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Kelsian Group Limited (AU:KLS)
ASX:KLS

Kelsian Group Limited (KLS) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Kelsian Group Limited

(Sydney:KLS)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
AU$4.00
▲(5.82%Upside)
The overall score reflects strong financial performance with growth in revenue and profitability, supported by a bullish technical outlook. The stock is reasonably valued with a solid dividend yield. The most significant factor is the robust financial performance, tempered by the need for careful leverage and cash flow management.

Kelsian Group Limited (KLS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Kelsian Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKelsian Group Limited provides land and marine transport and tourism services in Australia, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Marine & Tourism, Australian Bus, and International Bus segments. The Marine & Tourism segment operates vehicle and passenger ferry services, barging, coach tours and package holidays, lunch, dinner, charter cruises, and accommodation facilities. The Australian Bus segment operates metropolitan public bus services on behalf of governments in Sydney, Melbourne, Perth, Adelaide, and Darwin. The International Bus segment operates metropolitan public bus services on behalf of governments in London and Singapore. The company also provides finance, sales and marketing, information and technology, business development, fleet management, health and safety, and administration and risk management support services. It operates 4,134 buses, 115 vessels, and 24 light rail vehicles, as well as 1,125 buses comprising 297 electric vehicles in London. The company was formerly known as SeaLink Travel Group Limited and changed its name to Kelsian Group Limited in November 2021. Kelsian Group Limited was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyKelsian Group Limited generates revenue primarily through its transport services, which include contracted public bus and ferry services. It secures long-term contracts with government bodies and private entities to operate and manage public transportation networks, ensuring a steady and predictable income stream. Additionally, the company earns from its tourism operations, offering tours and related services, which are particularly active in tourist hotspots. Strategic partnerships and expansion into new markets also contribute to its financial growth, alongside efforts to optimize operations and improve service efficiency.

Kelsian Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kelsian Group Limited exhibits solid growth in revenue and profitability with improved margins and operational efficiency. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure but with increased leverage, suggesting a need for cautious debt management. Cash flow generation remains positive, although fluctuations in free cash flow warrant attention. Overall, the financial health is robust with opportunities for enhancement in leverage management and margin expansion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kelsian Group Limited has demonstrated significant revenue and gross profit growth over the years, with total revenue increasing consistently from 2019 to 2024. The net profit margin has improved notably from negative figures in 2020 to a positive margin in 2024, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown improvement, reflecting operational efficiency. However, the margins remain moderate, suggesting room for further improvement.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity base with increasing stockholders' equity over the years, enhancing its equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased due to rising debt levels, posing a potential risk if the trend continues. Return on equity has improved, aligning with net income growth. Overall, the balance sheet shows a stable financial position but with increased leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive operating cash flow growth, supporting the company's operational activities. However, free cash flow has fluctuated, turning negative in 2024 due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, indicating efficient cash conversion from earnings. The volatility in free cash flow might impact future investments if not managed.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.11B2.02B1.42B1.30B1.17B623.69M
Gross Profit436.86M351.91M257.90M233.30M192.11M110.81M
EBITDA239.38M268.72M133.11M157.99M160.98M62.87M
Net Income49.99M58.01M21.00M52.91M37.80M-13.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.48B2.40B2.18B1.42B1.37B1.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments131.32M134.47M157.94M141.09M103.50M119.90M
Total Debt1.07B1.02B806.38M459.12M464.63M407.02M
Total Liabilities1.53B1.47B1.25B783.57M761.86M745.92M
Stockholders Equity958.29M927.37M923.60M640.01M608.10M600.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.48M-3.13M28.05M70.75M70.15M60.60M
Operating Cash Flow152.32M146.70M128.98M115.04M111.85M90.06M
Investing Cash Flow-240.35M-262.98M-650.24M-86.08M-69.56M-146.31M
Financing Cash Flow101.42M92.75M535.68M8.42M-58.41M164.25M

Kelsian Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.78
Price Trends
50DMA
3.11
Positive
100DMA
3.06
Positive
200DMA
3.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
72.85
Negative
STOCH
93.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.41, above the 50-day MA of 3.11, and above the 200-day MA of 3.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.85 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:KLS.

Kelsian Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUKLS
78
Outperform
AU$1.02B20.315.35%4.25%22.28%50.12%
65
Neutral
$10.36B15.105.28%2.01%2.70%-26.16%
$7.80B179.070.80%2.61%
$1.76B23.539.61%1.06%
$10.25B11.31321.42%2.64%
$1.08B2.761.65%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:KLS
Kelsian Group Limited
3.80
-1.03
-21.33%
ACKDF
Auckland International Airport
4.62
0.06
1.32%
FGETF
Flight Centre Travel Group Limited
8.36
-4.55
-35.24%
QUBSF
Qantas Airways Limited
6.30
2.47
64.49%
WEBJF
WEB Travel Group
0.93
-3.47
-78.86%

Kelsian Group Limited Corporate Events

Kelsian Group Announces Board Resignation and New Appointments
Jun 27, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced the resignation of Lance Hockridge from its board, effective 31 July 2025. Hockridge, who has served since July 2020, has been instrumental as the Chair of the People, Culture and Remuneration Committee and a member of other key committees. His departure leads to new appointments, with Jackie McArthur and Diane Grady AO taking over as Chairs of the People, Culture and Remuneration Committee and the Safety, Risk and Sustainability Committee, respectively. These changes are expected to influence the company’s strategic direction and governance, impacting its operations and stakeholder engagements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

UBS Group AG Ceases to be Substantial Shareholder in Kelsian Group
Jun 24, 2025

UBS Group AG and its related bodies corporate have ceased to be substantial shareholders in Kelsian Group Limited as of June 20, 2025. This change in shareholding may impact Kelsian Group’s market dynamics and shareholder composition, potentially influencing its strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

UBS Group AG Acquires Substantial Holding in Kelsian Group Limited
Jun 23, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced that UBS Group AG and its related bodies corporate have become substantial holders in the company, with a voting power of 5.12% as of June 19, 2025. This development indicates a significant investment and interest from UBS, which could influence Kelsian Group’s strategic decisions and market positioning, potentially impacting stakeholders and the company’s future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Group to Announce FY25 Full Year Results
Jun 23, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced the release of its FY25 full year results on 26 August 2025, which will be presented via a webcast by the Group CEO and CFO. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Group Secures Major Transportation Contract for Louisiana LNG Project
Jun 22, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has secured a contract with Bechtel Energy, Inc. to provide workforce transportation services for the Louisiana LNG project in the USA. This contract, valued at approximately USD82 million over four and a half years, highlights Kelsian’s strong contracting capabilities and secures ongoing revenue in a growth sector of its diversified USA business. Hotard Coaches, a subsidiary of Kelsian, will deliver a comprehensive transportation solution, aligning services with project milestones. The contract is not expected to significantly impact earnings in FY26, but it underscores Kelsian’s strategic positioning in the industrial transportation sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Group Awaits Approval for Sydney Bus Services Contract Extension
Jun 18, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced that Transport for New South Wales is seeking government approval for a two-year extension of the Region 6 Bus Services contract with Transit Systems West, a subsidiary of Kelsian. If successful, this extension would allow Transit Systems West to continue operating public bus services in Sydney’s inner west until June 2028, potentially solidifying Kelsian’s position in the public transport sector and impacting stakeholders by maintaining continuity in service operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Group Secures Major Transportation Contract for CP2 LNG Project
Jun 17, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited, through its subsidiary Hotard Coaches, Inc., has secured a contract with Worley Field Services, Inc. to provide workforce transportation services for the CP2 LNG project in Louisiana, USA. The contract, valued at approximately USD59 million, will run from June 2025 to August 2028, with services scaling according to project milestones. This contract highlights Kelsian’s operational excellence in large-scale workforce transportation, although it is not expected to significantly impact earnings in FY26 due to the project’s initial phases.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Group Secures New Bus Services Contract in Singapore
May 29, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited’s subsidiary, Tower Transit Singapore, has secured a new contract with Sentosa Development Corporation to operate and maintain bus services on Sentosa Island, Singapore. This contract, which is initially for five years with a potential extension, is valued at approximately AUD27 million over five years and AUD65 million over ten years. The contract represents a diversification for Tower Transit Singapore, enhancing its client base and revenue growth, while leveraging its existing management team and infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Group Announces Change in Director Interests
May 22, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced a change in director interests for Mr. Neil Espie Smith, who has gifted shares to the Relay Foundation, supporting projects like a Chair in Sustainable Transport Futures at the University of Sydney. This change does not affect the company’s circumstances, and Mr. Smith continues to support educational and community projects in Africa.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$7.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Secures Two-Year Extensions for Singapore Bus Contracts
May 21, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced that its subsidiary, Tower Transit Singapore, has secured two-year extensions for its bus service contracts with the Land Transport Authority of Singapore. These extensions, covering the Bulim and Sembawang-Yishun packages, involve the operation of 59 bus services and maintenance of nearly 800 buses. The contract renewals, which are valued at $204 million annually, reflect Kelsian’s operational excellence and commitment to providing reliable public transport services in Singapore.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KLS) stock is a Buy with a A$7.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelsian Group Limited stock, see the AU:KLS Stock Forecast page.

Kelsian Group Director Increases Shareholding
May 12, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Fiona Hele acquiring 25,000 additional ordinary shares, increasing her total holdings to 125,387 shares. This acquisition, conducted through a market purchase at $3.24 per share, reflects a significant increase in the director’s investment, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and stability.

Kelsian Group Projects Lower End FY25 EBITDA Amid Economic Uncertainties
May 6, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced at the Macquarie Australia Conference that its FY25 Underlying EBITDA is expected to be at the lower end of the previously guided range of $283 million to $295 million. This outlook assumes stable operating conditions and no significant changes in key factors such as domestic tourism, labor availability, and input prices. The announcement highlights potential impacts on the company’s financial performance and indicates a cautious approach to future economic conditions.

Kelsian Group Limited Announces Director’s Share Acquisition
Apr 30, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Terry Dodd. The change reflects an acquisition of 7,429 ordinary shares through an on-market purchase, increasing the total number of shares held by Mr. Dodd to 5,846,439. This adjustment in shareholding may influence the company’s governance dynamics and reflects active engagement by its directors in the company’s equity.

Kelsian Group Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 30, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Jacqueline McArthur acquiring an additional 50,000 fully paid ordinary shares, increasing her total to 70,000 shares. This on-market share purchase reflects a potential increase in confidence or commitment from the director, which could impact the company’s market perception and stakeholder interests.

Kelsian Group Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 29, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest in securities. Diane Grady, a director of the company, has increased her indirect interest by acquiring 1,074 ordinary shares through the Kelsian Dividend Reinvestment Plan, bringing her total to 35,337 shares. This change reflects the director’s continued confidence in the company’s growth and strategic direction.

Kelsian Group Appoints New CEO for USA Division
Apr 27, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced the appointment of Brent Maitland as the new CEO of its USA division, All Aboard America! Holdings, Inc. (AAAHI), effective June 2025. Maitland, with over 20 years of experience in the motorcoach industry, is expected to lead AAAHI through its next growth phase, leveraging his expertise in market expansion and product development. This leadership transition comes as AAAHI aims to strengthen its position in the motorcoach sector, following its rise to the second largest motorcoach company in the USA under the previous CEO, Graeme Legh.

Kelsian Group Limited Announces New Securities Issuance
Apr 23, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced the issuance of 402,913 ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code KLS. This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan, potentially impacting the company’s market presence and providing opportunities for stakeholders to engage with the company’s growth strategy.

Kelsian Group Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 23, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest in its securities, specifically regarding Fiona Hele. The director acquired 23,000 ordinary shares, increasing her total holdings to 100,387 shares. This acquisition was made through a purchase of shares on the market at $2.63 per share, indicating a strategic decision to increase her stake in the company.

Kelsian Group Updates Dividend Reinvestment Plan Price
Apr 9, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced an update to its previous dividend distribution announcement, specifically adjusting the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) price. This update pertains to the six-month financial period ending December 31, 2024, with the record date set for March 21, 2025. This adjustment may impact shareholders’ reinvestment strategies and reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to manage shareholder returns effectively.

Kelsian Group Secures Major US Bus Service Contracts
Apr 7, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited’s subsidiary, First Class Transportation, has secured a five-year contract renewal for The Woodlands Express bus service in Texas, valued at approximately US$29 million, with options for extensions. Additionally, they have won a new contract with the City of Conroe, Texas, for a fixed-route service, generating US$2.25 million over five years. These contracts highlight Kelsian’s strong presence and reliability in the US market, reinforcing its position as a key player in sustainable public transport.

Kelsian Group Announces Director Departure
Apr 4, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced that Clinton Feuerherdt has ceased to be a director of the company as of March 31, 2025. The notice provides details of Feuerherdt’s interests in securities, including fully paid ordinary shares and unlisted performance and restricted rights. This change in directorship may impact the company’s governance structure and could have implications for its strategic direction.

Kelsian Group Limited Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Apr 4, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited announced the cessation of 44,747 performance rights due to unmet conditions, impacting its issued capital. This development may influence the company’s financial structuring and stakeholder interests, as it reflects on the company’s performance metrics and future incentive strategies.

Kelsian Group to Divest Australian Tourism Assets to Focus on Core Transport Services
Apr 1, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced its intention to divest a portfolio of Australian tourism assets, including several SeaLink operations and resorts, to streamline its business and focus on its core transport services. This strategic move aims to reduce debt and enhance shareholder value, with the potential divestment proceeds being reinvested into growth opportunities within Kelsian’s marine, bus, and motorcoach transport businesses, aligning with their capital management strategy.

Kelsian Group Announces Leadership Transition to Drive Strategic Growth
Mar 28, 2025

Kelsian Group Limited has announced a leadership transition with Graeme Legh taking over as Group CEO from April 1, 2025, while Clint Feuerherdt transitions to a Strategic Advisor role. This change is part of Kelsian’s ongoing efforts to enhance shareholder value through strategic projects and portfolio reviews, positioning the company for future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 20, 2025