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Endeavour Group Ltd
(Sydney:EDV)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
AU$3.50
▲(4.48% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:03/04/26
The score is driven mainly by stable underlying profitability and strong operating cash generation, supported by positive technical trend signals. It is tempered by weak/negative top-line growth, pressure on net margin and free cash flow, and earnings-call risks centered on retail margin compression and elevated reinvestment needs from higher FY26 capex.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow and a 165% cash realization ratio provide durable liquidity to fund reinvestment, dividends and debt servicing. The $1.0bn undrawn facility adds financial flexibility, reducing refinancing risk and supporting multi-year capex programs without immediate cash strain.
Negative Factors
Retail margin compression
Retail is the group's largest revenue engine; sustained margin erosion from price investment and promotions materially depresses cash flow and earnings. If competitive pricing and promotional intensity persist, recovering retail margins will require either structural cost reduction or persistent mix shift toward higher-margin channels.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow and a 165% cash realization ratio provide durable liquidity to fund reinvestment, dividends and debt servicing. The $1.0bn undrawn facility adds financial flexibility, reducing refinancing risk and supporting multi-year capex programs without immediate cash strain.
Read all positive factors
Endeavour Group Ltd (EDV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$6.25B
Dividend Yield4.78%
Average Volume (3M)2.91M
Price to Earnings (P/E)16.5
Beta (1Y)0.46
Revenue Growth-1.17%
EPS Growth-18.45%
CountryAU
Employees30,000
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding1,795,725,700
10 Day Avg. Volume2,547,397
30 Day Avg. Volume2,908,436
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.97
Price to Book (P/B)1.87
Price to Sales (P/S)0.60
P/FCF Ratio8.80
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$3.17Price Target Upside-5.31% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Endeavour Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Endeavour Group Limited, an Australian entity, operates across the retail drinks and hospitality sectors. The company's business model is structured around its Retail, Hotels, and Other segments. It is engaged in the production and sale of beverag...
How the Company Makes Money
Endeavour Group makes money primarily through (1) packaged liquor retail sales and (2) earnings from hotel operations.
1) Packaged liquor retail (Retail segment):
- Product sales revenue: The largest driver is revenue from selling alcoholic bever...
Endeavour Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 12.12B | 12.06B | 12.31B | 11.88B | 11.60B | 11.60B |
| Gross Profit | 4.23B | 4.23B | 4.25B | 4.02B | 3.63B | 3.67B |
| EBITDA | 1.28B | 1.42B | 1.47B | 1.42B | 1.28B | 1.23B |
| Net Income | 375.00M | 426.00M | 512.00M | 529.00M | 495.00M | 445.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 11.95B | 11.73B | 11.78B | 11.67B | 10.85B | 10.76B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 344.00M | 318.00M | 293.00M | 290.00M | 294.00M | 437.00M |
| Total Debt | 5.35B | 5.82B | 6.07B | 6.09B | 5.32B | 5.49B |
| Total Liabilities | 7.96B | 7.90B | 8.01B | 7.96B | 7.29B | 7.38B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.99B | 3.83B | 3.77B | 3.71B | 3.56B | 3.39B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 650.00M | 816.00M | 791.00M | 361.00M | 668.00M | 835.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.11B | 1.15B | 1.21B | 769.00M | 953.00M | 1.11B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -429.00M | -299.00M | -441.00M | -519.00M | -275.00M | -318.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -705.00M | -826.00M | -766.00M | -254.00M | -821.00M | -734.00M |
Endeavour Group Ltd Technical Analysis
Positive
3.35
Price Trends
3.30
Positive
3.30
Positive
3.47
Positive
Market Momentum
0.04
Positive
56.81
Neutral
56.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EDV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.45, above the 50-day MA of 3.30, and below the 200-day MA of 3.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:EDV.
Endeavour Group Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | AU$6.25B | 16.45 | 9.59% | 4.96% | -1.17% | -18.45% | |
63 Neutral | AU$3.98B | -9.30 | -10.03% | 8.46% | -10.96% | -383.84% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
62 Neutral | AU$32.36B | 31.70 | 26.38% | 3.06% | 1.26% | -8.33% | |
62 Neutral | AU$3.34B | 12.16 | 16.56% | 6.06% | 0.18% | -1.74% | |
54 Neutral | AU$48.38B | 81.16 | 12.60% | 2.27% | 1.54% | -63.29% | |
43 Neutral | AU$22.40M | -0.59 | -16.84% | ― | 1.80% | 75.09% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
AU:EDV
Endeavour Group Ltd
3.62
-0.24
-6.29%
AU:WOW
Woolworths Group Ltd
40.28
9.64
31.47%
AU:AVG
Australian Vintage Ltd
0.07
-0.03
-32.65%
AU:COL
Coles Group
24.19
4.21
21.08%
AU:MTS
Metcash Limited
3.15
-0.64
-16.84%
AU:TWE
Treasury Wine Estates Limited
5.43
-2.05
-27.45%
Endeavour Group Ltd Corporate Events
Endeavour Group Issues New Ordinary Shares Following Option Conversion
Jul 6, 2026
Endeavour Group Limited has notified the market of the conversion of unquoted securities into 119,737 ordinary fully paid shares, effective 30 June 2026. The issuance, disclosed via an Appendix 3G filing, modestly increases the company’s equ...
Endeavour Group Issues New Shares on Conversion of Unquoted Securities
Jul 2, 2026
Endeavour Group Ltd has notified the market of the issue of 47,358 ordinary fully paid shares following the conversion or exercise of previously unquoted securities. The new shares, dated June 26, 2026, modestly increase the company’s equity...
Endeavour Group Issues New Unquoted Equity Incentives Under Staff Scheme
Jul 1, 2026
Endeavour Group Limited has notified the ASX of the issue of unquoted equity securities under its employee incentive schemes, comprising 318,058 share rights and 383,136 performance rights. These securities, issued on 18 June 2026 and not intended...
Endeavour Group advances board renewal as two directors to retire at 2026 AGM
Jul 1, 2026
Endeavour Group has announced further renewal of its board as it advances a new growth strategy, with independent non-executive directors Rod van Onselen and Joe Pollard to retire at the 2026 Annual General Meeting. Their departures, following sev...
Endeavour Group Issues 514,319 New Shares on Convertible Exercise
Jun 9, 2026
Endeavour Group Limited has notified the Australian Securities Exchange of the issue of 514,319 ordinary fully paid shares following the exercise or conversion of previously unquoted options or other convertible securities, with an issue date of J...
Endeavour Group Issues New Unquoted Share Rights Under Employee Scheme
Jun 9, 2026
Endeavour Group Limited has notified the market of the issue of 8,710 unquoted share rights under its employee incentive scheme. The new share rights, recorded under the ASX security code EDVAB and issued on 2 June 2026, will not be quoted on the ...
Endeavour Group Updates Director Joanne Pollard’s Equity Holdings
Jun 4, 2026
Endeavour Group Limited has disclosed a change in the security holdings of non-executive director Joanne Elizabeth Pollard, reflecting movements under the company’s Non-executive Director Equity Plan. The update details her direct and indire...
Endeavour Group Boosts Director’s Equity Stake With New Share Rights Grant
Jun 4, 2026
Endeavour Group has disclosed a change in the security holdings of non-executive director Joanne Elizabeth Pollard, who has received a grant of 8,710 non-executive director share rights under the company’s equity plan. The new rights, acquir...
Endeavour director Penelope Winn lifts indirect shareholding via on-market purchase
Jun 3, 2026
Endeavour Group Limited has disclosed a change in director Penelope Ann Winn’s relevant interests in the company’s securities, as required under ASX listing rules. Winn’s interest is held indirectly through Winn Nominees Pty Ltd,...
Endeavour Group Director Ihlein Lifts Stake With On‑Market Share Purchase
Jun 3, 2026
Endeavour Group Limited has disclosed a change in director Michael Francis Ihlein’s interests, reporting that he has acquired 88,000 ordinary shares in the company through an on-market transaction. The shares are held indirectly via Krol Pty...
Endeavour Group Targets Growth With Cost Cuts, Hotel Investment and Asset Shake-Up
May 26, 2026
Endeavour Group has unveiled a refreshed growth strategy following a board-led review, centring on resetting its multi-brand retail approach, unlocking growth in its hotels business and simplifying operations to lift efficiency and returns. The pl...
Endeavour Group lifts sales, bulks up inventory and targets $100m cost savings amid Middle East pressures
May 3, 2026
Endeavour Group reported modest sales growth in the third quarter of FY26, with Retail up 2.9% and Hotels up 3.7%, translating to half-year-to-date gains of 0.7% and 3.7% respectively. Retail continued to gain market share in a subdued consumer en...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.