Regis Resources Limited (RRL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$5.26B
• Dividend Yield: 0.72%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.25M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.92
• Revenue Growth: 30.46%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: AU
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Gold
• EPS (TTM): 0.22
• Shares Outstanding: 757,252,200
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,348,502
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,246,898
• PEG Ratio: -0.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.05
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.01
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.09
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$6.56
• Price Target Upside: -8.83% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 10
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.8
• Revenue Forecast (FY): AU$2.17B

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: AU$8.00 ▲(11.11% Upside)

Regis Resources Limited's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its overall score. The company's robust recovery, low leverage, and effective cash management are significant strengths. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though caution is warranted due to overbought signals. Valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation, which could limit upside potential.

Positive Factors

Strong Financial Recovery

Regis Resources' strong financial recovery and stability, with improved profitability and revenue growth, position the company well for future expansion and resilience in the gold market.

Debt-Free Status

Being debt-free enhances Regis Resources' financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and resilience against market fluctuations, supporting long-term growth and stability.

Exploration Success

Successful exploration at Rosemont indicates potential for resource expansion, enhancing long-term production capabilities and supporting sustained revenue growth.

Negative Factors

Inflationary Pressures

Inflationary pressures can erode profit margins and increase operational costs, potentially impacting long-term financial performance and competitiveness in the gold mining sector.

McPhillamys Legal Challenges

Legal challenges at McPhillamys could delay project timelines, affecting future production and growth prospects, and potentially increasing costs and resource allocation.

Higher Cost Guidance for FY '26

Higher cost guidance for FY '26 suggests increased operational expenses, which could pressure margins and impact profitability, challenging the company's cost management strategies.

Regis Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Regis Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of gold projects in Australia. It owns 100% interests in the Duketon gold project located in the North Eastern Goldfields of Western Australia; and the McPhillamys gold project situated in the Central Western region of New South Wales, as well as holds 30% interest in Tropicana Gold Project. Regis Resources Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Regis Resources generates revenue primarily through the mining and sale of gold. The company's revenue model is based on extracting gold ore from its mining operations, processing it to produce gold bullion, and selling this bullion on the global market. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold, which is influenced by fluctuations in gold prices, and the associated by-products from mining operations. Additionally, Regis may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to expand its operational capabilities and access new markets, which can enhance its earnings potential. Factors such as operational efficiency, cost management, and successful exploration results also significantly contribute to the company's financial performance.

Regis Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Regis Resources Limited demonstrates a strong financial recovery and stability. The income statement shows significant improvements in profitability and revenue growth, while the balance sheet reflects low leverage and effective equity utilization. The cash flow statement indicates robust cash generation and management. Despite past volatility, the current financial health is solid, positioning the company well for future growth.

Income Statement

Regis Resources Limited has shown a strong recovery in its income statement metrics. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 49.92% in 2025 from 34.76% in 2024, indicating better cost management or higher pricing power. The net profit margin also turned positive to 15.44% in 2025 from a negative margin in 2024, showcasing a return to profitability. Revenue growth rate of 10.56% in 2025 reflects a healthy expansion. However, the EBIT margin of 23.59% and EBITDA margin of 47.61% suggest strong operational efficiency, though they were negative in 2024, indicating past volatility.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Regis Resources Limited is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 in 2025, significantly reduced from 0.27 in 2024, indicating strong financial stability and low leverage. The return on equity improved to 15.76% in 2025 from a negative return in 2024, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid financial foundation.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows a positive trajectory with a free cash flow growth rate of 14.10% in 2025, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.11 in 2025 suggests strong cash flow relative to net income, highlighting efficient cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.66 indicates a good conversion of profits into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.65B	1.65B	1.26B	1.13B	1.02B	818.84M
Gross Profit	411.57M	822.32M	438.98M	413.76M	50.13M	307.19M
EBITDA	772.04M	784.40M	120.84M	369.77M	116.13M	286.79M
Net Income	254.36M	254.36M	-186.02M	-24.33M	13.78M	146.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.28B	2.28B	2.13B	2.47B	2.43B	2.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	505.49M	505.49M	277.94M	205.18M	207.54M	242.81M
Total Debt	119.16M	119.16M	366.43M	383.55M	350.73M	353.67M
Total Liabilities	661.86M	661.86M	773.98M	934.18M	854.87M	770.88M
Stockholders Equity	1.61B	1.61B	1.36B	1.54B	1.58B	1.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	575.19M	544.78M	200.75M	19.37M	25.07M	72.56M
Operating Cash Flow	820.69M	820.69M	474.57M	454.94M	346.99M	276.29M
Investing Cash Flow	-274.14M	-274.14M	-273.74M	-411.85M	-321.92M	-1.09B
Financing Cash Flow	-319.00M	-319.00M	-127.79M	-45.56M	-60.34M	862.60M

Regis Resources Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.20
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RRL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.05, above the 50-day MA of 6.57, and above the 200-day MA of 5.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:RRL.

Regis Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GOR	79 Outperform	―	―	16.83%	24.12%	46.42%	99.69%
RRL	78 Outperform	AU$5.26B	20.64	16.68%	0.72%	30.46%	―
RMS	76 Outperform	$6.74B	8.51	28.58%	2.37%	36.34%	110.55%
CMM	75 Outperform	AU$5.61B	35.06	27.56%	―	43.49%	60.31%
EMR	73 Outperform	$3.53B	40.48	14.25%	―	17.59%	0.98%
WAF	67 Neutral	AU$3.15B	9.44	26.84%	―	23.87%	92.57%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%

Regis Resources Limited Corporate Events

Regis Resources Limited Highlights Stability Amid Industry Risks

Regis Resources Limited presented an overview of its operations, emphasizing the risks and uncertainties associated with gold exploration and production. The company highlighted its adherence to Australian reporting standards and confirmed that there have been no material changes to its previously announced mineral resources and ore reserves, maintaining its industry position and providing stability for stakeholders.

Regis Resources Achieves Record Performance and Strengthens Growth Prospects

Regis Resources Limited reported a standout performance in 2025, driven by increased gold prices and strong operational results. The company has become debt-free and unhedged, positioning itself for future growth and dividend payments. Despite challenges with the McPhillamys Gold Project due to environmental declarations, Regis continues to explore alternative configurations and invest in its existing projects. The company also emphasizes safety and sustainability, with significant achievements in renewable energy and land rehabilitation.

Regis Resources Director Adjusts Shareholding for Tax Purposes

Regis Resources Limited announced a change in the interest of its director, Jim Beyer, who disposed of 507,880 fully paid ordinary shares in an on-market trade primarily for tax purposes. This transaction reflects a strategic financial decision by the director and may have implications for the company’s stock performance and stakeholder perceptions.

Regis Resources Extends Duketon North Operation with Increased Ore Reserves

Regis Resources has announced an extension of its Duketon North Operation by increasing the Probable Ore Reserves at the Buckingham and Wellington pits to 251koz, thereby extending the mine life and enhancing production. This strategic move leverages existing infrastructure and mill capacity, optimizing cash flow and maintaining operational flexibility without requiring new infrastructure or approvals. The updated mine plan is expected to deliver strong financial outcomes, including a pre-tax cash flow of $336 million, while aligning with Regis’ strategy of disciplined capital management and opportunistic growth.

Regis Resources Highlights Operations and Cautions Investors at UBS Conference

Regis Resources Limited presented at the UBS Australasia Conference, highlighting its current operations and activities. The company emphasized that its financial and resource estimates are based on previously released ASX announcements, with no significant changes. Investors are cautioned about the risks associated with the gold mining sector, including market fluctuations and regulatory challenges.

Regis Resources Achieves Strong Quarterly Performance with $158M Cash Boost

Regis Resources Limited reported a strong operational performance for the September quarter of 2025, generating $158 million in cash and bullion, bringing their total to $675 million. The company achieved significant milestones with the first ore mined at Garden Well Main and Rosemont Stage 3, and continued exploration efforts at McPhillamys, indicating a robust growth pipeline. Regis maintained a low Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate, well below the industry average, and reported no significant environmental incidents, underscoring their commitment to safety and environmental responsibility.

Regis Resources Announces 2025 AGM Details

Regis Resources Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 21, 2025, in Subiaco, Western Australia. The meeting will be held in person, with an online broadcast available for those unable to attend physically. Shareholders are encouraged to participate through proxy voting and submit questions in advance, as online attendees will not be able to vote or ask questions during the meeting. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to engaging with its shareholders while adapting to modern communication methods.

Regis Resources Highlights Operations and Risks at Citi Investment Conference

Regis Resources Limited presented at the Citi Investment Conference, providing an overview of its operations and activities. The presentation highlighted the company’s reliance on assumptions related to geology and forward-looking statements, emphasizing the inherent risks in the gold industry, such as commodity price fluctuations and regulatory changes. Regis confirmed that its mineral resource and reserve estimates remain unchanged from previous announcements, and it advised investors to consider these risks when making investment decisions.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Regis Resources

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial holder in Regis Resources Limited as of October 1, 2025. This change in substantial holding is due to the purchase of securities by an entity controlled by Morgan Stanley, affecting the voting interests and shares held by Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group. This development may influence the company’s shareholder structure and could have implications for its strategic decisions and market perception.

Regis Resources Sees Change in Substantial Holding

Regis Resources Limited has announced that First Sentier Group Limited and its related entities have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of September 25, 2025. This change in substantial holding may impact the company’s shareholder structure and influence its market dynamics, potentially affecting investor sentiment and strategic decisions.

Van Eck Associates Ceases Substantial Holding in Regis Resources

Regis Resources Limited announced that Van Eck Associates Corporation has ceased to be a substantial holder of its voting securities as of September 22, 2025. This change in substantial holding may affect the company’s shareholder composition and could have implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Regis Resources

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial holder in Regis Resources Limited as of September 16, 2025. This change in substantial holding was due to the purchase of securities by entities controlled by First Sentier Group Limited and Morgan Stanley, affecting a significant number of fully paid ordinary shares. The shift in holdings may impact the voting dynamics and influence within Regis Resources Limited, potentially altering its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

Regis Resources Limited Highlights Operations and Industry Risks

Regis Resources Limited has released a presentation that provides an overview of its operations and activities, emphasizing its adherence to Australian reporting standards for mineral reserves and resources. The company highlights the risks associated with gold exploration and mining, including commodity price fluctuations and regulatory changes, cautioning investors about the speculative nature of the industry and the importance of seeking independent advice before making investment decisions.

First Sentier Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Regis Resources

Regis Resources Limited has announced that First Sentier Group Limited and its related entities have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of September 10, 2025. This change in substantial holding could potentially impact Regis Resources’ shareholder dynamics and influence future voting outcomes, reflecting a shift in the investment landscape surrounding the company.

Regis Resources Confirms Stability in Mineral Resources and Reserves

Regis Resources Limited has released a corporate presentation that highlights its current mineral resources and ore reserves, confirming that there have been no material changes to its previous announcements. The company emphasizes the speculative nature of its industry, noting various risk factors that could impact its performance, and advises investors to seek independent advice before making investment decisions.