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NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs (AU:NXG)
ASX:NXG
Australian Market

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs (NXG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NXG

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs

(Sydney:NXG)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
AU$15.00
▼(-9.53% Downside)
The score is held back most by weak financial performance (no revenue, losses, and negative operating/free cash flow) and loss-based valuation signals (negative P/E, no dividend). Offsetting this, technicals are constructive with price above major moving averages, and the latest earnings call indicated improved funding strength and progress on offtake and approvals for the Rook I project.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Position
A strong cash position provides NexGen with the necessary resources to advance its Rook I project and sustain operations without immediate revenue, enhancing its financial stability.
Advanced Contract Negotiations
Securing long-term supply contracts can provide stable future cash flows, supporting NexGen's transition from development to production and enhancing its market position.
Support for Rook I Project
Strong indigenous support and regulatory backing for the Rook I project reduce execution risk and facilitate project development, crucial for long-term success.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Increasing debt levels heighten financial risk, potentially limiting NexGen's flexibility to manage future investments and operational needs without additional funding.
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow underscores the company's reliance on external funding, posing a risk to sustainability if market conditions for capital raising worsen.
Pre-Revenue Status
Lack of revenue generation limits NexGen's ability to self-fund its operations and projects, increasing dependency on external capital and delaying profitability.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs (NXG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNexGen Energy Ltd., an exploration and development stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation and development of uranium properties in Canada. It holds 100% interest in the Rook I project comprising 32 contiguous mineral claims totaling an area of 35,065 hectares located in the southwestern Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNexGen Energy Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of uranium resources. Its main revenue stream is expected to come from the sale of uranium extracted from its projects, particularly the Rook I Project. NexGen's business model involves advancing its uranium deposits through stages of exploration, development, and eventually production, which will enable it to sell uranium to energy producers and utilities worldwide. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships or joint ventures with other energy firms to enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. NexGen's earnings are influenced by uranium market prices, global energy demand, and its ability to efficiently bring its projects to production.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in uranium market dynamics, financial strengthening, and project support, alongside some challenges in supply disruptions. NexGen is well-positioned to capitalize on the favorable market conditions with its advanced Rook I project and ongoing exploration success.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Uranium Market Dynamics
Spot prices rose 16% to USD 83.25 per pound during the third quarter, driven by increased liquidity and supply disruptions. Term prices reached USD 86 per pound, the highest since May 2008.
Strong Financial Position
NexGen raised AUD 1 billion, strengthening its financial position with a current cash balance of approximately CAD 1.2 billion, supporting its development activities for Rook I.
Advanced Contract Negotiations
NexGen is negotiating multiple contracts with utilities across North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, with discussions on prepayments and strategic interest in the project.
Support for Rook I Project
All 4 indigenous nations in the project area legally support and advocate for the immediate approval of the project. The CNSC staff has recommended approval in their technical assessments.
Exploration Success
Drilling at Patterson Corridor East (PCE) continues to deliver promising results, validating the continuity of high-grade subdomains and confirming the system remains open for expansion.
Negative Updates
Supply Disruptions
There were production guidance cuts from major producers like Kazatomprom and Cameco due to persistent production issues, reflecting late-in-life mine challenges.
Company Guidance
During the NexGen Energy Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, CEO Leigh Curyer highlighted several key metrics reflecting the company's progress and the uranium market's dynamics. The spot price of uranium increased by 16% to USD 83.25 per pound, with term prices reaching USD 86 per pound, their highest since May 2008. This price surge is attributed to increased demand driven by nuclear energy uptake and supply constraints. NexGen has secured CAD 1.2 billion in cash, reinforced by a recent AUD 1 billion raise, and is engaged in negotiations for long-term supply contracts, targeting utilities in North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. The company plans to deliver up to 30 million pounds of uranium annually from its Rook I project, with negotiations for offtake agreements advancing. Leigh Curyer emphasized NexGen's strategic financial positioning, its commitment to indigenous partnerships, and its readiness to commence construction immediately upon receiving federal approval, which is anticipated following two commission hearings scheduled for November 2025 and early 2026.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NexGen Energy Ltd. faces significant challenges in profitability with no revenue generation and negative income metrics. The balance sheet is strong with increasing equity and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the ongoing operational losses and negative free cash flow highlight the need for strategic shifts towards revenue generation.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
NexGen Energy Ltd. has not generated any revenue over the past years, which limits analysis of traditional income statement metrics like gross and net profit margins. The company consistently reports negative EBIT and EBITDA, indicating ongoing operational losses. The net income is also negative, reflecting challenges in achieving profitability. This lack of revenue generation is a significant weakness for the income statement evaluation.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a positive trend in stockholders' equity, which increased from $94.3 million in 2020 to $1.18 billion in the TTM period. This indicates strong equity growth, possibly from financing activities. The debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable, and the equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the absence of revenue limits the assessment of returns on equity.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals that NexGen Energy has a negative free cash flow, primarily due to significant capital expenditures and operating losses. Despite negative operating cash flow, the company has managed to maintain a positive cash position, likely due to significant financing activities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not favorable due to persistent losses, indicating challenges in achieving cash flow profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-133.60M-76.78M-82.93M-58.13M-49.05M-21.34M
Net Income-193.76M-77.56M80.82M-56.59M-119.09M-109.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.55B1.66B1.01B554.56M546.56M357.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments371.56M476.59M290.74M140.22M211.12M74.02M
Total Debt489.08M456.80M160.42M82.48M75.18M230.88M
Total Liabilities520.34M478.20M187.41M99.14M85.22M238.14M
Stockholders Equity1.03B1.18B820.02M417.88M433.61M94.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-207.34M-154.77M-168.42M-20.53M-63.70M-28.86M
Operating Cash Flow-24.43M-24.09M-52.62M-20.18M-16.79M-10.62M
Investing Cash Flow-142.21M-130.68M-160.14M-68.05M-46.71M-18.24M
Financing Cash Flow-26.93M344.64M368.89M19.86M191.35M51.23M

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.58
Price Trends
50DMA
13.86
Positive
100DMA
13.33
Positive
200DMA
11.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.79
Negative
RSI
73.65
Negative
STOCH
93.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NXG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.62, above the 50-day MA of 13.86, and above the 200-day MA of 11.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:NXG.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
AU$11.29B-25.74-17.60%-305.93%
57
Neutral
$1.98B274.321.08%-100.00%
55
Neutral
$4.79B-60.71-6.47%-163.65%
52
Neutral
AU$749.69M-146.75-2.73%60.83%
46
Neutral
AU$225.38M-41.39-6.30%-67.12%
37
Underperform
AU$1.22B-100.00%98.06%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NXG
NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs
16.70
5.43
48.18%
AU:PDN
Paladin Energy Ltd
10.66
2.31
27.66%
AU:BKY
Berkeley Energia
0.51
0.18
53.03%
AU:BMN
Bannerman Energy
3.61
0.56
18.36%
AU:DYL
Deep Yellow Limited
2.03
0.77
61.75%
AU:ERA
Energy Resources of Australia Class A

NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs Corporate Events

NexGen Energy Issues New Shares to Debenture Holders
Dec 11, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has issued 635,659 new common shares to holders of its 2023 and 2024 Unsecured Convertible Debentures as partial satisfaction of accrued interest. This move, announced under section 708A(5)(e) of the Corporations Act, reflects NexGen’s compliance with relevant disclosure obligations and aims to manage its financial commitments effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Reports Changes in Securities Issuance
Dec 4, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. announced a net decrease in the number of Chess Depository Interests (CDIs) issued over quoted securities, with a reduction of 1,695,769 CDIs from the previous month. This change was attributed to net transfers of securities between CDIs and common shares across the TSX and NYSE. Additionally, there was an increase in common shares and a decrease in options due to various transactions, reflecting ongoing adjustments in the company’s securities management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Certifies Accuracy of Interim Financial Filings
Nov 9, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has completed its interim financial filings for the period ending September 30, 2025. The company’s Chief Financial Officer, Benjamin Salter, has certified that the filings are accurate and have been prepared with reasonable diligence, ensuring no material misrepresentations. The company has also maintained robust internal controls over financial reporting and disclosure procedures, adhering to the standards set by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO).

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Ltd. Certifies Accurate Interim Financial Report
Nov 9, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has released its interim financial report for the period ending September 30, 2025. CEO Leigh Curyer certifies that the filings are accurate and fairly present the company’s financial condition, performance, and cash flows. The company has implemented robust disclosure controls and internal controls over financial reporting to ensure reliability and compliance with securities legislation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Releases Q3 2025 Financial and Operational Highlights
Nov 9, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has released its Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, detailing its financial performance and operational highlights. The report provides insights into the company’s financial position, liquidity, capital resources, and risk management strategies, emphasizing the company’s ongoing commitment to health, safety, and environmental standards. The analysis also outlines the operational outlook and strategic focus on the Rook I Project, which is central to the company’s growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Reports Financial Update Amid Rising Liabilities
Nov 9, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. reported its condensed interim consolidated financial statements for the period ending September 30, 2025, showing a decrease in total assets from $1.66 billion to $1.57 billion. The company’s liabilities increased significantly due to a rise in convertible debentures, impacting its overall equity, which fell from $1.18 billion to $918.8 million. This financial update highlights the company’s ongoing financial challenges and the potential implications for its stakeholders as it continues to navigate the complexities of uranium exploration and development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

NexGen Energy Adjusts Securities Holdings with Net CDI Reduction
Nov 4, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has announced a net decrease in the number of Chess Depository Interests (CDIs) issued over quoted securities, with a reduction of 3,908,207 CDIs in October 2025. This change is attributed to net transfers of securities between CDIs and common shares listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and New York Stock Exchange. Additionally, the company reported an increase in common shares and a decrease in options due to various transactions, reflecting ongoing adjustments in its securities management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXG) stock is a Buy with a A$17.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs stock, see the AU:NXG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025