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Key Petroleum Limited (AU:KEY)
ASX:KEY
Australian Market

Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:KEY

Key Petroleum Limited

(Sydney:KEY)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.06
▼(-3.33% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/27/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance—sharp revenue decline, large ongoing losses, and continued cash burn—partly offset by a no-debt balance sheet. Technical indicators are broadly bearish (negative MACD and price below the 100DMA), and valuation support is limited given a negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage (no debt)
Zero reported debt in 2024–2025 materially reduces refinancing and interest risk for an upstream E&P. This conservative capital structure preserves optionality to fund exploration or weather commodity cycles without immediate debt servicing pressure, supporting multi‑month solvency.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue collapse and heavy losses
A ~66% revenue drop alongside a substantial net loss indicates materially weakened cash generation and operating leverage. For an E&P, this combination erodes capital, limits reinvestment in exploration/development, and makes recovery dependent on new discoveries or external capital, not just operational tweaks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative leverage (no debt)
Zero reported debt in 2024–2025 materially reduces refinancing and interest risk for an upstream E&P. This conservative capital structure preserves optionality to fund exploration or weather commodity cycles without immediate debt servicing pressure, supporting multi‑month solvency.
Read all positive factors

Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Key Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Key Petroleum Limited engages in the acquisition and exploration of petroleum permits in Australia. It primarily holds interests in the ATP 783, 920, and 924 assets in the Cooper Eromanga Basin, Queensland, as well as L7 and EP437 in the Perth Bas...
How the Company Makes Money
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Key Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are weak: revenue fell sharply (2025: 1,677 vs 8,092 in 2024) with very large net losses (-484,245) and persistently negative operating/free cash flow (2025 FCF: -417,747). The main offset is a conservative balance sheet with no debt, but equity has declined materially and losses continue to erode value.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.001.68K8.09K0.0010.98K549.19K
Gross Profit0.001.68K8.09K-2.00K8.95K508.20K
EBITDA-180.97K-148.21K-961.00K387.89K-1.21M-2.18M
Net Income-345.92K-484.25K-961.00K350.37K-1.22M-2.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.64M1.59M1.51M2.20M2.16M3.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.25K94.07K172.07K583.30K266.61K1.39M
Total Debt0.000.000.00102.35K102.35K204.47K
Total Liabilities400.18K514.38K294.73K310.23K627.57K781.77K
Stockholders Equity1.24M1.07M1.22M1.89M1.54M2.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-477.26K-417.75K-720.51K-756.02K-821.39K-1.23M
Operating Cash Flow-390.13K-303.66K-703.46K-643.51K-765.56K-770.83K
Investing Cash Flow-91.69K-114.09K238.06K1.05M861.59K737.00
Financing Cash Flow431.36K339.74K292.31K-102.35K-102.13K173.80K

Key Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
47
Neutral
AU$10.72M-0.52-175.50%-92.71%-220.72%
44
Neutral
AU$3.14M-0.67-43.43%-26.88%24.00%
43
Neutral
AU$5.09M-1.09-25.48%94.13%
43
Neutral
AU$2.87M-2.00-16.19%-61.11%
42
Neutral
AU$2.09M-2.99-29.94%53.72%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:KEY
Key Petroleum Limited
0.06
0.01
27.66%
AU:XST
Xstate Resources Limited
0.03
<0.01
25.00%
AU:PRM
Prominence Energy Limited
AU:WEL
Winchester Energy Ltd
AU:SAN
Sagalio Energy Limited
0.01
>-0.01
-30.00%

Key Petroleum Limited Corporate Events

Key Petroleum Shelves Major Share Placement Tranche After Failing to Secure Investors
Mar 19, 2026
Key Petroleum Ltd, an ASX-listed petroleum exploration and production company, continues to rely on equity raisings from sophisticated investors to support its operational and growth plans. The company&#8217;s funding strategy and success in secur...
Key Petroleum Seeks ASX Quotation for Over 1 Million New Shares
Feb 26, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 1,015,286 new ordinary fully paid shares, with an issue date of 26 February 2026. The additional securities, issued as part of previously announced transactions, will marginally expand ...
Key Petroleum Completes First Tranche of Placement, Seeks New Investors for Remaining Shares
Feb 26, 2026
Key Petroleum has completed a 3% tranche of its previously announced share placement, issuing 1,015,286 fully paid ordinary shares at AU$0.058 each to raise AU$58,886.59 before costs, following a brief settlement delay linked to Chinese Lunar New ...
Key Petroleum Plans Share Placement to Raise New Capital
Feb 11, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has notified the ASX of a proposed placement of up to 5,414,858 new ordinary fully paid shares. The new securities are scheduled for issue on 20 February 2026, signaling a capital-raising move that could support the company&#...
Key Petroleum Raises A$314,000 in Share Placement to Fund Asset Growth
Feb 11, 2026
Key Petroleum Ltd has raised A$314,061.77 through a placement of 5,414,858 fully paid ordinary shares at A$0.058 each to two sophisticated investors. The capital injection reflects continued investor support and modestly strengthens the company&#8...
Key Petroleum Advances Cooper-Eromanga PCA Plans Amid Capital Constraints
Jan 27, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited reported that its eight Potential Commercial Area applications over permits ATP 920 and ATP 924 in the Cooper-Eromanga Basin remain under government consideration at the decision stage, with the company expecting long-term ap...
Key Petroleum Appoints New Director, Discloses Initial Shareholding
Jan 7, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has announced the appointment of Jujun Zhang as a director of the company, effective 6 January 2026. In connection with the appointment, the company has disclosed that Zhang holds 2,954,682 ordinary shares in Key Petroleum, c...
Key Petroleum Names New CEO and Vice Chairman to Drive New Energy Strategy
Jan 7, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has appointed Mr Jujun Zhang as Executive Director, Chief Executive Officer and Vice Chairman, effective 6 January 2026, as part of its efforts to advance its strategic objectives in the new energy power generation space. Zha...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 27, 2026