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Paragon Care Limited (AU:PGC)
ASX:PGC

Paragon Care Limited (PGC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:PGC

Paragon Care Limited

(Sydney:PGC)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.22
▲(3.81% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance, led by falling revenue, very thin margins, and negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals also remain bearish with the price below key moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is comparatively neutral with a mid-range P/E, but it is not strong enough to offset the fundamental and trend weakness.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet leverage manageable
A debt-to-equity of 0.93 indicates Paragon is not overlevered, providing financial flexibility to fund inventory, service operations and selective investments. Manageable leverage supports resilience through healthcare procurement cycles and preserves capacity to access credit when needed.
Distribution + services business model
Paragon’s mix of distribution, installation, servicing and consumables creates recurring aftermarket revenue and customer stickiness. Service contracts and consumables generate predictable follow-on sales and strengthen long-term client relationships, supporting revenue visibility and lifetime value.
Evidence of improving operating margins
Reported improvements in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest management is extracting operational efficiencies. If sustained, margin expansion can offset revenue volatility, improve cash conversion and provide resources to invest in service capability and working capital for durable competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Steep revenue decline
A -22.46% revenue drop materially erodes scale, weakens procurement leverage and increases per-unit fixed costs. Persistent top-line contraction undermines service networks and installed-base sales that generate recurring revenue, making recovery and margin restoration more difficult over the medium term.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow constrain the company’s ability to self-fund working capital, maintenance capex and service commitments. Continued cash outflows increase reliance on external financing, elevating liquidity risk and limiting capacity for strategic investments or recovery.
Very thin profitability margins
Gross margin under 9% and net margin near zero leave minimal buffer against input-cost inflation or pricing pressure. Thin profitability reduces reinvestment capacity, heightens sensitivity to volume declines and challenges sustainable cash generation required for long-term growth and service commitments.

Paragon Care Limited (PGC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Paragon Care Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParagon Care Limited supplies durable medical equipment, medical devices, and consumable medical products to health and aged care markets in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. The company offers clinical solutions for anaesthetists, intensivists, cardiac, vascular, and pain management; designs, manufactures, and distributes reagent red blood cells, monoclonal blood grouping reagents, and ancillary products for immunohaematology laboratories; and eye care products, such as ophthalmology and optometry, neonatal vision screening, and procedural kits. It also provides neonatal and paediatric assessment and treatment, including newborn hearing and vision screening, jaundice management, targeted temperature management, cerebral function monitoring, and seizure detection, as well as pain management and enteral feeding solutions; surgical products for hip and knee arthroplasty, infection prevention, pain management, biologics, and the operating room; and equipment repair and maintenance services. In addition, the company offers sterilisable transducers for surgical procedures such as neurology, hepatobiliary, renal, colorectal, vascular, laparoscopic, and robotic procedures; ultrasound systems, shockwave therapy, lasers, and accessories for infection control; and veterinary products, including point-of-care diagnostics, therapeutic lasers, oncology delivery products, centrifuges, autoclaves, IV lines and fluid therapy products, wearable CRI systems, and IT Solutions. Further, it provides telephony, nurse call, access control, CCTV, cordless, and Wi-Fi products. The company was formerly known as Citrofresh International Limited and changed its name to Paragon Care Limited in June 2008. Paragon Care Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyParagon Care generates revenue primarily through the sale of medical equipment and consumables to hospitals, healthcare facilities, and aging care services. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales, distribution agreements, and service contracts. Key revenue streams include the sale of surgical instruments, diagnostic devices, and rehabilitation products. Additionally, PGC benefits from significant partnerships with leading global manufacturers, allowing them to offer a wide range of high-quality products. The company also engages in value-added services, such as equipment maintenance and training, contributing further to its earnings.

Paragon Care Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak: revenue declined sharply (-22.46%), margins are thin (gross margin 8.97%, net margin 0.57%), and cash flow is a key concern with negative operating and free cash flow. Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity 0.93), but overall results indicate profitability and cash conversion pressure.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Paragon Care Limited has experienced a significant decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -22.46% in the most recent year. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 8.97%, indicating limited profitability from core operations. The net profit margin is also low at 0.57%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. However, there is a slight improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years, suggesting some operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is modest at 6.45%, showing some ability to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 25.84%, suggesting a reasonable proportion of assets financed by equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Paragon Care Limited faces challenges in cash flow management, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the latest period. The free cash flow growth rate is high at 687.12%, but this is from a negative base, indicating volatility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting difficulties in converting accounting profits into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.61B3.61B2.97B307.63M237.62M235.84M
Gross Profit324.00M324.00M176.07M51.68M36.58M33.41M
EBITDA89.81M89.81M43.18M37.07M23.96M26.54M
Net Income20.57M20.57M8.38M12.80M6.63M8.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.23B1.23B1.13B448.52M438.44M291.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.90M21.90M19.94M970.00K46.20M33.20M
Total Debt296.52M296.52M251.83M122.14M131.26M113.01M
Total Liabilities915.04M915.04M838.97M196.56M196.31M170.40M
Stockholders Equity319.00M319.00M291.92M18.88M235.82M121.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.04M-23.04M25.14M-3.30M14.42M22.18M
Operating Cash Flow-11.35M-11.35M44.45M17.75M19.03M27.46M
Investing Cash Flow-16.64M-16.64M-19.52M-31.75M7.07M-18.80M
Financing Cash Flow28.65M28.65M-5.95M-10.00M-11.93M32.00K

Paragon Care Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.21
Price Trends
50DMA
0.25
Negative
100DMA
0.27
Negative
200DMA
0.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
38.94
Neutral
STOCH
10.83
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:PGC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, below the 50-day MA of 0.25, and below the 200-day MA of 0.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:PGC.

Paragon Care Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
AU$524.76M15.9218.59%4.60%6.73%37.16%
53
Neutral
AU$35.48B61.070.44%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
AU$653.52M-1.24-67.21%-23.02%33.11%
48
Neutral
AU$347.61M16.946.74%21.68%37.78%
47
Neutral
AU$216.71M-2.35-90.93%456.50%-457.14%
38
Underperform
AU$227.49M-2.42-21.13%5.07%46.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:PGC
Paragon Care Limited
0.21
-0.33
-60.75%
AU:SIG
Sigma Healthcare Ltd
3.09
0.30
10.83%
AU:MYX
Mayne Pharma Group
2.80
-1.71
-37.92%
AU:HLS
Healius Limited
0.90
-0.14
-13.38%
AU:ACL
Australian Clinical Labs Ltd
2.73
-0.89
-24.59%
AU:BOT
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited
0.11
-0.31
-73.49%

Paragon Care Limited Corporate Events

Paragon Care to Exit Low-Margin Ramsay Pharmacy Contract, Focus on Higher-Value Growth
Jan 16, 2026

Paragon Care will cease acting as the primary wholesaler to Ramsay Healthcare’s retail and hospital pharmacy operations from 1 February 2026 after its re-tender bid was undercut by a lower-priced competitor, a contract that added about A$230 million to FY25 revenue but less than 2% to gross margin. Management expects the exit to have an immaterial impact on FY26 earnings as it strips out associated supply chain costs, while the release of roughly A$4.5 million in working capital will be used to pay down debt, reinforcing a strategic focus on higher-margin business, strong underlying healthcare demand and a reported A$1.9 billion in unaudited half-year group revenue.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.24 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Director David Collins Increases Indirect Shareholding
Jan 4, 2026

Paragon Care Limited has disclosed a change in director David Collins’ indirect interest in the company, with Collins acquiring an additional 2,000,000 ordinary shares via an on‑market trade on 30 December 2025 at $0.2192 per share. The purchase, made through the Collins Millar Family account where Collins is a discretionary beneficiary, lifts his indirect holding to 477,507,317 ordinary shares, signalling a further alignment of the director’s financial interests with those of shareholders and underscoring confidence in the company’s prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Corrects Administrative Error in Director Interest Notices
Jan 4, 2026

Paragon Care Limited has corrected three previously lodged Appendix 3Y Change of Director’s Interest Notices after identifying an administrative error in how certain director share transactions were described. The company stated that trades reported on 23 and 24 December 2025 were incorrectly recorded as on‑market transactions and have now been reclassified as off‑market trades, with no other alterations to the original disclosures, signalling that the underlying holdings data remains unchanged for investors and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Director John Walstab Increases Shareholding via On‑Market Purchase
Dec 23, 2025

Paragon Care Limited has disclosed a change in the shareholding of director John Walstab, who holds both direct and indirect interests in the company’s fully paid ordinary shares. The filing shows that Walstab acquired 1,000,000 Paragon Care shares via an on-market trade at $0.18 per share on 19 December 2025, increasing his total holding to 145,591,185 shares, a move that modestly strengthens insider ownership and may be interpreted by investors as a signal of confidence in the company’s outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Director David Collins Increases Indirect Shareholding
Dec 22, 2025

Paragon Care Limited has disclosed a change in the indirect interests of director David Collins, whose holdings are associated with the Collins Millar Family account. Collins increased his indirect stake in the company by acquiring 3 million ordinary shares in an on-market trade at $0.1804 per share on 19 December 2025, lifting his total indirect holding from 472.5 million to 475.5 million shares. The company confirmed there were no related changes in contracts and that the transaction did not occur during a closed trading period, signalling routine portfolio adjustment rather than a compliance event.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Director Carmen Riley Increases Shareholding With On‑Market Purchase
Dec 22, 2025

Paragon Care Limited has disclosed a change in director Carmen Riley’s shareholding, as required under ASX listing rules. The transaction shows Riley acquired 2,000,000 ordinary shares in an on‑market trade at $0.18 per share on 22 December 2025, increasing her holding to 2,538,888 ordinary shares while retaining 7,480,252 performance rights; no related contracts or trades during a closed period were involved, indicating a straightforward increase in her equity stake that may be interpreted by investors as a sign of confidence in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Responds to Administrator Appointment for Infinity Pharmacies
Dec 18, 2025

Paragon Care Limited has reacted to the appointment of administrators for 54 pharmacies within the Infinity Retail Pharmacy Group, expressing surprise and disappointment over the decision, which came unexpectedly amidst ongoing efforts to implement a payment and debt restructuring plan. The company aims to collaborate with receivers, administrators, and stakeholders to facilitate an orderly sale or recapitalization process, aiming to maximize creditor returns and mitigate impacts for stakeholders within the healthcare industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Finalizes Somnotec Group Acquisition
Dec 16, 2025

Paragon Care Limited has completed the acquisition of the Somnotec Group, excluding its Thailand business, which awaits a foreign business license. The acquisition strengthens Paragon Care’s presence in the Asia Pacific healthcare market, although the pending Thailand acquisition, contributing 17.5% of Somnotec’s EBITDA, is expected to finalize in 6 to 12 months.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Director Increases Shareholding
Dec 9, 2025

Paragon Care Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Carmen Riley acquiring additional ordinary shares. This transaction, conducted through an on-market trade, increases Riley’s holdings and reflects confidence in the company’s future prospects, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.26 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Limited Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 7, 2025

Paragon Care Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Carmen Riley acquiring 3,018,108 Performance Rights, as approved at the company’s Annual General Meeting. This change reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning its leadership’s interests with its strategic goals, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.26 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Expands Asian Footprint with Haju Medical Acquisition
Nov 30, 2025

Paragon Care Limited has announced its acquisition of Haju Medical, a leading provider of medical aesthetic services and technology in Indonesia. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance Paragon Care’s presence in the Asia Pacific region and complement its existing business operations in Thailand and other emerging markets. The acquisition, valued at A$70 million, is anticipated to be earnings accretive for Paragon Care in FY26 and will be funded through existing working capital facilities. The completion of the acquisition is expected by January 2026, subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Limited Successfully Concludes 2025 AGM with Strong Shareholder Support
Nov 19, 2025

Paragon Care Limited held its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions, including the adoption of the remuneration report, election and re-election of directors, adoption of an omnibus equity plan, and issuance of performance rights to the CEO, were carried with overwhelming support. This indicates strong shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction, potentially strengthening its position in the healthcare industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Limited Reports Successful Integration and Future Growth Prospects at 2025 AGM
Nov 19, 2025

Paragon Care Limited’s 2025 Annual General Meeting highlighted the successful integration of CH2, Oborne Health Supplies, and ParagonCare, with ongoing improvements in IT and finance systems. The company launched new business units in aesthetics, robotics, and dental, and completed the acquisition of Somnotec Group to expand its Asian operations. Despite higher debt levels due to non-payment by Infinity Retail Pharmacy Group and high stock levels, the company is working on debt reduction plans. The transition of CEO duties from David Collins to Carmen Riley is progressing smoothly, and the company is focused on future growth opportunities, with potential dividend considerations for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Expands APAC Presence with Somnotec Acquisition
Oct 28, 2025

Paragon Care Limited has announced the acquisition of Somnotec Group, a distributor of medical devices in Southeast Asia, to expand its footprint in the region. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance Paragon Care’s service capabilities across the Asia Pacific, with the deal valued at SGD24 million. The acquisition is anticipated to be earnings accretive by FY26 and is subject to regulatory approvals and other conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Director Increases Shareholding
Oct 21, 2025

Paragon Care Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director David Collins acquiring an additional 640,167 ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition increases his indirect holding to 472,507,317 shares, reflecting a strategic move that may influence the company’s market perception and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Paragon Care Director Increases Shareholding
Oct 21, 2025

Paragon Care Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director David Collins acquiring an additional 105,114 ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition increases his indirect holding to 471,867,150 shares, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and stability, which may positively influence stakeholder perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PGC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paragon Care Limited stock, see the AU:PGC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026