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Pacific Current Group Ltd (AU:PAC)
:PAC

Pacific Current Group Ltd (PAC) AI Stock Analysis

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Pacific Current Group Ltd

(OTC:PAC)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
AU$12.00
▲(10.09%Upside)
The strong financial recovery and attractive valuation are the primary strengths for Pacific Current Group Ltd, driving its overall positive outlook. However, the technical indicators suggest caution with potential short-term weaknesses, particularly in momentum.

Pacific Current Group Ltd (PAC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Pacific Current Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPacific Current Group Ltd (PAC) is an Australian-based global multi-boutique asset management company. It operates in the financial services sector, focusing on providing capital and strategic support to asset management firms. PAC partners with boutique investment managers to enhance their growth and development through its expertise and resources, fostering a diverse portfolio of investment strategies across various asset classes.
How the Company Makes MoneyPacific Current Group Ltd generates revenue primarily through its investments in boutique asset managers. The company makes money by acquiring equity stakes in these firms and benefiting from the growth in their assets under management (AUM). As these boutiques perform and attract more investments, PAC earns a share of the management and performance fees generated. Additionally, PAC may receive dividend income from its equity investments. The company's revenue is also influenced by market conditions, the performance of its boutique partners, and strategic partnerships that enable access to new markets and distribution channels.

Pacific Current Group Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -8.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant growth in FUM, boutique contributions, and successful fundraising efforts by Pennybacker. However, challenges such as impairments, currency fluctuations affecting NAV, and complexities in asset sales pose potential risks. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook for future growth and potential asset sales.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong FUM Growth
The company reported an 8% increase in ownership FUM during the period, growing from USD 14.1 billion to USD 15.2 billion.
20% Increase in Boutique Contributions
Boutique contributions grew by 20%, driven by a 30% growth in management fee revenues, particularly from Banner Oak and Pennybacker Capital.
Underlying EBITDA Growth
Underlying EBITDA grew by 26% during the period, reflecting strong operational performance.
Dividend Declaration
PAC declared a $0.15 per share dividend for the period, maintaining a consistent payout despite strong profit growth.
Successful Fundraising by Pennybacker
Pennybacker raised over $1.5 billion for its recent flagship fund, showcasing its ability to navigate a challenging commercial real estate market.
Negative Updates
Impairments in Portfolio
Impairments were recorded at Aether and Banner Oak. Aether's fundraising was slower than expected, and Banner Oak faces client concentration risks impacting future visibility.
Fair Value NAV Decline
The fair value adjusted NAV fell by $0.23 a share, primarily due to currency fluctuations.
Challenges with Asset Sales
PAC faces complexities around selling individual assets, as it relies on the consent of investment managers and strong relationship dynamics.
Uncertainty in Management Fee Growth
Management fees might see a slight reduction in the second half compared to the first half, despite ongoing strong growth in funds under management.
Company Guidance
During the Pacific Current Group's 2024 half-year earnings call, several key financial metrics were highlighted. The firm experienced an 8% growth in funds under management (FUM), increasing from USD 14.1 billion to USD 15.2 billion. Financial performance was robust with a 20% increase in boutique contributions, driven by a 30% rise in management fee revenues, predominantly from Banner Oak and Pennybacker Capital. The underlying EBITDA grew by 26%, while the underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) rose by 15%. A dividend of $0.15 per share was declared for the period. Despite these strong results, the firm's fair value adjusted net asset value (NAV) experienced a decline of $0.23 per share, primarily due to currency fluctuations. The company also noted impairments at Aether and Banner Oak, while highlighting the strategic review process and ongoing efforts to unlock shareholder value through potential asset sales and reducing overheads.

Pacific Current Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pacific Current Group Ltd exhibits a strong financial recovery in the income statement with significant revenue and profit growth, supported by a robust balance sheet. However, challenges in maintaining positive cash flow highlight areas for improvement. Overall, the company's financial health reflects positive trends with a need for careful management of cash resources and liabilities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Pacific Current Group Ltd demonstrated a strong recovery with a significant revenue growth rate of 345.8% from 2023 to 2024 and improvement in profitability with a net profit margin of 55.5% in 2024. The firm successfully turned around from negative EBIT in 2023 to positive EBIT margin of 86.7% in 2024. While the historical volatility in revenues poses some risk, the current financial year shows robust profit margins indicating strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11, reflecting strong equity leverage. The equity ratio of 82.3% in 2024 underscores financial stability. A significant increase in equity and assets over the years strengthens the balance sheet further, although the rapid increase in total liabilities warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a challenge with negative free cash flow in 2024 despite positive operating cash flow, suggesting higher capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.19, indicating potential cash flow constraints. Despite the recent setback, the company has historically generated positive free cash flow, reflecting its ability to generate cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue234.21M198.53M44.51M-31.16M44.54M61.54M
Gross Profit228.76M198.53M40.66M40.29M41.06M57.21M
EBITDA264.82M172.13M-13.83M-44.92M26.93M-22.75M
Net Income198.78M110.08M-15.79M-35.27M17.41M-17.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets871.57M727.88M612.38M608.97M463.02M444.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments382.38M343.32M23.20M34.89M28.30M20.15M
Total Debt64.55M64.01M2.83M1.05M680.00K2.55M
Total Liabilities149.18M128.82M102.15M82.25M60.21M41.44M
Stockholders Equity722.39M599.06M509.52M524.81M402.38M402.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.81M-2.37M19.18M23.19M29.06M25.57M
Operating Cash Flow16.86M20.61M21.82M23.47M29.15M25.62M
Investing Cash Flow70.34M63.47M-55.12M4.76M-5.87M-65.50M
Financing Cash Flow-26.40M-10.46M22.10M-23.18M-14.07M-21.32M

Pacific Current Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.90
Price Trends
50DMA
11.04
Negative
100DMA
11.28
Negative
200DMA
11.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
49.31
Neutral
STOCH
57.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:PAC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.80, below the 50-day MA of 11.04, and below the 200-day MA of 11.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:PAC.

Pacific Current Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUFID
74
Outperform
AU$303.36M17.9730.97%4.56%12.05%23.63%
AUMAM
73
Outperform
AU$65.32M8.7434.01%7.17%19.50%31.19%
AUPAC
69
Neutral
AU$328.68M2.8533.29%2.75%317.70%3248.78%
AUPTM
68
Neutral
€284.20M10.989.63%12.12%-20.84%-67.39%
AUEZL
64
Neutral
€161.64M15.309.28%4.90%6.97%45.01%
62
Neutral
AU$9.88B7.9410.79%5.20%32.02%38.31%
AUPCG
46
Neutral
€72.82M
5.16%43.84%92.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:PAC
Pacific Current Group Ltd
10.90
0.84
8.32%
AU:PTM
Platinum Asset Management Ltd
0.49
-0.25
-33.96%
AU:PCG
Pengana Capital Group Ltd.
0.78
-0.05
-6.40%
AU:EZL
Euroz Hartleys Group Limited
1.02
0.14
15.91%
AU:MAM
Microequities Asset Management Group Ltd.
0.53
0.03
6.00%
AU:FID
Fiducian Group Ltd
9.61
2.44
34.03%

Pacific Current Group Ltd Corporate Events

Pacific Current Group Appoints New Director with No Initial Securities Interest
Jun 17, 2025

Pacific Current Group Limited has announced the appointment of Justin Rowland Arter as a new director, effective June 17, 2025. The Initial Director’s Interest Notice reveals that Arter currently holds no securities or relevant interests in the company, indicating a fresh start in his role without any pre-existing financial ties, which could impact his decision-making and governance approach.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PAC) stock is a Hold with a A$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pacific Current Group Ltd stock, see the AU:PAC Stock Forecast page.

Pacific Current Group Announces Leadership Transition
Jun 17, 2025

Pacific Current Group Limited announced the retirement of Tony Robinson as Chair of the Board, effective June 30, 2025, and the appointment of Justin Arter as his successor starting July 1, 2025. Tony Robinson, who has been with the company since 2015, played a pivotal role in its growth and transformation, overseeing major acquisitions and divestments. Justin Arter, with over 35 years of experience in funds management and investment banking, is expected to continue building long-term value for shareholders. The Board also noted that Non-executive Director Gilles Guérin intends to retire at the end of September 2025, prompting a review of the Board’s structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PAC) stock is a Hold with a A$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pacific Current Group Ltd stock, see the AU:PAC Stock Forecast page.

Pacific Current Group Updates 2025 Event Calendar
May 28, 2025

Pacific Current Group Limited has announced an updated calendar of key events for the remainder of 2025, detailing important dates such as the release of full-year results, dividend-related dates, and the annual general meeting. This schedule provides stakeholders with a clear timeline of the company’s financial and operational milestones, reflecting Pacific Current’s commitment to transparency and strategic planning in the asset management industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PAC) stock is a Hold with a A$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pacific Current Group Ltd stock, see the AU:PAC Stock Forecast page.

Pacific Current Group Reports Growth in Funds Under Management
Apr 30, 2025

Pacific Current Group Limited reported an increase in total Funds under Management (FUM) to A$31.0 billion for the quarter ending March 31, 2025, up from A$30.0 billion. This growth was driven by significant inflows, particularly from the USD-denominated fund manager Pennybacker, and market revaluations. The company highlights that the economic benefits derived from these FUM can vary due to factors like fees, ownership interests, and unique economic terms with each boutique, cautioning against simple extrapolation of results based on FUM trends.

Citigroup Ceases Substantial Holding in Pacific Current Group
Apr 7, 2025

Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited has ceased to be a substantial holder in Pacific Current Group Ltd as of April 3, 2025. This change reflects a decrease in Citigroup’s relevant interest in the company’s shares due to a securities lending agreement, potentially impacting the company’s shareholder structure and market perception.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025