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Horseshoe Metals Limited (AU:HOR)
ASX:HOR

Horseshoe Metals Limited (HOR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HOR

Horseshoe Metals Limited

(Sydney:HOR)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.04
▲(5.00% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative equity, and continued cash burn). Technicals provide some offset with strong recent momentum (price above major moving averages and positive MACD), but overbought signals and limited valuation support (negative P/E, no dividend) keep the overall score below average.
Positive Factors
Revenue rebound
A 129% YoY revenue rebound indicates operational momentum and potential commercial progress at core assets. If sustained, higher revenue can reduce near-term funding needs, improve negotiating leverage for JVs or offtake, and provide resources to advance exploration and development over months.
Focused asset strategy
Concentrated exposure to a single high-potential copper-gold project in a well-known WA jurisdiction provides structural optionality. A clear project focus improves ability to attract partners, specialist capital, or project-level financing as exploration results progress over the medium term.
Reduced cash burn
Material reduction in cash burn in 2024 meaningfully extends operational runway and reduces immediate financing pressure. Sustained lower outflows enhance flexibility to fund exploration or negotiate partnerships without urgent dilutive raises, improving medium-term survivability.
Negative Factors
Negative equity
Persistently negative equity signals an eroded capital base and elevated insolvency risk, restricting access to non-dilutive credit and increasing lender/counterparty caution. Over months this limits financial flexibility, raises refinancing risk, and can force dilutive capital raises.
Chronic cash burn
Repeated negative operating and free cash flows denote structural cash burn, creating dependence on external financing or partners. This reliance raises execution risk: funding timing, dilution, or project delays are probable unless cash generation improves or secured partner financing materializes.
Deep unprofitability
Despite revenue growth, negative gross profit and heavily negative margins reflect an unstable cost structure and lack of operating leverage. Without clear margin improvement or cost control, sustainable profitability is uncertain, constraining long-term capital formation and project advancement.

Horseshoe Metals Limited (HOR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Horseshoe Metals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHorseshoe Metals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for copper and gold deposits. It owns 100% interests in the Horseshoe Lights project that comprises 15 tenements covering an area of approximately 215 square kilometers located in Bryah Basin region of Western Australia; and the Kumarina project that consists of a small mining lease and a mining lease covering approximately 3.2 square kilometers located in the Gascoyne region of Western Australia. The company also owns 50% interest in the Mt Gunson copper project; and 100% interest in the Glenloth gold project located in South Australia. Horseshoe Metals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Balcatta, Australia.
How the Company Makes Money

Horseshoe Metals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain high risk: despite a sharp 2024 revenue rebound, gross profit is still negative, losses are severe, equity is persistently below zero, and operating/free cash flow are negative across all years (even with reduced 2024 cash burn).
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Revenue rebounded sharply in 2024 (up ~129% year over year), but the business remains deeply unprofitable. Gross profit is negative in most years (including 2024), and operating and net margins are heavily negative, indicating weak cost structure and limited earnings quality despite occasional revenue volatility (e.g., the 2021 spike). Overall, the income profile reflects an early-stage or challenged operation with no clear path to profitability yet shown in the data.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
The balance sheet is pressured by persistently negative equity across all periods, which raises financial risk and limits flexibility. Total debt is meaningful (roughly $1.2M in 2024) and, with equity below zero, leverage looks structurally elevated. Total assets are sizable versus debt, but negative equity and ongoing losses suggest the capital base has been eroded and remains a key weakness.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every year shown. There is improvement in 2024 versus 2023 (cash burn reduced materially), but free cash flow still declined year over year in 2024 and remains negative. With continued losses and ongoing cash outflows, the company likely depends on external funding to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.96K11.91K8.61K21.49K93.31K4.41K
Gross Profit-14.08K-19.32K-4.75K-12.31K89.34K-726.00
EBITDA-681.29K-787.71K-1.18M-2.26M-2.13M-1.05M
Net Income-738.37K-845.65K-1.29M-2.37M-2.31M-1.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.33M8.86M8.54M8.26M8.47M7.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments206.07K399.002.47K6.78K1.37M98.27K
Total Debt1.65M1.19M1.69M1.59M1.64M1.64M
Total Liabilities10.94M10.11M9.10M9.79M10.30M9.98M
Stockholders Equity-1.61M-1.25M-560.53K-1.53M-1.84M-2.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-442.39K-166.70K-1.86M-3.24M-955.53K-493.30K
Operating Cash Flow-434.49K-166.70K-1.85M-3.19M-955.53K-493.30K
Investing Cash Flow-7.90K0.00-727.00-47.68K0.00-38.00K
Financing Cash Flow646.54K164.63K1.85M1.87M2.23M629.10K

Horseshoe Metals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
AU$21.58M11.249.77%8.14%-16.82%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
AU$59.63M97.374.75%
48
Neutral
AU$35.90M-43.64
47
Neutral
AU$13.60M-5.71%16.67%
42
Neutral
AU$12.07M-6.2993.44%
41
Neutral
AU$40.24M-6.05-5.81%-67.81%-244.10%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HOR
Horseshoe Metals Limited
0.05
0.04
336.36%
AU:GUL
Gullewa Limited
0.10
0.05
90.38%
AU:BCA
Black Canyon Limited
0.37
0.31
469.23%
AU:AHN
Athena Resources Limited
AU:VML
Vital Metals Ltd
0.17
0.11
183.33%
AU:RWD
Reward Minerals Limited
0.04
-0.02
-32.31%

Horseshoe Metals Limited Corporate Events

Horseshoe Metals Confirms Broad Copper Oxide Zones as Funding Talks Advance at Horseshoe Lights
Jan 30, 2026

Horseshoe Metals has advanced drilling and funding initiatives at its Horseshoe Lights Copper-Gold Project during the December 2025 quarter, completing 2,204 metres of reverse circulation drilling, including 1,824 metres at the Motters zone and 380 metres over western gold targets. Phase 1 drilling delivered broad, shallow copper oxide intercepts from surface, confirming robust mineralisation up to 50 metres wide and supporting potential upgrades in the scale and confidence of the resource, while Phase 2 drilling, set to start in the March 2026 quarter, will target southern extensions of the Motters zone to feed into future economic studies. On the corporate side, Horseshoe is progressing discussions with several commodity traders on potential offtake and funding arrangements, pursuing early cash flow from direct shipping ore sales of existing high-grade copper stockpiles, and has allowed Melody Gold to process certain gold surface materials at Horseshoe Lights while retaining full rights to copper-bearing material and all subsurface copper and gold, moves that collectively aim to strengthen project economics and near-term funding flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HOR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horseshoe Metals Limited stock, see the AU:HOR Stock Forecast page.

Horseshoe Metals Director Increases Equity Stake via Option Exercise
Jan 16, 2026

Horseshoe Metals Limited has disclosed a change in the interests of director Kate Stoney, in accordance with ASX listing rules. On 16 January 2026, Stoney exercised 1.5 million unlisted options (expiring 26 May 2026) at no cash consideration, converting them into fully paid ordinary shares and increasing her direct shareholding from 3.25 million to 4.75 million shares, while her options holding fell to zero. The transaction did not occur during a closed trading period and did not involve any change in contractual interests, indicating a routine equity consolidation by the director rather than a broader strategic capital move by the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HOR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horseshoe Metals Limited stock, see the AU:HOR Stock Forecast page.

Horseshoe Metals Issues New Shares on Option Conversion, Lodges Cleansing Notice
Jan 16, 2026

Horseshoe Metals Limited has issued 3,650,000 fully paid ordinary shares following the conversion of an equivalent number of unlisted options across various classes, modestly increasing its quoted share capital on the ASX. In a cleansing notice to the market, the company confirmed the new shares were issued without a prospectus under the Corporations Act but are eligible for on-sale under the section 708A(5) exemption, and stated it is compliant with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations and has no undisclosed price-sensitive information, providing assurance to investors about regulatory transparency around the new securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HOR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horseshoe Metals Limited stock, see the AU:HOR Stock Forecast page.

Horseshoe Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for 3.65 Million New Shares
Jan 16, 2026

Horseshoe Metals Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 3,650,000 new ordinary fully paid shares, issued on 15 January 2026. The new securities result from the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities, representing a routine capital markets action that modestly expands the company’s quoted share base and may provide additional funding or strengthen its balance sheet, with limited immediate impact on existing shareholders beyond dilution.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HOR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horseshoe Metals Limited stock, see the AU:HOR Stock Forecast page.

Horseshoe Metals Reports Promising Drilling Results at Motters Zone
Dec 11, 2025

Horseshoe Metals Limited has announced the completion of Phase 1 of its reverse circulation drilling program at the Motters Zone within the Horseshoe Lights Copper Gold Project. The results have confirmed significant zones of shallow oxide copper mineralization, with plans for Phase 2 drilling to commence in January. The company is in discussions with commodity traders for potential copper offtake and funding arrangements, indicating a positive outlook for future developments and stakeholder engagement.

Horseshoe Metals Limited Announces Director’s Change in Securities Interest
Nov 26, 2025

Horseshoe Metals Limited announced a change in the interests of its director, Kate Stoney, as part of regulatory compliance. The change involved the expiry of 1,000,000 unlisted options priced at $0.09, resulting in a reduction of her holdings in these options, while her holdings in fully paid ordinary shares and other unlisted options remain unchanged.

Horseshoe Metals Unveils Promising Copper Drilling Results at Horseshoe Lights
Nov 12, 2025

Horseshoe Metals Limited has reported promising results from its reverse circulation drilling at the Horseshoe Lights Copper Gold Project, revealing significant shallow copper mineralization at the Motters Zone. The company plans to advance its drilling efforts to increase resource confidence and is negotiating potential copper offtake and funding arrangements with well-known commodity traders, which could enhance its operational and market positioning.

Horseshoe Metals Reports Promising Copper Finds at Motters Zone
Nov 6, 2025

Horseshoe Metals Limited has announced promising results from its Reverse Circulation drilling at the Motters Zone within the Horseshoe Lights Copper Gold Project. The drilling confirmed significant shallow copper mineralization, enhancing confidence in the oxide resources and supporting their inclusion in a scoping study. The company plans to commence Direct Shipping Ore operations and is negotiating with commodity traders for potential copper offtake agreements, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its operational and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026