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Evolution Energy Minerals Limited (AU:EV1)
ASX:EV1

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited (EV1) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:EV1

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited

(Sydney:EV1)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.01
▲(40.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (no revenue, persistent losses, and ongoing negative free cash flow despite some FY2025 improvement). Technical indicators show positive momentum but with extremely overbought readings, adding near-term risk. Valuation is also pressured by a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Strategic battery-materials asset
Owning the Chilalo Graphite Project aligns the company with structural EV and battery supply-chain demand for natural graphite anodes. This gives a durable strategic position if development succeeds, enabling exposure to long-term secular growth in battery materials.
Conservative leverage position
A debt-free balance sheet reduces fixed financial obligations while the project is developed, lowering default and interest-risk. For a pre-revenue developer this conservatism preserves financing optionality and reduces near-term liquidity strain versus highly leveraged peers.
Improving loss and cash burn trends
Material year-over-year reduction in net loss and free cash burn indicates progress on cost control and project execution. Sustained improvement can extend runway and reduce reliance on dilutive capital, aiding longer-term development prospects if trends continue.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue business model
Being pre-revenue means commercial proof and sustained cash inflows are unproven; the business depends on advancing the Chilalo project to monetise assets. Until production or offtake materialises, revenue uncertainty remains a primary structural risk to valuation and funding.
Persistent negative cash flow
Continued negative operating and free cash flow requires recurring external financing to sustain operations and development. That structural dependence increases dilution and execution risk, and constrains the firm's ability to fund capex or scale without new capital.
Eroding equity base and past capital stress
A shrinking equity base reduces the balance-sheet buffer against shocks and impairs borrowing capacity. Historical episodes of negative equity and prior debt imply the capital structure has been stressed before, raising medium-term refinancing and funding risk for project development.

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited (EV1) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolution Energy Minerals Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. It holds interest in the Chilalo graphite project located in southern Tanzania. Evolution Energy Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolution Energy Minerals Limited generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of graphite. The company's revenue model is centered around identifying and developing high-quality graphite deposits, which are then mined and sold to manufacturers and industries that require graphite for the production of batteries, lubricants, refractories, and other industrial applications. Key revenue streams include direct sales of graphite to battery manufacturers and other industrial clients. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships or joint ventures with other firms to enhance its production capabilities and market reach, thereby contributing to its earnings. Factors such as global demand for energy storage solutions and advancements in renewable energy technologies significantly influence the company's revenue potential.

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are weak: the company is pre-revenue with negative gross profit and persistent operating losses. While net loss and free cash flow burn improved in FY2025 versus FY2024, operating cash flow and free cash flow remain materially negative, and equity has been shrinking over time despite a current debt-free balance sheet.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company reports no revenue across the period provided, while losses remain material. Net loss improved from -11.1M (FY2024) to -4.7M (FY2025), indicating progress on cost control, but profitability is still deeply negative with negative gross profit and negative operating earnings in every recent year. Overall, the income profile reflects a pre-revenue/early-stage business with improving—but still weak—earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Leverage looks conservative in recent years with total debt at 0 and a positive equity base (FY2025 equity ~5.0M vs. assets ~5.9M). However, equity has been shrinking year-over-year (from ~10.4M in FY2022 to ~5.0M in FY2025), consistent with ongoing losses and cash burn. A key historical risk is that FY2021 showed negative equity and meaningful debt, highlighting that the capital structure has been stressed before despite improvement since.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation remains weak: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative, with FY2025 operating cash flow of about -5.1M and free cash flow about -5.2M. The cash burn rate improved versus FY2024 (free cash flow roughly -10.7M), but the business still relies on external funding to sustain operations. Free cash flow tracks net loss closely (free cash flow to net income ~1.0), suggesting reported losses are largely reflected in cash outflows rather than being cushioned by non-cash items.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-44.52K-17.95K-12.12K-4.19K-21.35K
EBITDA-5.70M-10.56M-13.54M-7.87M1.74M
Net Income-4.73M-11.06M-13.89M-8.86M-353.83K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.88M8.78M10.18M10.82M5.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.89K3.07M4.44M5.37M22.45K
Total Debt0.000.000.000.008.73M
Total Liabilities787.71K615.85K1.09M461.30K8.81M
Stockholders Equity4.98M7.68M9.09M10.36M-3.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.16M-10.67M-13.43M-5.61M-363.06K
Operating Cash Flow-5.08M-10.60M-13.40M-5.56M-363.06K
Investing Cash Flow-85.21K-65.24K-29.27K-45.02K0.00
Financing Cash Flow2.17M9.35M12.32M11.18M0.00

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.01
Price Trends
50DMA
0.01
Negative
100DMA
0.01
Negative
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
14.72
Positive
STOCH
56.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EV1, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.01, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 14.72 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:EV1.

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
AU$30.20M-1.02-80.21%-69.98%
45
Neutral
AU$15.74M-0.97-71.65%
44
Neutral
AU$12.91M-1.42-74.67%71.25%
43
Neutral
AU$7.36M-0.57-72.76%-1.73%
43
Neutral
AU$9.59M-1.73-56.10%44.90%
43
Neutral
AU$4.41M-1.19-81.85%-58.49%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:EV1
Evolution Energy Minerals Limited
0.01
>-0.01
-12.50%
AU:MQR
Marquee Resources Ltd
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:AKN
AuKing Mining Ltd
0.01
<0.01
20.00%
AU:GRE
Greentech Metals Ltd.
0.13
0.07
120.34%
AU:SVY
Stavely Minerals Ltd
0.01
>-0.01
-27.78%
AU:G88
Golden Mile Resources Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited Corporate Events

Evolution Energy Minerals Revises Timetable for Pro Rata Securities Issue
Feb 11, 2026

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited has updated its proposed renounceable pro rata securities issue, revising key timetable dates associated with the offer. The company now expects the issue date to be 12 March 2026, with trading on a T+2 basis commencing on 13 March 2026 and first settlement, including deferred settlement and T+2, occurring on 17 March 2026.

The revision clarifies the transaction schedule for investors and the market, ensuring alignment with ASX listing requirements and providing greater certainty around trading and settlement of the new securities. This update may assist existing and prospective shareholders in planning participation in the offer and managing their positions around the adjusted timetable.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EV1) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Energy Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:EV1 Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Energy Minerals Plans New Option Issue to Support Capital Strategy
Feb 10, 2026

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited has notified the ASX of a proposed issue of 6,049,245 options, each expiring on 17 September 2028, under a placement or similar type of capital raising. The new options, which are targeted for issue on 12 March 2026, form part of the company’s ongoing capital management strategy and may provide additional funding flexibility to support future corporate and project initiatives.

The placement of these long-dated options underscores the company’s reliance on equity-linked instruments to bolster its balance sheet and maintain access to investor capital. Existing and prospective shareholders will be watching how the expanded option pool affects capital structure, potential dilution, and the company’s capacity to finance its strategic plans in a competitive resources market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EV1) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Energy Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:EV1 Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Energy Minerals Plans Major Renounceable Pro Rata Issue
Feb 10, 2026

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited has lodged a new Appendix 3B with the ASX detailing a proposed renounceable pro rata issue of up to 268,855,338 ordinary fully paid shares and 134,427,669 options expiring on 17 September 2028. The timetable sets an ex-date of 13 February 2026, record date of 16 February 2026, offer closing on 5 March 2026 and issue date on 10 March 2026, indicating a significant capital raising that could materially increase the company’s equity base and provide additional funding flexibility for its strategic plans.

The proposed renounceable structure allows existing shareholders to trade their rights, potentially improving liquidity and offering more flexibility in managing their holdings. If fully taken up and subsequently quoted, the enlarged capital structure may strengthen Evolution Energy Minerals’ financial position, support future project development, and impact ownership dynamics and market valuation for current and prospective investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EV1) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Energy Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:EV1 Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Energy Minerals Launches Underwritten Renounceable Entitlement Offer
Feb 10, 2026

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited has launched a renounceable pro‑rata entitlement offer to raise up to approximately $4.03 million before costs, offering one new share for every two shares held at an issue price of $0.015, with one free attaching option for every two new shares. The entitlement offer, underwritten to $1.5 million by Mahe Capital and supplemented by a top‑up facility and potential shortfall placement, is positioned as a highly speculative capital raising that will expand the company’s quoted capital base and provide funding flexibility for its ongoing operations, while concentrating take‑up among eligible shareholders in approved jurisdictions.

The structure of the offer, including renounceable rights, a top‑up component, and the ability to place shortfall securities after closure, is designed to maximise participation and capital inflows while adhering to Australian Corporations Act and ASX listing rules. By coupling new shares with quoted options and relying on its status as a disclosing entity, the company is leveraging established market disclosure and targeting investors prepared to accept higher risk in exchange for leveraged exposure to its future project and corporate developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EV1) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Energy Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:EV1 Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Energy Minerals Launches A$4m Renounceable Entitlement Offer
Feb 10, 2026

Evolution Energy Minerals has launched a pro-rata 1-for-2 renounceable entitlement offer to raise up to about A$4 million at A$0.015 per share, a 25% discount to the 30-day VWAP, with one free quoted option (EV1O) for every two new shares. The offer, partly underwritten by Mahe Capital for A$1.5 million, allows eligible shareholders in selected jurisdictions to trade rights and apply for additional securities under a top-up facility.

Major shareholder Metals One Plc has committed up to A$1 million and the directors intend to take up their entitlements, supporting the equity raising and signalling confidence in the company. Proceeds will fund exploration at the Chikundo Copper Project, resource development at the Chilalo Graphite Project, repayment of a short-term loan, offer costs and general working capital, potentially strengthening Evolution Energy Minerals’ balance sheet and advancing its core development pipeline.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EV1) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Energy Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:EV1 Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Energy Minerals Advances Chikundo Copper Exploration and Progresses Chilalo Graphite Development in Tanzania
Jan 29, 2026

In the December 2025 quarter, Evolution Energy Minerals concentrated on advancing exploration at its Chikundo Copper Project, strengthening its balance sheet and continuing regulatory engagement for its Chilalo Graphite Project in Tanzania. The company launched a large-scale soil sampling campaign at Chikundo across three priority prospects, collecting hundreds of samples to support a volcanogenic massive sulphide (VMS) geochemical model and refine targets for a planned 2026 reverse circulation drilling program. At the corporate level, Evolution retired nearly all outstanding creditors, tightened administrative overheads and appointed Satoshi Capital Advisors to help identify funding pathways for Chilalo, while maintaining active dialogue with the Tanzanian Mining Commission over Mining Licence ML 716/2023 and working toward an updated development schedule that targets initial ore mining by October 2027, signalling ongoing progress but also highlighting the regulatory and financing steps still required before full-scale development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EV1) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Energy Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:EV1 Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Energy Minerals Advances Chikundo Copper Project with Completion of Soil Sampling
Jan 26, 2026

Evolution Energy Minerals has completed a systematic soil sampling programme at its Chikundo Copper Project within the Chilalo tenure in southern Tanzania, collecting 1,558 samples across the Chikundo, Chikundo East and Nangurugai prospect areas as part of its data-driven exploration strategy targeting a district-scale VMS-style copper system. The company is now conducting internal quality assurance checks before sending samples to SGS Laboratories in Johannesburg for detailed geochemical analysis, and is concurrently designing an initial reverse circulation drilling campaign of 1,500–3,000 metres for 2026, signalling a move toward more advanced exploration that could refine its geological model and potentially enhance its position in emerging Tanzanian copper districts.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EV1) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Energy Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:EV1 Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Energy Minerals Outlines Graphite and Copper Growth Priorities in MD Interview
Jan 13, 2026

Evolution Energy Minerals has highlighted its dual focus on graphite and copper growth in a recent interview with Managing Director Craig Moulton, which is now accessible via the company’s website. The discussion outlines near-term priorities, including exploration plans at the Chikundu VMS Copper Project and continued development work at the advanced Chilalo Graphite Project in Tanzania, reinforcing the company’s strategy to build a pipeline of critical metal assets aligned with the energy transition, while confirming that no new material information beyond previously announced disclosures has been provided.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EV1) stock is a Hold with a A$0.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Energy Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:EV1 Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Energy Engages Satoshi Capital for Chilalo Project Funding
Dec 14, 2025

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited has engaged Satoshi Capital Advisors as its financial advisor to secure funding for the Chilalo Graphite Project. Satoshi will explore funding opportunities in North America, Asia-Pacific, and European markets, aiming to provide structured capital solutions for the project’s development. This engagement does not guarantee funding, as it remains subject to market conditions and other factors.

Evolution Energy Minerals Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 9, 2025

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Gemma Cryan acquiring 2,500,000 unlisted options as part of her remuneration package. This issuance, approved at the 2025 Annual General Meeting, reflects the company’s commitment to aligning director incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder relations.

Evolution Energy Minerals Updates Director’s Interest
Dec 9, 2025

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with David Naoum acquiring 2,500,000 unlisted options as part of his remuneration package. This issuance of options, approved at the 2025 Annual General Meeting, reflects the company’s strategy to align director incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder confidence.

Evolution Energy Minerals Updates Director’s Interest
Dec 9, 2025

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Craig Moulton acquiring 7,500,000 unlisted options as part of his remuneration package. This issuance of options, approved at the 2025 Annual General Meeting, reflects the company’s commitment to aligning management incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting its operational strategy and market positioning.

Evolution Energy Minerals Updates Director’s Securities Holdings
Dec 9, 2025

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest in securities, specifically regarding Paul Atherley. The company issued 7,500,000 unlisted options to Atherley as part of his remuneration package, following shareholder approval at the 2025 Annual General Meeting under the company’s Employee Securities Incentive Plan. This change reflects an adjustment in the director’s holdings, potentially impacting the company’s governance and signaling confidence in its strategic direction.

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited Issues Unlisted Options
Dec 9, 2025

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited has announced the issuance of 20,000,000 unlisted options, exercisable at $0.02 and expiring on December 9, 2027. This move is part of an employee incentive scheme and is not intended for public trading on the ASX, potentially impacting the company’s internal stakeholder engagement and retention strategies.

Evolution Energy Advances Soil Sampling at Chikundo Copper Project
Dec 7, 2025

Evolution Energy Minerals Limited has made significant progress in its soil sampling program at the Chikundo Copper Project within the Chilalo project area in Tanzania. The program, which began on November 24, 2025, has seen the deployment of three field teams collecting 603 samples as of December 2. The sampling is being conducted across three priority zones, with ideal field conditions facilitating rapid progress. This initiative is part of Evolution’s strategic efforts to enhance its mineral exploration capabilities, potentially strengthening its position in the mining sector.

Evolution Energy Minerals Secures Shareholder Approval for Strategic Resolutions
Nov 27, 2025

At the 2025 Annual General Meeting of Evolution Energy Minerals Limited, all twelve resolutions were passed, including the election of directors and the approval of various options and placement capacities. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company to continue its strategic initiatives, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026