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Alligator Energy Ltd (AU:AGE)
ASX:AGE
Australian Market

Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Alligator Energy Ltd

(Sydney:AGE)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.00
▼(-100.00%Downside)
The overall stock score for Alligator Energy Ltd is driven primarily by its financial performance, which shows robust equity but significant profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical analysis provides a moderate boost with neutral indicators, while the valuation score is low due to negative earnings and lack of dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data means their potential impact is not factored into the score.

Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Alligator Energy Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlligator Energy Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in Australia and Italy. The company primarily explores for uranium, nickel, cobalt, copper, and other energy mineral deposits. It holds interests in the Alligator Rivers Uranium Project located in Northern Territory; Samphire Uranium Project South Australia and Big Lake Uranium Project situated in South Australia; and Piedmont project located in Northern Italy. The company has a strategic relationship with Traxys North America LLC to provide uranium marketing services for future uranium production, long term offtake contracting, project development financing, and assistance in uranium project acquisition opportunities. Alligator Energy Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlligator Energy Ltd makes money through the exploration and potential sale of mineral resources, primarily uranium. The company's revenue model is centered on the successful identification, development, and eventual commercialization of its mineral projects. Key revenue streams include exploration grants, partnerships with larger mining companies, and the sale or joint development of its projects. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include the global demand for uranium, strategic partnerships, and investment in exploration technologies. Additionally, as the company progresses its projects towards production, it may enter into off-take agreements or secure financing deals to monetize its resource base.

Alligator Energy Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alligator Energy Ltd shows some revenue growth but struggles with profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is robust with strong equity and low debt, providing a buffer against financial instability. However, cash flow remains a concern due to ongoing negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The income statement reflects some revenue growth, with a notable increase from the previous year, but it remains low overall. Gross profit margin has shown an improvement, but both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational inefficiencies. The net profit margin is also negative, reflecting ongoing losses, which is a concern for profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an improving equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is very low, indicating limited leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, which is a significant downside. The company maintains a healthy cash balance, contributing to financial stability.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates negative free cash flow, driven by significant capital expenditures and negative operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. Despite this, the company has managed to secure financing, which supports its cash position.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.11M1.11M601.62K32.31K0.000.00
Gross Profit
1.11M1.11M565.20K29.09K-5.68K-5.47K
EBIT
-2.49M-2.15M-2.97M-2.28M-1.01M-991.29K
EBITDA
-2.81M-2.44M-2.81M-1.90M-985.64K-963.73K
Net Income Common Stockholders
-3.44M-3.45M-2.86M-2.25M-991.32K-985.48K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
20.25M28.39M18.50M27.13M1.63M903.95K
Total Assets
67.06M68.14M44.12M44.59M13.82M9.10M
Total Debt
216.73K247.50K306.47K0.000.000.00
Net Debt
-20.04M-28.14M-18.19M-27.13M-1.63M-903.95K
Total Liabilities
2.46M2.28M2.68M590.71K469.61K471.88K
Stockholders Equity
64.59M65.85M41.44M44.00M13.35M8.63M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-14.80M-15.99M-8.48M-4.63M-1.43M-1.04M
Operating Cash Flow
-1.55M-1.71M-1.53M-1.70M-789.78K-713.46K
Investing Cash Flow
-14.65M-15.38M-7.08M-2.96M-56.03K-50.41K
Financing Cash Flow
-75.00K26.99M-25.00K30.15M1.57M892.80K

Alligator Energy Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.03
Price Trends
50DMA
0.03
Positive
100DMA
0.03
Negative
200DMA
0.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
50.96
Neutral
STOCH
34.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AGE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, above the 50-day MA of 0.03, and below the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:AGE.

Alligator Energy Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$7.16B3.10-4.49%5.66%0.82%-49.15%
AUAGE
51
Neutral
AU$123.96M-5.22%
$1.68B26.81-1.76%
$320.76M-4.30%
$1.10B22.62-4.52%
$850.94M-1.42%
$527.27M
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AGE
Alligator Energy Ltd
0.03
-0.03
-50.00%
PALAF
Paladin Energy Ltd
4.17
-5.81
-58.22%
BNNLF
Bannerman Energy
1.89
-0.80
-29.74%
BQSSF
Boss Energy
2.59
-0.32
-11.00%
DYLLF
Deep Yellow Limited
0.84
-0.17
-16.83%
EGRAF
Energy Resources of Australia Class A
0.02
>-0.01
-33.33%

Alligator Energy Ltd Corporate Events

Alligator Energy Advances Samphire Uranium Project to Trial Production
Jun 3, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd has announced its plans to advance the Samphire Uranium Project into trial production. This move signifies a significant step in the company’s operations, potentially enhancing its position within the uranium mining sector. The announcement may have implications for stakeholders as it indicates progress in the company’s project development and could influence future market performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AGE) stock is a Buy with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:AGE Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Energy’s Stake in EnviroCopper Advances with Trial Approval
Jun 2, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd has announced that EnviroCopper Limited, in which it holds a 15.6% stake, has received approval to conduct a Site Environmental Lixiviant Trial (SELT) at its Kapunda Project in South Australia. This trial aims to test the feasibility of extracting copper using ISR technology, which could lead to further feasibility studies and a potential mining lease application. The trial is funded by BHP and is expected to run from late 2025 into early 2026. Successful results could significantly enhance Alligator’s ISR capabilities and market positioning, while also attracting international investment for further development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AGE) stock is a Buy with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:AGE Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Energy Announces Director’s Share Acquisition
May 14, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Peter Thomas McIntyre. The change reflects an acquisition of 781,000 fully paid ordinary shares by the McIntyre Family Trust through an on-market purchase, increasing the total holdings of ordinary shares to 38,256,379. This acquisition indicates a continued confidence in the company’s prospects and may positively impact stakeholder perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AGE) stock is a Buy with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:AGE Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Energy Announces Leadership Transition Amid Uranium Production Shift
May 12, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd has announced a leadership transition as it moves towards becoming a uranium producer. Greg Hall will step down as CEO, with Andrea Marsland-Smith, the current COO, taking over from July 2025. Marsland-Smith brings extensive experience in uranium ISR operations, which is crucial for the company’s next growth phase, including the Samphire mine’s development. Hall will remain with the company in a part-time role focusing on marketing and investor relations. This strategic shift aims to align the company’s leadership with its future needs and leverage the supportive uranium market conditions to advance its projects.

Alligator Energy Boosts Blackbush Uranium Resource Estimate
May 6, 2025

Alligator Energy has announced an updated Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE) for its Blackbush Deposit within the Samphire Project, showing a 10% increase in the Indicated portion of the resource to 14.2 million pounds at an average grade of 786 ppm U3O8. This enhancement reflects a 135% increase since the start of drilling in 2022 and positions the company for potential increased production rates. The updated MRE, prepared by AMC Consultants, highlights the improved accuracy and integrity of the resource, which is crucial for the upcoming Definitive Feasibility Study and well field designs. The company plans to focus future drilling efforts on the Plumbush prospect and the Blackbush Extension, pending access arrangements and heritage surveys.

Alligator Energy Advances Key Projects with Regulatory and Exploration Milestones
Apr 30, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd has made significant progress in its Samphire Project, having received a Retention Lease for its in-situ recovery Field Recovery Trial and is awaiting final regulatory approvals. The company has also advanced its Big Lake Project with exploration approvals and commenced drilling, although operations were temporarily halted due to flooding. Additionally, the Alligator Rivers Projects have yielded promising results with new mineralization discoveries and notable surface sampling outcomes, enhancing the company’s resource base and exploration potential.

Alligator Energy Halts Drilling at Big Lake Project Due to Flood Threat
Apr 8, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd has halted its drilling operations at the Big Lake Uranium Project due to impending floodwaters from heavy rains in Western Queensland. The company has initiated demobilization procedures to ensure the safety of personnel and equipment, issuing a force majeure notice to its drilling contractor. The floods are expected to cause significant disruption, with access to the area potentially cut off for a prolonged period. Despite the challenges, Alligator Energy remains committed to keeping stakeholders informed about flood developments and future drilling plans.

Alligator Energy Announces Cessation of Securities
Apr 7, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd announced the cessation of 2,006,421 securities due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions for these securities were not met by March 31, 2025. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could influence investor perceptions regarding the company’s ability to meet certain operational conditions.

Alligator Energy Unveils Promising 2024 Exploration Results in Uranium Province
Mar 31, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd has announced the results of its 2024 exploration program in the Alligator Rivers Uranium Province, highlighting significant findings in the Nabarlek North and Tin Camp Creek Projects. The program included 3,526 meters of RC drilling, revealing new uranium mineralization at the Bully prospect and extending known mineralization at the U40 prospect. Surface sampling also identified multiple uranium anomalies and promising results in rare earth oxides and high purity silica. These findings could enhance Alligator’s exploration strategy and position in the uranium industry, particularly with the entry of a new significant player in the region.

Alligator Energy Ltd Releases Half-Year Financial Report
Mar 13, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd has released its half-year financial report for the period ending December 31, 2024. The report includes various financial statements and declarations, providing insights into the company’s financial position and performance over the past six months. This release is crucial for stakeholders as it offers a detailed view of the company’s financial health and operational efficiency, which can impact future investment decisions.

Alligator Energy Advances Samphire Uranium Project with Key Regulatory Submission
Mar 9, 2025

Alligator Energy Ltd has submitted the Program for Environment Protection and Rehabilitation (PEPR) for its Samphire Uranium Project’s Field Recovery Trial (FRT) in South Australia. This submission marks a crucial step in the regulatory process, with the PEPR approval being the final requirement before on-site construction can begin. The trial aims to establish technical operating parameters and reduce risks for future production, contributing to a feasibility study for a full-scale ISR mine. The company has prepared a prefabricated pilot plant and selected a local contractor for construction, anticipating the trial to solidify Samphire’s potential as a key uranium mine in the region.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.