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Humm Group Limited (AU:HUM)
ASX:HUM

Humm Group Limited (HUM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HUM

Humm Group Limited

(Sydney:HUM)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.70
▲(2.94% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/01/25
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by financial performance and valuation. Strong revenue growth and operational efficiency are offset by high leverage and negative cash flow growth. The stock appears undervalued, but technical indicators suggest bearish momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong top-line growth
A 139.77% revenue increase signals rapidly expanding originations and customer adoption of humm’s credit products. Durable top-line momentum supports scale economies, stronger merchant leverage and the opportunity to improve unit economics and long-term revenue diversification over the next several months.
High gross and operating margins
Very high gross and strong EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate a scalable, low-variable-cost business and effective cost control in core finance operations. These structural margin advantages support profitability as originations scale and provide a cushion against modest revenue swings or incremental investment needs.
Diversified consumer-finance revenue model
A multi-channel revenue mix (interest, merchant fees, customer fees and ancillary payment income) reduces dependence on any single stream. This structural diversity, combined with POS/BNPL distribution through merchant partners, supports resilient cashflows and customer acquisition over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio of 9.30 reflects heavy reliance on borrowed and securitised funding. This structural leverage raises vulnerability to higher funding costs or credit tightening, limits strategic flexibility, and increases the risk that adverse macro conditions will materially pressure liquidity and earnings sustainability.
Weak operating cash conversion and negative FCF growth
Negative FCF growth of -245% and an operating-cash-to-net-income ratio near 0.04 show earnings are not converting into cash. For a lender, persistent weak cash conversion creates ongoing funding needs, raising refinancing risk and making growth or capital returns reliant on external capital rather than internal cash generation.
Low net profit margin versus operating margins
A net margin of ~6% despite very high gross and operating margins suggests interest expense, provisioning or non-operating costs erode returns. Structurally, this reduces retained earnings available for reinvestment or buffer against credit losses and constrains long-term shareholder return potential absent margin improvement or capital structure repair.

Humm Group Limited (HUM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Humm Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHumm Group Limited provides various financial services in Australia, New Zealand, Ireland, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company operates through four segments: BNPL, New Zealand Cards, Australia Cards, and Commercial and Leasing. It offers buy now, pay later solution under the bundll brand name; humm, an interest-free payment platform with repayment options; long term interest free finance and everyday spend solutions under the humm90 brand; humm pro, a buy now pay later solution for small to medium businesses; Q Mastercard, an interest free credit card; FlexiCommercial, a business financing solution, which includes leasing and chattel mortgages for small and medium businesses; and leasing solutions and SME financing services. The company was formerly known as FlexiGroup Limited and changed its name to Humm Group Limited in November 2020. Humm Group Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyHumm Group generates revenue primarily through interest and fees associated with its financing products. The company's core revenue streams include the interest charged on loans provided to consumers, as well as transaction fees collected from merchants who partner with Humm to offer financing options at the point of sale. Additionally, Humm may earn income from late fees and other ancillary services related to its financial offerings. Strategic partnerships with retailers and e-commerce platforms enhance Humm's reach and customer base, driving increased transaction volumes and ultimately contributing to its earnings.

Humm Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Humm Group Limited demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with high gross profit and EBIT margins. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow growth pose risks to financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Humm Group Limited shows a strong revenue growth rate of 139.77% in the latest year, indicating a significant improvement in sales. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 94.80%, suggesting effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 6.06%, indicating potential inefficiencies or high expenses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 53.79% and 56.62%, respectively, reflecting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 9.30, which indicates significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is moderate at 7.87%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a high reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Free cash flow growth is negative at -245.48%, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.037, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy at 0.88, indicating that a significant portion of net income is converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue653.60M243.70M248.00M292.90M311.00M
Gross Profit619.60M243.70M248.00M292.90M311.00M
EBITDA370.10M315.90M197.70M169.60M181.90M
Net Income39.60M7.10M2.90M-170.30M60.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.34B5.42B4.77B3.77B3.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments323.30M281.20M336.10M281.00M218.20M
Total Debt4.68B4.72B4.08B3.04B2.43B
Total Liabilities4.84B4.84B4.20B3.14B2.54B
Stockholders Equity503.20M525.30M572.50M627.70M759.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow157.70M-697.50M-900.70M-544.20M-139.70M
Operating Cash Flow179.00M-682.50M-882.70M-520.90M-110.60M
Investing Cash Flow-21.30M-13.50M-18.00M-14.80M-31.30M
Financing Cash Flow-115.20M640.90M952.90M600.90M203.40M

Humm Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.68
Price Trends
50DMA
0.70
Negative
100DMA
0.66
Positive
200DMA
0.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
40.27
Neutral
STOCH
18.77
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HUM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.71, below the 50-day MA of 0.70, and above the 200-day MA of 0.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:HUM.

Humm Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
AU$175.25M4.9495.31%19.38%
67
Neutral
AU$354.12M11.308.73%7.73%-4.26%89.71%
56
Neutral
AU$347.51M12.557.83%2.84%7.64%463.49%
55
Neutral
AU$3.58B21.8214.42%23.69%116.67%
43
Neutral
AU$85.31M-1.61-42.59%-9.56%-392.31%
42
Neutral
AU$40.45M-4.81-19.44%-2.35%13.33%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HUM
Humm Group Limited
0.68
0.07
11.66%
AU:SVR
Money3 Corporation Limited
1.82
0.59
47.97%
AU:WZR
Wisr Ltd.
0.03
-0.02
-37.50%
AU:ZIP
Zip Co Ltd.
1.78
-0.60
-25.21%
AU:PLT
Plenti Group Ltd.
0.94
0.08
9.30%
AU:MME
MoneyMe Ltd.
0.12
-0.09
-42.50%

Humm Group Limited Corporate Events

Humm Group Posts Higher Half-Year Profit as Consumer Finance and NZ Cards Drive Recovery
Feb 10, 2026

Humm Group reported statutory profit after tax of $13.9 million for the half year to 31 December 2025, up 13% on the prior half but down sharply year on year, as higher credit losses from a maturing commercial book and legacy irregular items weighed on results. The company is shifting to statutory accounting as its primary reporting basis to improve transparency and comparability, while maintaining a net interest margin of 5.5%, assets under management of $5.4 billion and a fully franked interim dividend of 1.5 cents per share.

Commercial assets under management grew 5.7% amid SME headwinds, with net credit losses expected to ease in the second half, while the consumer division delivered a strong profit rebound, led by robust growth in New Zealand cards and accelerating momentum in Ireland and the UK. Humm is investing in technology and product improvements, including a recovering humm loan offering and a cards platform re‑platform in Australia, and closed the half with strengthened funding, $0.7 billion of undrawn capacity and higher net tangible assets per share, positioning it to support near-term growth and absorb potential obligations such as the Forum Finance litigation outcome.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.79 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Group Issues Interim 1H26 Results With Investor Risk Warnings
Feb 10, 2026

Humm Group Limited has released its interim results for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, accompanied by a presentation outlining its performance and key disclosures. The company emphasises that the document is informational only, does not constitute financial advice or an offer of securities, and that any investment decisions should be made with independent professional guidance.

The release also underscores the inherent risks and uncertainties in any forward-looking information and stresses that past performance is not indicative of future results. Humm Group highlights jurisdictional restrictions on distribution of its materials, particularly in the United States, and reiterates that its securities are not registered under U.S. securities laws, reinforcing compliance and risk awareness for potential investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.79 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Group Profit Halves but Lifts Interim Dividend Amid Softer Revenue
Feb 10, 2026

Humm Group Limited reported a slight decline in half-year revenue to $326 million for the period ended 31 December 2025, down 3% from a year earlier, while net profit attributable to shareholders fell 49% to $13.9 million. The company’s net tangible assets per security eased to 83 cents from 84 cents, indicating modest balance sheet pressure.

Despite the profit contraction, the board declared a fully franked interim dividend of 1.50 cents per share for 2026, up from the prior interim payout of 1.25 cents, with payment scheduled for 26 March 2026. Shareholders will be able to participate in the dividend reinvestment plan for this interim distribution, signaling ongoing capital management efforts and a continued focus on returning value to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.79 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Group to Unveil 1H26 Results with Investor Webcast
Feb 10, 2026

Humm Group Limited, a diversified financial services provider of instalment plans, commercial lending and point-of-sale payment solutions across Australia, New Zealand, Ireland, Canada and the United Kingdom, also issues a range of branded credit and store cards in its core markets. The company announced it will release its financial results for the half year ended 31 December 2025 on 11 February 2026, accompanied by a webcast briefing for investors and other interested parties hosted by Chief Executive Angelo Demasi and Interim Chief Financial Officer Tony Taylor, underscoring ongoing engagement with the market on its performance and outlook.

The scheduled half-year results announcement and webcast are intended to give stakeholders timely visibility into hummgroup’s financial health and operational trajectory. By providing direct access to senior leadership through the live briefing, the group signals a focus on transparency and maintaining investor confidence amid competitive pressures in the financial services and instalment payments sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.79 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Group Hit With $19m Court Damages in Forum Fraud Case but Escapes Larger SMBC Claim
Feb 3, 2026

Humm Group Limited has reported that the Federal Court of Australia has handed down judgment in a long-running dispute brought by SMBC Leasing and Finance over financing arrangements tied to a major fraud perpetrated by Bill Papas and the Forum Group of Companies. The court found Flexirent Capital, a wholly owned humm subsidiary, and humm liable for breach of warranty in 2018 receivables arrangements involving purported Veolia contracts, awarding SMBC expectation-loss damages of about $19 million, but dismissed all claims relating to larger 2020 arrangements entered into directly between SMBC and Forum Enviro, finding Flexirent was unaware of the fraud and not responsible for SMBC’s subsequent losses. Humm had previously provisioned for the Forum exposure and is now assessing the final financial impact of the ruling relative to its existing provisions, while also considering the potential release of a separate regulatory provision given no related regulatory exposure has emerged, with final court orders and cost allocations still to be determined.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.79 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Faces Takeovers Panel Application Over Handling of Credit Corp Bid and Chair’s Rising Stake
Jan 27, 2026

Humm Group Limited has become the focus of a Takeovers Panel application lodged by shareholder Akat Investments Pty Ltd, amid escalating tension around competing corporate control dynamics at the ASX-listed finance group. The application centres on Humm’s handling of a non-binding indicative takeover proposal from Credit Corp Group Limited for 100% of Humm’s shares, and follows an earlier, now-withdrawn indicative bid from The Abercrombie Group Pty Ltd, an entity linked to Humm chair Andrew Abercrombie, whose associates recently lifted his relevant interest in the company to 29.19% through on‑market share purchases. Akat alleges unacceptable circumstances including delayed and incomplete disclosure of Credit Corp’s proposal, failure to grant due diligence over two months after receipt of a bona fide offer, perceived conflicts arising from Humm using a law firm that also advised the Abercrombie-linked bidder, and the absence of an independent board committee to assess the Credit Corp approach, all while a shareholder-led push is under way to remove several directors and appoint new ones at a 19 February 2026 extraordinary general meeting. The applicant is seeking interim and final orders that would strip voting rights from shares acquired by Abercrombie‑associated entities in mid‑December 2025 while the Credit Corp proposal remains live, compel Humm to provide due diligence to Credit Corp on terms equivalent to those given to the Abercrombie vehicle, require the establishment of an independent board committee and structured engagement process, and force corrective disclosure; the Takeovers Panel has yet to decide whether it will commence formal proceedings or rule on the requested remedies, leaving governance and control at Humm in a state of heightened uncertainty for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.81 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Group Shifts Registered Office to New Sydney CBD Headquarters
Jan 27, 2026

Humm Group Limited has relocated its registered office and principal place of business to Level 14, 255 Pitt Street in central Sydney, consolidating its corporate presence in one of the city’s key commercial districts. The move formalises a new headquarters location that may streamline corporate operations and stakeholder engagement, but does not signal any change to the company’s existing financial services activities or geographic footprint across its core markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.81 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Board Urges Shareholders to Reject Activist-Led Director Shake-Up
Jan 13, 2026

Humm Group Limited is confronting a shareholder-led attempt to overhaul its board, with activist investors Jeremy Michael Kersten Raper and Sandhurst Trustees (as custodian for Collins St Value Fund) calling a general meeting on 19 February 2026 to remove three current directors and install two of their own nominees. In a detailed response, the existing board has unanimously urged shareholders to vote against all proposed resolutions, arguing that its current strategy has delivered strong returns, that the activists’ plan is reckless and based on misleading claims, and that replacing directors would jeopardise the company’s capital strength, lender relationships, governance standards and long-term value creation for all shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Buy with a A$0.87 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Director Andrew Abercrombie Lifts Stake with A$10.9m On-Market Share Purchases
Dec 28, 2025

Humm Group Limited has disclosed that director Andrew Abercrombie, through his associated entities The Abercrombie Group Pty Ltd as trustee for the Philadelphia Trust and Tefig Pty Ltd as trustee for the AJ Abercrombie Superannuation Fund, has increased his indirect holding in the company. Over three on-market purchases conducted between 17 and 19 December 2025, Abercrombie acquired a total of 15 million ordinary shares for approximately A$10.94 million, lifting the Philadelphia Trust’s stake to 105,955,600 shares while the superannuation fund’s holding remains at 40 million shares. The sizeable on-market investment signals strengthened commitment by a key director and substantial shareholder, and may be interpreted by investors as a vote of confidence in Humm Group’s valuation and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Buy with a A$0.87 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Group Faces Shareholder-Driven Board Challenge Ahead of 2026 Meeting
Dec 23, 2025

Humm Group Limited has disclosed that a group of shareholders holding at least 5% of its voting stock has convened a general meeting for 19 February 2026 to vote on a board shake-up, including the election of two new directors and the removal of three of the four current directors. The company’s board has stated it does not support the proposed resolutions, will recommend that investors vote against all changes, and is preparing a detailed response outlining its rationale, signalling a developing governance dispute that shareholders will need to assess ahead of the meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Buy with a A$0.87 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Credit Corp Proposes Acquisition of Humm Group
Dec 17, 2025

Humm Group Limited has received a non-binding indicative proposal from Credit Corp Group Limited to acquire 100% of the company. The proposal, submitted on November 19, 2025, is conditional and seeks access to due diligence information, which has not yet been provided. There is no certainty that a transaction will occur, and Credit Corp will keep shareholders informed in line with its disclosure obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Buy with a A$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Group Limited Announces CFO Change
Dec 16, 2025

Humm Group Limited announced the resignation of Adrian Fisk as Chief Financial Officer, effective immediately, and the appointment of Anthony Taylor as interim CFO starting December 17, 2025. This leadership change may impact the company’s financial operations and strategic direction, with a permanent appointment expected in the future.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Buy with a A$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Humm Group Announces Cessation of Securities
Nov 25, 2025

Humm Group Limited has announced the cessation of a significant number of its securities, specifically performance rights and service rights, as of various dates in October and November 2025. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for its stakeholders, including investors and market analysts, as it reflects changes in the company’s issued capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HUM) stock is a Buy with a A$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Humm Group Limited stock, see the AU:HUM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025