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Kelsian Group Limited (AU:KLS)
ASX:KLS

Kelsian Group Limited (KLS) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Kelsian Group Limited

(Sydney:KLS)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
AU$3.50
▲(5.74%Upside)
The most significant factor contributing to Kelsian Group Limited's score is its robust financial performance, marked by consistent revenue growth and improved profitability. Valuation is another strong point, with a reasonable P/E ratio and a high dividend yield, appealing to value investors. Technical analysis shows mixed signals with slightly positive momentum. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.

Kelsian Group Limited (KLS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Kelsian Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKelsian Group Limited provides land and marine transport and tourism services in Australia, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Marine & Tourism, Australian Bus, and International Bus segments. The Marine & Tourism segment operates vehicle and passenger ferry services, barging, coach tours and package holidays, lunch, dinner, charter cruises, and accommodation facilities. The Australian Bus segment operates metropolitan public bus services on behalf of governments in Sydney, Melbourne, Perth, Adelaide, and Darwin. The International Bus segment operates metropolitan public bus services on behalf of governments in London and Singapore. The company also provides finance, sales and marketing, information and technology, business development, fleet management, health and safety, and administration and risk management support services. It operates 4,134 buses, 115 vessels, and 24 light rail vehicles, as well as 1,125 buses comprising 297 electric vehicles in London. The company was formerly known as SeaLink Travel Group Limited and changed its name to Kelsian Group Limited in November 2021. Kelsian Group Limited was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyKelsian Group Limited generates revenue primarily through its transport services, which include contracted public bus and ferry services. It secures long-term contracts with government bodies and private entities to operate and manage public transportation networks, ensuring a steady and predictable income stream. Additionally, the company earns from its tourism operations, offering tours and related services, which are particularly active in tourist hotspots. Strategic partnerships and expansion into new markets also contribute to its financial growth, alongside efforts to optimize operations and improve service efficiency.

Kelsian Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kelsian Group Limited exhibits solid growth in revenue and profitability with improved margins and operational efficiency. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure but with increased leverage, suggesting a need for cautious debt management. Cash flow generation remains positive, although fluctuations in free cash flow warrant attention. Overall, the financial health is robust with opportunities for enhancement in leverage management and margin expansion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kelsian Group Limited has demonstrated significant revenue and gross profit growth over the years, with total revenue increasing consistently from 2019 to 2024. The net profit margin has improved notably from negative figures in 2020 to a positive margin in 2024, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown improvement, reflecting operational efficiency. However, the margins remain moderate, suggesting room for further improvement.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity base with increasing stockholders' equity over the years, enhancing its equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased due to rising debt levels, posing a potential risk if the trend continues. Return on equity has improved, aligning with net income growth. Overall, the balance sheet shows a stable financial position but with increased leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive operating cash flow growth, supporting the company's operational activities. However, free cash flow has fluctuated, turning negative in 2024 due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, indicating efficient cash conversion from earnings. The volatility in free cash flow might impact future investments if not managed.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.11B2.02B1.42B1.30B1.17B623.69M
Gross Profit
436.86M351.91M257.90M233.30M192.11M110.81M
EBIT
180.82M98.38M71.21M63.84M36.76M8.17M
EBITDA
239.38M268.72M133.11M157.99M160.98M62.87M
Net Income Common Stockholders
49.99M58.01M21.00M52.91M37.80M-13.57M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
131.32M134.47M157.94M141.09M103.50M119.90M
Total Assets
2.48B2.40B2.18B1.42B1.37B1.35B
Total Debt
1.07B1.02B806.38M459.12M464.63M407.02M
Net Debt
942.86M885.41M648.44M318.02M361.14M287.12M
Total Liabilities
1.53B1.47B1.25B783.57M761.86M745.92M
Stockholders Equity
958.29M927.37M923.60M640.01M608.10M600.29M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
21.48M-3.13M28.05M70.75M70.15M60.60M
Operating Cash Flow
152.32M146.70M128.98M115.04M111.85M90.06M
Investing Cash Flow
-240.35M-262.98M-650.24M-86.08M-69.56M-146.31M
Financing Cash Flow
101.42M92.75M535.68M8.42M-58.41M164.25M

Kelsian Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.31
Price Trends
50DMA
2.86
Positive
100DMA
3.08
Positive
200DMA
3.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
57.14
Neutral
STOCH
58.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.16, above the 50-day MA of 2.86, and below the 200-day MA of 3.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:KLS.

Kelsian Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUKLS
74
Outperform
AU$887.95M17.885.35%5.35%22.28%50.12%
66
Neutral
$4.49B12.285.32%248.53%4.08%-12.00%
$7.87B180.620.80%11.51%
$1.90B25.039.61%3.16%
$10.46B12.16321.42%2.58%
$1.20B2.761.65%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:KLS
Kelsian Group Limited
3.31
-1.67
-33.53%
ACKDF
Auckland International Airport
4.94
0.35
7.63%
FGETF
Flight Centre Travel Group Limited
8.54
-4.00
-31.90%
QUBSF
Qantas Airways Limited
6.78
2.80
70.35%
WEBJF
WEB Travel Group
0.93
-3.47
-78.86%

Kelsian Group Limited Corporate Events

Kelsian Group Secures New Bus Services Contract in Singapore
May 29, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited’s subsidiary, Tower Transit Singapore, has secured a new contract with Sentosa Development Corporation to operate and maintain bus services on Sentosa Island, Singapore. This contract, which is initially for five years with a potential extension, is valued at approximately AUD27 million over five years and AUD65 million over ten years. The contract represents a diversification for Tower Transit Singapore, enhancing its client base and revenue growth, while leveraging its existing management team and infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Group Announces Change in Director Interests
May 22, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced a change in director interests for Mr. Neil Espie Smith, who has gifted shares to the Relay Foundation, supporting projects like a Chair in Sustainable Transport Futures at the University of Sydney. This change does not affect the company’s circumstances, and Mr. Smith continues to support educational and community projects in Africa.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$7.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Secures Two-Year Extensions for Singapore Bus Contracts
May 21, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced that its subsidiary, Tower Transit Singapore, has secured two-year extensions for its bus service contracts with the Land Transport Authority of Singapore. These extensions, covering the Bulim and Sembawang-Yishun packages, involve the operation of 59 bus services and maintenance of nearly 800 buses. The contract renewals, which are valued at $204 million annually, reflect Kelsian’s operational excellence and commitment to providing reliable public transport services in Singapore.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$7.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Group Director Increases Shareholding
May 12, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Fiona Hele acquiring 25,000 additional ordinary shares, increasing her total holdings to 125,387 shares. This acquisition, conducted through a market purchase at $3.24 per share, reflects a significant increase in the director’s investment, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and stability.

Kelsian Group Projects Lower End FY25 EBITDA Amid Economic Uncertainties
May 6, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced at the Macquarie Australia Conference that its FY25 Underlying EBITDA is expected to be at the lower end of the previously guided range of $283 million to $295 million. This outlook assumes stable operating conditions and no significant changes in key factors such as domestic tourism, labor availability, and input prices. The announcement highlights potential impacts on the company’s financial performance and indicates a cautious approach to future economic conditions.

Kelsian Group Limited Announces Director’s Share Acquisition
Apr 30, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Terry Dodd. The change reflects an acquisition of 7,429 ordinary shares through an on-market purchase, increasing the total number of shares held by Mr. Dodd to 5,846,439. This adjustment in shareholding may influence the company’s governance dynamics and reflects active engagement by its directors in the company’s equity.

Kelsian Group Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 30, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Jacqueline McArthur acquiring an additional 50,000 fully paid ordinary shares, increasing her total to 70,000 shares. This on-market share purchase reflects a potential increase in confidence or commitment from the director, which could impact the company’s market perception and stakeholder interests.

Kelsian Group Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 29, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest in securities. Diane Grady, a director of the company, has increased her indirect interest by acquiring 1,074 ordinary shares through the Kelsian Dividend Reinvestment Plan, bringing her total to 35,337 shares. This change reflects the director’s continued confidence in the company’s growth and strategic direction.

Kelsian Group Appoints New CEO for USA Division
Apr 27, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced the appointment of Brent Maitland as the new CEO of its USA division, All Aboard America! Holdings, Inc. (AAAHI), effective June 2025. Maitland, with over 20 years of experience in the motorcoach industry, is expected to lead AAAHI through its next growth phase, leveraging his expertise in market expansion and product development. This leadership transition comes as AAAHI aims to strengthen its position in the motorcoach sector, following its rise to the second largest motorcoach company in the USA under the previous CEO, Graeme Legh.

Kelsian Group Limited Announces New Securities Issuance
Apr 23, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced the issuance of 402,913 ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code KLS. This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan, potentially impacting the company’s market presence and providing opportunities for stakeholders to engage with the company’s growth strategy.

Kelsian Group Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 23, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest in its securities, specifically regarding Fiona Hele. The director acquired 23,000 ordinary shares, increasing her total holdings to 100,387 shares. This acquisition was made through a purchase of shares on the market at $2.63 per share, indicating a strategic decision to increase her stake in the company.

Kelsian Group Updates Dividend Reinvestment Plan Price
Apr 9, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced an update to its previous dividend distribution announcement, specifically adjusting the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) price. This update pertains to the six-month financial period ending December 31, 2024, with the record date set for March 21, 2025. This adjustment may impact shareholders’ reinvestment strategies and reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to manage shareholder returns effectively.

Kelsian Group Secures Major US Bus Service Contracts
Apr 7, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited’s subsidiary, First Class Transportation, has secured a five-year contract renewal for The Woodlands Express bus service in Texas, valued at approximately US$29 million, with options for extensions. Additionally, they have won a new contract with the City of Conroe, Texas, for a fixed-route service, generating US$2.25 million over five years. These contracts highlight Kelsian’s strong presence and reliability in the US market, reinforcing its position as a key player in sustainable public transport.

Kelsian Group Announces Director Departure
Apr 4, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced that Clinton Feuerherdt has ceased to be a director of the company as of March 31, 2025. The notice provides details of Feuerherdt’s interests in securities, including fully paid ordinary shares and unlisted performance and restricted rights. This change in directorship may impact the company’s governance structure and could have implications for its strategic direction.

Kelsian Group Limited Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Apr 4, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced the cessation of 44,747 performance rights due to unmet conditions, impacting its issued capital. This development may influence the company’s financial structuring and stakeholder interests, as it reflects on the company’s performance metrics and future incentive strategies.

Kelsian Group to Divest Australian Tourism Assets to Focus on Core Transport Services
Apr 1, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced its intention to divest a portfolio of Australian tourism assets, including several SeaLink operations and resorts, to streamline its business and focus on its core transport services. This strategic move aims to reduce debt and enhance shareholder value, with the potential divestment proceeds being reinvested into growth opportunities within Kelsian’s marine, bus, and motorcoach transport businesses, aligning with their capital management strategy.

Kelsian Group Announces Leadership Transition to Drive Strategic Growth
Mar 28, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced a leadership transition with Graeme Legh taking over as Group CEO from April 1, 2025, while Clint Feuerherdt transitions to a Strategic Advisor role. This change is part of Kelsian’s ongoing efforts to enhance shareholder value through strategic projects and portfolio reviews, positioning the company for future growth.

Kelsian Group Enters Negotiations for Sydney Region 6 Bus Services Contract
Mar 23, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced that Transport for New South Wales has entered direct negotiations with its subsidiary, Transit Systems West Pty Ltd, for a new short-term contract to operate Sydney Region 6 bus services. This contract, if successful, will continue Kelsian’s operations in the region beyond June 2026, with an expected annual revenue of $219 million. If negotiations fail, a competitive tender process will be initiated. This development underscores Kelsian’s strong operational performance and its strategic positioning in the public transport sector.

Kelsian Group Sees Shift in Shareholder Structure
Mar 6, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, with a substantial holder acquiring a notable percentage of voting power in the company. This development could potentially influence the company’s strategic decisions and impact its market positioning, as the new substantial holder may have different priorities or strategies that could affect stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.