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Mount Gibson Iron Limited (AU:MGX)
ASX:MGX
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Mount Gibson Iron Limited (MGX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MGX

Mount Gibson Iron Limited

(Sydney:MGX)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.34
▼(-27.02% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:11/30/25
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and profitability. Technical analysis suggests a neutral trend with potential overbought conditions. Valuation concerns are highlighted by a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield, indicating potential risks. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong capital structure
A low debt-to-equity profile provides durable financial flexibility through commodity cycles. It reduces refinancing risk, supports funding of maintenance capex and working capital from internal resources, and preserves optionality to pursue projects or weather downturns without urgent capital raises.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
Sustained revenue declines reduce scale economies and bargaining power with contractors and buyers. Over multiple quarters this pressures margins, constrains reinvestment in mines and processing, and can force asset disposals or higher-cost funding to sustain operations, weakening long-term competitiveness.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / strong capital structure
A low debt-to-equity profile provides durable financial flexibility through commodity cycles. It reduces refinancing risk, supports funding of maintenance capex and working capital from internal resources, and preserves optionality to pursue projects or weather downturns without urgent capital raises.
Read all positive factors

Mount Gibson Iron Limited (MGX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MGX Resources Ltd. engages in the business of mining, exploration, and development of hematite iron ore deposits. It operates through the Koolan Island segment. The Koolan Island segment includes the mining, crushing and sale of iron ore direct fr...
How the Company Makes Money
MGX makes money primarily by producing and selling iron ore. Revenue is generated when the company mines ore from its deposits, processes it into saleable iron ore products (such as lump and/or fines where applicable), and sells those products to ...

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 20, 2024
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Mount Gibson Iron had a strong financial performance for the full year with increased sales and a robust safety record. However, the June quarter was impacted by adverse pricing adjustments and volatile iron ore prices, leading to higher cash operating costs and reduced cash flow. The company is strategically investing in junior resources while preparing for temporary shipping reductions. Despite challenges, the company remains in a strong position for future cash flow generation.
Positive Updates
Increased Iron Ore Sales
Iron ore sales from Koolan Island increased by over 20% on the prior quarter to 0.9 million wet metric tonnes, with full year sales reaching 4.1 million tonnes.
Negative Updates
Adverse Provisional Pricing Adjustments
June quarter cash flow was impacted by adverse provisional pricing adjustments totaling $29 million, reducing the quarter's net cash flow to $1 million.
Read all updates
Q4-2024 Updates
Negative
Increased Iron Ore Sales
Iron ore sales from Koolan Island increased by over 20% on the prior quarter to 0.9 million wet metric tonnes, with full year sales reaching 4.1 million tonnes.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for Mount Gibson Iron's Q4 2024, CEO Peter Kerr highlighted the company's strong production and financial performance for the fiscal year, despite some challenges in the June quarter. Iron ore sales from Koolan Island increased by over 20% from the previous quarter, reaching 0.9 million wet metric tonnes with a 65.2% Fe grade, contributing to a full-year total of 4.1 million tonnes. However, cash flow for the June quarter was impacted by adverse provisional pricing adjustments, reducing net cash flow to $1 million from an operating cash flow of $30 million before adjustments. Full-year sales revenue was $670 million FOB, with an operating cash flow of $290 million. Kerr also noted that the company's cash and investment reserves grew significantly, reaching $436 million by the end of the June quarter. Additionally, safety performance improved, with a lost time injury frequency rate of 0 incidents per 1 million man-hours and a total recordable injury frequency rate decreasing to 4.4 incidents. Looking ahead, the company aims to ship 2.7 to 3 million tonnes in fiscal 2025, with a strategic focus on maximizing cash flow from Koolan Island and exploring new investment opportunities.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mount Gibson Iron Limited faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, impacting its income statement performance. The balance sheet remains strong with low leverage, but negative returns on equity are concerning. Cash flow generation is mixed, with strong operating cash flows but declining free cash flow growth. Overall, the company needs to address profitability and cash conversion issues to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue313.05M330.52M667.82M452.69M186.11M300.46M
Gross Profit1.85M227.00K210.62M111.85M-30.52M84.69M
EBITDA19.43M4.50M90.77M144.94M-171.88M135.57M
Net Income-31.34M-82.19M6.43M5.18M-174.12M64.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets512.41M582.67M664.30M724.94M760.14M984.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments456.17M461.82M463.03M162.41M125.57M351.58M
Total Debt4.39M5.29M11.85M23.05M11.88M18.10M
Total Liabilities80.62M129.49M118.13M185.71M227.04M264.40M
Stockholders Equity431.79M453.18M546.17M539.23M533.10M719.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.08M34.19M267.32M56.59M-196.08M-43.10M
Operating Cash Flow59.31M98.45M328.21M130.62M21.86M171.99M
Investing Cash Flow17.40M-59.84M-335.03M-131.00M-10.12M-163.55M
Financing Cash Flow-19.14M-25.66M-12.01M-22.47M-30.94M-25.84M

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.47
Price Trends
50DMA
0.39
Negative
100DMA
0.42
Negative
200DMA
0.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
32.01
Neutral
STOCH
6.06
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MGX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.38, above the 50-day MA of 0.39, and above the 200-day MA of 0.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.06 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MGX.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
AU$2.69B11.4012.63%3.66%17.85%40.09%
57
Neutral
AU$13.32M-0.05-111.00%-1844.12%
52
Neutral
AU$419.05M-6.44-7.08%-24.05%84.19%
51
Neutral
AU$152.78M-0.21-260.59%-16.03%-1005.11%
41
Neutral
AU$27.45M-4.50-123.74%82.81%
AU$20.37M-1.49-77.53%-200.55%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MGX
Mount Gibson Iron Limited
0.34
0.05
15.25%
AU:CIA
Champion Iron
4.81
0.54
12.65%
AU:IRD
Iron Road Ltd
0.02
-0.03
-63.64%
AU:M4M
Kogi Iron Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:AEU
Tombador Iron Ltd.
0.40
0.05
12.86%
AU:EQX
Equatorial Resources Limited
0.15
<0.01
7.14%

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Corporate Events

MGX seals Central Tanami gold stake as Koolan low‑grade sales ramp up
Apr 23, 2026
MGX has completed the $50 million acquisition of a 50% stake in the Central Tanami Gold Project joint venture, marking a strategic move into high-grade gold alongside partner Tanami Gold. The joint venture is preparing a 2026 work program that inc...
Tanami Gold JV taps Macmahon for $38m Groundrush decline
Apr 20, 2026
Tanami Gold says the Central Tanami Project Joint Venture has selected Macmahon Underground Pty Ltd as preferred contractor to construct an underground exploration decline at the Groundrush Gold Deposit in the Northern Territory. The decline will ...
MGX JV picks Macmahon to drive key Groundrush underground works
Apr 20, 2026
MGX Resources Limited has announced that the Central Tanami Project Joint Venture, in which it holds a 50% stake alongside Tanami Gold, has selected Macmahon Underground as preferred contractor to build an exploration decline at the Groundrush Gol...
Macmahon Named Preferred Contractor for $38m Groundrush Underground Project
Apr 20, 2026
Macmahon&#8217;s underground subsidiary has been selected as the preferred mining contractor for the Groundrush exploration decline project, part of the Central Tanami Project Joint Venture between Tanami Gold NL and MGX Resources in the Northern ...
MGX Resources to Relocate Registered Office in West Perth
Apr 14, 2026
MGX Resources Limited has announced a change to its registered office and principal place of business, which will relocate to Level 2, 2 Kings Park Road, West Perth, Western Australia, effective 17 April 2026. The company stated that its main swit...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025