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Mount Gibson Iron Limited (AU:MGX)
:MGX
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Mount Gibson Iron Limited (MGX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MGX

Mount Gibson Iron Limited

(OTC:MGX)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.50
▲(6.38% Upside)
Mount Gibson Iron Limited's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and profitability. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, with the stock being oversold, which could suggest potential for a reversal. However, the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield highlight valuation concerns. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited (MGX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMount Gibson Iron Limited (MGX) is an Australian iron ore mining company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of iron ore in Western Australia. The company operates in the mining sector, focusing on the extraction and export of iron ore, which is a key raw material for steel production. MGX's core products include high-grade iron ore fines and lump iron ore, catering mainly to international markets, particularly in Asia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMount Gibson Iron Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of iron ore products. The company produces high-quality iron ore fines and lump ore, which are sold to various customers, including steel manufacturers and traders, both domestically and internationally. The revenue model is largely dependent on the global demand for iron ore, market prices, and operational efficiency. Key revenue streams include direct sales contracts with customers, long-term supply agreements, and spot market sales. Additionally, MGX benefits from partnerships with logistics providers for efficient transportation of its products to ports, enhancing its ability to deliver to international markets. Fluctuations in iron ore prices on global markets, as well as operational factors such as production costs and mining efficiency, play significant roles in the company's profitability.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 19, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Mount Gibson Iron had a strong financial performance for the full year with increased sales and a robust safety record. However, the June quarter was impacted by adverse pricing adjustments and volatile iron ore prices, leading to higher cash operating costs and reduced cash flow. The company is strategically investing in junior resources while preparing for temporary shipping reductions. Despite challenges, the company remains in a strong position for future cash flow generation.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Iron Ore Sales
Iron ore sales from Koolan Island increased by over 20% on the prior quarter to 0.9 million wet metric tonnes, with full year sales reaching 4.1 million tonnes.
Strong Financial Year Performance
Mount Gibson's financial performance was strong with group cash flow of $290 million before tax and working capital movements, and cash and investment reserves increased by $274 million over the financial year.
Safety Improvement
The 12-month lost time injury frequency rate remained at 0 incidents per 1 million man-hours worked, and the total recordable injury frequency rate reduced from 5.4 to 4.4 incidents per 1 million man-hours.
Strategic Investments
Increased investments in several junior resources companies with market value rising from $5 million in the March quarter to approximately $19 million at quarter end.
Negative Updates
Adverse Provisional Pricing Adjustments
June quarter cash flow was impacted by adverse provisional pricing adjustments totaling $29 million, reducing the quarter's net cash flow to $1 million.
Higher Cash Operating Costs
Cash operating costs were approximately 5% above guidance, averaging $97 per wet metric tonne in the quarter.
Volatile Iron Ore Prices
Benchmark 62% Fe price averaged 10% lower than the March quarter, impacting financial results with a USD 103 to USD 81 per tonne FOB realized price after adjustments.
Temporary Reduction in Shipping and Cargo Grades
September quarter shipping and cargo grades will be temporarily reduced due to repositioning activities and remediation support work.
Expected Accounting Impairment
An accounting impairment of Koolan's carrying values is expected as at 30 June '24 due to prevailing iron ore prices and outlook.
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for Mount Gibson Iron's Q4 2024, CEO Peter Kerr highlighted the company's strong production and financial performance for the fiscal year, despite some challenges in the June quarter. Iron ore sales from Koolan Island increased by over 20% from the previous quarter, reaching 0.9 million wet metric tonnes with a 65.2% Fe grade, contributing to a full-year total of 4.1 million tonnes. However, cash flow for the June quarter was impacted by adverse provisional pricing adjustments, reducing net cash flow to $1 million from an operating cash flow of $30 million before adjustments. Full-year sales revenue was $670 million FOB, with an operating cash flow of $290 million. Kerr also noted that the company's cash and investment reserves grew significantly, reaching $436 million by the end of the June quarter. Additionally, safety performance improved, with a lost time injury frequency rate of 0 incidents per 1 million man-hours and a total recordable injury frequency rate decreasing to 4.4 incidents. Looking ahead, the company aims to ship 2.7 to 3 million tonnes in fiscal 2025, with a strategic focus on maximizing cash flow from Koolan Island and exploring new investment opportunities.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mount Gibson Iron Limited faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, impacting its income statement performance. The balance sheet remains strong with low leverage, but negative returns on equity are concerning. Cash flow generation is mixed, with strong operating cash flows but declining free cash flow growth. Overall, the company needs to address profitability and cash conversion issues to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Mount Gibson Iron Limited has experienced significant revenue volatility, with a notable decline of 16.53% in the latest year. The company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins in the most recent period. Historical data shows fluctuating margins, with a strong performance in 2021 but deteriorating results thereafter. The gross profit margin has also significantly decreased, indicating challenges in maintaining cost efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity base with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability. However, the return on equity has been negative in recent periods, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains robust, suggesting a solid capital structure despite recent profitability issues.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop in the latest year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to accounting profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, highlighting potential issues in converting profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue330.52M330.52M667.82M452.69M186.11M300.46M
Gross Profit227.00K227.00K210.62M111.85M-30.52M84.69M
EBITDA-57.37M4.50M90.77M144.94M-171.88M135.57M
Net Income-82.19M-82.19M6.43M5.18M-174.12M64.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets582.67M582.67M664.30M724.94M760.14M984.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments461.82M461.82M463.03M162.41M125.57M351.58M
Total Debt5.29M5.29M11.85M23.05M11.88M18.10M
Total Liabilities129.49M129.49M118.13M185.71M227.04M264.40M
Stockholders Equity453.18M453.18M546.17M539.23M533.10M719.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.19M34.19M267.32M56.59M-196.08M-43.10M
Operating Cash Flow98.45M98.45M328.21M130.62M21.86M171.99M
Investing Cash Flow-70.20M-59.84M-335.03M-131.00M-10.12M-163.55M
Financing Cash Flow-25.60M-25.66M-12.01M-22.47M-30.94M-25.84M

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.47
Price Trends
50DMA
0.39
Negative
100DMA
0.37
Positive
200DMA
0.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
45.66
Neutral
STOCH
86.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MGX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.40, above the 50-day MA of 0.39, and above the 200-day MA of 0.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:MGX.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
47
Neutral
AU$33.98M4.0419.09%
46
Neutral
AU$436.76M-16.34%-48.05%-1394.34%
45
Neutral
AU$39.95M7.873.77%
34
Underperform
AU$30.24M-5.56-92.18%66.67%
28
Underperform
AU$30.23M-7.12-32.09%-141.04%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MGX
Mount Gibson Iron Limited
0.38
0.07
20.97%
AU:IRD
Iron Road Ltd
0.05
-0.02
-27.42%
AU:GWR
GWR Group Limited
0.10
0.01
11.11%
AU:M4M
Kogi Iron Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:TI1
Tombador Iron Ltd.
0.35
0.00
0.00%
AU:EQX
Equatorial Resources Limited
0.22
0.10
76.00%

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Corporate Events

Mount Gibson Iron Director Acquires Shares, Signaling Confidence
Oct 27, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Brett Smith acquiring 170,000 ordinary shares at $0.35 per share through an on-market trade. This acquisition reflects a significant personal investment by the director, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Resumes Trading Post-Koolan Island Rockfall
Oct 24, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited announced that the suspension of trading in its securities has been lifted following a recent announcement about a rockfall at its Koolan Island operation. This development is crucial as it allows the company to resume trading, potentially stabilizing its market position and reassuring stakeholders after the incident.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Ceases Koolan Island Mining Following Rockfall
Oct 24, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has decided to cease mining operations at Koolan Island following a significant rockfall, citing safety concerns and the limited remaining mine life. The company will continue processing operations using existing ore stockpiles and accelerate rehabilitation activities, resulting in approximately 250 redundancies and a $30-40 million transition cost. Despite this setback, Mount Gibson’s acquisition of a 50% interest in the Central Tanami Gold Project remains unaffected, and some Koolan Island personnel and equipment will be redirected to support this new venture.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Requests Suspension Amid Koolan Island Rockfall Assessment
Oct 20, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has requested a voluntary suspension of its securities from the ASX due to a rockfall incident at its Koolan Island operation. The company is currently assessing the situation with external geotechnical experts and continues to process stockpiled iron ore while preparing to provide a detailed update on the impact of the incident.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Halts Trading After Koolan Island Rockfall
Oct 17, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities following an overnight rockfall at its Koolan Island operation. The incident, which caused no injuries, has led to the suspension of mining activities in the affected area pending further evaluation, although the Koolan Island seawall remains unaffected.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Expands into Gold with New Acquisition
Oct 15, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited announced a significant acquisition agreement to acquire 50% of the Central Tanami Gold Project, marking a strategic diversification into gold mining. The company reported steady performance at its Koolan Island iron ore operation, with plans to reduce operating costs and increase production in the final year of the mine’s life. The company also plans to change its name to MGX Resources Limited to reflect its transition into a multi-commodity producer, and it extended its share buyback program.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Oct 10, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 30, 2025, which is available on their website. The statement confirms the company’s adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations, ensuring transparency and accountability in its management practices. This disclosure is crucial for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s governance framework and its commitment to maintaining high standards of corporate governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Strengthens Corporate Governance Framework
Oct 10, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has reaffirmed its commitment to strong corporate governance by aligning its practices with the ASX Corporate Governance Principles and Recommendations. The company’s Board is responsible for guiding and monitoring performance, with specific powers reserved for strategic decision-making, risk management, and executive oversight. This governance framework is designed to enhance shareholder value and ensure ethical and transparent operations, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Expands into Gold with New Acquisition
Oct 10, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited announced its acquisition of a 50% interest in the Central Tanami Gold Project, marking its entry into the Australian gold market. This strategic move is part of the company’s broader diversification efforts, which aim to enhance shareholder value by expanding into new mineral sectors and optimizing existing operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Announces Hybrid AGM for 2025
Oct 10, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM), which will be held as a hybrid event, allowing both physical and virtual attendance. This format aims to enhance shareholder participation by providing options to attend in person or via an online platform, where they can listen to proceedings, view presentations, and vote in real-time.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited to Rebrand as MGX Resources Limited
Oct 9, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has announced its intention to change its name to MGX Resources Limited, reflecting its strategic shift from iron ore production to a more diversified mineral production, including precious and base metals. This transition is highlighted by its recent agreement to acquire a 50% interest in the Central Tanami Gold Project, aligning with its goal to diversify and maintain investor recognition by retaining its ASX ticker code.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Reports Significant Reduction in Koolan Island Resources
Oct 6, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has reported a significant reduction in its Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves at Koolan Island as of June 30, 2025. The total Mineral Resources have decreased to 9.7 million dry metric tonnes from 19.1 million the previous year, and Ore Reserves have fallen to 4.1 million tonnes from 7.2 million. This reduction is attributed to mining depletion, stockpile drawdowns, and the declassification of resources at the Acacia East satellite deposit, which are now considered economically unviable due to factors like iron ore pricing and geotechnical challenges. These changes reflect the company’s ongoing adjustments to its operations as it approaches the end of the mine’s life, impacting its production capacity and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Announces On-Market Share Buy-Back
Sep 9, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has announced an on-market buy-back of its ordinary fully paid shares, as detailed in their latest release. This move is likely aimed at optimizing the company’s capital structure and potentially enhancing shareholder value, reflecting a strategic decision that could influence its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Extends Share Buy-Back Program
Sep 9, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has announced an extension of its on-market share buy-back program for another year, allowing the company to repurchase up to 10% of its issued shares until September 2026. Since the program’s inception in September 2024, the company has bought back 38.8 million shares, representing 3.2% of its issued share capital. The decision to extend the buy-back reflects the company’s strategic approach to managing its capital structure and enhancing shareholder value, though the extent and timing of future buy-backs will depend on market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Announces Director Departure
Sep 7, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has announced the cessation of Ding Rucai as a director, effective from September 5, 2025. This update is part of the company’s compliance with ASX listing rules, ensuring transparency in its governance and potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Announces Director Retirement and Transition Plans
Sep 7, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited announced the retirement of Mr. Ding Rucai from his role as a Non-Executive Director, effective September 5, 2025. Mr. Ding, who represented the company’s second-largest shareholder, Shougang Fushan Resources Group Limited, has been acknowledged for his valuable contributions. Shougang Fushan is expected to nominate a successor, although this decision may take several months, indicating a period of transition for the company’s board.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited Ceases Substantial Holding in AIC Mines
Aug 27, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in AIC Mines Limited as of August 27, 2025. This change is due to a dilution resulting from a placement, affecting 38,910,256 ordinary shares and votes. The announcement indicates a shift in Mount Gibson Iron Limited’s investment strategy or portfolio adjustments, which could have implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Mount Gibson Iron Reports Challenging Financial Year
Aug 20, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited is an Australian company engaged in the mining, processing, and shipment of hematite iron ore, primarily operating from its Koolan Island mine in Western Australia.

Mount Gibson Iron Reports Significant Financial Loss for FY 2025
Aug 19, 2025

Mount Gibson Iron Limited reported a significant financial downturn for the year ending June 30, 2025, with a 49% decrease in revenue to $350.4 million and a net loss after tax of $82.2 million, marking a 1378% decrease compared to the previous year. The company did not declare a dividend for the period, reflecting the challenging market conditions and operational impacts, which may affect its stakeholders and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mount Gibson Iron Limited stock, see the AU:MGX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025