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Endeavour Group Ltd (AU:EDV)
ASX:EDV
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Endeavour Group Ltd (EDV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:EDV

Endeavour Group Ltd

(Sydney:EDV)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$4.00
▲(9.29% Upside)
Endeavour Group Ltd's overall stock score is driven primarily by its solid financial performance, despite challenges in growth and leverage management. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which is a significant concern. Valuation metrics are reasonable, with an attractive dividend yield providing some support.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Stable gross and EBIT margins indicate the company's ability to manage costs effectively, maintaining profitability despite market challenges.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong operating cash flow supports the company's ability to fund operations and investments, ensuring financial stability and growth potential.
Market Position
A leading position in the retail and hospitality sectors provides a competitive advantage, supporting long-term revenue and market share growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Decline
Negative revenue growth indicates challenges in expanding sales, which could impact future profitability and market competitiveness.
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Profit Margin Pressure
Decreasing net profit margin suggests pressure on profitability, which could affect the company's ability to reinvest in its business and sustain growth.

Endeavour Group Ltd (EDV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Endeavour Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEndeavour Group Limited engages in the retail drinks and hospitality businesses in Australia. It operates through Retail, Hotels, and Other segments. The company manufactures and sells drinks; and provides hotels-related goods and services, including food and drinks, accommodation, entertainment, and?gaming. It operates 1,675 stores under the Dan Murphy's and BWS brands, and 344 hotels. Endeavour Group Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Surry Hills, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyEndeavour Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of alcoholic beverages in its retail locations and hospitality venues. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales from its liquor retail stores, which offer a wide range of products including beer, wine, and spirits. Additionally, the hospitality segment contributes significantly to revenue through food and drink sales at its pubs and hotels. Partnerships with various alcohol suppliers and brands also enhance its product offerings and create promotional opportunities that drive sales. The company's focus on digital retailing and e-commerce has further expanded its market reach, contributing to its overall profitability.

Endeavour Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Endeavour Group Ltd demonstrates solid operational efficiency with stable gross and EBIT margins. However, the decline in revenue growth and net profit margin indicates potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum. The balance sheet shows a high leverage level, which could be a risk if not managed properly. Cash flow generation is strong, but the decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Endeavour Group Ltd shows a stable gross profit margin around 35% over the years, indicating consistent profitability in its core operations. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 3.53% in the latest year, reflecting some pressure on overall profitability. The revenue growth rate has turned negative at -1.67%, which is a concern for future growth prospects. Despite this, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT margin of 6.10% and an EBITDA margin of 11.74%, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.52 indicates a relatively high level of leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity has decreased to 11.11%, showing a decline in profitability from shareholders' perspective. The equity ratio stands at 32.68%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable but leveraged financial position.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong at $1.15 billion, but free cash flow has decreased by 17.83%, indicating potential challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.70, showing strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.71 suggests that a significant portion of earnings is reinvested back into the business.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.06B12.06B12.31B11.88B11.60B11.60B
Gross Profit4.23B4.23B4.25B4.02B3.63B3.67B
EBITDA1.35B1.42B1.47B1.60B1.45B1.40B
Net Income426.00M426.00M512.00M529.00M495.00M445.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.73B11.73B11.78B11.67B10.85B10.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments318.00M318.00M293.00M290.00M294.00M437.00M
Total Debt5.82B5.82B6.07B6.09B5.32B5.49B
Total Liabilities7.90B7.90B8.01B7.96B7.29B7.38B
Stockholders Equity3.83B3.83B3.77B3.71B3.56B3.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow817.00M816.00M791.00M361.00M668.00M835.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.15B1.15B1.21B769.00M953.00M1.11B
Investing Cash Flow-300.00M-299.00M-441.00M-519.00M-275.00M-318.00M
Financing Cash Flow-826.00M-826.00M-766.00M-254.00M-821.00M-734.00M

Endeavour Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.66
Price Trends
50DMA
3.66
Negative
100DMA
3.84
Negative
200DMA
3.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
55.38
Neutral
STOCH
84.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EDV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.59, below the 50-day MA of 3.66, and below the 200-day MA of 3.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:EDV.

Endeavour Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AU$1.63B28.9214.44%1.02%6.09%166.89%
$4.89B11.119.13%6.60%6.47%281.30%
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
AU$6.52B15.2611.20%5.14%-2.04%-16.79%
AU$37.89M-4.54%-1.31%92.08%
AU$81.57M-10.39%2.62%-85.79%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:EDV
Endeavour Group Ltd
3.66
-0.80
-17.94%
AU:AVG
Australian Vintage Ltd
0.12
-0.03
-20.69%
AU:TWE
Treasury Wine Estates Limited
6.06
-4.57
-43.00%
AU:CBO
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd.
3.24
1.40
76.09%
AU:LRK
Lark Distilling Co. Ltd.
0.71
-0.49
-40.83%

Endeavour Group Ltd Corporate Events

Endeavour Group Updates Business Address and Contact Method
Oct 27, 2025

Endeavour Group Ltd has announced a change in its registered office and principal place of business to Level 3, 10 Shelley Street, Sydney NSW 2000, effective immediately. This move signifies a strategic update in their operational logistics, potentially impacting their stakeholder communications as they transition away from a landline to email-only contact.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Ltd Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting Details
Oct 14, 2025

Endeavour Group Ltd has announced that its 2025 Annual General Meeting will be held on November 17, 2025, at the Sofitel Sydney Wentworth, with options for shareholders to attend both in person and online. This meeting is a significant event for stakeholders, providing them with the opportunity to engage with the company’s leadership and discuss future strategies, although voting will not be available via telephone.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Oct 14, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited has announced the quotation of 4,745,656 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of October 14, 2025. This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan, potentially enhancing the company’s market liquidity and providing additional value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Ltd Announces Cessation of Securities
Oct 9, 2025

Endeavour Group Ltd announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically 48,741 share rights and 343,095 performance rights, due to the lapse of conditional rights. This cessation indicates that the conditions for these securities were not met, impacting the company’s issued capital and potentially affecting investor perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Strengthens Board with New Appointment
Sep 30, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited has announced the appointment of Michael Ihlein as an independent Non-executive Director, pending regulatory approvals. Ihlein, with extensive experience in financial and governance leadership, will succeed Anne Brennan as Chair of the Audit, Risk and Compliance Management Committee after her retirement. This move is part of Endeavour’s ongoing board renewal process, aiming to enhance its strategic direction and governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Ltd Updates Dividend Distribution Details
Sep 19, 2025

Endeavour Group Ltd has updated its previous announcement regarding its dividend distribution, specifically amending details related to currency information and the Dividend Reinvestment Plan. This update pertains to the dividend for the six-month period ending June 29, 2025, and reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders through regular dividend payments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Appoints New BWS Managing Director
Sep 17, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited has appointed Jeanette Fenske as the new Managing Director of BWS, effective early next year. Fenske, who brings 35 years of retail experience, including senior roles at Woolworths Group and Clicks Group, is expected to lead BWS through its next growth phase, following the departure of Scott Davidson.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 5, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest involving Joanne Elizabeth Pollard. Ms. Pollard has acquired 6,165 NED Share Rights under the Non-executive Director Equity Plan, which will convert to Ordinary Shares upon vesting. This change reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning director interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Announces Director’s Share Rights Acquisition
Sep 5, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited announced a change in the indirect interest of its director, Duncan Harold Makeig, involving the acquisition of 6,165 NED Share Rights under the Non-executive Director Equity Plan. This adjustment, which does not alter the beneficial ownership of Mr. Makeig’s existing shares, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning director interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting its governance and equity distribution strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 5, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically for Peter John Hardy, who acquired 7,291 fully paid ordinary shares following the vesting of Performance Rights under the company’s F23 Long-Term Incentive Plan. This change reflects Endeavour’s performance over a three-year period, with a vesting outcome of 15%. The adjustment in Hardy’s holdings signifies the company’s commitment to aligning executive incentives with long-term performance goals, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Ltd Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Sep 5, 2025

Endeavour Group Ltd has announced the cessation of 1,674,612 performance rights due to the conditions for these securities not being met or becoming incapable of being satisfied. This development may affect the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, reflecting on the company’s operational strategies and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Issues New Equity Securities
Sep 5, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited announced the issuance of 515,477 ordinary fully paid securities as of September 1, 2025. This move reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its equity structure, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests by potentially enhancing liquidity and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Announces Cessation of Securities
Aug 27, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited announced the cessation of certain securities due to the lapse of conditional rights, with a total of 39,066 share rights and 169,888 performance rights ceasing as the conditions were not met. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, reflecting on the company’s operational adjustments and strategic focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Releases 2025 Sustainability Report
Aug 25, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited has released its 2025 Sustainability Report, as authorized by its Board. This report highlights the company’s ongoing commitment to sustainability practices, reflecting its efforts to enhance environmental responsibility and potentially strengthen its market position by appealing to environmentally conscious stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.54 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Aug 25, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited has released its 2025 Corporate Governance Statement, which is now available on their website. This statement, approved by the board, outlines the company’s adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations for the financial year ending June 29, 2025. The release of this document is part of the company’s compliance with ASX listing rules, ensuring transparency and accountability in its governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.54 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Announces Key Shareholder Dates for 2026
Aug 25, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited has announced key shareholder dates for 2026, including the 2025 Annual General Meeting now scheduled for 17 November 2025 in Sydney. The announcement outlines important dates for dividend announcements, ex-dividend dates, record dates, and payment dates for both interim and final dividends, as well as the closing date for director nominations. These updates are crucial for shareholders and stakeholders to plan their engagements and financial expectations with the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.54 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Reports Stable Revenue Amid Mixed Sector Performance
Aug 25, 2025

Endeavour Group Ltd reported stable revenue of $12.1 billion for the fiscal year ending June 2025, with a slight decline in retail sales offset by growth in hotel sales. The company achieved strong cash flow and reduced net debt by $187 million, despite a decrease in group EBIT due to lower retail sales and restructuring costs. The group is undergoing a strategy refresh to enhance customer experiences and shareholder returns, with a focus on expanding its hotel network and maintaining its leadership in the retail liquor market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.54 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Announces Dividend Distribution for Shareholders
Aug 25, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited has announced a dividend distribution of AUD 0.063 per fully paid ordinary share, covering the six-month period ending June 29, 2025. The key dates for this dividend include an ex-date of September 2, 2025, a record date of September 3, 2025, and a payment date set for October 14, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may influence investor sentiment positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.54 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Reports Decline in Revenue and Profit for 2025
Aug 25, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited reported a decline in both revenue and profit for the financial year ending June 29, 2025, with revenue dropping by 2% to $12,058 million and profit decreasing by 17% to $425 million. Despite the financial downturn, the company declared a final dividend of 6.3 cents per share and activated its Dividend Reinvestment Plan, offering shareholders in Australia and New Zealand the opportunity to reinvest dividends into additional shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.54 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Endeavour Group Announces Director Departure
Aug 6, 2025

Endeavour Group Limited has announced that Ari Mervis has ceased to be a director as of August 3, 2025. Mervis held 250,000 fully paid ordinary shares through the Mervis Family Pty Ltd as trustee for the Mervis Family Trust. This change in directorship may impact the company’s governance structure and could have implications for its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EDV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endeavour Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EDV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025