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NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs (AU:NXG)
ASX:NXG
Australian Market

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs (NXG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NXG

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs

(Sydney:NXG)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$19.00
▲(7.28% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak current fundamentals (no revenue, losses, and negative cash flow) despite a supportive balance sheet. Technicals are positive but overextended, adding pullback risk. Earnings-call updates improve the outlook via strong funding and progress on contracts/approvals, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strong liquidity and recent capital raise
A CAD 1.2B cash position backed by an AUD 1B raise provides durable funding to advance Rook I through permitting and early construction phases. This reduces near-term execution and financing risk, enabling project milestones without immediate reliance on volatile market access.
Regulatory and indigenous support for Rook I
Legal advocacy from all four indigenous nations together with positive CNSC technical recommendations materially lowers permitting and social-license risk. This structural backing increases the likelihood of timely approvals and reduces long-term schedule and reputational uncertainty for project development.
Large project scale with advancing offtake talks
A target output of up to 30M lbs/yr paired with progressing negotiations across North America, Europe, Middle East and Asia anchors NexGen's long-term revenue potential. Securing offtake or prepayment terms would convert project scale into predictable cashflows once production starts.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with persistent operating losses
NexGen remains pre-revenue and records recurring operating losses, reflecting that project economics are unproven at scale. Until production commences, profitability is unattainable and the company cannot self-fund operations, a structural constraint on long-term sustainability.
Heavy negative free cash flow and ongoing cash burn
Deep, persistent negative free cash flow reflects substantial project capex and exploration spend. This structural cash burn necessitates project financing or further capital raises, creating dilution risk and dependency on external capital until sustained positive cash generation is achieved.
Rising leverage and negative returns on equity
Material increase in leverage alongside a return to negative ROE signals growing financial risk as development progresses. Higher debt raises fixed obligations and may constrain flexibility for additional financing or increase cost of capital during critical construction and commissioning stages.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs (NXG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNexGen Energy Ltd., an exploration and development stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation and development of uranium properties in Canada. It holds 100% interest in the Rook I project comprising 32 contiguous mineral claims totaling an area of 35,065 hectares located in the southwestern Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNexGen Energy Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of uranium resources. Its main revenue stream is expected to come from the sale of uranium extracted from its projects, particularly the Rook I Project. NexGen's business model involves advancing its uranium deposits through stages of exploration, development, and eventually production, which will enable it to sell uranium to energy producers and utilities worldwide. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships or joint ventures with other energy firms to enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. NexGen's earnings are influenced by uranium market prices, global energy demand, and its ability to efficiently bring its projects to production.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in uranium market dynamics, financial strengthening, and project support, alongside some challenges in supply disruptions. NexGen is well-positioned to capitalize on the favorable market conditions with its advanced Rook I project and ongoing exploration success.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Uranium Market Dynamics
Spot prices rose 16% to USD 83.25 per pound during the third quarter, driven by increased liquidity and supply disruptions. Term prices reached USD 86 per pound, the highest since May 2008.
Strong Financial Position
NexGen raised AUD 1 billion, strengthening its financial position with a current cash balance of approximately CAD 1.2 billion, supporting its development activities for Rook I.
Advanced Contract Negotiations
NexGen is negotiating multiple contracts with utilities across North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, with discussions on prepayments and strategic interest in the project.
Support for Rook I Project
All 4 indigenous nations in the project area legally support and advocate for the immediate approval of the project. The CNSC staff has recommended approval in their technical assessments.
Exploration Success
Drilling at Patterson Corridor East (PCE) continues to deliver promising results, validating the continuity of high-grade subdomains and confirming the system remains open for expansion.
Negative Updates
Supply Disruptions
There were production guidance cuts from major producers like Kazatomprom and Cameco due to persistent production issues, reflecting late-in-life mine challenges.
Company Guidance
During the NexGen Energy Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, CEO Leigh Curyer highlighted several key metrics reflecting the company's progress and the uranium market's dynamics. The spot price of uranium increased by 16% to USD 83.25 per pound, with term prices reaching USD 86 per pound, their highest since May 2008. This price surge is attributed to increased demand driven by nuclear energy uptake and supply constraints. NexGen has secured CAD 1.2 billion in cash, reinforced by a recent AUD 1 billion raise, and is engaged in negotiations for long-term supply contracts, targeting utilities in North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. The company plans to deliver up to 30 million pounds of uranium annually from its Rook I project, with negotiations for offtake agreements advancing. Leigh Curyer emphasized NexGen's strategic financial positioning, its commitment to indigenous partnerships, and its readiness to commence construction immediately upon receiving federal approval, which is anticipated following two commission hearings scheduled for November 2025 and early 2026.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Development-stage profile with no revenue and persistent operating losses plus ongoing negative operating and free cash flow. The key offset is a solid capital base (equity exceeds debt) with moderate leverage, though debt has increased and returns turned negative again in 2024.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company remains pre-revenue with total revenue at 0 across all reported years, so profitability is driven by expenses rather than operating scale. Operating losses are persistent (EBIT of -75.99M in 2024 vs. -82.93M in 2023, an improvement), but earnings are volatile with a one-off profit in 2023 (net income 80.82M) followed by a return to a loss in 2024 (-77.56M). Overall, the trajectory shows modest cost improvement but no demonstrated revenue engine yet.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
The balance sheet shows meaningful equity support (equity 1.18B vs. debt 456.8M in 2024), keeping leverage moderate with debt-to-equity at ~0.39 in 2024. However, leverage has risen materially from 2023 (~0.20) as debt increased, and returns on equity swung back negative in 2024 (-6.6%) after a positive 2023. Net: solid capitalization for a development-stage company, but increasing debt and inconsistent returns raise risk.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow is negative each year (2024: -24.09M; 2023: -52.62M), indicating ongoing cash burn. Free cash flow is also consistently negative and worsened in absolute terms in 2024 (-154.77M vs. -168.42M in 2023, still deeply negative), suggesting heavy investment/spend without operating inflows. The improvement in operating cash burn is a positive, but the business remains dependent on external funding until cash flows turn.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-133.60M-76.78M-82.93M-58.13M-49.05M-21.34M
Net Income-193.76M-77.56M80.82M-56.59M-119.09M-109.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.55B1.66B1.01B554.56M546.56M357.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments371.56M476.59M290.74M140.22M211.12M74.02M
Total Debt489.08M456.80M160.42M82.48M75.18M230.88M
Total Liabilities520.34M478.20M187.41M99.14M85.22M238.14M
Stockholders Equity1.03B1.18B820.02M417.88M433.61M94.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-207.34M-154.77M-168.42M-20.53M-63.70M-28.86M
Operating Cash Flow-24.43M-24.09M-52.62M-20.18M-16.79M-10.62M
Investing Cash Flow-142.21M-130.68M-160.14M-68.05M-46.71M-18.24M
Financing Cash Flow-26.93M344.64M368.89M19.86M191.35M51.23M

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.71
Price Trends
50DMA
15.18
Positive
100DMA
14.24
Positive
200DMA
12.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.93
Positive
RSI
61.57
Neutral
STOCH
13.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NXG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.46, above the 50-day MA of 15.18, and above the 200-day MA of 12.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:NXG.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
60
Neutral
AU$10.87B-28.05-17.60%-305.93%
55
Neutral
AU$6.10B-77.33-6.47%-163.65%
55
Neutral
AU$886.75M-173.58-2.73%60.83%
53
Neutral
AU$2.60B360.811.08%-100.00%
46
Neutral
AU$256.62M-47.13-6.30%-67.12%
37
Underperform
AU$1.22B-100.00%98.06%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NXG
NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs
18.20
7.46
69.46%
AU:PDN
Paladin Energy Ltd
13.58
4.66
52.24%
AU:BKY
Berkeley Energia
0.58
0.20
53.33%
AU:BMN
Bannerman Energy
4.27
1.15
36.86%
AU:DYL
Deep Yellow Limited
2.67
1.35
101.51%
AU:ERA
Energy Resources of Australia Class A

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Corporate Events

NexGen Energy Reports Higher CDI Count and Expanded Equity on Issue for December
Jan 5, 2026

NexGen Energy has reported its December 2025 statement of CHESS Depositary Interests (CDIs) and related securities on issue, showing a modest increase in the number of CDIs on the ASX to 152,067,401, driven by net transfers between CDIs and common shares listed on the TSX and NYSE. Over the same period, the company’s total common shares not represented by CDIs rose to 507,892,671, while outstanding options increased to 49,547,625 due to new options issued, exercises and cancellations, and the volume of convertible debentures remained unchanged, indicating incremental equity expansion and active management of its capital structure without additional debenture issuance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Hold with a A$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Issues New Shares to Debenture Holders
Dec 11, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has issued 635,659 new common shares to holders of its 2023 and 2024 Unsecured Convertible Debentures as partial satisfaction of accrued interest. This move, announced under section 708A(5)(e) of the Corporations Act, reflects NexGen’s compliance with relevant disclosure obligations and aims to manage its financial commitments effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Reports Changes in Securities Issuance
Dec 4, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. announced a net decrease in the number of Chess Depository Interests (CDIs) issued over quoted securities, with a reduction of 1,695,769 CDIs from the previous month. This change was attributed to net transfers of securities between CDIs and common shares across the TSX and NYSE. Additionally, there was an increase in common shares and a decrease in options due to various transactions, reflecting ongoing adjustments in the company’s securities management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Certifies Accuracy of Interim Financial Filings
Nov 9, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has completed its interim financial filings for the period ending September 30, 2025. The company’s Chief Financial Officer, Benjamin Salter, has certified that the filings are accurate and have been prepared with reasonable diligence, ensuring no material misrepresentations. The company has also maintained robust internal controls over financial reporting and disclosure procedures, adhering to the standards set by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO).

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Certifies Accurate Interim Financial Report
Nov 9, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has released its interim financial report for the period ending September 30, 2025. CEO Leigh Curyer certifies that the filings are accurate and fairly present the company’s financial condition, performance, and cash flows. The company has implemented robust disclosure controls and internal controls over financial reporting to ensure reliability and compliance with securities legislation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Releases Q3 2025 Financial and Operational Highlights
Nov 9, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has released its Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, detailing its financial performance and operational highlights. The report provides insights into the company’s financial position, liquidity, capital resources, and risk management strategies, emphasizing the company’s ongoing commitment to health, safety, and environmental standards. The analysis also outlines the operational outlook and strategic focus on the Rook I Project, which is central to the company’s growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Reports Financial Update Amid Rising Liabilities
Nov 9, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. reported its condensed interim consolidated financial statements for the period ending September 30, 2025, showing a decrease in total assets from $1.66 billion to $1.57 billion. The company’s liabilities increased significantly due to a rise in convertible debentures, impacting its overall equity, which fell from $1.18 billion to $918.8 million. This financial update highlights the company’s ongoing financial challenges and the potential implications for its stakeholders as it continues to navigate the complexities of uranium exploration and development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Adjusts Securities Holdings with Net CDI Reduction
Nov 4, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has announced a net decrease in the number of Chess Depository Interests (CDIs) issued over quoted securities, with a reduction of 3,908,207 CDIs in October 2025. This change is attributed to net transfers of securities between CDIs and common shares listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and New York Stock Exchange. Additionally, the company reported an increase in common shares and a decrease in options due to various transactions, reflecting ongoing adjustments in its securities management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026