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Key Petroleum Limited
(Sydney:KEY)
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Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.07
▲(18.33% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, large losses, and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow), with only the low-debt balance sheet providing partial support. Technicals are also soft with the price below key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is difficult to justify given ongoing losses and no indicated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage
Zero reported debt in 2024–25 materially lowers financial risk and reduces near-term creditor pressure. A debt-free capital structure gives management flexibility to prioritize exploration or strategic options and provides multi-month resilience against cash-flow shocks.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A ~66% revenue collapse between 2024 and 2025 erodes the scale needed to cover fixed costs and fund exploration activity. Sustained revenue weakness undermines asset monetization, reduces bargaining power with counterparties, and hampers the company's ability to self-fund operations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative leverage
Zero reported debt in 2024–25 materially lowers financial risk and reduces near-term creditor pressure. A debt-free capital structure gives management flexibility to prioritize exploration or strategic options and provides multi-month resilience against cash-flow shocks.
Read all positive factors
Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$2.88M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)16.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)-0.33
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS Growth71.78%
CountryAU
Employees6
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.01
Shares Outstanding38,919,296
10 Day Avg. Volume24,256
30 Day Avg. Volume16,341
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.81
Price to Sales (P/S)519.76
P/FCF Ratio-2.09
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Key Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Key Petroleum Limited specializes in securing and exploring for oil and gas deposits across Australia. Its primary holdings encompass the ATP 783, 920, and 924 concessions in Queensland's Cooper Eromanga Basin, in addition to the L7 and EP437 perm...
How the Company Makes Money
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Key Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 0.00 | 1.68K | 8.09K | 0.00 | 10.98K | 549.19K |
| Gross Profit | 0.00 | 1.68K | 8.09K | -2.00K | 8.95K | 508.20K |
| EBITDA | -180.97K | -148.21K | -961.00K | 387.89K | -1.21M | -2.18M |
| Net Income | -345.92K | -484.25K | -961.00K | 350.37K | -1.22M | -2.23M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.64M | 1.59M | 1.51M | 2.20M | 2.16M | 3.54M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 136.25K | 94.07K | 172.07K | 583.30K | 266.61K | 1.39M |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.35K | 102.35K | 204.47K |
| Total Liabilities | 400.18K | 514.38K | 294.73K | 310.23K | 627.57K | 781.77K |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.24M | 1.07M | 1.22M | 1.89M | 1.54M | 2.76M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -477.26K | -417.75K | -720.51K | -756.02K | -821.39K | -1.23M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -390.13K | -303.66K | -703.46K | -643.51K | -765.56K | -770.83K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -91.69K | -114.09K | 238.06K | 1.05M | 861.59K | 737.00 |
| Financing Cash Flow | 431.36K | 339.74K | 292.31K | -102.35K | -102.13K | 173.80K |
Key Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
44 Neutral | AU$1.71M | -0.69 | -31.38% | ― | -20.01% | 5.88% | |
43 Neutral | AU$2.68M | -2.50 | -25.48% | ― | ― | 65.31% | |
43 Neutral | AU$1.84M | -3.27 | 4.32% | ― | -27.82% | -30.43% | |
42 Neutral | AU$2.88M | -6.22 | -29.94% | ― | ― | 71.78% | |
40 Underperform | AU$7.20M | -1.20 | -37.28% | ― | -100.00% | 9.93% |
* Energy Sector Average
AU:KEY
Key Petroleum Limited
0.07
0.02
42.31%
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Key Petroleum Limited Corporate Events
Key Petroleum Investor Raises Stake to Nearly 20%
May 8, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has disclosed a change in a substantial shareholding, with investor Bei bei Chen increasing their holding of ordinary shares. Chen’s voting power in the company has risen from 10.72% to 19.76%, reflecting a significant ...
ASF Group Exits Substantial Holder Position in Key Petroleum
May 5, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has disclosed that ASF Group Limited has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company, following a series of on‑market disposals of ordinary shares in early May 2026. The change was formally notified under Aust...
Key Petroleum Reveals Highly Concentrated Shareholder Register
May 5, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has disclosed the composition of its top 20 holders of ordinary fully paid shares as of 5 April 2026, showing a highly concentrated register. The leading shareholders, including several Chinese-linked investment groups and Au...
Key Petroleum Resolves Temporary Breach of 20% Ownership Cap
May 5, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has disclosed that a recent share placement temporarily lifted the voting power of substantial shareholder Ms Beibei Chen to about 20.28%, briefly breaching the 20% ownership threshold under the Corporations Act. The board st...
Key Petroleum Seeks ASX Quotation for Over 1 Million New Shares
May 1, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has applied to the Australian Securities Exchange for quotation of 1,015,286 new ordinary fully paid shares, with an issue date of 1 May 2026. The modest share issuance, tied to previously announced transactions, slightly exp...
Key Petroleum Completes Share Placement to Fund Asset Growth
May 1, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has completed a share placement to a sophisticated investor, issuing 1,015,286 fully paid ordinary shares, or about 3% of its issued capital, at AU$0.058 per share to raise AU$58,886.59 before costs. This transaction exhausts...
Key Petroleum Fully Utilises Placement Capacity in Targeted Capital Raise
May 1, 2026
Key Petroleum Ltd has completed the placement of the remaining 3% of its previously announced capital-raising capacity, securing binding commitments for 1,015,286 new fully paid ordinary shares at AUD $0.058 each to raise approximately AUD $58,886...
Key Petroleum Seeks ASX Quotation for 3 Million New Shares
Apr 29, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 3,045,858 new ordinary fully paid shares, with an issue date of April 29, 2026. The securities, which arise from previously announced transactions, will expand the company’s quote...
Key Petroleum Raises Capital via Share Placement to Fund Asset Growth
Apr 29, 2026
Key Petroleum has completed a share placement to a sophisticated investor, issuing 3,045,858 fully paid ordinary shares at AU$0.058 each, equivalent to about 9% of its issued capital and raising AU$176,659.76 before costs. The proceeds will be dir...
Key Petroleum says no undisclosed news behind share price moves
Apr 24, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has responded to an ASX price and volume query, stating it is not aware of any undisclosed information that would explain the recent movements in its share trading. The company confirmed it remains in full compliance with ASX...
Key Petroleum Raises Capital to Fund Asset Growth and Operations
Apr 7, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has completed a capital raising of AU$176,659.76 through a placement of 3,045,858 fully paid ordinary shares to sophisticated investors at an issue price of AU$0.058 per share. The shares will be issued under the company̵...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.