Paladin Energy Ltd (AU:PDN)
ASX:PDN
Want to see AU:PDN full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Paladin Energy Ltd
(Sydney:PDN)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
AU$14.00
▼(-3.71% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/13/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and materially negative free cash flow despite a sharp revenue ramp. Offsetting that, technicals remain constructive with a strong multi-month uptrend and neutral momentum, and the earnings call showed solid ramp-up execution, margins, and liquidity with guidance trending toward the upper end. Valuation remains challenged due to ongoing losses and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Production ramp and upgraded guidance
A sustained production ramp that has already shown 16% quarterly growth and guidance trending toward the upper end of FY2026 materially increases medium‑term volume visibility. Greater output supports revenue stability, scale benefits, and better ability to fulfill utility contracts as operations normalize into FY2027.
Negative Factors
Negative operating profitability and net loss
Persistent operating losses and a significant net loss indicate the business has not yet converted higher revenues into sustainable profits. Continued negative margins will pressure returns and may require structural improvements in mine sequencing, cost control or sustained higher realized prices to achieve durable profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Production ramp and upgraded guidance
A sustained production ramp that has already shown 16% quarterly growth and guidance trending toward the upper end of FY2026 materially increases medium‑term volume visibility. Greater output supports revenue stability, scale benefits, and better ability to fulfill utility contracts as operations normalize into FY2027.
Read all positive factors
Paladin Energy Ltd (PDN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$6.12B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.82M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.63
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS Growth-163.65%
CountryAU
Employees307
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryUranium
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.02
Shares Outstanding449,358,430
10 Day Avg. Volume2,318,312
30 Day Avg. Volume2,817,466
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.24
Price to Book (P/B)2.06
Price to Sales (P/S)10.52
P/FCF Ratio-35.55
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$13.20Price Target Upside-9.25% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering11
EPS Forecast (FY)0.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$302.20M
Paladin Energy Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Paladin Energy Limited develops, explores for, and operates uranium mines in Australia, Canada, and Africa. The company operates through Exploration, Namibia, and Australia segments. Its flagship project is the Langer Heinrich mine located in the ...
How the Company Makes Money
Paladin primarily makes money by selling uranium oxide (U3O8) produced from its mining operations into the nuclear fuel market. Revenue is generated when uranium is delivered and sold under sales arrangements that may include long-term offtake/uti...
Paladin Energy Ltd Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial performance this quarter — with significant production growth (16%), improved recovery (91%), lower unit costs (USD 39.70/lb), robust realized pricing (USD 71.80/lb) and a solid cash position (USD 278M plus a USD 70M undrawn facility). Management balanced these positives with reminders that FY2026 is a ramp-up year, fleet commissioning and mine-plan optimization remain ongoing, and near-term cost and sequencing uncertainty persists. Overall, highlights (robust production, recovery, pricing, margin and liquidity) materially outweigh the manageable ramp-up and timing risks.Positive Updates
Quarterly Production Increase
Langer Heinrich produced 1.23 million pounds of U3O8 in the quarter, a 16% increase versus the prior quarter, reflecting ramp-up momentum.
Negative Updates
Ramp-up Uncertainty and Near-Term Cost Pressure
Management emphasized FY2026 is a ramp-up year; mining activity will increase unit costs next quarter and there remains uncertainty around achieving full-year outperformance until commissioning and optimization of the new fleet are complete.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Quarterly Production Increase
Langer Heinrich produced 1.23 million pounds of U3O8 in the quarter, a 16% increase versus the prior quarter, reflecting ramp-up momentum.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management maintained FY2026 guidance of 4.0–4.4 million pounds U3O8 and said production is trending toward the upper end, after producing 1.23 million pounds in the December quarter (up 16% QoQ) and delivering 1.43 million pounds of sales at an average realized price of USD 71.80/lb; operational metrics improved with average ore feed grade of 524 ppm and plant recovery at 91% (above the 85–90% target), while unit production cost fell to USD 39.70/lb but is expected to rise next quarter as mining increases (overall cost guidance unchanged). Management reiterated the ramp‑up will complete by the end of FY2026 with full mining operations in FY2027 as the new fleet (currently 49% on site, moving toward ~110% before optimizing to 100%) is commissioned in H1 calendar year, FY2027 guidance will be provided in July, and the company enters the period with USD 278 million of cash and investments, a fully undrawn USD 70 million revolver, inventories around 1.6–1.8 (≈4 months of production), and a trailing‑12‑month TRIF of 2.9% with no serious environmental or radiation incidents.Paladin Energy Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
29
Negative
| Breakdown | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 177.68M | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.70M | 2.98M |
| Gross Profit | 4.10M | -7.54M | -6.67M | 7.00K | -3.00M |
| EBITDA | -30.37M | -17.44M | -17.94M | -11.72M | -11.80M |
| Net Income | -44.64M | 81.84M | -10.57M | -26.74M | -43.98M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.13B | 621.78M | 473.05M | 699.48M | 481.07M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 89.05M | 48.86M | 126.64M | 258.95M | 30.66M |
| Total Debt | 197.09M | 167.35M | 90.49M | 115.60M | 92.68M |
| Total Liabilities | 324.32M | 223.97M | 137.96M | 178.26M | 152.45M |
| Stockholders Equity | 907.42M | 471.79M | 407.57M | 600.64M | 377.25M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -52.58M | -65.42M | -12.02M | -11.00M | -66.29M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -3.80M | -48.12M | -9.38M | -9.37M | -64.79M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 26.60M | -94.65M | -35.79M | 11.96M | -2.21M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 14.65M | 65.92M | 85.00K | 157.40M | 1.20M |
Paladin Energy Ltd Technical Analysis
Positive
14.54
Price Trends
12.20
Positive
11.18
Positive
9.52
Positive
Market Momentum
0.55
Negative
69.98
Neutral
88.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:PDN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.90, above the 50-day MA of 12.20, and above the 200-day MA of 9.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:PDN.
Paladin Energy Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
63 Neutral | AU$930.64M | -222.58 | -0.94% | ― | ― | 60.83% | |
58 Neutral | AU$6.12B | -41.88 | -4.87% | ― | ― | -163.65% | |
52 Neutral | AU$11.25B | -23.97 | -17.60% | ― | ― | -305.93% | |
49 Neutral | AU$1.97B | -57.60 | 0.29% | ― | -100.00% | ― | |
45 Neutral | AU$191.91M | -16.35 | -12.34% | ― | ― | -67.12% | |
43 Neutral | AU$1.62B | -24.17 | 4.35% | ― | -100.00% | 98.06% |
* Energy Sector Average
AU:PDN
Paladin Energy Ltd
12.87
7.91
159.48%
AU:BKY
Berkeley Energia
0.44
-0.14
-25.00%
AU:BMN
Bannerman Energy
4.25
2.30
117.95%
AU:DYL
Deep Yellow Limited
1.97
1.03
110.16%
AU:ERA
Energy Resources of Australia Class A
―
―
―
AU:NXG
NexGen Energy Ltd. Shs Chess Depository Interests repr 1 shs
17.09
9.47
124.28%
Paladin Energy Ltd Corporate Events
Paladin Energy flags risks and reporting caveats in March quarter materials
Apr 21, 2026
Paladin Energy has released a March 2026 quarter presentation that primarily serves as a detailed disclaimer document around its recent quarterly reporting and technical disclosures. The company underscores that the material is informational only,...
Paladin lifts uranium output and guidance as Canadian PLS project clears key approval
Apr 21, 2026
Paladin Energy reported another quarter of operational gains at its Langer Heinrich Mine, with U3O8 production rising 5% to 1.29Mlb on stronger processing performance and higher recoveries, and year-to-date output prompting an upgrade to full-year...
Paladin Energy flags isolated administrative lapse in director interest disclosure
Apr 10, 2026
Paladin Energy has disclosed that an Appendix 3Y notice detailing a change in director Paul Hemburrow’s interests was lodged late with the ASX due to an administrative oversight. The company said the underlying change in Hemburrow’s ho...
Paladin director Anne Templeman-Jones acquires first stake in company
Apr 7, 2026
Paladin Energy has disclosed a change in director Anne Templeman-Jones’ holdings, with the non-executive director acquiring 3,395 ordinary shares in the company. The purchase, executed as an on-market trade on the ASX for approximately AUD37...
Paladin Faces Métis Legal Challenge to Patterson Lake South Environmental Approval
Mar 31, 2026
Paladin Energy has acknowledged that the Métis Nation–Saskatchewan has filed a judicial review in the Saskatchewan Court of King’s Bench challenging the provincial environment minister’s approval of the Environmental Impact ...
Paladin Energy Issues Extensive Risk and Disclosure Notice for Jefferies Asia Forum Presentation
Mar 16, 2026
Paladin Energy has issued a detailed presentation disclaimer ahead of its appearance at the Jefferies 7th Asia Forum, stressing that the material is informational only and does not constitute an offer, prospectus or investment advice. The company ...
Paladin Energy Issues New Unquoted Performance Rights Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Mar 11, 2026
Paladin Energy Ltd has notified the market of the issue of 335,515 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme. The securities, which will not be quoted on the ASX, were issued on March 6, 2026, and reflect the company’s ...
Paladin Energy Seeks ASX Quotation for New Employee Incentive Shares
Mar 5, 2026
Paladin Energy has applied to the ASX for quotation of 30,000 new fully paid ordinary shares issued on 4 March 2026 under an employee incentive scheme. The modest share issuance reflects ongoing use of equity-based compensation but is not of a sca...
Paladin Energy Wins Key Environmental Approval for Canadian Uranium Project
Feb 20, 2026
Paladin Energy has secured ministerial approval of its Environmental Impact Statement for the Patterson Lake South uranium project in Canada’s Athabasca Basin, marking a key regulatory step. The shallow, high‑grade project has passed S...
Paladin Energy Requests Trading Halt Ahead of Key Patterson Lake South Approval
Feb 19, 2026
Paladin Energy has requested an immediate trading halt in its securities on the ASX, with the pause to remain in place until either a forthcoming announcement is released or normal trading resumes on 24 February 2026. The halt is tied to an approv...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.