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Kelsian Group Limited
(Sydney:KLS)
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Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
AU$5.00
▲(17.10% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance—robust revenue growth, improved gross margin, and strong free cash flow growth—partly offset by pressured profitability margins and higher leverage. Technicals are moderately positive with price above key moving averages and supportive momentum readings. Valuation is reasonable with a mid-level P/E and an attractive 3.87% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Sustained revenue growth (~10.3% reported) indicates expanding service volumes and contract wins across operations. Over the next 2-6 months this supports predictable top-line momentum driven by contracted revenue streams and diversified passenger services, underpinning scale benefits.
Negative Factors
Rising financial leverage
Higher debt-to-equity indicates the company is funding expansion with more leverage, raising financial risk. Over the medium term this increases interest and refinancing exposure, reducing flexibility to invest or absorb shocks from contract re-pricing or demand swings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Sustained revenue growth (~10.3% reported) indicates expanding service volumes and contract wins across operations. Over the next 2-6 months this supports predictable top-line momentum driven by contracted revenue streams and diversified passenger services, underpinning scale benefits.
Read all positive factors
Kelsian Group Limited (KLS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$1.27B
Dividend Yield3.62%
Average Volume (3M)491.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.9
Beta (1Y)1.04
Revenue Growth10.31%
EPS Growth33.06%
CountryAU
Employees12,900
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryRailroads
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.25
Shares Outstanding271,656,680
10 Day Avg. Volume325,407
30 Day Avg. Volume491,826
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.98
Price to Book (P/B)1.08
Price to Sales (P/S)0.46
P/FCF Ratio25.39
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$5.00Price Target Upside17.10% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.3
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$2.36B
Kelsian Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kelsian Group Limited, based in Adelaide, Australia, is a prominent provider of land and sea transport as well as tourism services, with operations spanning Australia, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. Established in 1989 under its former name, S...
How the Company Makes Money
Kelsian makes money primarily by operating passenger transport services and earning revenue from a mix of contracted and commercial sources. A significant portion typically comes from service contracts with government transport authorities and oth...
Kelsian Group Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.33B | 2.22B | 2.02B | 1.42B | 1.30B | 1.17B |
| Gross Profit | 644.47M | 688.69M | 351.91M | 257.90M | 233.30M | 192.11M |
| EBITDA | 273.28M | 255.93M | 268.72M | 133.11M | 157.99M | 160.98M |
| Net Income | 66.85M | 54.49M | 58.01M | 21.00M | 52.91M | 37.80M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.51B | 2.50B | 2.40B | 2.18B | 1.42B | 1.37B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 141.90M | 182.78M | 134.47M | 157.94M | 141.09M | 103.50M |
| Total Debt | 1.24B | 1.07B | 1.02B | 806.38M | 459.12M | 464.63M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.56B | 1.54B | 1.47B | 1.25B | 783.57M | 761.86M |
| Stockholders Equity | 954.46M | 957.91M | 927.37M | 923.60M | 640.01M | 608.10M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 99.04M | 40.67M | -3.13M | 28.05M | 70.75M | 70.15M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 222.35M | 205.17M | 146.70M | 128.98M | 115.04M | 111.85M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -106.17M | -140.47M | -262.98M | -650.24M | -86.08M | -69.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -105.34M | -19.54M | 92.75M | 535.68M | 8.42M | -58.41M |
Kelsian Group Limited Technical Analysis
Positive
4.27
Price Trends
4.38
Positive
4.19
Positive
4.20
Positive
Market Momentum
0.11
Negative
74.36
Negative
91.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.47, below the 50-day MA of 4.38, and above the 200-day MA of 4.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.36 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:KLS.
Kelsian Group Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | AU$1.27B | 18.92 | 6.99% | 4.02% | 10.31% | 33.06% | |
65 Neutral | AU$4.86B | 17.70 | 47.41% | 3.56% | 0.58% | 25.95% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
60 Neutral | AU$5.00B | 31.38 | 7.97% | 3.39% | -4.99% | 120.98% | |
59 Neutral | AU$2.05B | 5.92 | -55.68% | ― | ― | ― | |
58 Neutral | AU$15.05B | 9.43 | 151.46% | 7.07% | 6.88% | 26.75% |
* Industrials Sector Average
AU:KLS
Kelsian Group Limited
4.73
0.96
25.60%
AU:DOW
Downer EDI Limited
7.53
0.91
13.69%
AU:QAN
Qantas Airways Limited
10.00
-1.05
-9.47%
AU:VNT
Ventia Services Group Limited
5.84
0.54
10.27%
AU:VGN
Virgin Australia Holdings Limited
2.73
-0.58
-17.52%
Kelsian Group Limited Corporate Events
Kelsian Reports Lapse of 65,174 Performance Rights
Jul 22, 2026
Kelsian Group Limited, listed on the ASX under the ticker KLS, operates in the transport and related services industry and uses performance rights as part of its capital and remuneration structure. These conditional securities are typically grante...
Kelsian sets date for FY26 financial results webcast
Jul 21, 2026
Kelsian Group Limited, a major international provider of bus, motorcoach and marine transport services, delivers safe and sustainable passenger mobility for governments and private clients across Australia, the U.K., Singapore, the U.S.A. and the ...
Kelsian Wins Auckland Ferry Contracts and Buys Belaire Ferries in NZ Expansion
Jul 1, 2026
Kelsian Group has secured its first New Zealand contract after a joint bid with Auckland-based Belaire Ferries to operate Auckland Transport’s Western Package passenger ferry services. The long-term contracts, starting in July 2027 and runni...
Kelsian Publishes CEO Presentation for 2026 Macquarie Australia Conference
May 7, 2026
Kelsian Group Limited, a major multinational provider of bus, motorcoach and marine passenger services, runs large-scale public transport and ferry operations across Australia, the UK, Singapore, the USA and the Channel Islands. The company positi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.