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Black Canyon Limited (AU:BCA)
ASX:BCA
Australian Market

Black Canyon Limited (BCA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BCA

Black Canyon Limited

(Sydney:BCA)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.35
▼(-10.26% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:12/30/25
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow performance and uneven operating profitability, despite a stronger, low-risk balance sheet. Technical indicators are moderately constructive, but a very high P/E with no dividend yield provided adds valuation risk and limits upside conviction.
Positive Factors
No reported debt / conservative balance sheet
A zero-debt capital structure materially reduces refinancing and bankruptcy risk, giving management lasting flexibility to fund operations or restructure without interest burdens. Over months this supports survival through cash shortfalls and enables strategic choices without leverage constraints.
Growing shareholder equity
Year-over-year equity growth strengthens the company’s capital base, improving solvency and creditor confidence. A larger equity cushion makes it easier to absorb operating volatility, finance working capital needs, and pursue small investments without adding leverage, supporting medium-term stability.
Swing to reported net profit in 2025
A move to positive net income demonstrates the business can reach profitability at current scale, indicating potential operational fixes or favorable one-off items. If sustained, this provides a path to internal funding, reduces reliance on external capital, and supports longer-term earnings credibility.
Negative Factors
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flows indicate structural cash burn, forcing reliance on external funding or equity raises. Over a 2-6 month horizon this undermines investment capacity, increases dilution or financing risk, and limits the firm’s ability to convert accounting profits into sustainable liquidity.
Very small, volatile revenue base with sharp decline
A tiny, volatile top line with a severe year-over-year drop signals weak demand or execution, making future margin and profit forecasts unreliable. Structural growth is constrained, hampering scalability and increasing the likelihood that shortfalls will recur absent durable customer or product improvements.
Inconsistent operating profitability and low ROE history
A multi-year history of negative ROE and unstable operating results points to weak underlying economics and inconsistent margin capture. Even with a modest 2025 ROE, the track record raises questions about sustainable competitive advantage and the firm’s ability to reliably convert capital into returns.

Black Canyon Limited (BCA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Black Canyon Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlack Canyon Limited, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on mineral exploration activities in Australia. The company explores for manganese, copper, and cobalt targets. Its flagship project includes Flanagan Bore Project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlack Canyon Limited primarily generates revenue through the sale and installation of renewable energy systems, including solar panels and wind turbines. The company also earns income from long-term contracts with commercial and residential clients for energy supply and management services. Additionally, BCA engages in strategic partnerships with governments and private enterprises to develop large-scale renewable energy projects, which further contribute to its earnings. By offering consulting services to companies aiming to enhance their energy efficiency and sustainability, BCA diversifies its revenue streams. These combined efforts allow BCA to capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy solutions and sustainable practices.

Black Canyon Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength (no debt and higher equity) supports stability, but overall fundamentals are constrained by very weak cash-flow quality (persistent negative operating and free cash flow) and inconsistent operating profitability despite a recent swing to positive net income.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Revenue remains very small and volatile, with the latest year down sharply (2025: -51.1% revenue growth). Profitability improved meaningfully versus 2024, swinging to positive net income in 2025 (net margin ~138.6%), but operating performance is still weak with negative EBIT and highly unstable margins across years (large losses in 2021–2024). Overall, the income statement shows improving bottom-line results but lacks consistent operating profitability and scale.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with no reported debt across all periods, which materially reduces financial risk. Equity has grown (2025 equity ~9.9M vs. ~6.0M in 2024), supporting a stronger capital base, and assets are broadly aligned with equity given zero leverage. The key weakness is low/volatile returns on equity—negative in 2021–2024 before turning modestly positive in 2025 (~3.8%)—suggesting the company has not consistently converted its capital base into sustainable profits.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is a clear pressure point: operating cash flow is negative in every year shown (including 2025), and free cash flow is also consistently negative (2025 ~-1.92M). Cash burn remains significant despite some year-to-year improvement in free cash flow in certain periods, indicating ongoing funding needs. The primary strength is that the company carries no debt, but persistent negative operating and free cash flows keep overall cash-flow quality weak.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue273.35K513.24K40.63K13.04K6.79K
Gross Profit273.35K513.24K21.48K5.03K6.79K
EBITDA1.58M-759.77K-2.00M-1.20M-837.64K
Net Income378.75K-1.99M-2.02M-1.21M-841.90K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.23M6.31M6.14M8.28M5.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.22M669.04K1.13M4.75M4.78M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities327.82K264.58K540.53K897.48K342.06K
Stockholders Equity9.90M6.05M5.60M7.39M5.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.92M-2.26M-3.62M-3.07M-373.03K
Operating Cash Flow-857.85K-733.62K-1.23M-1.09M-337.30K
Investing Cash Flow-1.06M-1.52M-2.40M-1.98M-35.74K
Financing Cash Flow3.44M1.80M0.003.04M5.09M

Black Canyon Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.39
Price Trends
50DMA
0.38
Negative
100DMA
0.39
Negative
200DMA
0.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
39.82
Neutral
STOCH
12.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.37, above the 50-day MA of 0.38, and above the 200-day MA of 0.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BCA.

Black Canyon Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
AU$29.74M-17.06-4.46%4.49%
50
Neutral
AU$55.60M92.114.75%
47
Neutral
AU$11.33M-5.71%16.67%
41
Neutral
AU$20.80M-16.67-43.49%-7.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BCA
Black Canyon Limited
0.35
0.27
366.67%
AU:AHN
Athena Resources Limited
AU:ACP
Audalia Resources Limited
0.02
>-0.01
-4.76%
AU:RVT
Richmond Vanadium Technology Pty Ltd.
0.14
0.02
16.67%

Black Canyon Limited Corporate Events

Black Canyon Boosts Cash Reserves Through Equity as Exploration Outflows Rise
Jan 26, 2026

Black Canyon Limited reported its quarterly cash flow for the period ended December 2025, showing net operating cash outflows of A$511,000 and investing outflows of A$724,000, largely driven by A$724,000 in exploration and evaluation expenditure. For the six months to date, exploration and evaluation spending reached A$1.406 million, contributing to total operating and investing cash outflows of A$2.336 million, partially offset by A$10.569 million in net financing inflows from equity issues. The company closed the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of A$11.572 million, up from A$2.222 million at the start of the six‑month period, underlining that its exploration program continues to be funded predominantly through fresh equity capital rather than operating cash generation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BCA) stock is a Hold with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Black Canyon Limited stock, see the AU:BCA Stock Forecast page.

Black Canyon Expands High-Grade Manganese Footprint at Wandanya and Balfour
Jan 26, 2026

Black Canyon reported a strong December quarter, highlighted by results from a 148-hole reverse circulation drilling program at the Wandanya project that confirmed consistent, thick, shallow and high-grade manganese and iron mineralisation, including some of the highest grades and thickest intervals encountered to date. Additional rock chip sampling on the newly acquired Wandanya South tenement returned exceptional manganese and iron grades over a potential 1.8km southern extension, while diamond core drilling delivered material for ongoing metallurgical testwork and heritage surveys cleared the way for substantial infill and extension drilling after the 2025/26 wet season. In the Balfour Manganese Field, the KR2 mineral resource was upgraded so that 90% is now classified as Indicated, bringing the combined KR1 and KR2 resource to 104Mt at 10.3% manganese and enhancing confidence in what the company describes as one of Western Australia’s largest manganese resources. Strategically, the acquisition of Ndalamo Platinum Pty Ltd added six new tenements and expanded Black Canyon’s landholding around Wandanya and across the Balfour Manganese Field by 229km², while a cash balance of $10.46 million at year-end underpins the company’s ability to pursue further drilling and development work aimed at expanding its resource base and strengthening its position in the regional manganese sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BCA) stock is a Hold with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Black Canyon Limited stock, see the AU:BCA Stock Forecast page.

Black Canyon Advances Wandanya Project with Key Drilling and Survey Milestones
Dec 9, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has completed its PQ3 diamond drill core program, delivering 2,000kg of core samples for metallurgical testwork, and conducted a heritage survey to facilitate major drilling programs at the Wandanya Project. The company plans to commence a 15,000m drilling program at Wandanya and a 5,000m maiden drill program at Wandanya South in 2026, aiming to expand the mineralisation footprint and enhance resource growth potential.

Black Canyon Limited Issues New Performance Rights
Dec 3, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced the issuance of 1,300,000 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. These unquoted equity securities are not intended to be listed on the ASX, reflecting the company’s strategy to incentivize and retain key personnel, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

Black Canyon Limited Announces Cessation of Securities
Dec 2, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced the cessation of 400,000 performance rights due to the lapse of conditional rights that have not been, or have become incapable of being, satisfied as of November 30, 2025. This announcement may impact the company’s issued capital and could have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s future performance and strategic direction.

Black Canyon Limited Unveils Promising Manganese and Iron Assay Results at Wandanya South
Nov 25, 2025

Black Canyon Limited announced significant assay results from its recently acquired Wandanya South tenement, indicating a potential 1.8km extension of high-grade manganese and iron mineralization. The results suggest a continuation of the mineralized horizon south of the existing Wandanya discovery, with plans for further drilling in 2026 to expand the mineralization footprint. This development strengthens Black Canyon’s position in the manganese exploration sector and highlights the potential scale of the Wandanya system, which could extend up to 9km.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025