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Key Petroleum Limited
(Sydney:KEY)
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Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.11
▲(83.33% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/25/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, large losses, and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow), partially offset by strong technical momentum (price above major moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation remains a secondary drag due to a negative P/E that reflects continued unprofitability.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet (no debt)
A zero-debt capital structure materially reduces financial distress risk and preserves flexibility through commodity cycles. This durable strength makes it easier to endure revenue volatility, access external capital on better terms, and prioritize operational recovery without immediate solvency pressure.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue collapse
A ~66% revenue decline is structurally damaging: it reduces economies of scale, erodes supplier negotiating leverage, and makes fixed costs and terminal operations harder to cover. Sustained low volumes will keep margins under pressure and impair long-term viability without material recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet (no debt)
A zero-debt capital structure materially reduces financial distress risk and preserves flexibility through commodity cycles. This durable strength makes it easier to endure revenue volatility, access external capital on better terms, and prioritize operational recovery without immediate solvency pressure.
Read all positive factors
Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$3.89M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)16.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)-0.68
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS Growth71.78%
CountryAU
Employees6
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.01
Shares Outstanding38,919,296
10 Day Avg. Volume24,256
30 Day Avg. Volume16,341
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.81
Price to Sales (P/S)519.76
P/FCF Ratio-2.09
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Key Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Key Petroleum Limited specializes in securing and exploring for oil and gas deposits across Australia. Its primary holdings encompass the ATP 783, 920, and 924 concessions in Queensland's Cooper Eromanga Basin, in addition to the L7 and EP437 perm...
How the Company Makes Money
Key Petroleum Limited makes money primarily by selling petroleum products on a wholesale basis and earning margin between its procurement costs (e.g., fuel purchased from suppliers or through bulk supply arrangements) and the prices charged to cus...
Key Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 0.00 | 1.68K | 8.09K | 0.00 | 10.98K | 549.19K |
| Gross Profit | 0.00 | 1.68K | 8.09K | -2.00K | 8.95K | 508.20K |
| EBITDA | -180.97K | -148.21K | -961.00K | 387.89K | -1.21M | -2.18M |
| Net Income | -345.92K | -484.25K | -961.00K | 350.37K | -1.22M | -2.23M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.64M | 1.59M | 1.51M | 2.20M | 2.16M | 3.54M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 136.25K | 94.07K | 172.07K | 583.30K | 266.61K | 1.39M |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.35K | 102.35K | 204.47K |
| Total Liabilities | 400.18K | 514.38K | 294.73K | 310.23K | 627.57K | 781.77K |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.24M | 1.07M | 1.22M | 1.89M | 1.54M | 2.76M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -477.26K | -417.75K | -720.51K | -756.02K | -821.39K | -1.23M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -390.13K | -303.66K | -703.46K | -643.51K | -765.56K | -770.83K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -91.69K | -114.09K | 238.06K | 1.05M | 861.59K | 737.00 |
| Financing Cash Flow | 431.36K | 339.74K | 292.31K | -102.35K | -102.13K | 173.80K |
Key Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
50 Neutral | AU$3.89M | -8.40 | -29.94% | ― | ― | 71.78% | |
47 Neutral | AU$7.77M | -5.00 | -8.70% | ― | -92.63% | -8.33% | |
44 Neutral | AU$2.70M | -0.25 | -158.51% | ― | -3.22% | -43.96% | |
43 Neutral | AU$1.84M | -3.33 | 4.32% | ― | -27.82% | -30.43% | |
42 Neutral | AU$7.73M | -2.50 | -5.53% | ― | -100.00% | 55.30% | |
41 Neutral | AU$404.17K | -0.08 | 131.52% | ― | -47.01% | 77.51% |
* Energy Sector Average
AU:KEY
Key Petroleum Limited
0.10
0.06
133.33%
AU:AXP
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Key Petroleum Limited Corporate Events
Key Petroleum fortifies finances as it pursues tenure approvals in Cooper Eromanga Basin
Jul 24, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited spent the June quarter advancing its Potential Commercial Area applications over ATP 920 and ATP 924 in Queensland, maintaining close engagement with government authorities. Management views approval as a critical step to sec...
Key Petroleum Shored Up Cash Reserves Through Equity Funding in June Quarter
Jul 24, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited reported a net operating cash outflow of A$119,000 for the quarter ended 30 June 2026, bringing total operating outflows to A$462,000 for the year to date, mainly due to staff and corporate administration costs. The company o...
Key Petroleum Investor Raises Stake to Nearly 20%
May 8, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has disclosed a change in a substantial shareholding, with investor Bei bei Chen increasing their holding of ordinary shares. Chen’s voting power in the company has risen from 10.72% to 19.76%, reflecting a significant ...
ASF Group Exits Substantial Holder Position in Key Petroleum
May 5, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has disclosed that ASF Group Limited has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company, following a series of on‑market disposals of ordinary shares in early May 2026. The change was formally notified under Aust...
Key Petroleum Reveals Highly Concentrated Shareholder Register
May 5, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has disclosed the composition of its top 20 holders of ordinary fully paid shares as of 5 April 2026, showing a highly concentrated register. The leading shareholders, including several Chinese-linked investment groups and Au...
Key Petroleum Resolves Temporary Breach of 20% Ownership Cap
May 5, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has disclosed that a recent share placement temporarily lifted the voting power of substantial shareholder Ms Beibei Chen to about 20.28%, briefly breaching the 20% ownership threshold under the Corporations Act. The board st...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.