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Stavely Minerals Ltd (AU:SVY)
ASX:SVY
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Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SVY

Stavely Minerals Ltd

(Sydney:SVY)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▼(-15.00% Downside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative ROE, and negative operating cash flow) despite revenue growth and low leverage. Technicals are supportive but appear overbought, which tempers the momentum signal. Valuation is also limited by negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
A very low debt-to-equity ratio provides durable financial flexibility for an exploration company. It reduces fixed interest burdens, preserves capacity to raise project or JV funding, and lowers bankruptcy risk through commodity cycles, supporting long-term project development optionality.
Improving Revenue Trend
Sustained revenue growth for an explorer signals improving asset monetization or services demand. Over months this trend can increase attractiveness to JV partners, reduce reliance on pure equity raises, and support incremental investment in drilling and resource definition.
Partnership/JV Monetization Model
A business model focused on discovery then monetization via JVs or asset sales is structurally aligned with exploration economics. It allows the company to de-risk projects, access partner capital and technical capability, and potentially realize value without large-scale self-funded development.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Negative Margins
Ongoing negative profitability undermines the company's ability to self-fund exploration or progress projects to development. Over several months this necessitates external capital, risks dilution, and means resource discoveries must be monetized quickly to reverse shareholder value erosion.
Negative Operating Cash Flow
Negative operating cash flow indicates cash burn from core activities and reliance on financing. This structural cash shortfall constrains sustained drilling campaigns, increases financing frequency, and raises execution risk for advancing projects absent stable external partner funding.
Negative Return on Equity
A negative ROE signals that the company is destroying equity value rather than compounding it. Over a multi-month horizon, persistent negative ROE reduces investor confidence, makes capital raising costlier, and indicates management must improve project economics or change strategy to restore long-term returns.

Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Stavely Minerals Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStavely Minerals Limited, a mineral resource company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia. The company explores for copper, gold, zinc, and silver deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Stavely project covering an area of approximately 1,000 square kilometers located west of Melbourne; the Ararat project that covers an area of approximately 26 square kilometers situated in western margin of the Stawell-Bendigo zone; and the Yarram Park project located in western Victoria. The company was formerly known as Northern Platinum Pty Ltd. Stavely Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Nedlands, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyStavely Minerals generates revenue primarily through mineral exploration and potential discoveries of economically viable mining projects. The company does not currently produce minerals but seeks to monetize its assets through partnerships, joint ventures, or the eventual sale of discovered resources to larger mining companies. Revenue streams may also include government grants, funding from equity raises, and potential royalties from successful mining operations. Key factors contributing to its earnings include the quality of its exploration assets, successful drilling results, and strategic collaborations with other industry players to enhance resource development.

Stavely Minerals Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong revenue growth (+27.36%) and minimal leverage (debt-to-equity 0.02), the company remains financially weak due to persistent losses (negative net profit/EBIT/EBITDA margins), negative ROE, and negative operating cash flow.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Stavely Minerals Ltd has shown a significant improvement in revenue growth, with a 27.36% increase in the latest year. However, the company continues to face substantial profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 100%, but the overall financial health remains weak due to persistent losses.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.02, indicating minimal leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a solid asset base, but the negative ROE highlights profitability issues.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Stavely Minerals Ltd has shown some improvement in free cash flow growth, but the operating cash flow remains negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that the company is generating some cash relative to its net losses, but overall cash flow health is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue79.45K79.45K66.89K59.10K42.19K40.89K
Gross Profit79.45K79.45K-2.66M-156.66K-104.32K-85.30K
EBITDA-4.09M-4.09M-6.76M-8.49M-13.82M-22.65M
Net Income-4.12M-4.12M-5.59M-8.86M-13.97M-21.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.94M6.94M9.38M8.99M6.33M19.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.17M1.17M3.73M1.65M922.22K15.31M
Total Debt126.07K126.07K209.99K1.60M94.29K180.03K
Total Liabilities732.40K732.40K896.83K2.79M1.28M1.76M
Stockholders Equity6.21M6.21M8.48M6.20M5.05M18.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.16M-4.16M-4.51M-9.93M-12.05M-22.25M
Operating Cash Flow-3.86M-3.86M-4.39M-7.26M-11.95M-21.49M
Investing Cash Flow-334.04K-334.04K1.75M-2.56M-846.85K-171.46K
Financing Cash Flow1.64M1.64M4.71M10.56M-96.17K26.06M

Stavely Minerals Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Positive
100DMA
0.02
Positive
200DMA
0.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
71.25
Negative
STOCH
125.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SVY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.02, and above the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 71.25 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 125.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SVY.

Stavely Minerals Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
AU$28.43M-1.30-80.21%-69.98%
49
Neutral
AU$11.64M-2.22-56.10%44.90%
44
Neutral
AU$10.85M50.00%
43
Neutral
AU$5.04M-1.19-81.85%-58.49%
42
Neutral
AU$19.39M-0.99-815.67%18.79%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SVY
Stavely Minerals Ltd
0.02
<0.01
5.88%
AU:MTL
Caeneus Minerals Limited
AU:GRE
Greentech Metals Ltd.
0.14
0.07
105.88%
AU:LU7
Esports Mogul Limited
0.01
<0.01
20.00%
AU:G88
Golden Mile Resources Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Stavely Minerals Ltd Corporate Events

Stavely Minerals Drilling Points to Large-Scale Gold-Silver Potential at Freddy’s Find
Jan 20, 2026

Stavely Minerals has reported encouraging assay results from a reconnaissance reverse circulation drilling program at the Freddy’s Find breccia-hosted gold prospect, part of its 100%-owned Stavely Copper-Gold Project in western Victoria. Wide-spaced 200m drilling across only about a quarter of the large, 2km by 750m hydrothermal breccia system intercepted multiple zones of epithermal gold-silver mineralisation over broad intervals, including up to 16m at gold-equivalent grades above 1g/t. Together with earlier 400m-spaced air-core drilling that also returned high-grade gold-equivalent intercepts more than 600m away, the latest results strengthen the case for a potentially large-scale epithermal gold-silver system at Freddy’s Find, underscoring significant exploration upside and suggesting substantial untested volume that could materially enhance the project’s longer-term development prospects if further drilling is successful.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Revives Stavely Copper-Gold Project with Stronger Economics in 2026 Scoping Study
Jan 14, 2026

Stavely Minerals has launched an updated 2026 Scoping Study for the Thursday’s Gossan and Cayley Lode deposits after a review of its incomplete 2022 study showed that materially higher copper, gold and silver prices, combined with a weaker Australian dollar, transform the project’s economics from neutral to strongly positive even after factoring in escalated capital and operating costs. The new work will incorporate an updated mineral resource estimate that better captures high-grade continuity at Cayley Lode, additional metallurgical testwork to lift recoveries, re-optimised open-pit and underground mine designs, and assessment of a smaller high-grade underground-only scenario, while the company simultaneously advances deeper copper exploration at Cayley Lode, the nearby Junction Porphyry prospect and regional targets to potentially increase project scale and enhance future development outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Cleans Up Capital Structure as Director Options Expire
Jan 1, 2026

Stavely Minerals has announced the lapse of a tranche of listed options held by several directors, including Managing Director Christopher Cairns, following their expiry on 31 December 2025. The change, disclosed via Appendix 3Y notices, reduces the number of options on issue but does not involve any cash consideration, reflecting a routine clean-up of directors’ expiring equity incentives and a marginal simplification of the company’s capital structure for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Ltd Announces Strategic Development
Dec 1, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has announced a significant development in its operations, which could potentially enhance its market positioning and operational capabilities. This announcement is expected to have implications for the company’s stakeholders, possibly influencing future strategic decisions and investment opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Announces Lapse of Director Options
Dec 1, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd announced the lapse of options for several directors, including Chris Cairns, Jennifer Murphy, Amanda Sparks, Peter Ironside, and Rob Dennis. This development reflects a change in the directors’ interest in securities, which could impact the company’s governance and financial strategies moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Announces Expiry of Out-of-the-Money Options
Nov 24, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has announced that its 90,575,141 quoted options, exercisable at $0.07 each, will expire on December 31, 2025, as they are substantially out of the money. The company will not send expiry notices to option holders, as the current market price of the shares is significantly below the exercise price, indicating limited likelihood of exercise. This decision reflects the company’s adherence to ASX Listing Rules and highlights the current market conditions impacting the company’s stock performance.

Stavely Minerals Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 24, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Peter Ironside. The change includes the acquisition of 250,000 unlisted options, which were issued as approved by shareholders at the company’s recent AGM. This adjustment in the director’s holdings may reflect strategic decisions by the company to align its leadership’s interests with its long-term goals, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Stavely Minerals Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 24, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest, with Robert Dennis acquiring 250,000 unlisted options as approved by shareholders at the company’s AGM. This issuance of options reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

Stavely Minerals Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 24, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest, with Amanda Sparks acquiring 625,000 unlisted options as approved by shareholders at the company’s AGM. This change reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align its leadership’s interests with its strategic goals, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder relations positively.

Stavely Minerals Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 24, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically for Director Jennifer Murphy. On November 21, 2025, Murphy acquired 1,000,000 unlisted options with an exercise price of $0.025, expiring on November 30, 2028. This change was approved by shareholders at the company’s AGM on November 19, 2025. The acquisition of these options may indicate a strategic move to align the director’s interests with the company’s long-term goals, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Stavely Minerals Updates Director’s Interest with New Option Issuance
Nov 24, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Christopher Cairns. The company issued 1,250,000 unlisted options to Cairns, as approved by shareholders at the recent AGM. This issuance reflects an adjustment in Cairns’ holdings, potentially impacting his influence and stake in the company.

Stavely Minerals Issues Unlisted Options as Part of Employee Incentive Scheme
Nov 21, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has announced the issuance of 225,000 unlisted options with an exercise price of 2.5 cents, set to expire on November 30, 2028. This move is part of an employee incentive scheme, which is not intended to be quoted on the ASX, and could potentially enhance employee engagement and retention, impacting the company’s operational dynamics positively.

Stavely Minerals Issues Unlisted Options
Nov 21, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has announced the issuance of 3,375,000 unlisted options with an exercise price of $0.025, expiring on November 30, 2028. This issuance is part of transactions previously announced and not intended to be quoted on the ASX, indicating a strategic move to potentially raise capital or incentivize stakeholders.

Stavely Minerals Announces Successful AGM Resolutions
Nov 19, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd announced that all resolutions were passed during their Annual General Meeting of Shareholders. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and may positively influence the company’s strategic initiatives and operational plans, potentially enhancing its standing in the mineral exploration industry.

Stavely Minerals Initiates High-Impact Gold Drilling in Western Victoria
Nov 19, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has announced the commencement of high-impact drilling operations aimed at uncovering significant new gold discoveries in the Stavely Volcanic Belt in Western Victoria. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s exploration potential and strengthen its position in the mining industry, potentially offering lucrative opportunities for stakeholders.

Stavely Minerals Initiates New Drilling Phase at Fairview South Gold Prospect
Nov 12, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has commenced Phase 3 of its Reverse Circulation (RC) drilling program at the Fairview South gold prospect, part of its Stavely Copper-Gold Project in western Victoria. The company has reported promising assay results from initial drilling, indicating significant gold mineralization extending hundreds of meters to the south of previous intercepts. This new phase of drilling aims to explore these southern extensions and test additional targets, including the S41 breccia-hosted gold target, which shows potential for significant gold discovery. The results could enhance Stavely Minerals’ position in the mining industry by confirming the presence of extensive gold mineralization, potentially benefiting stakeholders through increased resource estimates and future development opportunities.

Stavely Minerals Unveils Promising Gold Exploration Results at Fairview South
Nov 5, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has announced promising results from its Phase 1 soil auger sampling program at the Fairview South gold prospect, part of its Stavely Copper-Gold Project in western Victoria. The results indicate a potential second parallel zone of gold mineralization, extending the prospect further south and suggesting significant exploration potential. The company plans to mobilize an RC drill rig to test these extensions and additional targets, which could enhance its positioning in the gold exploration industry and offer substantial opportunities for stakeholders.

Stavely Minerals Reports Quarterly Cash Flow and Successful Equity Raising
Oct 29, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd reported a net cash outflow from operating activities of $1.264 million for the quarter ending September 2025, primarily due to exploration and evaluation expenses. However, the company successfully raised $1.97 million through equity securities, resulting in a net cash inflow from financing activities of $1.818 million, which strengthens its financial position for future exploration endeavors.

Stavely Minerals Reports Promising Gold Drilling Results and Secures Funding
Oct 29, 2025

Stavely Minerals Ltd has reported promising assay results from its Phase 1 and Phase 2 Reverse Circulation (RC) drilling at the Fairview North gold prospect in western Victoria, highlighting several high-grade gold zones. The drilling has extended the known strike extent of shallow gold mineralization to over 300 meters, with significant intercepts indicating potential for further expansion. Additionally, the Fairview South gold prospect has shown outstanding results, with a single RC drill-hole intersecting high-grade gold zones and extending the prospect further south. The company has also completed a A$1.9 million placement to sophisticated investors, which will support ongoing exploration activities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026