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Northern Minerals Limited (AU:NTU)
ASX:NTU
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Northern Minerals Limited (NTU) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NTU

Northern Minerals Limited

(Sydney:NTU)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▲(20.00% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/22/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (steep revenue decline, ongoing losses, and very high leverage) and limited valuation support due to negative earnings. Technical indicators are comparatively neutral, providing only modest offset to the fundamental risks.
Positive Factors
Strategic asset exposure to heavy rare earths
Northern Minerals' primary asset is a heavy rare earth project targeting elements used in advanced technologies and clean energy. That alignment with structural demand for critical minerals supports long-term commercial relevance if the project advances to production.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio of 9.35 signals heavy reliance on debt financing. High leverage raises refinancing and default risk, increases interest burdens, and materially constrains the company's financial flexibility to fund project development or absorb operational shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strategic asset exposure to heavy rare earths
Northern Minerals' primary asset is a heavy rare earth project targeting elements used in advanced technologies and clean energy. That alignment with structural demand for critical minerals supports long-term commercial relevance if the project advances to production.
Read all positive factors

Northern Minerals Limited (NTU) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Northern Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Northern Minerals Limited is an Australian company primarily engaged in the exploration and assessment of mineral deposits containing rare earth elements. The firm specifically targets dysprosium and other valuable heavy rare earths. Its flagship ...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Northern Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate material weakness: sharply declining revenue (-67.71% growth), negative profitability (net margin -18.96% with negative EBIT/EBITDA), and high leverage (debt-to-equity 9.35) with negative ROE. Cash flow is also negative on operating and free cash flow, adding to financial risk despite a slightly >1 free cash flow to net income ratio.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.44M1.44M4.47M6.54K3.90M0.00
Gross Profit1.07M1.44M4.47M-522.62K3.39M-1.62M
EBITDA-28.11M-26.04M-28.84M-20.61M-21.43M-16.46M
Net Income-28.38M-27.37M-31.59M-22.29M-24.36M-8.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.37M28.76M13.94M17.40M12.77M37.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.96M24.29M8.25M11.69M2.86M19.90M
Total Debt781.92K15.84M15.40M13.36M247.02K292.34K
Total Liabilities10.86M27.06M27.95M23.87M7.19M8.77M
Stockholders Equity42.51M1.69M-14.01M-6.47M5.58M29.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-27.86M-26.16M-26.50M-14.20M-17.42M-8.52M
Operating Cash Flow-27.56M-25.80M-26.12M-14.09M-16.93M-885.01K
Investing Cash Flow-38.29M-473.14K-556.78K699.56K-499.80K-7.65M
Financing Cash Flow41.05M42.41M23.24M22.23M259.70K21.82M

Northern Minerals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.03
Negative
100DMA
0.03
Negative
200DMA
0.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
41.45
Neutral
STOCH
15.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NTU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, below the 50-day MA of 0.03, and below the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:NTU.

Northern Minerals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
48
Neutral
AU$191.69M-30.56-14.67%22.86%
45
Neutral
AU$238.60M-7.58-128.41%36.54%
44
Neutral
AU$319.28M-10.68-10.21%294.23%37.64%
44
Neutral
AU$26.85M-4.69-19.53%-8.74%
43
Neutral
AU$24.79M-3.62-5.94%-99.74%-22.67%
41
Neutral
AU$68.31M-0.88-67.75%69.69%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NTU
Northern Minerals Limited
0.03
>-0.01
-16.67%
AU:ARR
American Rare Earths
0.33
0.09
34.69%
AU:ASM
Australian Strategic Materials Ltd
1.18
0.67
132.67%
AU:HAS
Hastings Technology Metals Limited
0.30
0.05
20.48%
AU:VML
Vital Metals Ltd
0.10
0.04
66.67%
AU:AR3
Australian Rare Earths Limited
0.11
0.05
98.11%

Northern Minerals Limited Corporate Events

Northern Minerals Cancels 2025 AGM as It Advances Browns Range Rare Earths Project
Jun 25, 2026
Northern Minerals Limited has formally cancelled its 2025 annual general meeting that had been called for 27 October 2025 and plans to convene a new 2025 AGM by 30 September 2026. The company said it will announce the new meeting date to sharehold...
Northern Minerals Wins ASIC Extension to Delay 2025 AGM Amid Forced Share Disposals
Jun 16, 2026
Northern Minerals has secured an extension from the Australian Securities and Investments Commission to delay its 2025 annual general meeting, originally required by 30 June 2026, in light of government-ordered share disposals affecting about 17.6...
Northern Minerals Lifts Browns Range Resources and Pushes Toward Delayed Final Investment Decision
Apr 30, 2026
Northern Minerals reported a strong safety performance for the March quarter, maintaining a zero Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate and no lost time injuries while progressing pre-development work at its Browns Range Heavy Rare Earths Project....
Northern Minerals boosts high-grade Dazzler rare earths resource at Browns Range
Apr 29, 2026
Northern Minerals has reported a major upgrade to the Mineral Resource Estimate for the Dazzler deposit at its Browns Range Heavy Rare Earths Project in Western Australia, boosting confidence in this high-grade heavy rare earths asset. Dazzler, th...
Treasurer Blocks Voting and Transfer of Northern Minerals Stake Under FIRB Probe
Apr 1, 2026
Northern Minerals has disclosed that the Australian Treasurer has issued interim directions restricting the transfer and voting rights of 361,538,264 of its shares now held by Hong Kong Ying Tak Limited. These shares were originally owned by Black...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026