Endeavour Group Ltd (EDV) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$6.43B
• Dividend Yield: 5.24%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.59M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.50
• Revenue Growth: -2.04%
• EPS Growth: -16.79%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 30,000
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
• EPS (TTM): 0.07
• Shares Outstanding: 1,790,980,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,650,066
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,591,010
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$4.14
• Price Target Upside: 15.97% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$4.00 ▲(12.04% Upside)

Endeavour Group Ltd's overall stock score is driven primarily by its solid financial performance, despite challenges in growth and leverage management. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which is a significant concern. Valuation metrics are reasonable, with an attractive dividend yield providing some support.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Stable gross and EBIT margins indicate the company's ability to manage costs effectively, maintaining profitability despite market challenges.

Cash Flow Generation

Strong operating cash flow supports the company's ability to fund operations and investments, ensuring financial stability and growth potential.

Market Position

A leading position in the retail and hospitality sectors provides a competitive advantage, supporting long-term revenue and market share growth.

Negative Factors

Revenue Growth Decline

Negative revenue growth indicates challenges in expanding sales, which could impact future profitability and market competitiveness.

High Leverage

High leverage can increase financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.

Profit Margin Pressure

Decreasing net profit margin suggests pressure on profitability, which could affect the company's ability to reinvest in its business and sustain growth.

Endeavour Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Endeavour Group Limited engages in the retail drinks and hospitality businesses in Australia. It operates through Retail, Hotels, and Other segments. The company manufactures and sells drinks; and provides hotels-related goods and services, including food and drinks, accommodation, entertainment, and?gaming. It operates 1,675 stores under the Dan Murphy's and BWS brands, and 344 hotels. Endeavour Group Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Surry Hills, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Endeavour Group Ltd makes money primarily through its retail and hospitality operations. The Retail segment generates revenue from the sale of alcoholic beverages through its well-established brands, Dan Murphy's and BWS, both in physical stores and online platforms. The company leverages its extensive distribution network and strategic pricing to maximize sales. The Hotels segment contributes to revenue by providing food, beverage, and gaming services in its licensed venues, attracting a diverse customer base. Additionally, Endeavour Group benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers to offer a wide array of products, enhancing its competitive edge in the market.

Endeavour Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Endeavour Group Ltd demonstrates solid operational efficiency with stable gross and EBIT margins. However, the decline in revenue growth and net profit margin indicates potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum. The balance sheet shows a high leverage level, which could be a risk if not managed properly. Cash flow generation is strong, but the decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.

Income Statement

Endeavour Group Ltd shows a stable gross profit margin around 35% over the years, indicating consistent profitability in its core operations. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 3.53% in the latest year, reflecting some pressure on overall profitability. The revenue growth rate has turned negative at -1.67%, which is a concern for future growth prospects. Despite this, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT margin of 6.10% and an EBITDA margin of 11.74%, suggesting operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.52 indicates a relatively high level of leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity has decreased to 11.11%, showing a decline in profitability from shareholders' perspective. The equity ratio stands at 32.68%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable but leveraged financial position.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains strong at $1.15 billion, but free cash flow has decreased by 17.83%, indicating potential challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.70, showing strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.71 suggests that a significant portion of earnings is reinvested back into the business.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	12.06B	12.06B	12.31B	11.88B	11.60B	11.60B
Gross Profit	4.23B	4.23B	4.25B	4.02B	3.63B	3.67B
EBITDA	1.35B	1.42B	1.47B	1.60B	1.45B	1.40B
Net Income	426.00M	426.00M	512.00M	529.00M	495.00M	445.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	11.73B	11.73B	11.78B	11.67B	10.85B	10.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	318.00M	318.00M	293.00M	290.00M	294.00M	437.00M
Total Debt	5.82B	5.82B	6.07B	6.09B	5.32B	5.49B
Total Liabilities	7.90B	7.90B	8.01B	7.96B	7.29B	7.38B
Stockholders Equity	3.83B	3.83B	3.77B	3.71B	3.56B	3.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	817.00M	816.00M	791.00M	361.00M	668.00M	835.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.15B	1.15B	1.21B	769.00M	953.00M	1.11B
Investing Cash Flow	-300.00M	-299.00M	-441.00M	-519.00M	-275.00M	-318.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-826.00M	-826.00M	-766.00M	-254.00M	-821.00M	-734.00M

Endeavour Group Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3.57
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EDV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.63, below the 50-day MA of 3.83, and below the 200-day MA of 3.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:EDV.

Endeavour Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CBO	75 Outperform	AU$1.58B	28.41	14.44%	0.98%	6.09%	166.89%
TWE	71 Outperform	$5.49B	13.11	9.13%	5.90%	6.47%	281.30%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
EDV	60 Neutral	AU$6.43B	15.09	11.20%	5.24%	-2.04%	-16.79%
AVG	51 Neutral	AU$44.48M	―	-4.54%	―	-1.31%	92.08%
LRK	46 Neutral	AU$82.63M	―	-10.39%	―	2.62%	-85.79%

Endeavour Group Ltd Corporate Events

AustralianSuper Increases Stake in Endeavour Group

AustralianSuper Pty Ltd has increased its voting power in Endeavour Group Limited from 11.42% to 12.44%, reflecting a significant change in its stake in the company. This change in substantial holding indicates a strengthened position for AustralianSuper in Endeavour Group, potentially impacting the company’s governance and strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

BWS Managing Director Scott Davidson to Step Down

Endeavour Group Ltd announced the resignation of Scott Davidson, the Managing Director of BWS, effective at the end of November. Davidson, who has been with the company for over five years, played a crucial role in transforming BWS post its demerger from Woolworths in 2021, enhancing its eCommerce capabilities and retail operations. His departure marks a significant leadership change as the company prepares for its next growth phase.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Director Acquires Significant Shareholding

Endeavour Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Penelope Ann Winn acquiring 48,560 fully paid ordinary shares through an on-market acquisition. This transaction, valued at $200,067.20, reflects a strategic move by the director, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and aligning with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Reports Strong Q4 Sales and Announces New CEO

Endeavour Group Ltd reported solid Easter sales in Q4 following a subdued Q3 in retail trading, with hotels performing well. The company announced Jayne Hrdlicka as the new Managing Director and CEO, effective January 2026. Retail sales showed positive growth in April, driven by improved trading over the Easter holiday period, while hotel sales continued to grow across all business drivers. The company’s customer loyalty programs have expanded, with significant growth in My Dan’s and pub+ memberships. Endeavour Group plans to expand its retail and hotel networks with new store openings and renewals, alongside refinancing its $1 billion debt facility. The group remains focused on optimizing its assets and cost base to deliver returns for shareholders.