generation and debt reduction efforts, which are offset by profitability issues and high operational costs. The technical analysis presents mixed signals, and the valuation is weak due to a negative P/E ratio.

Regis Resources Limited (RRL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Regis Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegis Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of gold projects in Australia. It owns 100% interests in the Duketon gold project located in the North Eastern Goldfields of Western Australia; and the McPhillamys gold project situated in the Central Western region of New South Wales, as well as holds 30% interest in Tropicana Gold Project. Regis Resources Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegis Resources Limited makes money through the exploration, extraction, and sale of gold. The company generates revenue by mining gold from its projects, particularly those located in the Duketon region, which it then processes and sells to various buyers, including refineries and investors in the precious metals market. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold bullion and by-products derived from the mining process. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by gold market prices, production efficiency, and operational costs. Additionally, Regis Resources may enter into strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its production capabilities and expand its resource base, contributing to its overall financial performance.

Regis Resources Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 38.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong positive trend in cash generation and debt reduction, driven by high gold prices and operational efficiency at Tropicana. However, high all-in sustaining costs and ongoing challenges at McPhillamys and Duketon North tempered the overall outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Cash Generation
The company reported a fourth consecutive quarter of strong cash generation, surpassing the previous record by $40 million, resulting in a total cash and bullion balance exceeding $0.5 billion.
Debt-Free Status Achieved
Regis Resources paid off a $300 million syndicated loan facility several months early, achieving a debt-free status for the first time since 2010.
Strong Performance at Tropicana
Tropicana achieved a production record under Regis' ownership, producing 43,000 ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,773 per ounce.
Positive Gold Price Impact
The average gold price received for the quarter was $4,076 per ounce, contributing significantly to revenue and cash flow.
Exploration Success
Exploration activities have identified significant potential at Ben Hur and other sites, with a new exploration target of 300,000 to 550,000 ounces.
Negative Updates
High All-In Sustaining Costs
All-in sustaining costs were reported at $2,317 per ounce, with some operations like Duketon reporting costs as high as $2,667 per ounce.
Stockpile Material Not Materially Impactful
The project to test long-standing low-grade stockpiles at Duketon North is not expected to materially impact FY 2025 production guidance.
Challenges at McPhillamys
The development of McPhillamys faces a legal challenge and the long process of developing alternative tailings storage solutions.
Company Guidance
During the call, Regis Resources provided guidance on their operational and financial performance for FY 2025. They anticipate producing between 220,000 to 240,000 ounces of gold at Duketon with an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $2,500 to $2,800 per ounce. Tropicana is expected to produce 130,000 to 140,000 ounces at an AISC of $2,300 to $2,600 per ounce. The company reported a strong quarter with over 118,000 ounces of gold sold at an average price of $4,076 per ounce, resulting in a cash generation of $149 million. They have successfully retired a $300 million syndicated loan facility, enhancing their financial flexibility. The ongoing development of the Rosemont Stage 3 and Garden Well Main underground projects is on schedule, with significant capital expenditures planned for the second half of FY 2025. Despite persistent buoyant gold prices, which have prompted the testing of low-grade stockpiles, the current production guidance remains unchanged. Overall, Regis Resources continues to focus on operational consistency, underground growth, and exploration success, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and considering potential shareholder returns.

Regis Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Regis Resources Limited shows strong revenue growth and solid cash flow generation; however, profitability is a concern due to negative net income and rising leverage. Improving cost management and profitability is crucial.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Regis Resources Limited has shown a strong revenue growth trend with a 11.39% increase from 2023 to 2024. However, profitability remains a concern as the company reported a negative net income in 2023 and 2024, resulting in negative net profit margins. Gross profit margin improved significantly in 2024 but remains low compared to earlier years, indicating cost management challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating rising leverage, although it remains manageable. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the return on equity has been negative in recent years due to net losses, signaling inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Regis Resources Limited has shown robust cash flow generation with a stable operating cash flow and positive free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating healthy cash earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is impacted by negative net income, which requires careful monitoring.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.49B1.26B1.13B1.02B818.84M755.79M
Gross Profit253.34M438.98M413.76M50.13M307.19M354.41M
EBITDA606.97M118.82M372.58M117.59M286.79M338.01M
Net Income-5.77M-186.02M-24.33M13.78M146.20M199.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.26B2.13B2.47B2.43B2.36B1.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments514.60M277.94M205.18M207.54M242.81M192.70M
Total Debt360.95M366.43M383.55M350.73M353.67M37.90M
Total Liabilities812.26M773.98M934.18M854.87M770.88M348.16M
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.36B1.54B1.58B1.58B835.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow477.46M200.75M19.37M25.07M72.56M98.65M
Operating Cash Flow696.46M474.57M454.94M346.99M276.29M343.01M
Investing Cash Flow-217.24M-273.74M-411.85M-321.92M-1.09B-244.34M
Financing Cash Flow-20.15M-127.79M-45.56M-60.34M862.60M-94.94M

Regis Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.39
Price Trends
50DMA
4.72
Negative
100DMA
4.12
Positive
200DMA
3.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
37.40
Neutral
STOCH
6.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RRL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.83, below the 50-day MA of 4.72, and above the 200-day MA of 3.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:RRL.

Regis Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AURRL
64
Neutral
$3.44B-0.38%29.83%93.23%
44
Neutral
C$953.01M-6.70-13.31%2.75%17.55%-32.28%
$1.63B11.5521.73%
$2.37B20.3713.42%0.84%
$1.75B27.2518.72%
$1.89B7.8226.42%1.22%
AUCMM
73
Outperform
AU$4.27B50.1318.02%6.31%301.01%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:RRL
Regis Resources Limited
4.39
2.64
150.14%
WFRSF
West African Resources Ltd
1.58
0.93
143.08%
ELKMF
Gold Road Resources Ltd
2.25
1.10
95.65%
EOGSF
Emerald Resources NL
2.66
0.29
12.24%
RMLRF
Ramelius Resources Limited
1.58
0.34
27.42%
AU:CMM
Capricorn Metals Ltd
9.71
4.93
103.14%

Regis Resources Limited Corporate Events

Regis Resources Highlights Operational Risks and Consistency in Resource Estimates
Jun 17, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has released a presentation highlighting its current activities and operations, emphasizing the inherent risks associated with the gold mining sector, such as commodity price fluctuations and regulatory changes. The company reassures stakeholders that its past performance and resource estimates remain consistent with previous announcements, though it cautions against relying on past data as an indicator of future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RRL) stock is a Hold with a A$2.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regis Resources Limited stock, see the AU:RRL Stock Forecast page.

Regis Resources Highlights Tropicana Gold Project Analyst Visit
Jun 3, 2025

Regis Resources Limited announced that AngloGold Ashanti will host an analyst visit to the Tropicana Gold Project, where Regis holds a 30% stake. The presentation by AngloGold Ashanti, which complies with US SEC requirements, highlights the company’s 70% interest in the project. Regis confirms that its mineral resources and reserves remain unchanged from previous announcements, and it is not aware of any new information that would affect these figures. The announcement underscores the ongoing collaboration between the two companies and the stability of Regis’s position in the project, although it also highlights the inherent risks in the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RRL) stock is a Hold with a A$2.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regis Resources Limited stock, see the AU:RRL Stock Forecast page.

Regis Resources Highlights Operations Amid Industry Challenges
May 19, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has released a presentation that highlights the company’s ongoing activities and operations, emphasizing its commitment to transparency in reporting mineral resources and ore reserves. The presentation also acknowledges the inherent risks associated with gold exploration and production, including market fluctuations and regulatory changes, which could impact the company’s future performance and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RRL) stock is a Hold with a A$2.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regis Resources Limited stock, see the AU:RRL Stock Forecast page.

Regis Resources Reports Significant Growth in Ore Reserves for 2024
May 19, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has announced its Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve update for the year ending December 2024, highlighting significant growth in its reserves. The company reported a 550% growth in underground Ore Reserves at Duketon since 2019 and a 202% increase at Tropicana since 2018, despite the withdrawal of reserves at McPhillamys due to a Section 10 declaration. These developments align with Regis’ strategy to expand its underground portfolio and extend mine life, reinforcing its long-term value and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RRL) stock is a Hold with a A$2.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regis Resources Limited stock, see the AU:RRL Stock Forecast page.

Regis Resources Updates Substantial Holder Interests
May 13, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has reported a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries holding significant voting power in the company. This update reflects the dynamic nature of shareholder interests and could influence the company’s decision-making processes and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RRL) stock is a Hold with a A$2.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regis Resources Limited stock, see the AU:RRL Stock Forecast page.

Regis Resources Sees Change in Substantial Holder Interests
May 12, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has experienced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries adjusting their voting power in the company. This change in voting power reflects shifts in the control over the exercise of rights to vote attached to securities and the power to dispose of securities as an investment manager or trustee, impacting the company’s shareholder structure and potentially influencing future corporate decisions.

Regis Resources Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
May 9, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries having significant voting power in the company. This change in voting power could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially influencing its strategic direction and operations.

Regis Resources Highlights Operations and Risks at Macquarie Conference
May 7, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has released a presentation at the Macquarie Australia Conference, highlighting its ongoing activities and operations. The company emphasizes the risks and uncertainties associated with its gold exploration and mining endeavors, while reaffirming that there are no material changes to previously announced mineral resources and ore reserves. The presentation underscores the importance of independent advice for investors due to the speculative nature of the industry and the various external factors that could impact the company’s performance.

Regis Resources Announces Change in Substantial Shareholder Interests
May 7, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries holding significant voting power in the company. This change in shareholding may influence the company’s governance and strategic decisions, impacting stakeholders and potentially altering its market positioning.

Regis Resources Updates Substantial Holder Interests
May 5, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries adjusting their voting power in the company. This update reflects a shift in the control over voting rights and the disposal of securities, which could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes.

Regis Resources Reports Strong March Quarter Performance
Apr 29, 2025

Regis Resources Limited reported a strong performance for the March quarter of 2025, with significant progress in production and development activities at its Duketon and Tropicana sites. The company achieved gold production of 89.7 thousand ounces and generated $372 million in revenue. The early repayment of a $300 million term loan and the establishment of a new revolving credit facility underscore the company’s robust financial position and cash generation capability. Legal proceedings concerning the McPhillamys Gold Project continue, with a hearing scheduled for December 2025.

Regis Resources Substantial Holding Update
Apr 9, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries holding significant voting power in the company. This change in substantial holding indicates a shift in the control of voting rights, which could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes.

Regis Resources Reports Strong Quarterly Performance and Positive FY25 Outlook
Apr 6, 2025

Regis Resources Limited reported a strong quarterly performance with a total gold production of 89.7koz for the March 2025 quarter. The company successfully repaid a $300 million debt facility early in the quarter and established a new $300 million Revolving Credit Facility. Cash and bullion reserves increased by $138 million, excluding debt repayment, bringing the total to $367 million as of March 31, 2025. This solid financial performance supports a positive outlook for FY25, reinforcing Regis’s position in the gold mining industry.

Regis Resources Sees Shift in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 4, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder in the company. State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have adjusted their voting power in Regis Resources, impacting the distribution of voting shares. This change reflects the dynamic nature of shareholder interests and could influence future corporate governance decisions.

Regis Resources Announces Changes in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 2, 2025

Regis Resources Limited has announced changes in the interests of its substantial holders, with significant voting power held by entities such as State Street Global Advisors and State Street Bank and Trust Company. This change in voting interests could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially influencing its strategic direction and affecting stakeholders’ interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 20, 2025