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Iron Road Ltd (AU:IRD)
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Iron Road Ltd (IRD) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:IRD

Iron Road Ltd

(OTC:IRD)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.03
▼(-32.50% Downside)
The score is driven mainly by improved FY2025 financial performance and a strong balance sheet, alongside a low P/E valuation. These positives are tempered by weak technicals (downtrend with negative MACD) and the risk that the FY2025 turnaround is not yet proven durable given historically lumpy results and a YoY revenue decline.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with no leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities without the burden of debt.
Cash Generation Improvement
Improved cash generation indicates better operational efficiency and financial health, supporting sustainable business operations and potential reinvestment in growth projects.
Exploration and Development Initiatives
New exploration initiatives, such as drilling at the Irria Prospect, could enhance resource base and market position, supporting long-term growth and diversification of revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
Volatile revenue trends can undermine financial predictability and planning, posing risks to sustained profitability and investor confidence in the company's growth trajectory.
Inconsistent Cash Flow
Inconsistent cash flow generation can limit the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, potentially impacting long-term financial stability and strategic execution.
Earnings Durability Concerns
While recent profitability is positive, historical inconsistency raises concerns about the durability and repeatability of earnings, impacting long-term investor confidence and valuation.

Iron Road Ltd (IRD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Iron Road Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIron Road Ltd (IRD) is a company primarily operating in the infrastructure and resources sector. The company focuses on the development and management of iron ore projects, with a core emphasis on high-grade iron ore production. IRD is involved in various stages of the mining process, from exploration to extraction, and it aims to deliver quality iron ore products to global markets, supporting the steel manufacturing industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyIron Road Ltd generates revenue through the extraction and sale of iron ore. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the sale of iron ore to steel manufacturers and other industrial clients worldwide. Key factors contributing to its earnings include efficient mining operations, strategic partnerships with logistics and shipping companies for the transportation of iron ore, and long-term contracts with major steel producers, which provide stable and predictable income. Additionally, any fluctuations in iron ore prices can significantly impact their revenue, as the commodity market plays a crucial role in determining selling prices.

Iron Road Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iron Road Ltd faces significant financial challenges, primarily driven by persistent losses and cash flow issues. While the balance sheet shows some stability with a strong equity base, the lack of profitability and cash generation are critical risks. Improvement in operational efficiency and revenue growth are essential for future financial health.
Income Statement
Iron Road Ltd has consistently reported net losses over the past several years, indicating significant profitability challenges. The revenue growth has been volatile, with a decrease in the most recent period. Gross profit margins are positive but insufficient to cover operating expenses, resulting in negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, which reflect operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a relatively high equity ratio, suggesting stability in its asset base. However, the return on equity is negative due to continuous net losses. While total debt is relatively low, the company's ability to generate returns remains a concern.
Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flows indicate ongoing challenges in generating cash from operations. The company's reliance on financing activities to fund operations is notable, reflecting potential liquidity risks. Free cash flow growth remains negative, highlighting cash management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.69M7.69M817.38K1.00M38.0050.27K
Gross Profit7.69M7.69M817.38K-45.40K-46.79K-46.83K
EBITDA5.19M5.19M-1.45M-347.00K-3.82M-5.41M
Net Income5.05M5.05M-1.49M-468.00K-4.03M-5.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets138.56M138.56M134.76M135.79M135.67M137.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.55M3.55M234.97K1.78M1.94M4.79M
Total Debt0.000.00503.22K0.000.00343.12K
Total Liabilities1.11M1.11M2.32M3.45M1.85M1.49M
Stockholders Equity137.45M137.45M132.44M132.34M133.82M135.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.05M4.05M-2.33M-1.23M-4.23M-3.26M
Operating Cash Flow4.58M4.58M-1.78M-890.37K-2.93M-2.50M
Investing Cash Flow-474.12K-474.12K-555.02K-343.62K-1.30M-752.87K
Financing Cash Flow-741.50K-741.50K785.90K1.08M1.38M7.66M

Iron Road Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.04
Negative
100DMA
0.04
Negative
200DMA
0.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
33.94
Neutral
STOCH
3.92
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:IRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and above the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.92 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:IRD.

Iron Road Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
AU$19.97M3.933.77%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
AU$38.83M4.6219.09%
41
Neutral
AU$41.12M-5.56-92.18%66.67%
28
Underperform
AU$24.97M-5.88-32.09%-141.04%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:IRD
Iron Road Ltd
0.02
-0.03
-57.14%
AU:GWR
GWR Group Limited
0.12
0.04
50.00%
AU:M4M
Kogi Iron Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:EQX
Equatorial Resources Limited
0.19
0.07
58.33%

Iron Road Ltd Corporate Events

Iron Road Ltd Announces Change in Director’s Shareholding
Dec 3, 2025

Iron Road Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically concerning Dr. Peter Cassidy. The change involved an in-specie distribution of shares, resulting in an increase of 460,545 shares held by the Cassidy Family, with no shares disposed. This adjustment in shareholding reflects internal financial structuring and may influence the company’s governance dynamics, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions.

Iron Road Ltd Begins Drilling at Irria Prospect
Dec 2, 2025

Iron Road Ltd has commenced drilling at the Irria Prospect in South Australia following a successful reconnaissance mapping and surface sampling program. This exploratory drilling, consisting of up to 53 air-core holes, is expected to yield laboratory assay results in the first quarter of 2026, potentially impacting the company’s operational strategy and market positioning in the mineral exploration industry.

Iron Road Ltd Announces Mullaquana Station as Desalination Plant Site
Dec 1, 2025

Iron Road Ltd, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: IRD), has announced that Mullaquana Station has been selected as the site for a desalination plant as part of the Northern Water Project. This decision, reported by The Advertiser, marks a shift from the previously preferred site at Cape Hardy and follows a comprehensive analysis of regional industrial opportunities and various socio-economic factors. The final investment decision for the $5 billion project is expected by the end of 2026, and while the choice of Mullaquana was anticipated, it is seen as a disappointment for those who supported Cape Hardy.

Iron Road Ltd Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 26, 2025

Iron Road Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Glen Anthony Chipman. On November 26, 2025, Chipman was issued 4,000,000 performance rights, which were approved by shareholders, while his shareholding remained unchanged. This development indicates a potential strategic move to align director incentives with company performance, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions and company operations.

Iron Road Limited Issues Performance Rights to Employees
Nov 26, 2025

Iron Road Limited has announced the issuance of 8,000,000 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX. This move could potentially enhance employee motivation and align their interests with the company’s long-term goals, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning.

Iron Road Ltd Announces AGM Results and Auditor Change
Nov 26, 2025

Iron Road Ltd announced the successful passage of all resolutions at its 2025 Annual General Meeting, including the appointment of Grant Thornton Audit Pty Ltd as the new auditor, replacing PriceWaterhouseCoopers. This change in auditors and the approval of performance rights for key executives are expected to impact the company’s governance and operational strategies positively, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence.

Iron Road Ltd CEO Addresses 2025 AGM with Cautionary Presentation
Nov 25, 2025

Iron Road Ltd has released a presentation by its CEO, Larry Ingle, at the 2025 Annual General Meeting. The presentation, authorized by the company’s board, does not offer securities or investment advice and emphasizes that investors should conduct their own due diligence. The document highlights that any forward-looking statements are not forecasts and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could affect the company’s future performance.

Iron Road Ltd Confirms Promising Heavy Mineral Sands at Irria Prospect
Nov 20, 2025

Iron Road Ltd has completed a reconnaissance mapping and surface sampling program at the Irria Prospect, confirming the presence of valuable heavy minerals like titanium and zircon. The program’s positive results, including high percentages of valuable heavy minerals, support the prospect’s potential for further exploration and development. The company has also received approval for a low-impact drilling program and has established a joint venture framework with Red Tiger Resources Ltd, indicating strategic steps towards advancing their mining operations.

Iron Road Ltd Announces 2025 AGM Details
Oct 26, 2025

Iron Road Ltd has announced the details of its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM), scheduled for November 26, 2025, at the Tank Stream Suites in Sydney. The company will not be sending hard copies of the meeting notice unless specifically requested by shareholders, reflecting a shift towards digital communication. This AGM is a significant event for stakeholders as it provides an opportunity to discuss the company’s operations and future strategies.

Iron Road Ltd Advances Iron Ore and Green Energy Projects Amidst Challenging Market Conditions
Oct 15, 2025

Iron Road Ltd’s September quarter activities were centered on due diligence for the Central Eyre Iron Project amidst a challenging global investment climate for iron ore developers. The company is also exploring collaboration with Revera Energy on green hydrogen projects at Cape Hardy, which could enhance their magnetite asset development and downstream manufacturing opportunities. Additionally, Iron Road has entered a Farm-In agreement with Red Tiger Resources to explore heavy mineral sands in South Australia, highlighting the region’s potential for sediment-hosted titanium.

Iron Road Ltd Director’s Interest Update: Ian Hume Increases Shareholding
Oct 8, 2025

Iron Road Ltd has announced a change in the interests of its director, Ian Hume, involving the exercise of vested performance rights. This change resulted in the acquisition of 1,500,000 shares and the disposal of an equivalent number of performance rights, increasing Mr. Hume’s total shareholding to 9,679,244 shares. The transaction was conducted with no cash consideration, potentially indicating a strategic move to consolidate Mr. Hume’s equity position within the company.

Iron Road Ltd Issues Shares as Director Remuneration
Oct 8, 2025

Iron Road Ltd has announced the issuance of 1,500,000 ordinary shares as part of a remuneration package for a director. This move, executed without disclosure under specific provisions of the Corporations Act, signifies the company’s compliance with regulatory requirements and reflects its ongoing commitment to rewarding leadership, potentially impacting its governance and market perception.

Iron Road Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Oct 8, 2025

Iron Road Ltd has announced the quotation of 1,500,000 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of October 8, 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its capital structure and support its strategic initiatives, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Iron Road Ltd Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting Date
Oct 3, 2025

Iron Road Ltd has announced its intention to hold the 2025 annual general meeting on 26 November 2025, with the re-election of Directors as a key agenda item. The deadline for director nominations is set for 14 October 2025, indicating a structured approach to governance and potential shifts in leadership that could impact the company’s strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025