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Black Canyon Limited (AU:BCA)
ASX:BCA
Australian Market

Black Canyon Limited (BCA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BCA

Black Canyon Limited

(Sydney:BCA)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.39
▲(0.00% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow performance and uneven operating profitability, despite a stronger, low-risk balance sheet. Technical indicators are moderately constructive, but a very high P/E with no dividend yield provided adds valuation risk and limits upside conviction.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A debt-free balance sheet reduces financial risk, providing stability and flexibility for future investments and growth initiatives.
Resource Expansion
The expansion of drilling programs at Wandanya indicates a strategic focus on increasing resource potential, which could enhance long-term growth prospects.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions enhance asset portfolio and exploration potential, positioning the company for future growth in the mining sector.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow indicates ongoing funding needs, which may limit operational flexibility and investment capacity.
Volatile Revenue
Volatile revenue growth can hinder consistent profitability and scale, impacting the company's ability to sustain long-term financial health.
Inconsistent Profitability
Inconsistent profitability and unstable margins suggest challenges in achieving sustainable operational efficiency and financial performance.

Black Canyon Limited (BCA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Black Canyon Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlack Canyon Limited, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on mineral exploration activities in Australia. The company explores for manganese, copper, and cobalt targets. Its flagship project includes Flanagan Bore Project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlack Canyon Limited primarily generates revenue through the sale and installation of renewable energy systems, including solar panels and wind turbines. The company also earns income from long-term contracts with commercial and residential clients for energy supply and management services. Additionally, BCA engages in strategic partnerships with governments and private enterprises to develop large-scale renewable energy projects, which further contribute to its earnings. By offering consulting services to companies aiming to enhance their energy efficiency and sustainability, BCA diversifies its revenue streams. These combined efforts allow BCA to capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy solutions and sustainable practices.

Black Canyon Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength (no debt and higher equity) supports stability, but overall fundamentals are constrained by very weak cash-flow quality (persistent negative operating and free cash flow) and inconsistent operating profitability despite a recent swing to positive net income.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Revenue remains very small and volatile, with the latest year down sharply (2025: -51.1% revenue growth). Profitability improved meaningfully versus 2024, swinging to positive net income in 2025 (net margin ~138.6%), but operating performance is still weak with negative EBIT and highly unstable margins across years (large losses in 2021–2024). Overall, the income statement shows improving bottom-line results but lacks consistent operating profitability and scale.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with no reported debt across all periods, which materially reduces financial risk. Equity has grown (2025 equity ~9.9M vs. ~6.0M in 2024), supporting a stronger capital base, and assets are broadly aligned with equity given zero leverage. The key weakness is low/volatile returns on equity—negative in 2021–2024 before turning modestly positive in 2025 (~3.8%)—suggesting the company has not consistently converted its capital base into sustainable profits.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is a clear pressure point: operating cash flow is negative in every year shown (including 2025), and free cash flow is also consistently negative (2025 ~-1.92M). Cash burn remains significant despite some year-to-year improvement in free cash flow in certain periods, indicating ongoing funding needs. The primary strength is that the company carries no debt, but persistent negative operating and free cash flows keep overall cash-flow quality weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue273.35K273.35K513.24K40.63K13.04K6.79K
Gross Profit273.35K273.35K513.24K21.48K5.03K6.79K
EBITDA1.58M1.58M-759.77K-2.00M-1.20M-837.64K
Net Income378.75K378.75K-1.99M-2.02M-1.21M-841.90K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.23M10.23M6.31M6.14M8.28M5.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.22M2.22M669.04K1.13M4.75M4.78M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities327.82K327.82K264.58K540.53K897.48K342.06K
Stockholders Equity9.90M9.90M6.05M5.60M7.39M5.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.92M-1.92M-2.26M-3.62M-3.07M-373.03K
Operating Cash Flow-857.85K-857.85K-733.62K-1.23M-1.09M-337.30K
Investing Cash Flow-1.06M-1.06M-1.52M-2.40M-1.98M-35.74K
Financing Cash Flow3.44M3.44M1.80M0.003.04M5.09M

Black Canyon Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.39
Price Trends
50DMA
0.38
Negative
100DMA
0.40
Negative
200DMA
0.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.61
Neutral
STOCH
35.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.39, above the 50-day MA of 0.38, and above the 200-day MA of 0.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BCA.

Black Canyon Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
AU$33.05M-16.47-4.46%4.49%
50
Neutral
AU$61.24M98.684.75%
47
Neutral
AU$12.46M-5.71%16.67%
41
Neutral
AU$19.14M-16.67-43.49%-7.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BCA
Black Canyon Limited
0.38
0.31
476.92%
AU:AHN
Athena Resources Limited
AU:ACP
Audalia Resources Limited
0.03
<0.01
25.00%
AU:RVT
Richmond Vanadium Technology Pty Ltd.
0.14
-0.04
-24.32%

Black Canyon Limited Corporate Events

Black Canyon Advances Wandanya Project with Key Drilling and Survey Milestones
Dec 9, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has completed its PQ3 diamond drill core program, delivering 2,000kg of core samples for metallurgical testwork, and conducted a heritage survey to facilitate major drilling programs at the Wandanya Project. The company plans to commence a 15,000m drilling program at Wandanya and a 5,000m maiden drill program at Wandanya South in 2026, aiming to expand the mineralisation footprint and enhance resource growth potential.

Black Canyon Limited Issues New Performance Rights
Dec 3, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced the issuance of 1,300,000 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. These unquoted equity securities are not intended to be listed on the ASX, reflecting the company’s strategy to incentivize and retain key personnel, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

Black Canyon Limited Announces Cessation of Securities
Dec 2, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced the cessation of 400,000 performance rights due to the lapse of conditional rights that have not been, or have become incapable of being, satisfied as of November 30, 2025. This announcement may impact the company’s issued capital and could have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s future performance and strategic direction.

Black Canyon Limited Unveils Promising Manganese and Iron Assay Results at Wandanya South
Nov 25, 2025

Black Canyon Limited announced significant assay results from its recently acquired Wandanya South tenement, indicating a potential 1.8km extension of high-grade manganese and iron mineralization. The results suggest a continuation of the mineralized horizon south of the existing Wandanya discovery, with plans for further drilling in 2026 to expand the mineralization footprint. This development strengthens Black Canyon’s position in the manganese exploration sector and highlights the potential scale of the Wandanya system, which could extend up to 9km.

Black Canyon Limited Updates Director’s Interest
Nov 19, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Brendan Cummins. The change involves the acquisition of 1,000,000 Performance Rights set to expire on November 18, 2028, which were approved by shareholders at the company’s AGM. This adjustment in the director’s interest reflects the company’s ongoing governance and shareholder engagement practices.

Black Canyon Limited AGM Resolutions Passed
Nov 18, 2025

Black Canyon Limited, listed on the ASX under the code BCA, announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting held on November 18, 2025, were passed by shareholders. The resolutions, which were decided by poll, included the adoption of the remuneration report, re-election of directors, and approval of various securities issuances. The successful passing of these resolutions indicates strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic decisions and governance practices.

Black Canyon Limited Reports Transformative Year with Major Discoveries at Wandanya Project
Nov 18, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has achieved transformative exploration success in 2025, marked by significant manganese and iron discoveries at its Wandanya Project in Western Australia. The company has completed multiple drill phases, confirming the project’s quality and scale, with plans for extensive drilling to further explore the manganese and iron systems. Additionally, a robust Scoping Study for the Balfour Manganese Field indicates a 16-year mine life with substantial financial potential. Supported by successful capital raisings, Black Canyon is well-funded to continue its aggressive exploration and development programs, focusing on unlocking the full potential of the Wandanya Project.

Black Canyon Limited to Present at Noosa Mining Conference
Nov 13, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced that its Managing Director, Brendan Cummins, will present at the Noosa Mining Conference. This presentation is part of the company’s efforts to enhance its visibility and attract potential investors, which could have significant implications for its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.

Black Canyon Advances Wandanya Project with New Drilling Program
Nov 9, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has commenced a diamond core drilling program at its Wandanya project to collect samples for metallurgical testwork. This initiative aims to enhance processing knowledge and product characterization for manganese and iron mineralization, building on previous successful beneficiation testwork. The program is expected to provide critical data for refining processing techniques and advancing the project’s development, positioning Black Canyon to unlock further value from the Wandanya project.

Black Canyon Limited Expands Asset Portfolio with New Acquisition
Nov 6, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced the issuance of 2,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares and 2,000,000 unlisted options as part of its acquisition of tenements from Ndalamo Platinum Pty Ltd. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s asset portfolio and strengthen its position in the mining sector, potentially offering new opportunities for growth and value creation for its stakeholders.

Black Canyon Expands Wandanya Project with Strategic Acquisition
Nov 5, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has completed the acquisition of Ndalamo Platinum Pty Ltd, securing key tenements that expand its Wandanya manganese-iron project by 229km². This acquisition enhances the company’s exploration potential, particularly with the continuation of manganese-rich horizons and iron formations, which could significantly increase the scale of its discoveries. The company plans to conduct further mapping and data compilation to prepare for drilling in Q2 2026, aiming to unlock the full potential of the Wandanya project.

Black Canyon Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Nov 4, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced the quotation of 214,285 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of October 31, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to capitalize on exercised options and convertible securities, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Black Canyon Director Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Nov 3, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Simon Taylor, who has increased his indirect holdings in the company. The purchase of 100,000 fully paid ordinary shares was made on the market, raising his total to 2,893,181 shares. This transaction reflects a strategic move by the director to increase his stake in the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance.

Black Canyon Unveils Promising Manganese and Iron Results at Wandanya
Oct 27, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced the final results from its Phase 3 drill program at the Wandanya Project, revealing extensive high-grade manganese and iron mineralization. The drilling has confirmed significant manganese mineralization over a 3km strike and iron mineralization over a 1km strike, both remaining open for further exploration. The results suggest potential for direct shipping ores, which could reduce operational costs and enhance value. With over $11 million in cash, Black Canyon is well-positioned to advance the project through further drilling and development studies, indicating strong growth potential in the manganese and iron sectors.

Black Canyon Limited Reports Strong Financing Inflows Amidst Exploration Investments
Oct 23, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has reported its quarterly cash flow, highlighting a net cash inflow of $10,451,000 from financing activities, primarily through the issuance of equity securities. The company experienced cash outflows in operating and investing activities, with significant expenditures on exploration and evaluation. This financial update indicates a strategic focus on securing capital for ongoing exploration efforts, which may enhance its position in the mining sector and provide potential growth opportunities for stakeholders.

Black Canyon Limited Enhances KR2 Mineral Resource Classification
Oct 21, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced an upgrade in the JORC classification for its KR2 Mineral Resource Estimate, with 90% now classified as Indicated. This upgrade enhances the potential for future scoping studies and feasibility-level modeling, potentially improving the financial metrics of the KR1/KR2 deposits. The company continues to focus on high-grade manganese and iron discoveries at Wandanya, with further drilling results expected soon.

Black Canyon Limited Announces Annual General Meeting Details
Oct 17, 2025

Black Canyon Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting scheduled for Tuesday, 18 November 2025, at Quest Kings Park, West Perth. Shareholders are encouraged to participate by lodging proxies online or attending in person, with a deadline for proxy submission set for 16 November 2025. This meeting is crucial for stakeholders to exercise their voting rights and influence company decisions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025