tiprankstipranks
Mayne Pharma Group (AU:MYX)
ASX:MYX
Want to see AU:MYX full AI Analyst Report?

Mayne Pharma Group (MYX) AI Stock Analysis

52 Followers

Top Page

AU:MYX

Mayne Pharma Group

(Sydney:MYX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$3.00
▼(-50.08% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses and deteriorating cash-flow metrics). Technicals are moderately supportive in the near term but appear stretched (near overbought). Earnings-call commentary is constructive on margins/cash generation and segment execution, but cost and litigation overhangs remain, and valuation is constrained by negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Improving gross margin via mix
Sustained gross margin expansion driven by a higher-quality product mix improves unit economics and cash generation. Over the next 2-6 months, better gross margins can absorb promotional or investment spending, supporting operating leverage and more durable underlying profitability even if revenue growth is muted.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability and flat/declining revenue
Negative margins and falling revenue indicate structural profitability challenges: sizable net losses erode equity and limit reinvestment. Unless higher-margin branded growth accelerates, persistent negative operating profitability undermines sustainable free cash flow generation and long-term shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving gross margin via mix
Sustained gross margin expansion driven by a higher-quality product mix improves unit economics and cash generation. Over the next 2-6 months, better gross margins can absorb promotional or investment spending, supporting operating leverage and more durable underlying profitability even if revenue growth is muted.
Read all positive factors

Mayne Pharma Group (MYX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Mayne Pharma Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mayne Pharma Group Limited, a specialty pharmaceutical company, manufactures and sells branded and generic pharmaceutical products in Australia, New Zealand, the United States, Canada, Europe and Asia. The company operates through four segments: M...
How the Company Makes Money
Mayne Pharma primarily makes money through (1) selling prescription pharmaceuticals from its own portfolio and (2) providing pharmaceutical contract development and manufacturing services for other companies. 1) Product sales (branded and generic...

Mayne Pharma Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 22, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a generally constructive picture: the underlying business remained cash generative with improved gross margins, higher total direct contribution, strong Dermatology profitability and clear momentum across multiple Women's Health products. These positives are tempered by an 8% decline in underlying EBITDA, significant one‑off noncash earn‑out and litigation/transaction charges, elevated near‑term legal and earn‑out cash outflows, ANNOVERA returns issues and an investment phase in International that compressed contribution. Management framed many negatives as discrete or investment‑led and emphasized strategic repositioning, operational improvements and capital allocation optionality.
Positive Updates
Stable Group Revenue and Improved Gross Margin
Group revenue of $212.1 million was broadly flat year‑on‑year while gross margin improved to 65.3% from 61.4% (≈+3.9 percentage points), indicating better mix and margin control.
Negative Updates
Underlying EBITDA Decline
Underlying EBITDA was $28.6 million, down 8% versus the prior corresponding period, reflecting increased promotional spend in Women's Health and discrete costs.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Stable Group Revenue and Improved Gross Margin
Group revenue of $212.1 million was broadly flat year‑on‑year while gross margin improved to 65.3% from 61.4% (≈+3.9 percentage points), indicating better mix and margin control.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The guidance from the call is that Mayne will continue to invest selectively to drive market‑share and margin improvement while maintaining cash discipline, aiming to grow Women's Health, scale Dermatology’s disintermediation (next leg planned Q3 FY26) and unlock International value from the NEXTSTELLIS PBS listing and the $18m Salisbury upgrade. Key metrics underpinning that guidance: group H1 revenue was $212.1m with gross margin 65.3% (versus 61.4% PCP), underlying EBITDA $28.6m (‑8% vs PCP) and adjusted operating cash flow from continuing operations $16.9m, with $67.3m cash and marketable securities on hand; reported results excluded a $54.5m non‑cash earn‑out reassessment and $21.3m of diligence/BD/litigation/restructuring charges. Segment targets reflect Women's Health (H1 revenue $96.5m +2%; NEXTSTELLIS demand cycles +16% and net sales USD23.4m +4%; IMVEXXY TRx +3% / net sales USD15.6m +2%; BIJUVA TRx +26% / net sales USD8.2m +23%; ANNOVERA TRx +2% but net sales USD14.4m ‑9% with ~$1.7m returns), Dermatology (H1 revenue $78.6m ‑3% but gross margin 65% up 12ppt and direct contribution $29.8m +35%; branded mix 65% vs 55% PCP) and International (H1 revenue $36.9m ‑1%, gross profit $11.3m +7%, margin 30.5% +3ppt, direct contribution $2.1m ‑42%), plus the 25 million additional U.S. covered lives for NEXTSTELLIS (effective 1 Jan) and an early 118% uplift in NEXTSTELLIS 3‑pack volumes in Dec‑2025; management expects litigation/transaction costs to decline from H1 levels and FDA post‑approval study costs (up ~$2.6m in H1) to step down toward FY27, while also evaluating capital allocation options including buybacks and targeted acquisitions.

Mayne Pharma Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate weak fundamentals: declining revenue, sizable net losses (negative margins), and very poor cash-flow trends (sharp free cash flow deterioration and low cash conversion). Low leverage is a positive, but negative ROE underscores profitability issues.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue407.11M408.10M388.15M183.59M157.15M400.78M
Gross Profit223.22M247.27M218.53M26.84M23.75M127.02M
EBITDA23.38M42.08M-116.93M-193.80M-78.88M-182.40M
Net Income-83.23M-93.84M-174.23M117.25M-281.29M-208.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets940.55M1.01B1.14B1.25B1.30B1.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.35M100.40M149.28M220.14M97.08M98.35M
Total Debt44.62M41.27M38.82M47.51M413.67M346.82M
Total Liabilities587.84M644.32M688.99M613.77M764.89M706.56M
Stockholders Equity352.71M370.28M454.19M634.36M545.88M768.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.72M5.19M-36.16M-262.71M-28.47M22.16M
Operating Cash Flow22.43M17.47M-15.30M-43.12M-16.62M47.26M
Investing Cash Flow-4.90M-68.07M53.45M473.49M-28.53M-49.25M
Financing Cash Flow-3.50M-556.00K-19.85M-431.48M27.60M-28.83M

Mayne Pharma Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.01
Price Trends
50DMA
2.46
Positive
100DMA
2.83
Negative
200DMA
4.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
57.18
Neutral
STOCH
81.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MYX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.30, above the 50-day MA of 2.46, and above the 200-day MA of 4.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:MYX.

Mayne Pharma Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
AU$137.62M13.8519.15%4.33%17.31%17.99%
55
Neutral
AU$49.57M-69.17-0.79%6.80%98.84%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
AU$230.74M-4.23-23.02%-1.55%35.60%
49
Neutral
AU$307.28M27.58-15.96%364.97%74.50%
48
Neutral
AU$76.17M-2.00-131.13%2086.71%-116.20%
41
Neutral
AU$138.81M-2.84279.21%-37.23%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MYX
Mayne Pharma Group
2.84
-4.16
-59.43%
AU:SPL
Starpharma Holdings Limited
0.73
0.64
684.95%
AU:VLS
Vita Life Sciences Limited
2.53
0.81
47.35%
AU:MVP
Medical Developments International Limited
0.44
-0.13
-22.81%
AU:BOT
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited
0.03
-0.42
-93.71%
AU:RCE
Recce Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
0.48
0.19
65.52%

Mayne Pharma Group Corporate Events

Mayne Pharma Details Equity Incentives for New CEO Aaron Gray
Apr 29, 2026
Mayne Pharma has detailed the equity-based incentives to be granted to its new CEO, Aaron Gray, under the company’s Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan, including a US$300,000 sign-on bonus in Restricted Stock Unit Performance Rights and a pro-rat...
Mayne Pharma Posts Strong Cash Flow and Momentum in Women’s Health on 3Q FY26 Update
Apr 29, 2026
Mayne Pharma reported unaudited third-quarter FY26 revenue of A$85.2 million, up 1% year on year, with gross margin expanding to 63% and underlying EBITDA narrowing to a A$1.4 million loss. Adjusted operating cash flow from continuing operations s...
Mayne Pharma Moves to Replace Retiring Non-Executive Director
Apr 2, 2026
Mayne Pharma has announced the upcoming retirement of non-executive director Dr Kathryn MacFarlane from its board at the end of May 2026, following her appointment as chief executive of a US-based biopharma company. Dr MacFarlane, who joined the b...
Citigroup Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Mayne Pharma
Mar 31, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited and its related Citi group entities have notified Mayne Pharma that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders as of 27 March 2026. The change arises from shifts in relevant interests tied to sec...
Mayne Pharma to Showcase Women’s Health, Dermatology Progress at ASX SMIDcaps Conference
Mar 25, 2026
Mayne Pharma Group, an ASX-listed specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on innovative oral drug delivery systems and commercialises dermatology and women’s health products, particularly in the U.S. market. It also offers global contract ...
Citi Group Entities Cease to Be Substantial Holders in Mayne Pharma
Mar 23, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi entities have notified Mayne Pharma that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the company as of 19 March 2026. The change follows a series of adjustments in relevant interests in Ma...
Mayne Pharma to Highlight Growth Strategy at ASX SMIDcaps Conference
Mar 16, 2026
Mayne Pharma has announced it will present at the ASX SMIDcaps Conference in Sydney on 25 March 2026, where CEO Aaron Gray will brief investors on recent progress in women’s health and dermatology. The update will also highlight how the comp...
Mayne Pharma Showcases DistributeRx U.S. Launch in Investor Briefing
Mar 10, 2026
Mayne Pharma Group has released an investor presentation detailing the U.S. launch of its DistributeRx business, highlighting this new commercial initiative as part of its specialty pharmaceuticals strategy. The company is also hosting an investor...
Mayne Pharma launches DistributeRx to drive direct-to-patient U.S. growth
Mar 9, 2026
Mayne Pharma has launched DistributeRx, a new U.S.-focused healthcare solutions business that creates a direct-to-patient channel to simplify prescription fulfilment and improve access to medicines. The platform uses digital workflows, transparent...
S&P Dow Jones Indices Unveils March 2026 Rebalance of S&P/ASX Benchmarks
Mar 6, 2026
SP Dow Jones Indices has announced its March 2026 quarterly rebalance of the SP/ASX indices, reshaping membership across the SP/ASX 20, 50, 100, 200 and 300. The changes include movements among major resource, technology, financial and industrial ...
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group exits substantial holder position in Mayne Pharma
Mar 2, 2026
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group has lodged a notice indicating it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Mayne Pharma Group, following a series of trades in the company’s fully paid ordinary shares during January 2026. The transactions, exe...
Mayne Pharma Discloses Exit of Director Patrick Blake and His Share Interests
Mar 2, 2026
Mayne Pharma Group has announced that director Patrick J. Blake ceased to be a director of the company effective 28 February 2026. The filing details that Blake held no shares directly in his own name but had an indirect interest in 22,097 ordinar...
First Sentier Group Exits Substantial Shareholding in Mayne Pharma
Feb 27, 2026
First Sentier Group Limited and a wide network of related entities, ultimately linked to Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, have lodged a notice that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in Mayne Pharma Group as of 25 February 2026. The fi...
Mayne Pharma Plans New Performance Rights Issue
Feb 23, 2026
Mayne Pharma Group has announced a proposed issue of up to 161,725 performance rights, designated under the ASX security code MYXAN. The securities are to be issued as part of a placement or other type of issue, with a proposed issue date of 31 Ma...
Mayne Pharma Discloses Equity Holdings as Director Shawn O’Brien Departs Board
Feb 23, 2026
Mayne Pharma Group has announced that director Shawn Patrick O’Brien has ceased to be a director of the company as of 20 February 2026 (U.S. time). The final director’s interest notice lodged with the ASX details O’Brien’s ...
Mayne Pharma Frames 1H FY26 Results Around EBITDA and Disclosure Transparency
Feb 22, 2026
Mayne Pharma Group has released its first-half fiscal 2026 results presentation, highlighting the use of both IFRS and non-IFRS metrics, including EBITDA, to illustrate underlying operating performance. The company positions EBITDA as a key measur...
Mayne Pharma lifts margins as dermatology outperforms despite softer cash flow
Feb 22, 2026
Mayne Pharma reported first-half FY26 revenue of A$212.1 million, broadly flat year on year, but lifted group gross margin to 65.3% through disciplined pricing, mix and channel execution. Underlying EBITDA slipped 8% to A$28.6 million and adjusted...
Vanguard Group Cuts Stake Below Substantial Holder Threshold in Mayne Pharma
Feb 5, 2026
Vanguard Group, through The Vanguard Group, Inc. and its controlled entities including Vanguard Investments Australia Ltd., has notified Mayne Pharma Group Limited that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in the company. As of 2 February 2026...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026