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Estrella Resources Limited (AU:ESR)
ASX:ESR
Australian Market

Estrella Resources Limited (ESR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ESR

Estrella Resources Limited

(Sydney:ESR)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.04
▲(26.67% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak operating performance (minimal revenue, recurring losses, and negative operating/free cash flow), despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals show strong recent momentum but are overextended (very high RSI/stochastic), and valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage / effectively zero debt
Near-zero debt provides durable financial flexibility, lowering insolvency risk and preserving borrowing capacity. This structural strength gives management time to execute turnaround plans or pursue opportunities without immediate pressure from interest costs or covenant constraints, supporting survival and optionality.
Growing shareholders' equity cushion
An expanding equity base provides a lasting capital cushion to absorb ongoing operating losses and support working capital needs. This structural buffer reduces short-term refinancing urgency, enabling management to focus on rebuilding revenues or restructuring operations without immediate solvent pressure.
Improving free cash flow trend versus 2023
An improving free cash flow trend, even if still negative, signals operational progress in reducing cash burn. If sustained, this structural improvement lowers financing needs over months, improves runway, and indicates managerial execution toward cash discipline and eventual self-funded growth.
Negative Factors
Negligible recent revenue base
A near-zero revenue base is a fundamental constraint on recovery: it prevents internal funding of operations, limits proof of market product fit, and hampers scale economies. Without a sustained revenue stream, the company cannot reliably convert its balance sheet strength into profitable growth.
Persistent and sizable net losses
Recurring multi-year losses structurally erode retained capital and constrain reinvestment. Over a 2–6 month horizon this trend predicts continued pressure on equity and limits ability to fund R&D, marketing, or operations, increasing the need for dilutive financing or strategic capital raises.
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow indicates structural cash burn, forcing reliance on external funding. This reduces strategic flexibility, increases dilution and refinancing risk, and limits the company's ability to invest in growth or margin-improvement initiatives without securing new capital.

Estrella Resources Limited (ESR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Estrella Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEstrella Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, explores for and develops nickel projects in Western Australia. It holds 100% interests in the Carr Boyd nickel project that includes three mining leases and six exploration licenses located near the city of Kalgoorlie-Boulder; and Spargoville nickel project situated near South-West of Kambalda. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyEstrella Resources Limited primarily makes money through the exploration and development of mineral resources, specifically nickel, copper, and gold. The company generates revenue by identifying promising mineral deposits, advancing them through exploration and development stages, and potentially selling or partnering with larger mining companies for further development and production. Key revenue streams include proceeds from the sale of mineral rights, joint venture agreements, and eventual production royalties or direct sales of extracted minerals. Strategic partnerships with larger mining firms can also provide crucial funding and expertise, enabling Estrella Resources to advance its projects more efficiently and profitably.

Estrella Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Estrella Resources Limited faces ongoing financial hurdles, with declining revenues and consistent losses affecting profitability and growth prospects. The balance sheet reflects a cautious approach with no debt, but cash flow issues persist, highlighting the need for better operational efficiencies. The company must focus on revitalizing its revenue streams and improving cash management to enhance its financial position.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Estrella Resources Limited has faced significant challenges in revenue generation with TTM revenue at zero, indicating halted sales activity. The company has consistently operated at a loss, with a negative net profit margin. Revenue growth has been volatile, with no consistent upward trajectory, highlighting instability in generating income.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
The company maintains a relatively strong equity position with no long-term debt, resulting in a zero debt-to-equity ratio. However, the equity ratio has been slightly decreasing, which may indicate an erosion of asset base relative to equity. Despite this, the company still holds a significant portion of its assets as equity, suggesting some financial stability.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash flow management remains a challenge, with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow consistently over recent years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, indicating inefficiencies in converting operations into cash. However, the company has managed to secure financing to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue36.12K0.000.00405.52K2.29K1.38M
Gross Profit-20.46K-112.43K-141.00K405.52K2.29K19.62K
EBITDA-1.96M-1.96M-2.77M-1.38M-2.13M-428.00K
Net Income-2.08M-2.08M-2.99M-1.60M-2.28M-543.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.90M29.90M21.11M23.33M21.14M15.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.56M6.56M359.61K1.08M776.39K3.61M
Total Debt0.000.000.001.04M0.00275.33K
Total Liabilities5.74M5.74M390.24K1.30M1.46M1.40M
Stockholders Equity24.16M24.16M20.72M22.03M19.67M14.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.80M-1.33M-1.44M-5.20M-9.62M-8.03M
Operating Cash Flow-1.27M-1.27M-1.15M-1.13M-1.26M-824.41K
Investing Cash Flow-2.33M-2.33M-287.09K-3.04M-8.12M-5.40M
Financing Cash Flow10.02M10.02M586.22K4.50M6.55M9.74M

Estrella Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
AU$153.55M11.7122.56%64.66%
46
Neutral
AU$79.40M-35.45-9.27%35.29%
46
Neutral
AU$394.88M-5.71-111.27%66.10%
46
Neutral
AU$90.15M-0.27%-100.00%
44
Neutral
AU$125.71M-6.58-21.39%-280.00%
40
Underperform
€418.39M-15.44-77.68%22.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ESR
Estrella Resources Limited
0.04
0.02
62.50%
AU:EUR
European Lithium
0.29
0.21
285.14%
AU:SGQ
St. George Mining Ltd.
0.11
0.08
303.85%
AU:DRX
Diatreme Resources Limited
0.02
>-0.01
-14.29%
AU:QPM
QPM Energy
0.04
-0.02
-36.92%
AU:FHE
Frontier Energy Limited
0.23
0.11
87.50%

Estrella Resources Limited Corporate Events

Estrella Resources Issues 250,000 New Shares Under Section 708A
Jan 13, 2026

Estrella Resources Limited has issued 250,000 new fully paid ordinary shares on 13 January 2026, expanding its share capital base. The company states that the shares were issued without a prospectus under the relevant Corporations Act provisions and confirms it is up to date with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations, with no undisclosed information that would materially affect investors’ assessment of the company or the rights attached to the new securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ESR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Estrella Resources Limited stock, see the AU:ESR Stock Forecast page.

Estrella Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 250,000 New Shares
Jan 13, 2026

Estrella Resources Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 250,000 new ordinary fully paid shares. The securities, issued on 13 January 2026 following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible instruments, will modestly expand the company’s quoted capital base, signalling ongoing utilisation of its equity incentive or financing structures and incremental dilution for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ESR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Estrella Resources Limited stock, see the AU:ESR Stock Forecast page.

Estrella Wins Approval for First Bulk Manganese Extraction in Timor-Leste
Jan 7, 2026

Estrella Resources has secured regulatory approval from Timor-Leste’s Autoridade Nacional dos Minerais to extract up to 30,000 tonnes of high-grade manganese oxide from its Ira Miri Manganese Project as a bulk market sample. The program, which will be Timor-Leste’s first economic mineral bulk extraction under its modern Mining Code, will provide ore for export, metallurgical and quality testing, and commercial appraisal with potential international offtake partners. Estrella has mobilised extraction equipment, designed a shallow 15-metre pit to target previously intersected high-grade and thick manganese zones, and identified a nearby shallow-draft landing craft port site to barge material offshore directly to bulk carriers, streamlining logistics and advancing the project toward potential long-term sales agreements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ESR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Estrella Resources Limited stock, see the AU:ESR Stock Forecast page.

Estrella Resources Plans Issue of 10 Million Long-Dated Options
Jan 4, 2026

Estrella Resources Limited has outlined plans to issue up to 10 million new zero exercise price options, expiring on 4 January 2031, as part of a placement or other type of security issue on the ASX, with the proposed issue date set for 14 January 2026. The move signals the company’s intention to use long-dated options as part of its capital management and incentive structure, potentially affecting its capital base and aligning stakeholders with Estrella’s longer-term performance, subject to ASX processes and approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ESR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Estrella Resources Limited stock, see the AU:ESR Stock Forecast page.

Estrella Reshapes Leadership to Drive Timor-Leste Limestone and Manganese Push
Jan 4, 2026

Estrella Resources has overhauled its senior leadership to support the development of its emerging limestone and manganese projects in Timor-Leste, appointing experienced mining executive Robert Mencel as Chief Executive Officer with a planned transition to Managing Director by 30 June 2026. Outgoing Managing Director Chris Daws will move into a Business Development role focused on asset deals and strengthening relationships with government and strategic partners, while additional technical and operational hires are underway, signalling the company’s shift into a more advanced project development and future production phase in Timor-Leste.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ESR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Estrella Resources Limited stock, see the AU:ESR Stock Forecast page.

Estrella Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 1 Million New Shares
Dec 19, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of an additional 1,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares under its existing ESR ticker. These new securities, issued on 19 December 2025 following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities, will modestly increase the company’s free float and share liquidity, offering existing stakeholders incremental tradable equity without altering the overall structure of its quoted security class.

Estrella Resources Reports Key Manganese and Limestone Developments in Timor-Leste
Dec 17, 2025

Estrella Resources announced significant assay results for its Ira Miri Manganese Prospect, confirming high-grade mineralisation and potential for expanded horizons. Drilling at the Werumata Limestone Deposit also revealed substantial material, including a newly identified marl unit with economic implications, enhancing its strategic value. Together, these developments strengthen Estrella’s positioning for further exploration and resource growth within Timor-Leste.

Estrella Resources Unveils High-Grade Manganese Findings at Ira Miri
Dec 12, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has announced exceptional assay results from its drilling activities at the Ira Miri Manganese Prospect in Timor-Leste, highlighting the discovery of high-grade manganese deposits with grades reaching up to 58% Mn. These results suggest the potential for significant extensions and a large, continuous sedimentary deposit, positioning Ira Miri as a strategic and potentially high-value discovery in the global manganese market.

Estrella Resources Highlights Exploration Efforts in Timor-Leste
Dec 3, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has released a presentation summarizing its exploration and development activities, particularly highlighting its operations in Timor-Leste. The announcement underscores the company’s commitment to advancing its mineral exploration efforts, although it cautions that visual estimates of mineral abundance should not replace laboratory analyses. The presentation has been authorized for release to the ASX, reflecting Estrella’s ongoing transparency with stakeholders.

Estrella Resources Announces Director’s Change in Securities Interest
Nov 28, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has announced a change in the interests of its director, Les Pereira, involving the conversion of 3,500,000 unlisted options into fully paid ordinary shares. This transaction, valued at $105,000, reflects a strategic move in the company’s financial management, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

Estrella Resources Issues 4 Million New Shares
Nov 28, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has issued 4,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares as of November 28, 2025, without requiring disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act 2001. The company confirms compliance with relevant provisions of the Corporations Act and assures investors that no information has been withheld that would affect their assessment of the company’s financial position or the rights attached to the securities.

Estrella Resources Limited Issues 4 Million New Shares for ASX Quotation
Nov 28, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited announced the issuance of 4,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares, which are set to be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of November 28, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its financial flexibility and support its ongoing exploration and development projects, potentially impacting its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Estrella Resources Identifies New Drill Targets at Ira Miri Project
Nov 27, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has announced the results of a Resistivity–Induced Polarisation survey at its Ira Miri manganese project in Timor-Leste. The survey identified multiple high-chargeability zones that align with known manganese outcrops and drill intersections, suggesting significant potential for manganese oxide mineralisation. The findings include three primary anomalous zones, with one high-priority target interpreted as a northern extension of existing mineralisation. These results will guide further drilling plans, with operations set to resume in the 2026 field season, potentially enhancing Estrella’s position in the region and offering promising opportunities for stakeholders.

Estrella Resources Withdraws AGM Resolution Due to Lack of Support
Nov 27, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has announced the withdrawal of Resolution 3 from its upcoming Annual General Meeting agenda due to insufficient support from proxy instructions. This decision will not impact the validity of proxy forms submitted for other resolutions, and the rest of the AGM agenda will proceed as planned.

Estrella Resources Advances Exploration in Timor-Leste
Nov 23, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has made significant progress in its exploration efforts in Timor-Leste, particularly at the Werumata Limestone Project and the Ira Miri Manganese Prospect. The company has completed over 70% of initial drilling at Werumata, with promising results indicating the potential for a large calcite resource. Additionally, the Ira Miri Manganese Prospect has shown mineralization in 29 out of 45 drill holes, with further samples being sent for analysis. Estrella is working towards developing a deep-water port for limestone export and is in discussions with the Timor-Leste government for project approvals and agreements.

Estrella Resources Issues 500 Million Unquoted Options
Nov 11, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 500,000,000 unquoted options, exercisable at $0.05 and expiring on November 11, 2030. This strategic move could potentially enhance the company’s capital structure and provide financial flexibility, impacting its operational capabilities and stakeholder interests positively.

Estrella Resources Director Increases Stake with New Share Acquisition
Nov 5, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Les Pereira, who has acquired 92,000 fully paid ordinary shares valued at $2,668 through Nannook Holdings Pty Ltd. This acquisition reflects a strategic move to increase Pereira’s stake in the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects and impacting stakeholder perceptions positively.

Estrella Resources Launches Drilling Campaign in Timor-Leste
Oct 28, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has commenced its maiden drilling campaign at the Werumata Limestone Project in Timor-Leste, marking a significant step in their exploration efforts. The company has mobilized drilling equipment and completed necessary preparations, including water resources and community engagement. This initiative is part of Estrella’s commitment to developing mineral opportunities in Timor-Leste, supported by strong relationships with local government and communities, and aims to capitalize on Timor-Leste’s recent entry into ASEAN.

Estrella Resources Schedules Annual General Meeting for November 2025
Oct 24, 2025

Estrella Resources Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting, scheduled for November 28, 2025, at their Perth office. The meeting will address several key items, including the adoption of the Remuneration Report for the financial year ending June 30, 2025. Shareholders are encouraged to review the Explanatory Memorandum for detailed information on the agenda items, and voting restrictions apply to certain personnel and their closely related parties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026