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Australian Vintage Ltd
(Sydney:AVG)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.06
▼(-11.43% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/28/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (negative profitability and negative operating/free cash flow) and a leveraged balance sheet. Technical indicators also lean bearish with a negative MACD and the price below longer-term moving averages, while valuation is not supportive due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Vertical integration
Owning vineyards, winemaking and branded distribution creates durable control over supply, quality and margin capture. This reduces input volatility exposure, supports product consistency and long-term brand-building, improving resilience across vintages and distribution cycles.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability
Persistent negative EBIT and net margins indicate the core operating model isn't generating returns to cover costs. Over 2-6 months this depletes reserves and constrains reinvestment in marketing and vineyard upkeep, making recovery and competitive positioning harder without margin improvement.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Vertical integration
Owning vineyards, winemaking and branded distribution creates durable control over supply, quality and margin capture. This reduces input volatility exposure, supports product consistency and long-term brand-building, improving resilience across vintages and distribution cycles.
Read all positive factors
Australian Vintage Ltd (AVG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$26.03M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)240.27K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)-0.14
Revenue Growth1.80%
EPS Growth75.09%
CountryAU
Employees425
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.12
Shares Outstanding329,462,920
10 Day Avg. Volume324,328
30 Day Avg. Volume240,266
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.03
Price to Book (P/B)0.14
Price to Sales (P/S)0.10
P/FCF Ratio-1.80
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.06
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$278.50M
Australian Vintage Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Australian Vintage Ltd, through its various subsidiaries, oversees the entire process of wine production, from manufacturing and packaging to marketing and global distribution. Its significant international presence spans Australia, the United Kin...
How the Company Makes Money
AVG primarily makes money by selling wine and related products through a mix of branded consumer channels and commercial supply arrangements. Its main revenue stream is the sale of branded packaged wine (e.g., bottled and other retail-ready format...
Australian Vintage Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 255.05M | 257.19M | 260.59M | 258.56M | 260.10M | 273.96M |
| Gross Profit | 65.65M | 69.36M | 27.69M | 75.11M | 85.35M | 86.20M |
| EBITDA | -3.15M | 3.20M | -62.28M | 12.77M | 35.41M | 38.33M |
| Net Income | -31.02M | -9.56M | -93.03M | 4.01M | 17.33M | 19.60M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 417.56M | 431.35M | 415.43M | 498.04M | 515.60M | 493.53M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 758.00K | 8.88M | 6.02M | 6.90M | 2.55M | 3.65M |
| Total Debt | 217.83M | 142.05M | 137.27M | 128.89M | 125.37M | 98.86M |
| Total Liabilities | 240.19M | 240.34M | 201.83M | 206.92M | 215.75M | 180.85M |
| Stockholders Equity | 177.37M | 191.01M | 213.60M | 291.12M | 299.85M | 312.68M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -31.94M | -14.65M | -18.84M | -23.48M | 4.00M | 38.61M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -22.12M | -7.66M | -10.96M | -12.72M | 15.35M | 45.03M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.60M | -811.00K | -2.74M | 57.46M | -9.70M | -6.40M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 21.79M | 11.33M | 12.82M | -40.39M | -6.75M | -42.63M |
Australian Vintage Ltd Technical Analysis
Positive
0.07
Price Trends
0.07
Positive
0.07
Positive
0.08
Negative
Market Momentum
<0.01
Negative
71.76
Negative
93.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, above the 50-day MA of 0.07, and below the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.76 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AVG.
Australian Vintage Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | AU$1.61B | 85.53 | 3.45% | 1.32% | -2.41% | 104.12% | |
70 Outperform | AU$6.09B | 16.03 | 9.59% | 4.96% | 1.28% | -15.05% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
57 Neutral | AU$4.57B | -4.25 | -29.99% | 8.46% | -12.18% | -347.47% | |
47 Neutral | AU$95.57M | -2.42 | -41.67% | ― | 14.75% | -231.49% | |
46 Neutral | AU$28.22M | -1.59 | -53.68% | ― | -12.46% | 44.05% | |
43 Neutral | AU$26.03M | -0.68 | -16.84% | ― | 1.80% | 75.09% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
AU:AVG
Australian Vintage Ltd
0.08
-0.03
-24.76%
AU:TWE
Treasury Wine Estates Limited
5.65
-2.24
-28.42%
AU:CBO
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd.
3.37
0.24
7.67%
AU:LRK
Lark Distilling Co. Ltd.
0.89
0.08
9.88%
AU:EDV
Endeavour Group Ltd
3.39
-0.57
-14.37%
AU:MBH
Maggie Beer Holdings Ltd.
0.06
<0.01
14.55%
Australian Vintage Ltd Corporate Events
Australian Vintage Finalises Debt Refinancing Deal with NAB
Jun 17, 2026
Australian Vintage Limited has confirmed the execution of a final, binding amendment deed with National Australia Bank to refinance its structural debt. The facility extends the company’s debt profile for two years to 2028, with an option to...
Australian Vintage secures refinancing as innovation and cash flow drive turnaround
May 27, 2026
Australian Vintage Ltd has secured agreement for refinancing its structural debt facilities to March 2028, with an option to extend to 2029, maintaining similar interest costs and lifting total facilities to $128 million, including an extra $5 mil...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.